2020 United States Senate election in Illinois explained

2020 United States Senate election in Illinois should not be confused with 2020 Illinois Senate election.

Election Name:2020 United States Senate election in Illinois
Country:Illinois
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States Senate election in Illinois
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2026 United States Senate election in Illinois
Next Year:2026
Turnout:72.14%
Election Date:November 3, 2020
Image1:File:Dick Durbin 117th Congress portrait (1) (tight crop).jpeg
Nominee1:Dick Durbin
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:3,278,930
Percentage1:54.93%
Nominee2:Mark Curran
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:2,319,870
Percentage2:38.87%
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Dick Durbin
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Dick Durbin
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2020 United States Senate election in Illinois was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Illinois, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections and the Illinois Fair Tax. Incumbent Democratic Senator Dick Durbin, who had been Senate Minority Whip since 2015, won reelection to a fifth term in office, defeating Republican nominee Mark Curran.

Durbin decisively won re-election with 54.9% of the vote. Key to Durbin's landslide victory was the heavily populated and very Democratic Cook County home of Chicago, which he won by around 560,000 votes. Durbin also did well in the suburban, often called collar counties of Chicago, winning all of them except McHenry County. Durbin did well in Champaign County, home of the University of Illinois, and St. Clair County, where his birth home of East St. Louis is located. Nevertheless, Curran did well in most rural areas of the state, including winning rural Alexander County where a Republican had not won since 1972. Durbin became the first senator from Illinois to be elected five consecutive times since senators began being elected by popular vote in 1913.[1]

Election information

The primaries and general elections coincide with those for federal (president and House) and those for state offices.

Turnout

For the primaries, turnout was 28.36% with 2,279,439 votes cast.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

Declined

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Other candidates

A legal ruling, taking note of the COVID-19 pandemic in Illinois, allowed the Libertarian and Green Parties to have their selected candidate on the ballot without the normal signature requirements, as they each ran a candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016.[20]

Constitution Party

Removed from Ballot

Green Party

Nominee

Independent American Party

Withdrawn

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Willie Wilson Party

Declared

Independents

Declared

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[37] October 29, 2020
align=left Inside Elections[38] October 28, 2020
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[40] October 30, 2020
Politico[41] November 2, 2020
RCP[42] October 23, 2020
DDHQ[43] November 3, 2020
538[44] November 2, 2020
Economist[45] November 2, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Dick
Durbin (D)		Mark
Curran (R)		Willie
Wilson (I)		OtherUndecided
Research Co.October 31 – November 1, 2020450 (LV)± 4.6%52%30%–4%14%
Victory ResearchOctober 26 – November 1, 20201,208 (LV)± 2.8%51%26%15%5%4%
with Dick Durbin, generic Republican and Willie Wilson
with Dick Durbin and Willie Wilson

Results

Durbin also kept his landslide winning streak by winning with at least a ten-point margin. Durbin was sworn in on January 3, 2021, for his fifth term, which expires on January 3, 2027.

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Durbin won 12 of the 18 congressional districts, with the remaining 6 going to Curran. Each candidate won a district that elected a representative of the other party.[46]

DistrictDurbinCurranRepresentative
64%22%Bobby Rush
68%18%Robin Kelly
55%37%Dan Lipinski
Marie Newman
78%14%Chuy García
69%25%Mike Quigley
51%44%Sean Casten
75%12%Danny Davis
58%37%Raja Krishnamoorthi
68%27%Jan Schakowsky
60%36%Brad Schneider
59%35%Bill Foster
44%53%Mike Bost
47.7%48.3%Rodney Davis
47%48%Lauren Underwood
29%68%Mary Miller
41%55%Adam Kinzinger
49%48%Cheri Bustos
37%60%Darin LaHood

