2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary explained

Election Name:2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary
Country:Washington
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Last Update:March 20, 12:21 PM [1]
Time Zone:PDT
Previous Election:2016 Washington Democratic presidential caucuses
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2024 Washington Democratic presidential primary
Next Year:2024
Election Date:March 10, 2020
Outgoing Members:ND
Elected Members:MP
Votes For Election:107 Democratic National Convention delegates (89 pledged, 18 unpledged)
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
Image1:File:Joe Biden February 2020 crop.jpg
Candidate1:Joe Biden
Color1:224192
Home State1:Delaware
Delegate Count1:46
Popular Vote1:591,403
Percentage1:37.94%
Candidate2:Bernie Sanders
Color2:228b22
Home State2:Vermont
Delegate Count2:43
Popular Vote2:570,039
Percentage2:36.57%
Image4:File:Elizabeth Warren by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Candidate4:Elizabeth Warren
(withdrawn)
Color4:b61b28
Home State4:Massachusetts
Delegate Count4:0
Popular Vote4:142,652
Percentage4:9.15%
Image5:File:Michael Bloomberg by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Candidate5:Michael Bloomberg
(withdrawn)
Color5:9370db
Home State5:New York
Delegate Count5:0
Popular Vote5:122,530
Percentage5:7.86%
Party Name:no
Map Size:300px

The 2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary took place on March 10, 2020, as one of several states voting the week after Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The state-run semi-open primary, which was used instead of party-run caucuses for the first time by Washington's Democrats, awarded 109 delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 89 were pledged delegates allocated according to the results of the primary.[2]

On March 16, 2020, almost a week after the primary, major news outlets including CNN, NBC, The New York Times, and the Associated Press called the narrow race for former vice president Joe Biden, who won 37.9% of the vote and 46 delegates, around 20,000 votes ahead of senator Bernie Sanders. Sanders reached 36.6% of the vote and received 43 delegates, adding another crucial loss to his campaign, while a win, widely expected in polls, had been seen as vital for him to remain a realistic contender for the presidential nomination.[3] Senator Elizabeth Warren and former mayor Michael Bloomberg, who had already withdrawn from the race, came close to 10% of the vote due to early votes, winning no delegates.

Procedure

Washington was one of six states (along with Democrats Abroad) which held primaries on March 10, 2020, one week after Super Tuesday.[4] As a primary totally done by mail-in voting, it took place from February 21 to March 10, 2020.[5] On March 14, 2019, Governor Jay Inslee had signed a bill moving the state's previously non-binding presidential primary up from May to the second Tuesday in March, roughly the typical time frame Democrats had already been using for their caucuses in the past.[6] A month later, on April 7, 2019, the Washington Democratic Party's central committee historically approved the usage of the hybrid vote-by-mail presidential primary in a 121–40 vote, marking the first time in the state's history that Democrats used a primary.[7]

In Washington, a vote-by-mail state, there was an 18-day voting period and all ballots had to be either dropped off by 8:00 p.m. at a designated ballot box or postmarked by the date of the primary. For people's votes to be counted, they had to select either a Democratic or Republican ballot. Both ballots were distributed to every registered voter, as Washington State did not track party registration; no independent ballots existed. In the primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level to be considered viable. The 89 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 3 and 11 were allocated to each of the state's 10 congressional districts and another 12 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 19 at-large delegates. The March primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on a March date.[8]

Following legislative district caucuses on April 26, 2020, to choose delegates to congressional district caucuses and the state convention, or county conventions on May 3, 2020, also to choose delegates to congressional district caucuses and the state convention, the congressional district caucuses met on May 30, 2020, to select national convention district delegates. The state party committee subsequently met at the state convention between June 13 and June 14, 2020, to vote on the 19 at-large and 12 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention. The delegation also included 20 unpledged PLEO delegates: 10 members of the Democratic National Committee, 9 members of Congress (both Senators and 7 representatives), and the governor Jay Inslee.

