2020 Texas House of Representatives election explained

Election Name:2020 Texas House of Representatives election
Country:Texas
Type:legislative
Previous Election:2018 Texas House of Representatives election
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2022 Texas House of Representatives election
Next Year:2022
Seats For Election:All 150 seats in the Texas House of Representatives
Majority Seats:76
Election Date:November 3, 2020
Leader1:Dennis Bonnen
(retired)
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Leader Since1:January 8, 2019
Leaders Seat1:25th
Seats Before1:83
Seats After1:83
Popular Vote1:5,706,147
Percentage1:54.92%
Swing1: 2.45%
Leader2:Chris Turner
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Leader Since2:January 30, 2017
Leaders Seat2:101st
Seats Before2:67
Seats After2:67
Popular Vote2:4,525,726
Percentage2:43.56%
Swing2: 2.97%
Speaker
Before Election:Dennis Bonnen
Before Party:Republican
After Election:Dade Phelan
After Party:Republican

The 2020 Texas House of Representatives elections took place as part of the biennial United States elections. Texas voters elected state representatives in all 150 of the state house's districts. Primary elections were held in March 2020.[1] The winners of this election served in the 87th Texas Legislature. Two seats changed hands, both in Harris County, one Democratic flip and one Republican flip, for no net change.[2]

Background

In the 2018 election, the Texas Democrats had a net gain of 12 seats from the opposing Texas Republicans.

In 2019, House Speaker Dennis Bonnen announced he would not seek reelection.[3]

In October 2020, The Washington Post identified this state election as one of eight whose outcomes could affect partisan balance during post-census redistricting.[4]

Predictions

Analysts considered the Texas House to be competitive in the 2020 elections, with Republicans holding the advantage. Due to the large number of competitive seats, Democrats had an opening to win control of the chamber for the first time since 2000, but they would have to win almost all of them.[5] Near election day, however, The Cook Political Report shifted their rating for the chamber to "Tossup" due to the heavy amount of early voting taking place in the state's urban areas in the leadup to the election.

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6] Nov. 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] May 7, 2020

Polling

House District 26
House District 28
House District 45
House District 54
House District 64
House District 65
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Michelle
Beckley (D)
Kronda
Thimesch (R)
Undecided
Reform AustinReleased Oct 9, 2020>400 (LV)± 4.89%50%39%11%
EMC Research/Kronda Thimesch (R)Aug 5–9, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%52%38%
House District 66
House District 67
House District 92
House District 93
House District 94
House District 96
House District 97
Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
House District 102
House District 108
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Morgan
Meyer (R)
Joanna
Cattanach (D)
Undecided
Reform AustinReleased Oct 9, 2020>400 (LV)± 4.89%36%55%9%
GQR Research/Joanna Cattanach (D)Jul 22–25, 2020401 (LV)± 4.9%43%48%
Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
House District 112
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Angie Chen
Button (R)
Brandy
Chambers (D)
Undecided
Reform AustinReleased Oct 9, 2020>400 (LV)± 4.89%43%47%10%
GQR Research/Brandy for Texas (D)Jul 6–9, 2020401 (LV)± 4.9%46%48%
House District 113
House District 121
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Steve
Allison (R)
Celina
Montoya (D)
Undecided
Reform AustinReleased Oct 9, 2020>400 (LV)± 4.89%49%41%10%
https://www.annjohnson.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/LRP-Poll-Memo-A.-Johnson-TX-HD-134-f-08122020.pdfLake Research Partners/Ann Johnson (D) https://www.expressnews.com/news/news_columnists/gilbert_garcia/article/Garcia-Montoya-aims-for-an-upset-in-GOP-House-15469019.phpJul 28 – Aug 1, 2020406 (LV)± 4.9%42%49%9%
House District 126
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Sam
Harless (R)
Natali
Hurtado (D)
Undecided
Reform AustinReleased Oct 9, 2020>400 (LV)± 4.89%49%43%8%
GQR Research/Texas House Democratic Campaign Committee (D)Jul 27–30, 2020401 (LV)± 4.9%47%43%
House District 132
House District 134
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Sarah
Davis (R)
Ann
Johnson (D)
OtherUndecided
Reform AustinReleased Oct 9, 2020>400 (LV)± 4.89%31%57%12%
Lake Research Partners/Ann Johnson (D)Aug 3–6, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%42%44%13%
House District 135
House District 138
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Lacey
Hull (R)
Akilah
Bacy (D)
Undecided
Reform AustinReleased Oct 9, 2020>400 (LV)± 4.89%42%43%15%
PPP/TXHDCChttps://static.texastribune.org/media/files/787e36cb680a02a01877c130b9f42f63/TX%20HD%20138%20Memo%20Oct%2020.pdfOct 6–7, 2020451 (V)± 4.6%45%54%1%
GQR Research (D)https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1299420934542168065Aug 3–7, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%42%48%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
PPP/TXHDCChttps://static.texastribune.org/media/files/787e36cb680a02a01877c130b9f42f63/TX%20HD%20138%20Memo%20Oct%2020.pdfOctober 6–7, 2020451 (V)± 4.6%43%52%
Public Policy Polling/DLCC September 23–24, 2020483 (V)± 4.5%44%50%6%

