2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri explained

Election Name:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
Country:Missouri
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
Next Year:2022
Seats For Election:All 8 Missouri seats to the United States House of Representatives
Election Date:November 3, 2020
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:6
Seats1:6
Popular Vote1:1,723,982
Percentage1:57.98%
Swing1: 2.95%
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:2
Seats2:2
Popular Vote2:1,172,135
Percentage2:39.42%
Swing2: 3.09%
Map Size:275px

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 United States presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

The primaries were held on August 4.[1]

Overview

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
59,940 18.96% 249,087 78.78% 7,144 2.26% 316,171 100.0% Democratic hold
233,157 51.89% 204,540 45.52% 11,651 2.59% 449,348 100.0% Republican hold
282,866 69.44% 116,095 28.50% 8,387 2.06% 407,348 100.0% Republican hold
245,247 67.59% 107,635 29.66% 9,954 2.74% 362,836 100.0% Republican hold
135,934 38.57% 207,180 58.79% 9,316 2.64% 352,430 100.0% Democratic hold
258,709 67.06% 118,926 30.83% 8,144 2.11% 385,779 100.0% Republican hold
254,318 68.87% 98,111 26.57% 16,854 4.56% 369,283 100.0% Republican hold
253,811 76.86% 70,561 21.37% 5,854 1.77% 330,226 100.0% Republican hold
Total 1,723,982 57.98% 1,172,135 39.42% 77,304 2.60% 2,973,421 100.0%

District 1

Election Name:2020 Missouri's 1st congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 1
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 1
Next Year:2022
Image1:Cori Bush 117th U.S Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Cori Bush
Party1:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote1:249,087
Percentage1:78.8%
Nominee2:Anthony Rogers
Party2:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote2:59,940
Percentage2:19.0%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Lacy Clay
Before Party:Democratic Party (US)
After Election:Cori Bush
After Party:Democratic Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 1st congressional district. The 1st district is of the city of St. Louis and much of northern St. Louis County, including Florissant and University City. The incumbent is Democrat Lacy Clay, who was re-elected with 80.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[8] July 2, 2020
align=left Inside Elections[9] June 2, 2020
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] July 2, 2020
Politico[11] April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] June 3, 2020
RCP[13] June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] June 7, 2020

Results

District 2

Election Name:2020 Missouri's 2nd congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 2
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 2
Next Year:2022
Image1:File:Ann Wagner Headshot (002) (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Ann Wagner
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:233,157
Percentage1:51.9%
Nominee2:Jill Schupp
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:204,540
Percentage2:45.5%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Ann Wagner
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Ann Wagner
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district is based in eastern Missouri, and includes the southern and western suburbs of St. Louis, including Arnold, Town and Country, Wildwood, Chesterfield, and Oakville. The incumbent is Republican Ann Wagner, who was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Declined

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportAugust 6, 2020
align=left Inside Elections[19] October 28, 2020
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 2, 2020
Politico[20] October 11, 2020
Daily Kos[21] August 31, 2020
RCP[22] June 9, 2020
NiskanenJune 7, 2020
538[23] October 30, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ann
Wagner (R)
Jill
Schupp (D)
OtherUndecided
Change ResearchOctober 29 – November 2, 2020597 (LV)± 4.3%46%46%5%2%
YouGovSeptember 24 – October 7, 2020115 (LV)42%51%3%4%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) September 10–14, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%49%49%<1%2%
Public Policy Polling (D) August 13–14, 2020925 (V)42%45%14%
Remington Research Group/Missouri ScoutFebruary 19–20, 20201,360 (LV)± 2.6%50%40%10%
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Results

District 3

Election Name:2020 Missouri's 3rd congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 3
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 3
Next Year:2022
Image1:File:Blaine Luetkemeyer, Official Portrait, 116th congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Blaine Luetkemeyer
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:282,866
Percentage1:69.4%
Nominee2:Megan Rezabek
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:116,095
Percentage2:28.5%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Blaine Luetkemeyer
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Blaine Luetkemeyer
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 3rd congressional district. The third district encompasses east-central Missouri, taking in Jefferson City, Troy, O'Fallon, and Washington. The incumbent is Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who was re-elected with 65.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportJuly 2, 2020
align=left Inside ElectionsJune 2, 2020
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallJuly 2, 2020
PoliticoApril 19, 2020
Daily KosJune 3, 2020
RCPJune 9, 2020
NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Results