Candidates

The following individuals qualified for the ballot in Washington:[9]

Running

Withdrawn

There was also an uncommitted option on the ballot.[9]

Polling

Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate
updated
Dates
polled
Joe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Tulsi
Gabbard
Un-
decided
270 to Win[10] Mar 10, 2020Feb 15 – Mar 9, 202033.5%34.0%1.3%34.7%
RealClear Politics[11] Mar 9, 2020No averages at this time
FiveThirtyEight[12] Mar 10, 2020until Mar 9, 202039.8%37.1%1.4%21.7%
Average36.65%36.55%1.35%28.2%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Washington Democratic primary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Jay
Inslee
Amy
Klobuchar
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
OtherUndecided
Swayable[13] Mar 9, 20201,840 (LV)± 3.0%39%37%25%
Data for Progress[14] Mar 7–9, 2020497 (LV)± 5.1%49%43%6%2%
Survey USA/KING-TV[15] Mar 4–6, 2020550 (LV)± 5.4%36%35%10%13%5%
Mar 5, 2020Warren withdraws from the race
Data for Progress[16] Mar 4–5, 2020737 (LV)± 3.6%47%44%5%3%
Mar 4, 2020Bloomberg withdraws from the race
Mar 2, 2020Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Mar 1, 2020Buttigieg withdraws from the race
Elway Research/Cascade Public Media[17] Feb 15–18, 2020404 (LV)± 5.0%10%15%9%11%21%11%0%2%22%
Feb 11, 2020Yang withdraws from the race
Survey USA/KING-TV[18] Jan 26–28, 2020536 (LV)± 6.2%21%12%8%3%26%16%4%2%7%
Dec 3, 2019Harris withdraws from the race
Aug 21, 2019Inslee withdraws from the race
Zogby Analytics[19] Jul 22 – Aug 1, 20191,265 (LV)± 2.8%19%5%9%6%1%18%14%2%11%16%

Results

2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary[20] ! Candidate! Votes! %! Delegates[21]
Joe Biden591,40337.9446
Bernie Sanders570,03936.5743
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)142,6529.15rowspan=13
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)122,5307.86
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)63,3444.06
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)33,3832.14
Tulsi Gabbard13,1990.85
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)6,4030.41
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)3,4550.22
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)2,0440.13
Cory Booker (withdrawn)1,3140.08
John Delaney (withdrawn)5730.04
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)5080.03
Write-in votes1,4790.09
Uncommitted6,4500.41
Total1,558,776100%89

