2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma explained

Election Name:	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
Country:	Oklahoma
Type:	legislative
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
Next Year:	2022
Seats For Election:	All 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives
Election Date:	November 3, 2020
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:	4
Seats1:	5
Seat Change1:	1
Popular Vote1:	1,044,175
Percentage1:	67.31%
Swing1:	5.34%
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:	1
Seats2:	0
Seat Change2:	1
Popular Vote2:	475,731
Percentage2:	30.66%
Swing2:	5.69%

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Overview

scope=col rowspan=3	District	scope=col colspan=2	Republican	scope=col colspan=2	Democratic	scope=col colspan=2	Others	scope=col colspan=2	Total	scope=col rowspan=3	Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"	!	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"	!	scope=col colspan=2	!	scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	% !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	% !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	% !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	%
	213,700	63.70%	109,641	32.68%	12,130	3.62%	335,471	100.0%	Republican hold
	216,511	75.04%	63,472	22.00%	8,544	2.96%	288,527	100.0%	Republican hold
	242,677	78.49%	66,501	21.51%	0	0.00%	309,178	100.0%	Republican hold
	213,096	67.79%	90,459	28.78%	10,803	3.44%	314,358	100.0%	Republican hold
	158,191	52.06%	145,658	47.94%	0	0.00%	303,849	100.0%	Republican gain
Total	1,044,175	67.31%	475,731	30.66%	31,477	2.03%	1,551,383	100.0%

District 1

Election Name:	2020 Oklahoma's 1st congressional district election
Country:	Oklahoma
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma#District 1
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma#District 1
Next Year:	2022
Image1:	File:Rep. Kevin Hern official photo, 116th congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Kevin Hern
Party1:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	213,700
Percentage1:	63.7%
Nominee2:	Kojo Asamoa-Caesar
Party2:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	109,641
Percentage2:	32.7%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Kevin Hern
Before Party:	Republican Party (US)
After Election:	Kevin Hern
After Party:	Republican Party (US)
Map Size:	225x225px

See also: Oklahoma's 1st congressional district. The 1st district was located in the Tulsa metropolitan area and included Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington counties. The incumbent Republican, Kevin Hern, was elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2018. He won reelection with 63.7% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kevin Hern, incumbent U.S. Representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kojo Asamoa-Caesar, entrepreneur^[1]

Eliminated in primary

• Mark A. Keeter, businessman^[2]

Primary results

Independents

Declared

• Evelyn L. Rogers, perennial candidate^[2]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[3]		July 2, 2020
align=left	Inside Elections^[4]		June 2, 2020
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[5]		July 2, 2020
Politico^[6]		April 19, 2020
Daily Kos^[7]		June 3, 2020
RCP^[8]		June 9, 2020
Niskanen^[9]		June 7, 2020

Results

District 2

Election Name:	2020 Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district election
Country:	Oklahoma
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma#District 2
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma#District 2
Next Year:	2022
Image1:	File:Markwayne Mullin official photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Markwayne Mullin
Party1:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	216,511
Percentage1:	75.0%
Nominee2:	Danyell Lanier
Party2:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	63,472
Percentage2:	22.0%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Markwayne Mullin
Before Party:	Republican Party (US)
After Election:	Markwayne Mullin
After Party:	Republican Party (US)
Map Size:	225x225px

See also: Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district encompassed eastern Oklahoma including Choctaw Country, Muskogee and Tahlequah. The incumbent was Republican Markwayne Mullin, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2018.^[10] He was reelected with 75% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Markwayne Mullin, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Rhonda Hopkins, 2016 Republican candidate for District 86 of the Oklahoma House of Representatives^[2]
• Joseph Silk, state senator^[11]

Primary results

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Danyell Lanier, project analyst^[2]

Libertarian primary

Declared

• Richie Castaldo, Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district in 2018^[2]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report		July 2, 2020
align=left	Inside Elections		June 2, 2020
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		July 2, 2020
Politico		April 19, 2020
Daily Kos		June 3, 2020
RCP		June 9, 2020
Niskanen		June 7, 2020