Summary of results

Summary of the November 3, 2020 Texas House of Representatives election results
Party Candi-
dates
Votes % Seats +/– %
120 5,706,14754.91% 83 - 55.33%
124 4,525,72643.56% 67 - 44.67%
32 156,883 1.51% 0 0%
2 2,341 0.02% 0 0%
Total 278 10,391,097 100.00% 150

Close races

Seats where the margin of victory was under 10%:

Results by district

Election results:[8]

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
- - 59,508 100.00% - - 59,508 100.00% Republican hold
14,514 18.71% 63,074 81.29% - - 77,588 100.00% Republican hold
20,625 22.66% 70,385 77.34% - - 91,010 100.00% Republican hold
- - 65,903 79.08% 17,437 20.92% 83,340 100.00% Republican hold
14,824 20.03% 59,179 79.97% - - 74,021 100.00% Republican hold
23,426 31.84% 50,143 68.16% - - 73,569 100.00% Republican hold
- - 54,726 100.00% - - 54,726 100.00% Republican hold
- - 50,433 85.91% 8,271 14.09% 58,704 100.00% Republican hold
- - 62,151 100.00% - - 62,151 100.00% Republican hold
- - 65,062 75.83% 20,733 24.17% 85,795 100.00% Republican hold
15,965 24.25% 49,864 75.75% - - 65,829 100.00% Republican hold
- - 49,785 100.00% - - 49,785 100.00% Republican hold
- - 72,890 100.00% - - 72,890 100.00% Republican hold
26,520 42.47% 35,922 57.53% - - 62,442 100.00% Republican hold
36,111 33.53% 71,586 66.47% - - 107,697 100.00% Republican hold
- - 74,821 100.00% - - 74,821 100.00% Republican hold
25,881 36.40% 45,219 63.60% - - 71,100 100.00% Republican hold
- - 56,026 100.00% - - 56,026 100.00% Republican hold
- - 72,573 100.00% - - 72,573 100.00% Republican hold
31,648 28.63% 78,884 71.37% - - 110,532 100.00% Republican hold
- - 65,689 100.00% - - 65,689 100.00% Republican hold
35,903 68.27% 16,685 31.73% - - 52,588 100.00% Democratic hold
31,154 39.83% 47,068 60.17% - - 78,222 100.00% Republican hold
25,848 27.57% 65,560 69.92% 1,994 2.51% 93,764 100.00% Republican hold
19,261 28.43% 48,492 71.57% - - 67,753 100.00% Republican hold
40,436 48.21% 43,438 51.79% - - 83,874 100.00% Republican hold
56,373 67.81% 26,766 32.19% - - 83,139 100.00% Democratic hold
53,908 44.73% 66,619 55.27% - - 120,527 100.00% Republican hold
41,712 43.31% 54,594 56.69% - - 96,306 100.00% Republican hold
- - 57,232 100.00% - - 57,232 100.00% Republican hold
32,235 58.41% 22,950 41.59% - - 55,185 100.00% Democratic hold
26,925 38.86% 42,357 61.14% - - 69,282 100.00% Republican hold
41,827 35.05% 77,503 64.95% - - 119,330 100.00% Republican hold
32,720 59.49% 22,284 40.51% - - 55,004 100.00% Democratic hold
31,195 100.00% - - - - 31,195 100.00% Democratic hold
36,564 100.00% - - - - 36,564 100.00% Democratic hold
27,650 100.00% - - - - 27,650 100.00% Democratic hold
35,492 100.00% - - - - 35,492 100.00% Democratic hold