District 4

Election Name:2020 Missouri's 4th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 4
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 4
Next Year:2022
Image1:Vicky Hartzler official portrait 117th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Vicky Hartzler
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:245,247
Percentage1:67.6%
Nominee2:Lindsey Simmons
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:107,635
Percentage2:29.7%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Vicky Hartzler
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Vicky Hartzler
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 4th congressional district. The 4th district is based in predominantly rural west-central Missouri, taking in Columbia, Sedalia, Warrensburg, and Lebanon. The incumbent is Republican Vicky Hartzler, who was re-elected with 64.8% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportJuly 2, 2020
align=left Inside ElectionsJune 2, 2020
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallJuly 2, 2020
PoliticoApril 19, 2020
Daily KosJune 3, 2020
RCPJune 9, 2020
NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Results

District 5

Election Name:2020 Missouri's 5th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 5
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 5
Next Year:2022
Image1:File:Emanuel Cleaver official photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Emanuel Cleaver
Party1:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote1:207,180
Percentage1:58.8%
Nominee2:Ryan Derks
Party2:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote2:135,934
Percentage2:38.6%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Emanuel Cleaver
Before Party:Democratic Party (US)
After Election:Emanuel Cleaver
After Party:Democratic Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 5th congressional district. The 5th district primarily consists of the inner ring of the Kansas City metropolitan area, including nearly all of Kansas City south of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who was re-elected with 61.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportJuly 2, 2020
align=left Inside ElectionsJune 2, 2020
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallJuly 2, 2020
PoliticoApril 19, 2020
Daily KosJune 3, 2020
RCPJune 9, 2020
NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Results

District 6

Election Name:2020 Missouri's 6th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 6
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 6
Next Year:2022
Image1:File:Congressman Sam Graves Official Photo, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Sam Graves
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:258,709
Percentage1:67.1%
Nominee2:Gena Ross
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:118,926
Percentage2:30.8%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Sam Graves
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Sam Graves
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 6th congressional district. The 6th district encompasses rural northern Missouri, St. Joseph and much of Kansas City north of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Republican Sam Graves, who was re-elected with 65.4% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportJuly 2, 2020
align=left Inside ElectionsJune 2, 2020
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallJuly 2, 2020
PoliticoApril 19, 2020
Daily KosJune 3, 2020
RCPJune 9, 2020
NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Results

District 7

Election Name:2020 Missouri's 7th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 7
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 7
Next Year:2022
Image1:File:Billy Long 115th official photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Billy Long
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:254,318
Percentage1:68.9%
Nominee2:Teresa Montseny
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:98,111
Percentage2:26.6%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Billy Long
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Billy Long
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 7th congressional district. The 7th district is located in southwestern Missouri, taking in Springfield, Joplin, Branson, and Nixa. The incumbent is Republican Billy Long, who was re-elected with 66.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportJuly 2, 2020
align=left Inside ElectionsJune 2, 2020
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallJuly 2, 2020
PoliticoApril 19, 2020
Daily KosJune 3, 2020
RCPJune 9, 2020
NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Results

District 8

Election Name:2020 Missouri's 8th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 8
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 8
Next Year:2022
Image1:File:Jason Smith 116th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:Jason Smith
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:253,811
Percentage1:76.9%
Nominee2:Kathy Ellis
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:70,561
Percentage2:21.4%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Jason Smith
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Jason Smith
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 8th congressional district. The 8th district is the most rural district of Missouri, taking in rural southeastern Missouri, including the Missouri Bootheel, as well as the cities of Cape Girardeau and Poplar Bluff. The incumbent is Republican Jason Smith, who was re-elected with 73.4% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportJuly 2, 2020
align=left Inside ElectionsJune 2, 2020
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallJuly 2, 2020
PoliticoApril 19, 2020
Daily KosJune 3, 2020
RCPJune 9, 2020
NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Results