Results

District 3

Election Name:	2020 Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district election
Country:	Oklahoma
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma#District 3
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma#District 3
Next Year:	2022
Image1:	File:Frank Lucas (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Frank Lucas
Party1:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	242,677
Percentage1:	78.5%
Nominee2:	Zoe Midyett
Party2:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	66,501
Percentage2:	21.5%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Frank Lucas
Before Party:	Republican Party (US)
After Election:	Frank Lucas
After Party:	Republican Party (US)
Map Size:	225x225px

See also: Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district. The 3rd district encompassed Northwestern Oklahoma, taking in the Oklahoma Panhandle, Ponca City, Pawnee, Stillwater, as well as the Osage Nation. The incumbent was Republican Frank Lucas, who was re-elected with 73.9% of the vote in 2018.^[10] He was reelected with 78.5% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Frank D. Lucas, incumbent U.S. Representative

Withdrew

• Joshua Jantz^[12]

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Zoe Midyett, rancher^[13]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report		July 2, 2020
align=left	Inside Elections		June 2, 2020
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		July 2, 2020
Politico		April 19, 2020
Daily Kos		June 3, 2020
RCP		June 9, 2020
Niskanen		June 7, 2020

Results

District 4

Election Name:	2020 Oklahoma's 4th congressional district election
Country:	Oklahoma
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma#District 4
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma#District 4
Next Year:	2022
Image1:	File:Rep-Tom-Cole-117thCong (cropped).jpeg
Nominee1:	Tom Cole
Party1:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	213,096
Percentage1:	67.8%
Nominee2:	Mary Brannon
Party2:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	90,459
Percentage2:	28.8%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Tom Cole
Before Party:	Republican Party (US)
After Election:	Tom Cole
After Party:	Republican Party (US)
Map Size:	225x225px

See also: Oklahoma's 4th congressional district. The 4th district was located in South Central Oklahoma and took in parts of the Oklahoma City suburbs, including in Canadian County and Cleveland County. The incumbent was Republican Tom Cole, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2018.^[10] He was reelected with 67.8% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Tom Cole, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Gilbert O. Sanders, mental health professional^[2]
• Trevor Sipes, businessman^[2]
• James Taylor, teacher and candidate for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016 and 2018^[2]

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mary Brannon, retired educator and nominee for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2018^[2]

Eliminated in primary

• John D. Argo, metalworker^[2]
• David R. Slemmons, retired librarian^[2]

Withdrew

• Wyndi Brown, activist and entrepreneur^[14]
• Wesley Forbes, energy program assistant^[15]

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Declared

• Bob White, Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report		July 2, 2020
align=left	Inside Elections		June 2, 2020
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		July 2, 2020
Politico		April 19, 2020
Daily Kos		June 3, 2020
RCP		June 9, 2020
Niskanen		June 7, 2020

Results

District 5

Election Name:	2020 Oklahoma's 5th congressional district election
Country:	Oklahoma
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma#District 5
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma#District 5
Next Year:	2022
Image1:	File:Stephanie Bice 117th U.S Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Stephanie Bice
Party1:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	158,191
Percentage1:	52.1%
Nominee2:	Kendra Horn
Party2:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	145,658
Percentage2:	47.9%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Kendra Horn
Before Party:	Democratic Party (US)
After Election:	Stephanie Bice
After Party:	Republican Party (US)
Map Size:	225x225px

See also: Oklahoma's 5th congressional district. The 5th district was based in Oklahoma City and its surrounding suburbs. The incumbent was Democrat Kendra Horn, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.7% of the vote in 2018.^[10] She lost reelection to Republican challenger Stephanie Bice, who received 52.1% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kendra Horn, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Tom Guild, perennial candidate^[16]

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Stephanie Bice, Assistant Majority Floor Leader of the Oklahoma State Senate^[17]

Eliminated in runoff

• Terry Neese, entrepreneur and nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 1990^[18]

Eliminated in primary

• Michael Ballard, veteran^[19]
• Janet Barresi, former Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction^[20]
• David Hill, businessman^[20]
• Shelli Landon, singer^[21]
• Jake A. Merrick, businessman and former Southwestern Christian University professor of philosophy and theology^[22]
• Charles Tuffy Pringle, real estate broker^[23]
• Miles Rahimi, U.S. Navy veteran and community organizer^[24]

