2020 United States presidential election in Oregon explained

See main article: 2020 United States presidential election.

Election Name:	2020 United States presidential election in Oregon
Country:	Oregon
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
College Voted:	yes
Previous Election:	2016 United States presidential election in Oregon
Previous Year:	2016
Election Date:	November 3, 2020
Next Election:	2024 United States presidential election in Oregon
Next Year:	2024
Turnout:	81.97% (of registered voters)
Image1:	Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Joe Biden
Party1:	Democratic Party (United States)
Alliance1:	Independent Party
Home State1:	Delaware
Running Mate1:	Kamala Harris
Electoral Vote1:	7
Popular Vote1:	1,340,383
Percentage1:	56.45%
Nominee2:	Donald Trump
Party2:	Republican Party (United States)
Alliance2:	-
Home State2:	Florida
Running Mate2:	Mike Pence
Electoral Vote2:	0
Popular Vote2:	958,448
Percentage2:	40.37%
President
Before Election:	Donald Trump
Before Party:	Republican Party (United States)
After Election:	Joe Biden
After Party:	Democratic Party (United States)

The 2020 United States presidential election in Oregon was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.^[1] Oregon voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Oregon has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

Biden won 56.45% of the vote to 40.37% for Trump. Biden received Oregon's seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[3] The state certified its election results on December 3.^[4]

Biden won Oregon by 16.08%, an increase from Hillary Clinton's 11% victory margin in 2016. No Republican presidential candidate has won Oregon since Ronald Reagan of neighboring California in 1984. Biden flipped two counties Trump won in 2016: Marion County, home to the state capital of Salem; and Deschutes County, anchored by fast-growing Bend. This marked the first time since 1964 that a Democrat won an outright majority in Deschutes County, although Democratic presidential nominees in 1976 and 1992 had carried the county with pluralities.^[5]

Biden was the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson in 1916 to win the presidency without carrying Columbia County and Tillamook County. Tillamook and Columbia counties were among a fraction of the more than 3,000 counties in the U.S. to vote twice for Barack Obama (in 2008 and 2012) and twice for Trump (in 2016 and 2020).^[6] Biden also made history as the highest vote earner in Oregon history, with 1,340,383 votes, and Biden was able to achieve stronger swings leftward in 28 of Oregon's 36 counties than Hillary Clinton in 2016. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, 33% of voters were secular and supported Biden by 80%.^[7]

Primary elections

The Oregon primary elections were held on Tuesday, May 19, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump ran unopposed in Oregon, receiving the state's 28 delegates to the Republican National Convention

Democratic primary

Though all Democrats but Joe Biden had withdrawn from the national race by the Oregon primary, four remained on the ballot. Biden won just under two-thirds of the vote. Bernie Sanders received just over 20% of the vote. Oregon's 71 delegates were allocated with 46 to Biden and 15 to Sanders.^[8]

Independent Party of Oregon primary

The Independent Party of Oregon cross-nominated Joe Biden after an online nonpartisan blanket primary.^[9]

Candidate	Votes	%
data-sort-name="Biden, Joe" style="text-align:left;"	Joe Biden	1,661	46.7
data-sort-name="Sanders, Bernie" style="text-align:left;"	Donald Trump	1,389	39.1
data-sort-name="Warren, Elizabeth" style="text-align:left;"	Bernie Sanders	1,227	34.5
Total	4,277	100.00

Candidate	Votes	%
data-sort-name="Biden, Joe" style="text-align:left;"	Joe Biden	392	55.13
data-sort-name="Sanders, Bernie" style="text-align:left;"	Donald Trump	280	39.38

Pacific Green Party primary

Howie Hawkins won the Oregon Green Party primary.

General election

Final predictions

Source	Ranking
The Cook Political Report^[10]
Inside Elections^[11]
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[12]
Politico^[13]
RCP^[14]
Niskanen^[15]
CNN^[16]
The Economist^[17]
CBS News^[18]
270towin^[19]
ABC News^[20]
NPR^[21]
NBC News^[22]
538^[23]

Polling

Graphical summary

Polls

Aggregate polls

Joe
Biden
! class="unsortable"

Donald Trump	Other/ Undecided	Margin
270 to Win^[24]	September 26 – October 17, 2020	October 20, 2020		58.0%	38.5%	3.5%		Biden +19.5
FiveThirtyEight^[25]	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020		58.7%	37.4%	3.9%		Biden +21.3
Average				58.4%	38.0%	3.7%		Biden +20.4

