2021 Estonian presidential election explained

Election Name:2021 Estonian presidential election
Country:Estonia
Type:presidential
President
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 Estonian presidential election
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2026 Estonian presidential election
Next Year:2026
Votes For Election:101 members of the Riigikogu
Needed Votes:68
Election Date:30–31 August 2021
Nominee1:Alar Karis
Party1:Independent
Color1:DDDDDD
1Blank:First round
1Data1:63
2Blank:Second round
2Data1:72
3Blank:Nominators
3Data1:Centre, Reform
Before Election:Kersti Kaljulaid
Before Party:Independent
After Election:Alar Karis
After Party:Independent

An indirect election took place in Estonia on 30 and 31 August 2021 to elect the president of Estonia, who is the country's head of state. The Riigikogu — the Parliament of Estonia — elected Alar Karis to serve in the office and he was sworn in as the 6th president on 11 October 2021. The incumbent, Kersti Kaljulaid, was eligible to seek reelection to a second, and final, term but failed to gain the endorsement of at least 21 MPs, which is required in order for a candidate to register, as she was outspoken against some of the policies of the government, who thus denied her support.[1]

The election, being one of an unopposed candidate (a first under the 1992 constitution[2]), caused an outcry as it was compared with those held under the Soviet occupation of the country. Described as "unethical", it reignited previous calls for a reform of the electoral system, including direct election.[3] [4] [5] Referencing the "turmoil that surrounded the presidential selection process" in his post election speech, Karis called for changes of the system to be examined by the Riigikogu, such as using an enlarged electoral college, facilitating the nomination of candidates or even using direct election.[6]

Process

By law, the president of Estonia is indirectly elected. The Riigikogu has the task of electing the president in the first instance. If no candidate receives the required supermajority of two-thirds (68 votes out of 101), the president is selected by an electoral college consisting of MPs and representatives of local (municipal) governments. If the electoral college fails to achieve a supermajority as well, the process is to return to the parliament yet again.[7]

The incumbent Kersti Kaljulaid served one term, and was eligible to be elected to a second consecutive term in office, but did not receive enough parliamentary nominations in order to stand as a candidate. In June 2021, Jüri Ratas announced a special session of the Riigikogu on 30 August, in order to begin the process of electing the president. Members of parliament were allowed to begin nominating candidates on 26 August.[8]

Candidates

Individuals must be nominated by one-fifth of the members of Riigikogu (21 MPs) in order to officially stand as candidates.[9] Members of the Riigikogu may begin officially nominating candidates for the election on 26 August, while the nominations were publicly revealed on 29 August.[10]

Nominated

The following individual received the mandated amount of nominations from at least 21 MPs.

Not nominated

The following individuals declared their intentions to stand as candidates in the election, but were not nominated by 21 MPs in order to become candidates.

Declined

The following individuals were rumored to run by the media, but ultimately did not declare candidacies.

Opinion polls

Although the president is not elected by popular vote, there has been public opinion polling in order to study the candidates' popularity.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Ansip
Helme
KaljulaidKaljurand
MadiseRatas
SoomereOthers
Kantar Emor11–17 August 20211,15224%13% style="background:#E5E5E5;" 63%
Turu-uuringute AS15–21 April 20215%6% style="background:#E5E5E5;" 18%16%15%8%
Kantar Emor8–14 April 20211,23210%21%9% style="background:#9DD7C8;" 23%11%

Results

CandidateVotes
First roundSecond round
Alar Karis6372
Invalid/blank votes168
Abstentions10
Not present2121
Electorate101 101
Required supermajority6868
align=left colspan=7Source:[23] [24]

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Estonia's MPs will pick its next president from a field of one. the Guardian. en. 28 August 2021. 29 August 2021.
  2. Web site: Estonia on presidential election day as Karis stays sole candidate. 30 August 2021.
  3. Web site: Estonia faces prospect of an election with only one candidate. 28 August 2021.
  4. Web site: Only one candidate in Estonia presidential election. 28 August 2021.
  5. https://news.err.ee/1608314573/center-party-says-will-table-direct-presidential-elections-bill Center Party says will table direct presidential elections bill
  6. Web site: Karis: I intend to be a balancer above all, and if necessary, a mediator. 11 October 2021.
  7. Köker. Philipp. 2019. The effects of majority requirements, selectorate composition and uncertainty in indirect presidential elections: the case of Estonia. East European Politics. en. 35. 2. 238–258. 10.1080/21599165.2019.1604339. 159312855. 2159-9165.
  8. Web site: Speaker calls Riigikogu presidential election session for August 30. 14 June 2021. Eesti Rahvusringhääling.
  9. Web site: President of the Republic of Estonia Elections . Vabariigi Valimiskomisjon . 25 April 2016.
  10. Web site: Isamaa, SDE MPs say parties divided on Karis' presidential candidacy. 26 August 2021. Eesti Rahvusringhääling.
  11. Web site: Alar Karisest saab Eesti järgmine president? ERMi direktor kinnitas, et ettepaneku taga on neli erakonda. 17 August 2021. Estonian.
  12. Web site: 59 Riigikogu members nominate Karis as presidential candidate . 27 August 2021 . ERR News . 27 August 2021.
  13. News: Parties still searching for potential presidential candidates. . 2 July 2021.
  14. Web site: Raimo. Poom. Kaimar Karu saatis Ratasele ja Kallasele sõnumi, et on valmis presidendiks hakkamist arutama. 22 July 2021. Estonian.
  15. Web site: Indrek Laul saatis poliitikutele visiooni presidendi rollist . ERR.ee . 11 August 2021 . Estonian.
  16. Web site: Uus kandidaat? Indrek Laul saatis poliitikutele 12-leheküljelise visiooni presidendi rollist . Postimees.ee . 11 August 2021 . Estonian.
  17. News: Ametlik! EKRE presidendikandidaat on Henn Põlluaas. Delfi . 6 June 2021. Estonian. Vasli. Karoliina.
  18. Web site: 'Olukorrast riigis': Why did Soomere reveal his presidential bid so soon? . ERR News . 26 March 2021 . 21 March 2021.
  19. Web site: Estonian presidential bids announced six months before elections. 23 March 2021. Vanttinen. Pekka. Euractiv.
  20. Web site: Uuringufirmad näitavad erinevaid presidendisoosikuid. 22 April 2021. Estonian. Eesti Rahvusringhääling.
  21. Web site: Ansip looking to Aaviksoo and Madise for president. Sildam. Toomas. 31 March 2021. Eesti Rahvusringhääling.
  22. Web site: Ratas loobub presidendiks pürgimisest: "Lõpetame selle Jüri Ratase jutu!". 1 June 2021. Eesti Rahvusringhääling. Estonian.
  23. Web site: The first round of the election of the President of the Republic ended without result . Riigikogu . 31 August 2021 . 30 August 2021.
  24. Web site: Alar Karis was elected President of the Republic . Riigikogu . 31 August 2021 . 31 August 2021.