Withdrew

• Dan Belcher, entrepreneur^[25]
• David Greene, former horse stall cleaner^[26]
• Merideth VanSant, businesswoman^[27]

Declined

• Kevin Calvey, Oklahoma County commissioner^{[28] [29]}
• Mick Cornett, former mayor of Oklahoma City and candidate for Governor of Oklahoma in 2018^[30]
• Carol Hefner, Donald Trump's 2016 Oklahoma campaign manager^[28]
• Bob Mills, businessman and co-chair for Donald Trump's 2016 Campaign in Oklahoma^[28]
• Steve Russell, former U.S. representative^[31]
• Greg Treat, president pro tempore of the Oklahoma Senate^[32]

Runoff results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[33]		September 11, 2020
align=left	Inside Elections^[34]		September 4, 2020
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[35]		November 2, 2020
Politico^[36]		September 9, 2020
Daily Kos^[37]		April 29, 2020
RCP^[38]		September 14, 2020
Niskanen		June 7, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kendra Horn (D)	Stephanie Bice (R)	Other/ Undecided
Change Research	October 29 – November 1, 2020	607 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	47%	7%
Amber Integrated	October 22–25, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.38%	44%		49%	8%
Sooner Poll	October 15–20, 2020	943 (LV)	–		49%	47%	4%
Cole, Snodgrass & Associates/SoonerPoll	September 25–30, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.3%	45%		49%	6%
SoonerPoll	September 2–10, 2020	318 (LV)	±  5.49%	44%		45%	11%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)	August 31 – September 3, 2020	400 (LV)	±  4.9%		52%	44%	4%
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)	August 5–9, 2020	500 (LV)	±  4.4%		51%	46%	11%

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

with Generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kendra Horn (D)	Generic Republican	Undecided
Amber Integrated	June 1–4, 2020	95 (LV)	–	align=center	42%	41%	18%
Amber Integrated	March 5–8, 2020	89 (LV)	–	40%	align=center	44%	16%
Amber Integrated (R)	December 18–20, 2019	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	40%	align=center	45%	15%

with Generic Opponent

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican

Results

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

• • • Web site: League of Women Voters of Oklahoma . (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• Kojo Asamoa-Caesar (D) for Congress
• Kevin Hern (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Richie Castaldo (L) for Congress
• Markwayne Mullin (R) for Congress
• Danyell Lanier (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

• Frank Lucas (R) for Congress
• Zoe Midyett (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

• Mary Brannon (D) for Congress
• Tom Cole (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates

