| Election Name: | 2020 São Paulo municipal election | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Country: | Brazil | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Flag Image: | Bandeira da cidade de São Paulo.svg | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Type: | presidential | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Vote Type: | Popular | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Previous Election: | 2016 São Paulo mayoral election | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Previous Year: | 2016 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Next Election: | 2024 São Paulo mayoral election | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Next Year: | 2024 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Election Date: | | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Module: |
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| Ongoing: | No | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 2020 São Paulo municipal election took place in the city of São Paulo, Brazil, with the first round taking place on 15 November 2020 and the second round taking place on 29 November 2020. Voters voted to elect the Mayor, the Vice Mayor and 55 city councillors for the administration of the city. The result was a 2nd round victory for incumbent Mayor Bruno Covas of the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB), winning 3,169,121 votes and a share of 59,38% of the popular vote, defeating political activist Guilherme Boulos of the Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL), who took 2,168,109 votes and a share of 40.62% of the popular vote.
In the 2016 São Paulo mayoral election, João Doria of the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB) was elected Mayor of São Paulo in first round with a share of 53,29% of the popular vote, defeating then incumbent Mayor Fernando Haddad, of the Workers' Party (PT).[1] Later, Doria resigned to run for governor of the State of São Paulo in the 2018 São Paulo gubernatorial election against then incumbent governor Márcio França, leaving his Vice Mayor Bruno Covas to assume as Mayor of São Paulo.[2] While facing cancer since October 2019,[3] Covas was nevertheless confirmed as candidate for the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB) for reelection.[4]
A traditional runner in the mayoral elections and federal deputy for the State of São Paulo, Celso Russomanno of the Republicanos, was endorsed by incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro as a more aligned candidate to his government, in opposition to Covas' coalition and somewhat opposition to the government, particularly in his handling of the Coronavirus Pandemic.[5]
The election would see the rise of well known and famous political and social activist Guilherme Boulos, who had previously disputed the 2018 Brazilian general election as a presidential candidate and who now had been elected in the primaries of the Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) to run as their candidate for the city of São Paulo.[6] Slowly, he would rise to become the dominant left-wing opponent to Covas' more ideologically broad coalition of voters and Russomano's base of Bolsonaro's supporters. He would later become the front-runner in the second round alongside Covas.
Similarly to Boulos' profile, the election would also see the rise of political YouTuber and influencer Arthur do Val, known by his pseudonym "Mamãefalei" and YouTube channel of the same name, who had previously been elected in the 2018 São Paulo gubernatorial election as state deputy. He ran on a platform of right-wing liberal economic policies to revitalize and embellish São Paulo's town center and proposals to dealing with the "Cracolândia" area of São Paulo,[7] known for its high incidence of drug trafficking and drug use. He was endorsed to run for the Patriota[8] in a broad opposition to both Boulos' left-wing, Covas' coalition and Russomanos' base of Bolsonaro supporters.
Former governor of the State of São Paulo Márcio França, who had lost reelection in the 2018 São Paulo gubernatorial election to João Doria, was endorsed to run as the candidate for the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB).[9] He ran on a moderate and traditional social democratic platform. Among his proposals he defended free bus tickets during Sundays and holidays, as well as a reduction of the working time to 6 hours a day, and 3 working days during the week.[10]
The Worker's Party (PT), struggling to maintain leadership ever since the impeachment of former president Dilma Rousseff, decided to seek out for a new figure and endorsed Jilmar Tatto as their candidate.[11] He also ran as a traditional social democrat. Among his proposals were an increase to property tax for the rich, and creation of a communication channel for the city's government, which would serve as its official broadcasting service on news agencies, TV and public newsletters.[12]
Among other lesser known candidates were Joice Hasselmann (PSL), Andrea Matarazzo (PSD), Marina Helou (REDE), Levy Fidelix (PRTB), Orlando Silva (PCdoB), Antonio Carlos (PCO) and Vera Lúcia (PSTU).[13]
Filipe Sabará was nominated candidate for the New Party (NOVO), but later he would be expelled from the party due to alleged inconsistencies in his curriculum, violating the party's code of ethics. Ultimately, the Regional Electoral Tribunal of São Paulo, at the party's request, ruled to extinguish his candidacy and the end of his campaign after his vice candidate Maria Helena declined to continue running.[14]
Amidst the COVID-19 Pandemic, the city recorded the highest abstention rate ever, with around 29.29% of voters abstaining from voting in the first round, and around 30,78% of voters abstaining from voting in the second round, also resulting in one of the lowest turnouts seen for the municipal elections of São Paulo.[15]
| Party | Candidate | Most relevant political office or occupation | Party | Running mate | Coalition | Electoral number | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB) | Bruno Covas | Mayor of São Paulo (2018–2021) | Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) | Ricardo Nunes | All for São Paulo