36,860 100.00% - - - - 36,860 100.00% Democratic hold
34,576 100.00% - - - - 34,576 100.00% Democratic hold
32,097 57.87% 23,366 42.13% - - 55,463 100.00% Democratic hold
35,709 100.00% - - - - 35,709 100.00% Democratic hold
- - 45,357 100.00% - - 45,357 100.00% Republican hold
29,433 29.48% 67,308 67.42% 3,100 3.10% 70,957 100.00% Republican hold
57,383 50.53% 56,175 49.47% - - 113,558 100.00% Democratic hold
62,064 100.00% - - - - 62,064 100.00% Democratic hold
66,816 49.27% 65,474 48.28% 3,311 2.44% 135,601 100.00% Democratic hold
73,590 70.10% 31,382 29.90% - - 104,972 100.00% Democratic hold
80,258 78.85% 18,277 17.96% 3,248 3.19% 34,170 100.00% Democratic hold
63,449 68.78% 28,805 31.22% - - 92,254 100.00% Democratic hold
59,257 82.66% 12,431 17.34% - - 71,688 100.00% Democratic hold
50,520 51.48% 47,611 48.52% - - 98,131 100.00% Democratic hold
18,713 21.80% 67,127 78.20% - - 85,840 100.00% Republican hold
33,918 46.61% 38,853 53.39% - - 72,771 100.00% Republican hold
- - 54,733 100.00% - - 54,733 100.00% Republican hold
23,833 32.71% 49,030 67.29% - - 72,863 100.00% Republican hold
13,946 20.55% 53,930 79.45% - - 67,876 100.00% Republican hold
16,489 20.96% 62,176 79.04% - - 78,665 100.00% Republican hold
- - 53,825 100.00% - - 53,825 100.00% Republican hold
- - 75,270 100.00% - - 75,270 100.00% Republican hold
14,940 14.16% 87,526 82.95% 3,049 2.89% 105,515 100.00% Republican hold
16,074 21.41% 59,020 78.59% - - 75,094 100.00% Republican hold
35,426 32.58% 73,297 67.42% - - 108,723 100.00% Republican hold
39,504 45.05% 48,188 54.95% - - 68,626 100.00% Republican hold
40,529 51.51% 38,156 48.49% - - 78,685 100.00% Democratic hold
District 6641,879 48.58% 42,728 49.56% 1,600 1.86% 86,207 100.00% Republican hold
District 6745,867 48.29% 49,113 51.71% - - 94,980 100.00% Republican hold
9,630 14.53% 56,656 85.47% - - 66,286 100.00% Republican hold
- - 49,731 100.00% - - 49,731 100.00% Republican hold
47,343 38.15% 76,754 61.85% - - 124,097 100.00% Republican hold
13,783 21.15% 51,376 78.85% - - 65,159 100.00% Republican hold
- - 54,898 100.00% - - 45,898 100.00% Republican hold
32,091 25.17% 95,385 74.83% - - 127,476 100.00% Republican hold
26,131 53.92% 22,334 46.08% - - 48,465 100.00% Democratic hold
46,455 100.00% - - - - 46,455 100.00% Democratic hold
36,199 100.00% - - - - 36,199 100.00% Democratic hold
34,659 100.00% - - - - 34,659 100.00% Democratic hold
38,876 61.65% 24,180 38.35% - - 63,056 100.00% Democratic hold
42,667 100.00% - - - - 42,667 100.00% Democratic hold
37,792 100.00% - - - - 37,792 100.00% Democratic hold
- - 48,239 100.00% - - 48,239 100.00% Republican hold
- - 61,068 100.00% - - 61,068 100.00% Republican hold
16,185 20.71% 61,959 79.29% - - 78,144 100.00% Republican hold