• Stephanie Bice (R) for Congress
• Kendra Horn (D) for Congress

Notes and References

1. News: Kojo Asamoa-Caesar Announces Bid for Oklahoma's First Congressional District. The Black Wall Street Times. November 4, 2019. November 25, 2019.
2. Web site: Krehbiel . Randy . Congressional primaries include Democrats dueling for 1st District . Tulsa World . June 14, 2020.
3. Web site: 2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019 . The Cook Political Report . September 20, 2019.
4. Web site: 2020 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . October 3, 2019.
5. Web site: 2020 Senate race ratings . Sabato's Crystal Ball . August 28, 2019 . August 22, 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190822073139/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ . dead .
6. Web site: 2020 Election Forecast. November 19, 2019 . Politico.
7. Web site: Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020 . Daily Kos Elections. February 28, 2020.
8. Web site: Battle for White House. April 19, 2019 . RCP.
9. Web site: 2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections. April 28, 2020. Niskanen Center. May 1, 2020. June 21, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200621124503/https://www.niskanencenter.org/negative-partisanship-and-the-2020-congressional-elections/. dead.
10. Web site: Wasserman. David. Flinn. Ally. 2018 House Popular Vote Tracker. Cook Political Report. November 7, 2018. February 15, 2019.
11. Web site: Forman . Carmen . State senator Joseph Silk seeks to unseat Markwayne Mullin . The Oklahoman . October 14, 2019 . October 11, 2019.
12. Web site: Joshua Jantz - Unleash Freedom. Joshua Jantz.
13. Web site: Race shapes up for Garfield County sheriff . Enid News & Eagle . April 8, 2020.
14. Web site: Wyndi Brown for Congress – Oklahoma District 4. March 29, 2020. April 15, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200415124808/https://votewyndibrown.com/. dead.
15. Web site: Wesley Forbes for Congress. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20200223134858/https://www.wesleyforbesforcongress.com/. 2020-02-23. wesleyforbesforcongress.com.
16. Web site: Tom Guild, Progressive Democrat. March 19, 2020.
17. News: Casteel. Chris. Bice to challenge Horn for congressional seat. The Oklahoman. April 24, 2019. April 24, 2019.
18. News: Felder . Ben . Neese becomes second Republican to seek 5th District seat . April 25, 2019 . The Oklahoman . April 25, 2019.
19. News: Van Risseghem . David . Neese & Ballard Join Race For Congress . May 31, 2019 . Sooner Politics . April 27, 2019.
20. News: Number of Oklahoma Republicans seeking to unseat Horn grows. October 2, 2019. Associated Press. October 2, 2019.
21. Web site: Snyder . Dan . Meet the candidate: Shelli Landon (R-OK5) . FOX 25 . June 17, 2020 . June 18, 2020 . June 18, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200618165023/https://okcfox.com/news/election/meet-the-candidate-shelli-landon-r-ok5 . dead .
22. Web site: Metzer . Steve . GOP candidates criticize Horn, tout conservative values in Journal Record forum . The Journal Record . June 3, 2020.
23. Web site: Meet the candidate: Charles "Tuffy" Pringle (R-OK5). Fox 25. Snyder. Dan. June 18, 2020. August 13, 2020. August 13, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200813051427/https://okcfox.com/news/election/meet-the-candidate-charles-pringle-r-ok5. dead.
24. News: Casteel . Chris . GOP Hopefuls Speak To Crowd Eager To Reclaim Congressional Seat . February 23, 2020 . The Oklahoman . February 23, 2020 . September 13, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200913091006/https://oklahoman.com/article//gop-hopefuls-speak-to-crowd-eager-to-reclaim-congressional-seat . dead .
25. Web site: Home. Dan The Man for Congress. January 14, 2022. September 28, 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190928232413/http://danthemancongress.com/. dead.
26. Web site: Headquarters. Greene for Congress.
27. News: Staff . Edmond Sun . VanSant announces candidacy for 5th Congressional District . June 7, 2019 . The Edmond Sun . May 29, 2019 . June 7, 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190607172808/https://www.edmondsun.com/news/local_news/vansant-announces-candidacy-for-th-congressional-district/article_d60e6e5e-818c-11e9-ad82-0f182e1c4ea5.html . dead .
28. News: Riley. Patrick. Kendra Horn's first challenger steps into the ring.... The Lost Ogle. April 25, 2019. April 26, 2019.
29. News: Bruno. Jessica. War of words on display between sheriff, commissioner. Oklahoma News 4. April 24, 2019. April 26, 2019.
30. Web site: Casteel . Chris . Cornett won't seek congressional seat, sources say . The Oklahoman . October 10, 2019 . October 10, 2019.
31. News: Mutnick. Ally. Inside the Midterms' Biggest House Upset. National Journal. November 26, 2018. February 15, 2019.
32. News: Hermes. Grant. Rep. Horn Being Targeted In 2020 Republican Campaign Plan. KWTV. January 21, 2019. February 15, 2019.
33. Web site: 2020 House Race Ratings for September 11, 2020 . The Cook Political Report . September 11, 2020.
34. Web site: 2020 House Ratings . House Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 4, 2019.
35. Web site: 2020 House race ratings . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 3, 2020 . December 29, 2019 . October 29, 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20191029200637/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-house/ . dead .
36. Web site: 2020 Election Forecast. September 9, 2020 . Politico.
37. Web site: House Oklahoma - 05 . Daily Kos Elections. April 29, 2020.
38. Web site: Battle for House 2020. September 14, 2020 . RCP.