2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky explained

Election Name:	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	legislative
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
Next Year:	2022
Seats For Election:	All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
Election Date:	November 3, 2020
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:	5
Seats1:	5
Popular Vote1:	1,363,964
Percentage1:	64.46%
Swing1:	4.87%
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:	1
Seats2:	1
Popular Vote2:	735,419
Percentage2:	34.76%
Swing2:	4.29%

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Overview

scope=col rowspan=3	District	scope=col colspan=2	Republican	scope=col colspan=2	Democratic	scope=col colspan=2	Others	scope=col colspan=2	Total	scope=col rowspan=3	Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"	!	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"	!	scope=col colspan=2	!	scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	% !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	% !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	% !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	%
	246,329	74.99%	82,141	25.01%	0	0.00%	328,470	100.0%	Republican hold
	255,735	70.96%	94,643	26.26%	10,021	2.78%	360,399	100.0%	Republican hold
	136,425	37.16%	230,672	62.84%	0	0.00%	367,097	100.0%	Democratic hold
	256,613	67.09%	125,896	32.91%	0	0.00%	382,509	100.0%	Republican hold
	250,914	84.21%	47,056	15.79%	0	0.00%	297,970	100.0%	Republican hold
	216,948	57.32%	155,011	40.96%	6,491	1.72%	378,450	100.0%	Republican hold
Total	1,363,964	64.46%	735,419	34.76%	16,512	0.78%	2,115,895	100.0%

District 1

Election Name:	2020 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 1
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 1
Next Year:	2022
Image1:	File:James Comer official congressional photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	James Comer
Party1:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	246,329
Percentage1:	75.0%
Nominee2:	James Rhodes
Party2:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	82,141
Percentage2:	25.0%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	James Comer
Before Party:	Republican Party (US)
After Election:	James Comer
After Party:	Republican Party (US)

See also: Kentucky's 1st congressional district. The 1st district takes in Western Kentucky, including Paducah, Hopkinsville, Murray, and Henderson. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 68.6% of the vote.^[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• James Comer, incumbent U.S. representative^[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• James Rhodes^[2]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[3]		July 2, 2020
align=left	Inside Elections^[4]		June 2, 2020
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[5]		July 2, 2020
Politico^[6]		April 19, 2020
Daily Kos^[7]		June 3, 2020
RCP^[8]		June 9, 2020
Niskanen^[9]		June 7, 2020

Results

District 2

Election Name:	2020 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 2
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 2
Next Year:	2022
Image1:	File:Brett Guthrie, Official Photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Brett Guthrie
Party1:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	255,735
Percentage1:	70.9%
Nominee2:	Hank Linderman
Party2:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	94,643
Percentage2:	26.3%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Brett Guthrie
Before Party:	Republican Party (US)
After Election:	Brett Guthrie
After Party:	Republican Party (US)

See also: Kentucky's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district encompasses west-central Kentucky, taking in Bowling Green, Owensboro, and Elizabethtown. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018.^[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Kathleen Free^[10]
• Brett Guthrie, incumbent U.S. representative^[10]

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Hank Linderman, nominee for Kentucky's 2nd congressional district in 2018^[10]

Third parties

Libertarian Party

• Robert Lee Perry

Populist Party

• Lewis Carter

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report		July 2, 2020
align=left	Inside Elections		June 2, 2020
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		July 2, 2020
Politico		April 19, 2020
Daily Kos		June 3, 2020
RCP		June 9, 2020
Niskanen		June 7, 2020

Results

District 3

Election Name:	2020 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 3
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 3
Next Year:	2022
Image1:	File:John Yarmuth 113th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:	John Yarmuth
Party1:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	230,672
Percentage1:	62.7%
Nominee2:	Rhonda Palazzo
Party2:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	137,425
Percentage2:	37.3%
Map Size:	150px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	John Yarmuth
Before Party:	Democratic Party (US)
After Election:	John Yarmuth
After Party:	Democratic Party (US)