Results by county

2020 Washington Democratic primary(results per county)[22]
CountyJoe BidenBernie SandersElizabeth WarrenMichael BloombergPete ButtigiegAmy KlobucharTulsi GabbardAndrew YangTom SteyerMichael BennetCory BookerJohn DelaneyDeval PatrickUncommittedTotal write-insTotal votes cast
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Adams31534.3132235.08606.5413114.27262.83242.61111.2070.7660.6530.330050.5410.1170.7600918
Asotin1,14839.7073025.242037.0241414.321776.12913.15411.42200.69190.6640.1440.1430.1020.07280.9780.282,892
Benton9,00338.957,45832.271,6547.162,32910.081,1655.046192.683431.481210.52850.37410.18310.13200.09100.041670.72670.2923,113
Chelan4,81338.414,19233.469807.821,1719.356635.293592.871341.07500.40470.38290.23120.1030.0250.04640.5180.0612,530
Clallam7,25538.915,58829.971,7899.601,91010.249214.946323.392201.18650.35650.35310.17170.09100.0580.041140.61190.1018,644
Clark32,52537.7330,34135.206,7177.798,2969.624,3325.031,8012.098631.003700.432500.291370.16660.08330.04360.043230.371100.1386,200
Columbia19037.9213526.95346.796913.77265.19234.5981.6020.4020.4020.4020.4010.200040.8030.60501
Cowlitz6,45939.844,92430.371,0616.542,09112.907474.613392.091861.15930.57840.52470.29110.07100.06150.091200.74250.1516,212
Douglas1,90540.581,54632.942886.1448510.332334.961042.22491.04230.49150.32110.2370.1540.0910.02190.4040.094,694
Ferry30631.7434736.00757.7812412.86505.19313.22141.4530.3100000010.1020.21111.1400964
Franklin2,47734.932,86540.403995.6372810.272543.581442.03791.11390.55210.30270.3890.13110.1630.04310.4450.077,092
Garfield10740.236223.31269.773011.28207.52134.8941.500020.7510.380000000010.38266
Grant2,27633.342,28533.474386.4295113.933815.582133.12911.33340.50350.51230.34170.2540.0620.03590.86170.256,826
Grays Harbor4,09735.273,86533.278537.341,49512.876325.443052.631110.96530.46590.51240.21130.1190.0850.04740.64210.1811,616
Island8,39440.206,24629.911,9919.531,8738.971,0825.187503.592331.12690.33600.29170.08130.06100.0580.041150.55200.1020,881
Jefferson5,08636.825,16337.381,46910.649306.734743.433862.791140.83310.22270.20110.08110.0860.0450.04850.62140.1013,812
King235,65538.26232,57537.7667,09610.8936,9786.0021,2783.4512,1301.973,7010.602,3700.388140.135600.094590.071280.021490.021,5450.254240.07615,862
Kitsap23,99838.9620,02932.525,7139.285,3888.753,1715.151,7152.785940.962580.421770.29650.11450.07190.03220.043410.55590.1061,594
Kittitas2,56134.162,88338.466678.905977.963284.382242.991071.43360.48210.28130.17110.1540.0530.04400.5320.037,497
Klickitat1,47535.501,52636.733568.573458.302044.911142.74451.08130.31180.4350.1250.1250.1210.02380.9150.124,155
Lewis3,51235.663,45335.067197.301,12011.374884.952162.191131.15390.40370.38210.21140.14120.1250.05860.87140.149,849
Lincoln41436.3229525.88837.2818316.05756.58393.42242.1150.4430.2640.3510.090000121.0520.181,140
Mason4,61338.203,89232.238457.001,44211.946185.123072.541351.12390.32600.50200.17100.0840.0330.02730.60150.1212,076
Okanogan1,99633.392,32738.935649.435449.102203.681312.19621.04270.45100.17170.2880.1330.0520.03540.90130.225,978
Pacific1,82638.001,43329.824048.4158912.262695.601192.48470.98240.50180.37110.2360.1250.1010.02481.0050.104,805
Pend Oreille68438.5656031.571015.6920811.72975.47422.37221.24100.56130.7340.2320.1110.0620.11231.3050.281,774
Pierce61,09740.2354,38535.8110,9387.2013,3408.785,8563.862,4891.641,4010.926710.443500.232320.151430.09620.04530.036900.451670.11151,874
San Juan2,63335.722,78037.7187411.864225.723054.142112.86791.07160.22140.1950.0740.0530.0430.04230.31007,372
Skagit10,14539.368,51433.032,0908.112,3719.201,2274.767602.952741.06820.32710.28410.16230.0990.0380.031290.50320.1225,776
Skamania82237.8379436.541647.551878.61863.96602.76311.4380.3710.0510.050020.0900120.5550.232,173
Snohomish64,87139.6459,77936.5212,6427.7212,7187.776,5804.023,1021.901,5930.977110.433640.222330.141110.07630.04640.046640.411720.11163,667
Spokane30,61835.6829,75034.676,5207.609,88011.514,5815.342,0012.338280.963900.452520.291150.131040.12460.05230.035960.691020.1285,806
Stevens1,95435.951,73731.953947.2569312.752955.431723.16611.12210.39250.46150.2880.1580.1530.06370.68130.245,436
Thurston23,35035.6924,83337.956,1849.455,0727.752,7764.241,5832.425930.912840.431790.27760.12520.08240.04170.033510.54540.0865,428
Wahkiakum34538.3328531.67626.8910611.78495.44232.56111.2240.4410.1130.3310.11000070.7830.33900
Walla Walla3,54739.252,92532.378018.868349.233774.172933.241031.14450.50330.37210.2380.0940.0400450.50009,036
Whatcom18,75231.6827,29546.115,3549.043,1755.362,0683.491,1691.975720.972560.431150.19610.10550.09200.03310.052280.39420.0759,193
Whitman2,05030.093,04044.6372710.673835.622914.271442.11721.06370.54120.1850.0730.040060.09370.5450.076,812
Yakima8,12934.728,88037.931,3175.632,92812.519223.945052.162300.98770.33900.381080.46280.12210.0990.041500.64180.0823,412
Total591,40337.94570,03936.57142,6529.15122,5307.8663,3444.0633,3832.1413,1990.856,4030.413,4550.222,0440.131,3140.085730.045080.036,4500.411,4790.091,558,776