22,208 38.78% 35,066 61.22% - - 57,274 100.00% Republican hold
31,372 41.15% 43,024 56.44% 1,838 2.41% 76,234 100.00% Republican hold
- - 67,985 100.00% - - 67,985 100.00% Republican hold
- - 44,412 100.00% - - 44,412 100.00% Republican hold
- - 45,771 100.00% - - 45,771 100.00% Republican hold
37,837 38.45% 58,102 59.04% 2,466 2.51% 74,648 100.00% Republican hold
25,329 72.40% 9,656 27.60% - - 34,985 100.00% Democratic hold
25,521 36.13% 45,108 63.87% - - 70,629 100.00% Republican hold
36,996 47.20% 39,875 50.87% 1,513 1.93% 78,384 100.00% Republican hold
38,339 45.53% 45,876 54.47% - - 84,215 100.00% Republican hold
34,757 45.90% 38,602 50.97% 2,371 3.13% 75,730 100.00% Republican hold
46,120 100.00% - - - - 46,120 100.00% Democratic hold
40,550 46.10% 45,053 51.22% 2,362 2.69% 87,965 100.00% Republican hold
37,707 45.19% 43,852 52.55% 1,884 2.26% 66,125 100.00% Republican hold
33,867 32.15% 71,459 67.85% - - 105,326 100.00% Republican hold
- - 62,554 100.00% - - 62,554 100.00% Republican hold
45,550 100.00% - - - - 45,550 100.00% Democratic hold
45,531 100.00% - - - - 45,531 100.00% Democratic hold
37,219 53.94% 31,785 46.06% - - 69,004 100.00% Democratic hold
37,908 74.56% 12,934 25.44% - - 50,842 100.00% Democratic hold
35,710 100.00% - - - - 35,710 100.00% Democratic hold
31,502 54.96% 24,087 42.03% 1,724 3.01% 57,313 100.00% Democratic hold
52,257 41.49% 73,692 58.51% - - 125,949 100.00% Republican hold
34,940 56.50% 26,906 43.50% - - 61,846 100.00% Democratic hold
48,590 48.03% 50,229 49.65% 2,340 2.31% 101,159 100.00% Republican hold
64,145 83.28% 12,880 16.72% - - 77,025 100.00% Democratic hold
37,214 100.00% - - - - 37,214 100.00% Democratic hold
59,450 100.00% - - - - 59,450 100.00% Democratic hold
33,537 48.59% 33,759 48.92% 1,719 2.49% 69,015 100.00% Republican hold
35,627 51.77% 33,194 48.23% - - 68,821 100.00% Democratic hold
42,842 53.65% 37,014 46.35% - - 79,856 100.00% Democratic hold
40,961 56.90% 31,026 43.10% - - 71,987 100.00% Democratic hold
41,426 69.12% 18,510 30.88% - - 59,936 100.00% Democratic hold
50,092 54.85% 37,711 41.29% 3,518 3.85% 91,321 100.00% Democratic hold
33,230 56.75% 23,376 39.92% 1,952 3.33% 58,558 100.00% Democratic hold
37,574 61.67% 21,154 34.72% 828 1.36% 60,926 100.00% Democratic hold
40,004 65.81% 18,830 30.98% 1,950 3.21% 60,784 100.00% Democratic hold
43,863 46.55% 50,367 53.45% - - 94,230 100.00% Republican hold
50,195 40.37% 74,149 59.63% - - 124,344 100.00% Republican hold
3 100.00% - - - - 3 100.00% Democratic hold
3 100.00% - - - - 3 100.00% Democratic hold
45,500 79.80% - - 11,515 20.20% 57,015 100.00% Democratic hold
34,538 46.68% 39,457 53.32% - - 73,995 100.00% Republican hold
- - 60,599 70.26% 25,653 29.74% 86,252 100.00% Republican hold