See also: Kentucky's 3rd congressional district. The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of the Louisville metropolitan area. The incumbent is Democrat John Yarmuth, who was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2018.^[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• John Yarmuth, incumbent U.S. representative^[11]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Mike Craven, activist and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018^[12]
• Waymen Eddings, businessman^[12]
• Rhonda Palazzo, realtor and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018^[12]

Primary results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report		July 2, 2020
align=left	Inside Elections		June 2, 2020
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		July 2, 2020
Politico		April 19, 2020
Daily Kos		June 3, 2020
RCP		June 9, 2020
Niskanen		June 7, 2020

Results

District 4

Election Name:	2020 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 4
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 4
Next Year:	2022
Image1:	File:Thomas Massie, official portrait, 112th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:	Thomas Massie
Party1:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	256,613
Percentage1:	67.1%
Nominee2:	Alexandra Owensby
Party2:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	125,896
Percentage2:	32.9%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Thomas Massie
Before Party:	Republican Party (US)
After Election:	Thomas Massie
After Party:	Republican Party (US)

See also: Kentucky's 4th congressional district. The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and a small part of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2018.^[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Thomas Massie, incumbent U.S. representative^[13]
• Todd McMurtry, attorney^[14]

Declined

• Kim Moser, state representative^[15]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Thomas Massie	Todd McMurty	Kim Moser	Undecided
WPA Intelligence	June 10–11, 2020	411 (LV)	± 4.9%		77%	11%	–	12%
WPA Intelligence	April 27–28, 2020	407 (LV)	± 4.9%		70%	13%	–	17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	February 4–6, 2020	300 (V)	± 5.66%		71%	3%	–	–
WPA Intelligence	July 8–9, 2019	400 (LV)	± 4.9%		64%	–	10%	26%

with Generic Republican

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Shannon Fabert, business consultant
• Alexandra Owensby, nurse practitioner^[16]

Primary results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report		July 2, 2020
align=left	Inside Elections		June 2, 2020
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		July 2, 2020
Politico		April 19, 2020
Daily Kos		June 3, 2020
RCP		June 9, 2020
Niskanen		June 7, 2020

Results

District 5

Election Name:	2020 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 5
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 5
Next Year:	2022
Image1:	File:Hal Rogers Official Photo 2010 (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Hal Rogers
Party1:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	250,914
Percentage1:	84.2%
Nominee2:	Matthew Best
Party2:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	47,056
Percentage2:	15.8%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Hal Rogers
Before Party:	Republican Party (US)
After Election:	Hal Rogers
After Party:	Republican Party (US)

See also: Kentucky's 5th congressional district. The 5th district, one of the poorest and most rural in the country, is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2018.^[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative^[17]
• Geraldo Serrano, farmer and candidate for Kentucky's 5th congressional district in 2018^[17]

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Matthew Best^[17]

Declined

• Rocky Adkins, minority leader of the Kentucky House of Representatives and candidate for Governor of Kentucky in 2019^[18]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report		July 2, 2020
align=left	Inside Elections		June 2, 2020
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		July 2, 2020
Politico		April 19, 2020
Daily Kos		June 3, 2020
RCP		June 9, 2020
Niskanen		June 7, 2020

Results

District 6

Election Name:	2020 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 6
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 6
Next Year:	2022
Image1:	File:Andy Barr official congressional photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Andy Barr
Party1:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	216,948
Percentage1:	57.3%
Nominee2:	Josh Hicks
Party2:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	155,011
Percentage2:	41.0%
Map Size:	300px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Andy Barr
Before Party:	Republican Party (US)
After Election:	Andy Barr
After Party:	Republican Party (US)

See also: Kentucky's 6th congressional district. The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.^[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Andy Barr, incumbent U.S. representative^[19]
• Chuck Eddy, retired salesman^[20]
• Geoff Young, perennial candidate and assistant director^[20]

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Josh Hicks, attorney and U.S. Marine veteran^[21]
• Daniel Kemph, business analyst and candidate for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2018^[20]