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Jo Jorgensen	Howie Hawkins	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios^[26]	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	3,543 (LV)	± 2.5%	39%		59%	–	–	–	–
Swayable^[27]	Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020	324 (LV)	± 7.3%	37%		60%	1%	1%	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	5,422 (LV)	–	38%		61%	–	–	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	2,109 (LV)	–	38%		61%	–	–	–	2%
Civiqs/Daily Kos^[28]	Sep 26–29, 2020	944 (LV)	± 3.5%	39%		56%	–	–	3%	2%
DHM Research^[29]	Sep 3–8, 2020	502 (LV)	± 4%	39%		51%	–	–	6%	4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	1,648 (LV)	–	38%		60%	–	–	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	1,890 (LV)	–	38%		61%	–	–	–	1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	872 (LV)	–	39%		59%	–	–	–	2%

Results

By county

County	Joe Biden Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
		%		%		%		%
	Baker		2,346		23.62%		7,352		74.02%		234		2.36%		-5,006		-50.40%		9,932
	Benton		35,827		67.86%		14,878		28.18%		2,094		3.96%		20,949		39.68%		52,799
	Clackamas		139,043		53.96%		110,509		42.89%		8,127		3.15%		28,534		11.07%		257,679
	Clatsop		12,916		54.02%		10,218		42.74%		776		3.24%		2,698		11.28%		23,910
	Columbia		13,835		42.94%		17,150		53.23%		1,236		3.83%		-3,315		-10.29%		32,221
	Coos		14,243		38.42%		21,829		58.88%		1,003		2.70%		-7,586		-20.46%		37,075
	Crook		3,801		24.61%		11,287		73.06%		360		2.33%		-7,486		-48.45%		15,448
	Curry		6,058		40.59%		8,484		56.84%		383		2.57%		-2,426		-16.25%		14,925
	Deschutes		65,962		52.67%		55,646		44.43%		3,626		2.90%		10,316		8.24%		125,234
	Douglas		19,160		29.78%		43,298		67.29%		1,891		2.93%		-24,138		-37.51%		64,349
	Gilliam		324		27.50%		834		70.80%		20		1.70%		-510		-43.30%		1,178
	Grant		929		20.21%		3,545		77.13%		122		2.66%		-2,616		-56.92%		4,596
	Harney		894		19.95%		3,475		77.55%		112		2.50%		-2,581		-57.60%		4,481
	Hood River		8,764		66.95%		3,955		30.21%		371		2.84%		4,809		36.74%		13,090
	Jackson		59,478		46.77%		63,869		50.23%		3,818		3.00%		-4,391		-3.46%		127,165
	Jefferson		4,393		36.88%		7,189		60.35%		331		2.77%		-2,796		-23.47%		11,913
	Josephine		18,451		35.73%		31,751		61.48%		1,439		2.79%		-13,300		-25.75%		51,641
	Klamath		10,388		28.29%		25,308		68.91%		1,030		2.80%		-14,920		-40.62%		36,726
	Lake		792		18.15%		3,470		79.53%		101		2.32%		-2,678		-61.38%		4,363
	Lane		134,366		60.46%		80,336		36.15%		7,551		3.39%		54,030		24.31%		222,253
	Lincoln		17,385		56.58%		12,460		40.55%		881		2.87%		4,925		16.03%		30,726
	Linn		26,512		36.50%		43,486		59.87%		2,642		3.63%		-16,974		-23.37%		72,640
	Malheur		3,260		27.62%		8,187		69.36%		357		3.02%		-4,927		-41.74%		11,804
	Marion		80,872		48.86%		79,002		47.73%		5,660		3.41%		1,870		1.13%		165,534
	Morrow		1,371		26.79%		3,586		70.07%		161		3.14%		-2,215		-43.28%		5,118
	Multnomah		367,249		79.21%		82,995		17.90%		13,415		2.89%		284,254		61.31%		463,659
	Polk		22,917		47.46%		23,732		49.14%		1,642		3.40%		-815		-1.68%		48,291
	Sherman		260		21.52%		921		76.24%		27		2.24%		-661		-54.72%		1,208
	Tillamook		8,066		47.76%		8,354		49.47%		468		2.77%		-288		-1.71%		16,888
	Umatilla		10,707		32.41%		21,270		64.38%		1,061		3.21%		-10,563		-31.97%		33,038
	Union		4,254		28.47%		10,298		68.91%		392		2.62%		-6,044		-40.44%		14,944
	Wallowa		1,625		31.56%		3,404		66.11%		120		2.33%		-1,779		-34.55%		5,149
	Wasco		6,604		46.74%		7,035		49.79%		491		3.47%		-431		-3.05%		14,130
	Washington		209,940		65.54%		99,073		30.93%		11,313		3.53%		110,867		34.61%		320,326
	Wheeler		217		22.49%		711		73.68%		37		3.83%		-494		-51.19%		965
	Yamhill		27,174		46.12%		29,551		50.15%		2,198		3.73%		-2,377		-4.03%		58,923
Total	1,340,383	56.45%	958,448	40.37%	75,490	3.18%	381,935	16.08%	2,374,321

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Deschutes (largest city: Bend)
• Marion (largest city: Salem)

By congressional district

Biden won 4 out of 5 congressional districts in Oregon.