22,569 31.61% 48,831 68.39% - - 71,400 100.00% Republican hold
34,823 41.07% 49,972 58.93% - - 84,795 100.00% Republican hold
32,229 31.00% 71,722 69.00% - - 103,951 100.00% Republican hold
47,790 100.00% - - - - 47,790 100.00% Democratic Hold
48,514 48.07% 52,299 51.82% 116 0.11% 100,929 100.00% Republican gain
36,550 41.15% 50,785 57.17% 1,490 1.68% 88,825 100.00% Republican hold
56,895 52.27% 51,960 47.73% - - 108,855 100.00% Democratic gain
36,760 49.06% 36,460 48.66% 1,703 2.27% 74,923 100.00% Democratic hold
53,887 53.31% 43,533 43.07% 3,653 3.61% 101,073 100.00% Democratic hold
23,502 81.48% - - 5,342 18.52% 28,844 100.00% Democratic hold
30,982 48.36% 33,081 51.64% - - 64,063 100.00% Republican hold
48,841 85.88% - - 8,029 14.12% 56,870 100.00% Democratic hold
25,989 100.00% - - - - 25,989 100.00% Democratic hold
38,529 100.00% - - - - 38,529 100.00% Democratic hold
42,127 74.77% 14,213 25.23% - - 56,340 100.00% Democratic hold
30,460 100.00% - - - - 30,460 100.00% Democratic hold
17,516 56.42% 13,528 43.58% - - 31,044 100.00% Democratic hold
27,415 64.01% 14,445 33.73% 970 2.26% 42,830 100.00% Democratic hold
45,151 87.04% - - 6,723 12.96% 51,874 100.00% Democratic hold
58,763 100.00% - - - - 58,763 100.00% Democratic hold
38,287 63.67% 21,844 36.33% - - 60,131 100.00% Democratic hold
31,919 59.42% 21,799 40.58% - - 53,718 100.00% Democratic hold
37,466 38.55% 56,512 58.15% 3,206 3.30% 97,184 100.00% Republican hold
Total 4,525,726 43.56% 5,706,147 54.92% 157,608 1.52% 10,389,481 100.00%

Detailed results

Districts 60-69

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Further reading

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Staff. K. U. T.. 2020 Primary Election Results: Texas Legislature. 2020-09-03. www.kut.org. March 3, 2020 . en.
  2. Web site: 2020 Texas State House Election Results USA TODAY. 2022-02-04. www.usatoday.com. en.
  3. Web site: Pollock. Cassandra. 2019-10-22. Texas House Speaker Dennis Bonnen won't seek reelection after recording scandal. 2020-09-03. The Texas Tribune. en.
  4. News: The state legislative battles to watch in 2020 . Amber . Phillips . The Washington Post . October 2, 2020 . October 2, 2020.
  5. Web site: Jacobson . Louis . October 21, 2020 . October Overview: Handicapping the 2020 State Legislature Races . 2024-08-12 . Cook Political Report . en.
  6. Web site: Final State Legislature Rating Change: Texas House Moves to Toss Up. The Cook Political Report. December 7, 2020.
  7. News: Nuttycombe . Chaz . May 7, 2020 . The State of the States: The Legislatures . University of Virginia Center for Politics.
  8. Web site: Texas 2020 election . The Texas Tribune . November 3, 2020 . February 13, 2021.