Primary results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report		July 2, 2020
align=left	Inside Elections		June 2, 2020
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		July 2, 2020
Politico		April 19, 2020
Daily Kos		June 3, 2020
RCP		October 24, 2020
Niskanen		June 7, 2020

Results

See also

• 2020 Kentucky elections

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

• • • Web site: League of Women Voters of Kentucky . (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• James Comer (R) for Congress
• James Rhodes (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Brett Guthrie (R) for Congress
• Hank Linderman (D) for Congress
• Robert Lee Perry (L) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

• Rhonda Palazzo (R) for Congress
• John Yarmuth (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

• Thomas Massie (R) for Congress
• Alexandra Owensby (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates

• Hal Rogers (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates

• Andy Barr (R) for Congress
• Josh Hicks (D) for Congress

Notes and References

1. Web site: Wasserman. David. Flinn. Ally. 2018 House Popular Vote Tracker. Cook Political Report. November 7, 2018. March 8, 2019.
2. Web site: Overstreet . Melinda J. . Candidates seek to unseat Riley, Rowland and Givens; 17 file for nine Glasgow council seats . Glasgow Daily Times . January 26, 2020 . January 10, 2020 . January 27, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200127015723/https://www.glasgowdailytimes.com/news/candidates-seek-to-unseat-riley-rowland-and-givens-file-for/article_c41cd7be-33ff-11ea-8f28-4f0683c948e1.html . dead .
3. Web site: 2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019 . The Cook Political Report . September 20, 2019.
4. Web site: 2020 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . October 3, 2019.
5. Web site: 2020 Senate race ratings . Sabato's Crystal Ball . August 28, 2019 . August 22, 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190822073139/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ . dead .
6. Web site: 2020 Election Forecast. November 19, 2019 . Politico.
7. Web site: Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020 . Daily Kos Elections. February 28, 2020.
8. Web site: Battle for White House. April 19, 2019 . RCP.
9. Web site: 2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections. April 28, 2020. Niskanen Center. May 1, 2020. June 21, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200621124503/https://www.niskanencenter.org/negative-partisanship-and-the-2020-congressional-elections/. dead.
10. Web site: Swietek . Wes . Minter, Sheldon unopposed in 2020 . Bowling Green Daily News . January 26, 2020 . January 10, 2020.
11. News: Munson . Emilie . Exclusive: Another Republican joins 5th District race . January 6, 2020 . January 9, 2020.
12. Web site: KENTUCKY . Politics 1 . January 26, 2020.
13. Web site: Thomas Massie. www.facebook.com.
14. Web site: Bailey . Phillip M. . Sonka . Joe . Attorney in Covington Catholic case challenges Rep. Thomas Massie in GOP primary . Louisville Courier Journal . January 26, 2020 . January 10, 2020.
15. News: Bailey. Phillip M.. National Republicans may be maneuvering to unseat Kentucky's conservative darling, Massie. The Courier-Journal. July 3, 2019. July 3, 2019.
16. Web site: Fair . Julia . This is our best shot at changing things.' NKY Democrat nurse practitioner files to run against Republican Rep. Thomas Massie in 2020 . Cincinnati Enquirer . January 26, 2020 . January 7, 2020.
17. Web site: Mills . Jarrod . Several races set as election filing deadline passes . Times-Tribune . January 26, 2020 . January 11, 2020.
18. Web site: Desrochers . Daniel . Rocky Adkins passes on U.S. Senate bid and takes job in Andy Beshear's administration . Lexington Herald Leader . December 2, 2019.
19. Web site: Andy Barr. Facebook. December 16, 2019. December 25, 2019.
20. Web site: Greene . Jonathan . ELECTION 2020: Seven running for city commission . Richmond Register . January 26, 2020 . January 14, 2020.
21. Web site: Schreiner . Bruce . Marine veteran enters race for 6th District seat in Kentucky. Associated Press News . August 1, 2019. August 1, 2019.