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates

Notes and References

  1. Web site: United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2020. Ballotpedia.
  2. Web site: Wasserman. David. Flinn. Ally. 2018 House Popular Vote Tracker. Cook Political Report. November 7, 2018. February 15, 2019. April 3, 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190403141334/https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WxDaxD5az6kdOjJncmGph37z0BPNhV1fNAH_g7IkpC0/htmlview. dead.
  3. Web site: Rosenbaum . Jason . Insurgency Vs. Staying Power: Bush-Clay Rematch Latest Bout In National Democratic Conflict . St. Louis Public Radio . July 31, 2020 . July 28, 2020.
  4. News: Holleman. Joe. Congressional hopeful Cori Bush featured in Sundance documentary. St. Louis Post-Dispatch. February 1, 2019. March 22, 2019.
  5. Web site: Sommer . Will . GOP House Candidate Insists George Floyd Killing Was Staged . Daily Beast . July 31, 2020 . June 24, 2020.
  6. Web site: Reigner . Chris . Stunning wins and losses in Missouri's August primary election . FOX 2 . August 8, 2020 . August 5, 2020.
  7. Web site: Wicentowski . Danny . He Was a Drug Smuggler. Now He's a Proud Boy Running Against Cori Bush . Riverfront Times . en . September 15, 2020 . September 19, 2020 . September 17, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200917165146/https://www.riverfronttimes.com/newsblog/2020/09/15/he-was-a-drug-smuggler-now-hes-a-proud-boy-and-running-against-cori-bush . dead .
  8. Web site: 2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019 . The Cook Political Report . September 20, 2019.
  9. Web site: 2020 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . October 3, 2019.
  10. Web site: 2020 Senate race ratings . Sabato's Crystal Ball . August 28, 2019 . August 22, 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190822073139/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ . dead .
  11. Web site: 2020 Election Forecast. November 19, 2019 . Politico.
  12. Web site: Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020 . Daily Kos Elections. February 28, 2020.
  13. Web site: Battle for White House. April 19, 2019 . RCP.
  14. Web site: 2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections. April 28, 2020. Niskanen Center. May 1, 2020. June 21, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200621124503/https://www.niskanencenter.org/negative-partisanship-and-the-2020-congressional-elections/. dead.
  15. Web site: Clancy . Sam . State Sen. Jill Schupp to challenge U.S. Rep. Ann Wagner for congressional seat representing west, south St. Louis County . KSDK - 5NBC . December 4, 2019 . December 3, 2019.
  16. News: Yokley. Eli. Missouri Democrats Said to Expect Gun Control Activist to Challenge Ann Wagner. Morning Consult. June 25, 2019. June 25, 2019.
  17. Clearfield. Alex. AlexClearfield. 1080845002727739392. A minor update on #MO02: Cort VanOstran @cortvo told me yesterday he is undecided on challenging Ann Wagner again and doesn't have a timeline to decide. He came within 4 points of beating her in a suburban St. Louis district.. January 3, 2019. February 15, 2019.
  18. Web site: Suntrup . Jack . Schupp raises more money than Wagner in St. Louis-area congressional race . St. Louis Post-Dispatch . August 8, 2020 . July 16, 2020.
  19. Web site: House Ratings. > House Ratings . Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzalez . October 3, 2019.
  20. Web site: We think the race for U.S. House in Missouri's District 2 is a toss-up.. Politico. 25 October 2020.
  21. Web site: As the GOP's downballot woes continue, all our race ratings changes once again favor Democrats . Daily Kos Elections. August 31, 2020.
  22. Web site: Missouri 2nd District - Wagner vs. Schupp. RCP. 25 October 2020.
  23. Web site: Forecasting the Race for the House. 538. August 12, 2020 . 30 October 2020.