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
		34.1%	63.3%		Suzanne Bonamici
		55.6%	42.1%		Cliff Bentz
		23.5%	74.3%		Earl Blumenauer
		46.7%	50.7%		Peter DeFazio
		43.9%	53.6%		Kurt Schrader

Analysis

Edison exit polls

2020 presidential election in Oregon by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)^[30] ^[31]
Demographic subgroup	Biden	Trump	% oftotal vote
Total vote	56.45	40.37	100
Ideology
Liberals	96	4	33
Moderates	66	30	37
Conservatives	8	92	30
Party
Democrats	98	2	36
Republicans	7	93	24
Independents	52	43	41
Gender
Men	51	45	50
Women	63	35	50
Race/ethnicity
White	58	39	85
Non-white	–	–	15
Age
18–29 years old	–	–	17
30–44 years old	62	34	24
45–64 years old	52	48	35
65 and older	54	44	24
Sexual orientation
LGBT	–	–	8
Not LGBT	55	42	92
Education
High school or less	38	62	24
Some college education	57	37	34
Associate degree	57	41	12
Bachelor's degree	67	30	17
Postgraduate degree	78	18	13
Region
Multnomah County	–	–	20
Portland suburbs	63	35	26
Willamette/Northwest	51	45	29
East/South	39	57	25
Area type
Urban	75	23	32
Suburban	52	44	50
Rural	37	58	18
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago	27	71	41
Worse than four years ago	84	9	17
About the same	73	24	42

See also

• United States presidential elections in Oregon
• Presidency of Joe Biden
• 2020 United States presidential election
• 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2020 United States elections

External links

• • • Web site: League of Women Voters of Oregon . (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)

Notes and References

1. News: US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?. https://web.archive.org/web/20180802011326/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html . 2018-08-02 . limited . live. Kelly. Ben. August 13, 2018. The Independent. January 3, 2019.
2. Web site: Distribution of Electoral Votes. National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. December 24, 2020.
3. Web site: Distribution of Electoral Votes. National Archives and Records Administration. January 3, 2019.
4. News: Oregon secretary of state certifies election results . December 5, 2020 . kgw.com.
5. News: Warner. Gary. November 20, 2020. Deschutes joins Oregon's blue hue in presidential voting, and other voting stats. The Bulletin. August 3, 2021.
6. Web site: Warner . Gary A. . A turbulent first week of 2022 election year . 2022-08-04 . Oregon Capital Insider . January 5, 2022 . en.
7. News: 2020-11-03. Oregon Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted. en-US. The New York Times. 2020-11-17. 0362-4331.
8. News: Biden, Trump win presidential primaries in Oregon. Associated Press. KPTV. May 19, 2020.
9. Web site: RESULTS AND DATA 2020 OREGON PRIMARY Independent Party. 2020-07-10. Pers. en.
10. Web site: 2020 POTUS Race ratings. The Cook Political Report. en. 2019-05-21.
11. Web site: POTUS Ratings Inside Elections. insideelections.com. 2019-05-21.
12. Web site: Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President. crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. 2019-05-21.
13. Web site: 2020 Election Forecast. November 19, 2019 . Politico.
14. Web site: Battle for White House. April 19, 2019 . RCP.
15. https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions
16. Web site: David Chalian . Terence Burlij. Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020. 2020-06-16. CNN. June 11, 2020 .
17. News: Forecasting the US elections . The Economist . July 7, 2020.
18. Web site: 2020 Election Battleground Tracker. CBS News. July 12, 2020. July 13, 2020.
19. Web site: 2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map. 270 to Win.
20. Web site: ABC News Race Ratings. CBS News. July 24, 2020. July 24, 2020.
21. Web site: 2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes. 2020-08-03. NPR.org. August 3, 2020 . en. Montanaro . Domenico .
22. Web site: Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten. 2020-08-06. NBC News. August 6, 2020 . en.
23. Web site: 2020 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . August 12, 2020 . August 14, 2020.
24. https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/oregon/ 270 to Win
25. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/oregon/ FiveThirtyEight
26. https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference SurveyMonkey/Axios
27. https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-small.html Swayable
28. https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_OR_banner_book_2020_09_7b4xvh.pdf Civiqs/Daily Kos
29. https://www.dhmresearch.com/joe-biden-leads-by-12-points-among-oregon-voters-worry-about-covid-19-spread-remains-high/ DHM Research
30. Web site: Oregon 2020 President exit polls.. 2020-12-28. www.cnn.com. en.
31. News: Oregon Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted.. The New York Times . November 3, 2020 . 2020-12-28. en.