Analysis

Joe Biden won the Washington primary by a narrow 1.4 point margin, a regression for Bernie Sanders who in 2016 had beat Hillary Clinton in the state by a large 45 point margin in a caucus. Men made up 42% of the electorate, and Sanders won this group 41–28, while among women, who made up 58% of the electorate, Biden won 36–27.[23] Sanders ran most strongly among voters ages 18–44, as he won this group 59–16. In contrast, Biden won among voters over the age of 45, 39–23.[23]

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Washington Election Results 2020 . March 15, 2020 . en-us.
  2. Web site: Washington state voters set to choose presidential contender in Tuesday primary . 9 March 2020 . 17 March 2020 . Matt Lorch . KCPQ.
  3. Web site: Biden narrowly wins Washington primary. cbsnews.com. en. 2022-10-18. 2020-03-17.
  4. Web site: Putnam. Josh. The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar. Frontloading HQ. May 31, 2016. June 23, 2019.
  5. Web site: Putnam. Josh. The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar. Frontloading HQ. June 23, 2019.
  6. News: Gov. Inslee signs bill moving presidential primary up to March. Associated Press. KING. March 14, 2019. June 23, 2019.
  7. News: La Corte. Rachel. Washington Democrats to use results of presidential primary. The Spokesman-Review. April 7, 2019. June 23, 2019.
  8. Web site: Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses. The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. March 19, 2022.
  9. Web site: Official Certification of Candidates . Washington Secretary of State.
  10. https://www.270towin.com/2020-democratic-nomination/washington-primary 270 to Win
  11. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/wa/washington_democratic_primary-7005.html RealClear Politics
  12. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/washington/ FiveThirtyEight
  13. https://swayable.com/insights/democratic-primaries-2020-mini-tuesday-polling Swayable
  14. https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2020/3/9/biden-ahead-mi-id Data for Progress
  15. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=017c2b2d-c3b9-4315-9f9d-874cd64ba945 Survey USA/KING-TV
  16. https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2020/3/7/narrow-lead-for-biden-in-washington Data for Progress
  17. https://crosscut.com/sites/default/files/files/crosscutelway0220.pdf Elway Research/Cascade Public Media
  18. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=e50342d9-ba38-4d41-87e7-9f432c9980a8 Survey USA/KING-TV
  19. https://247wallst.com/special-report/2019/08/07/24-7-wall-st-zogby-analytics-battleground-state-poll-biden-warren-and-sanders-neck-and-neck-in-washington-state/ Zogby Analytics
  20. Web site: March 10, 2020 Presidential Primary Results – Statewide Results. March 27, 2020. Washington Secretary of State. live. https://web.archive.org/web/20200331041607/https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20200310/export/20200310_Congressional.csv. March 31, 2020. March 31, 2020.
  21. Web site: Associated Press Election Services - Delegate Tracker . . March 20, 2020.
  22. Web site: March 10, 2020 Presidential Primary Results – County Results. March 27, 2020. Washington Secretary of State. live. https://web.archive.org/web/20200331042233/https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20200310/export/20200310_AllCounties.csv. March 31, 2020. April 2, 2020.
  23. News: Washington Polls: Who Different Groups Supported. en-US. The New York Times. June 24, 2020 . 2020-08-17. 0362-4331.