  24. Web site: Stracener . Layne . 4 take on incumbent for US Congress GOP bid . News Tribune . July 31, 2020 . July 14, 2020.
  25. Web site: Brandon Wilkinson. Ballotpedia. August 6, 2020.
  26. Web site: Stracener . Layne . 2 Democrats vying for shot at Congressional seat . News Tribune . July 31, 2020 . July 14, 2020.
  27. Web site: U.S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 3: Five Republicans, two Democrats in race . My Leader Paper . July 31, 2020 . July 16, 2020.
  28. Web site: Keller . Rudi . Jefferson City couple takes on Biden, Sanders in primary . Columbia Daily Tribune . August 8, 2020 . March 7, 2020 . September 13, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200913102130/https://www.columbiatribune.com/news/20200307/jefferson-city-couple-takes-on-biden-sanders-in-primary . dead .
  29. Web site: Crowley . Brendan . Hartzler challenger backs expanding Medicare, reforming farm subsidies . Boonville Daily News . August 21, 2019 . July 30, 2019 . August 21, 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190821184209/https://www.boonvilledailynews.com/news/20190730/hartzler-challenger-backs-expanding-medicare-reforming-farm-subsidies . dead .
  30. Web site: Hornbostel . Austin . Incumbent District 4 US rep, GOP challenger stress individual liberties amid pandemic . California Democrat . July 31, 2020 . July 22, 2020.
  31. Web site: Gao . Larissa . Five candidates compete for 4th District congressional seat . Columbia Missourian . August 8, 2020 . July 27, 2020.
  32. Web site: Woods . A. . Kansas City Congressional Candidate Thinks Bill Cosby And Al Jarreau Are The Same Person . News One . July 31, 2020 . January 12, 2020.
  33. Web site: August 4 Candidate Guide . Northeast News . July 31, 2020 . July 29, 2020.
  34. Web site: Meet Jerry. Barham for Congress. August 5, 2020. August 17, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200817005127/https://www.barhamforcongress.com/meet-jerry. dead.
  35. Web site: Clay Chastain. Ballotpedia. August 5, 2020.
  36. Web site: Ryan Derks to challenge longtime incumbent for Kansas City-based congressional district. The Missouri Times. February 13, 2020. August 6, 2020.
  37. Web site: R.H. Hess. Ballotpedia. August 6, 2020.
  38. Web site: Candidate Profile: Richonda Oaks. iVoter Guide. August 6, 2020.
  39. Web site: Weldon Woodward. Ballotpedia. August 6, 2020.
  40. Web site: Saline County Election Results Missouri voters pass Amendment 2 . The Marshall Democrat-News . August 8, 2020 . August 5, 2020 . September 13, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200913074221/https://www.marshallnews.com/story/2826622.html . dead .
  41. Web site: Newton . Ken . Candidates line up to try to unseat congressman . News-Press Now . July 31, 2020 . July 18, 2020.
  42. Web site: Newton . Ken . Democratic House nominee plans 'People First' message . News-Press Now . August 8, 2020 . August 6, 2020.
  43. Web site: Talley . David . Primary election next week . Bolivar Herald-Free Press . July 31, 2020 . July 29, 2020.
  44. Web site: About. Steve Chetnik 2020. August 6, 2020. August 17, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200817005226/https://www.chentnikforcongress.com/about. dead.
  45. Web site: Staff Reports. Democrat drops out of Dist. 7 U.S. Congressional race. 2020-10-02. Branson Tri-Lakes News. September 29, 2020 . en.
  46. Web site: Woodin . Debby . Four challenge 7th District GOP incumbent U.S. lawmaker . The Joplin Globe . August 8, 2020 . August 2, 2020.
  47. News: Bliss . Mark . Democrat Kathy Ellis to challenge U.S. Rep. Jason Smith in 8th again . June 15, 2019 . Southeast Missourian . June 14, 2019 .
  48. Web site: Jenkins . David . Rehder narrowly defeats Swan to win Republican primary for State Senate District 27 . Standard Democrat . August 8, 2020 . August 4, 2020.