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: 2020-11-03. Illinois U.S. Senate Election Results. en-US. The New York Times. 2021-10-03. 0362-4331.
  2. Web site: Voter Turnout . https://web.archive.org/web/20210530142655/https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/VoterTurnout.aspx . dead . May 30, 2021 . www.elections.il.gov . Illinois State Board of Elections . 22 March 2020 .
  3. Web site: Dick Durbin: I'm running for reelection in 2020. Greenwood. Max. 3 January 2019. The Hill. 25 July 2019.
  4. chooselove2020. 1201895859228741632. While our campaign to unseat Dick Durbin has come to an end, the work of our grassroots movement of economic, political, racial & environmental justice is never over. I will doing everything I can to help Bernie win & my fellow down ballot progressives in IL. Not me, us!. December 3, 2019. December 18, 2019.
  5. Web site: With just $9.72 in the bank, Democratic lawmaker from Naperville officially ends long-shot primary challenge to Sen. Dick Durbin. Pearson. Rick. 16 July 2019. Chicago Tribune. 25 July 2019.
  6. Web site: It's Not Too Early to Start Looking at the 2020 Senate Map. Gonzales. Nathan. 7 November 2018. Roll Call. 18 November 2018.
  7. Web site: Bustos has three challengers; McCombie running again. Hayden. Sarah. 18 September 2019. Quad-City Times. 1 March 2020.
  8. Web site: Madigan stuns Illinois by announcing she won't seek reelection. Korecki. Natasha. 15 September 2017. Politico. 9 November 2018.
  9. Web site: Report: Former Lake County Sheriff Mark Curran to run for U.S. Senate . Daily Herald . August 9, 2019 . August 7, 2019.
  10. Web site: Bustos . Joseph . These candidates have announced they are running for office in the 2020 election . Belleville News-Democrat . November 25, 2019 . September 5, 2019.
  11. Web site: Cox . Benjamin . Crowded Race for Illinois U.S. Senate Seat Shaping Up for 2020 . WLDS AM . August 9, 2019 . August 8, 2019.
  12. Web site: Former candidate for governor Robert Marshall challenging Durbin for U.S. Senator. Schwaller. Kevin. 9 July 2019. WMBD-TV. 25 July 2019.
  13. News: Sfondeles. Tina. Pritzker wins key Dem nod for gov, vows victory 'up and down' ticket. August 11, 2017. Chicago Sun Times. Chicago, Illinois. August 21, 2017. August 21, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170821220506/http://chicago.suntimes.com/news/j-b-pritzker-gets-cook-county-democratics-endorsement-for-governor/. dead.
  14. Web site: LIST OF PERSONS WHO FILED A DECLARATION OF INTENT TO BE A WRITE-IN CANDIDATE . May 15, 2020 . January 16, 2020 . Kane County Clerk.
  15. Web site: 'I snookered them': Illinois Nazi candidate creates GOP dumpster fire. Politico.com. December 29, 2018.
  16. Web site: Tarter, of Springfield, enters U.S. Senate race. Schoenburg. Bernard. 12 August 2019. The State Journal-Register. 2 September 2019.
  17. Web site: May 15, 2020 . IL US Senate – R Primary . Our Campaigns . April 17, 2020.
  18. Web site: 2020 Senate At-A-Glance . Cook Political Report . 9 January 2019.
  19. News: Vlahos . Nick . U.S. Rep. Darin LaHood says he's running for re-election in 2020 . The State Journal-Register . August 14, 2019 . August 22, 2019.
  20. Web site: COVID-19 updates: Filing deadline changed . The State Journal-Register . 19 May 2020 . en.
  21. Web site: ILLINOIS. Politics1 . July 5, 2020 .
  22. Web site: Illinois 2020 Senate Candidate List . August 17, 2020 . October 9, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20201009155741/https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/CandidateList.aspx?ElectionID=LGvwekppoCc%3d&Status=WxSrSjWGv%2fOCaNUhIZNSgs2tBUWWCOJnltpXj%2fo7Mzt%2b%2bpNFK7%2bcDA%3d%3d&BallotGroup=hfpTni6cbAI%3d&QueryType=CcQXm4UCsmFqbZ2ZLinavFuDxkx55TTO&T=637325719942996842 . dead .
  23. Web site: Candidates . Illinois Green Party . 8 April 2020.
  24. Web site: The Green Papers: Illinois 2019 General Election. The Green Papers . July 5, 2020 . May 14, 2020 .
  25. Web site: The Green Papers: Illinois 2020 General Election . The Green Papers . July 5, 2020 . July 3, 2020.
  26. Web site: Current Candidates – Libertarian Party of Illinois . www.lpillinois.org . 8 April 2020 . April 8, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200408022403/https://www.lpillinois.org/campaigns/current-candidates/ . dead .
  27. Web site: Leonard . Jake . Malouf set to seek Libertarian nomination for U.S. Senate at annual convention in East Peoria . Heartland Newsfeed . 8 April 2020 . 23 January 2020.
  28. Web site: Danny Malouf . Ballotpedia . 12 April 2020 . en.
  29. Web site: Ortiz . Alex . Crystal Lake Republican aims to challenge Underwood in 2020 . www.nwherald.com . 12 April 2020 . en . 4 March 2019 . April 12, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200412224359/https://www.nwherald.com/2019/03/02/crystal-lake-republican-aims-to-challenge-underwood-in-2020/as09kju/ . dead .
  30. Web site: Hegarty . Erin . Woodstock-based Republican says he'll run for Underwood's Congressional seat in 2020 . chicagotribune.com . 12 April 2020 . 26 February 2019.
  31. Web site: Chicago businessman Willie Wilson says he'll run as an independent to challenge U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin in 2020. Donovan. Lisa. chicagotribune.com. 2019-08-30.
  32. Web site: News . October 12, 2020 . September 10, 2020 . Kevin Kelly for U.S. Senate . October 13, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20201013054835/https://www.keelyforsenate.com/news . dead .
  33. Web site: ILLINOIS . October 13, 2020 . September 30, 2020 . PoliticsOne.
  34. Web site: Schaal, Albert A. . Our Campaigns . October 12, 2020 . October 3, 2020.
  35. Web site: Write-in candidate filing ends. WCMY 1430 AM . September 19, 2020 . September 4, 2020 . Rick . Kosho.
  36. Web site: Open Secrets . Illinois Senate 2020 Race. May 15, 2020 .
  37. Web site: 2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020 . The Cook Political Report . March 11, 2021.
  38. Web site: 2020 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . March 11, 2021.
  39. Web site: 2020 Senate race ratings . Sabato's Crystal Ball . March 12, 2021.
  40. Web site: 2020 Senate Race Ratings . Daily Kos Elections. March 13, 2021.
  41. Web site: 2020 Election Forecast. November 19, 2019 . Politico.
  42. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2020. October 23, 2020 . RCP.
  43. Web site: September 2, 2020 . 2020 Senate Elections Model. September 2, 2020 . Decision Desk HQ.
  44. Web site: Silver . Nate . Forecasting the race for the Senate . . September 18, 2020 . September 18, 2020.
  45. Web site: November 2, 2020 . Forecasting the US elections . March 13, 2021 . The Economist.
  46. Web site: DRA 2020. Daves Redistricting. August 18, 2024.

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