| 45 | |||
| Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) | Guilherme Boulos | Professor, activist and writer | Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) | Luiza Erundina | To Turn the Tide
| 50 | |||
| Party | Candidate | Most relevant political office or occupation | Party | Running mate | Coalition | Electoral number | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republicanos | Celso Russomanno | Member of the Chamber of Deputies (since 2015) | Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) | Marcos da Costa | Alliance for São Paulo | 10 | ||||
| Workers' Party (PT) | Jilmar Tatto | Secretary of Transports of São Paulo (2013–2017) | Workers' Party (PT) | Carlos Zarattini | 13 | |||||
| United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU) | Vera Lúcia Salgado | Labour organizer | United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU) | Lucas Nizuma | 16 | |||||
| Social Liberal Party (PSL) | Joice Hasselmann | Member of the Chamber of Deputies (2019–2023) | Social Liberal Party (PSL) | Ivan Sayeg | SP Deserves More
| 17 | ||||
| Sustainability Network (REDE) | Marina Helou | Member of the Legislative Assembly of São Paulo (since 2019) | Sustainability Network (REDE) | Marco DiPreto | 18 | |||||
| < | -- NFCC violation removed -->Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB) | Levy Fidelix | PRTB National President (1994–2021) | < | -- NFCC violation removed -->Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB) | Jairo Glikson | 28 | |||
| Workers' Cause Party (PCO) | Antonio Carlos | Member of PCO National Executive | Workers' Cause Party (PCO) | Henrique Áreas | 29 | |||||
| Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) | Márcio França | Governor of São Paulo (2018–2019) | Democratic Labour Party (PDT) | Antonio Neto | Here We Have Word | 40 | ||||
| Patriota | Arthur do Val | Member of Legislative Assembly of São Paulo (2019–2022) | Patriota | Adelaide Oliveira | 51 | |||||
| Social Democratic Party (PSD) | Andrea Matarazzo | Member of the Municipal Chamber of São Paulo (2013–2017) | Social Democratic Party (PSD) | Marta Costa | 55 | |||||
| Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB) | Orlando Silva | Member of the Chamber of Deputies (since 2015) | Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB) | Andrea Barcelos | 65 | |||||
| 2020 São Paulo mayoral election debates | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style=white-space:nowrap | Date | Host and Location | Moderator | Participants | ||||||||||||||||||
| Key: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | PSB | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | ||||||||||
| Boulos | Covas | França | Hasselmann | Helou | Matarazzo | Russomanno | Sabará | Tatto | Silva | Val | ||||||||||||
| 1.1 | Wednesday, 1 October 2020 | Band TV São Paulo, Morumbi | Eduardo Oinegue | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1.2 | Friday, 6 November 2020 | Veja & ESPM São Paulo, Vila Mariana | Ricardo Ferraz | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1.3 | Tuesday, 10 November 2020 | O Estado de S. Paulo & FAAP São Paulo, Consolação | Vera Magalhães | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1.4 | Wednesday, 11 November 2020 | UOL & Folha de S. Paulo São Paulo, Pinheiros | Luciana Coelho Thais Oyama | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1.5 | Thursday, 12 November 2020 | TV Cultura São Paulo, Latin America Memorial | Leão Serva | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2.1 | Monday, 16 November 2020 | CNN Brazil Brazilian Financial Center, Paulista Avenue | Monalisa Perrone | rowspan=3 colspan=9 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2.2 | Thursday, 19 November 2020 | Band TV São Paulo, Morumbi | Eduardo Oinegue | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2.3 | Monday, 26 November 2020 | TV Cultura São Paulo, Lapa | Vera Magalhães |
The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:
| Affiliation | Members | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type=number style="width: 80px;" | Elected[49] | Current | ||
| 8 | 12 | |||
| 8 | 9 | |||
| 4 | 4 | |||
| 6 | 6 | |||
| 3 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | |||
| 6 | 2 | |||
| 0 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 0 | |||
| 1 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 1 | |||
| Total | 55 | |||
| Active candidates | |
| Bruno Covas (PSDB) | |
| Celso Russomanno (REP) | |
| Guilherme Boulos (PSOL) | |
| Márcio França (PSB) | |
| Others | |
| Abstentions/Undecided |
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Covas | Russomanno | Boulos | França | Matarazzo | Tatto | Val | Hasselmann | Fidelix | Lúcia | Silva | Carlos | Sabará | Helou | Abst. Undec. | Lead | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | ||||||||||||||
| 2020 Election | 15 Nov | 5,338,156 | 32.85% | 10.50% | 20.24% | 13.64% | 1.55% | 8.65% | 9.78% | 1.84% | 0.22% | 0.06% | 0.23% | 0.01% | – | 0.41% | 15.98% | 12.61% | |||||||||
| Ibope (exit poll) | 15 Nov | 6,000 | 29% | 7% | 22% | 11% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | 1% | 13% | 7% | |||||||||
| Ibope | 12–14 Nov | 1,204 | 33% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | – | 1% | 13% | 19% | |||||||||
| Datafolha | 13–14 Nov | 2,987 | 33% | 11% | 15% | 12% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – | 1% | 12% | 18% | |||||||||
| RealTime Big Data/CNN Brasil | 12–13 Nov | 1,200 | 31% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | – | 0% | 12% | 16% | |||||||||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 10–12 Nov | 1,000 | 30.8% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 2,4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | – | 0.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% | |||||||||
| Datafolha | 9–10 Nov | 1,092 | 32% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – | 1% | 10% | 16% | |||||||||
| Ibope | 7–9 Nov | 1,204 | 32% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | – | <1% | 16% | 20% | |||||||||
| Datafolha | 3–4 Nov | 1,260 | 28% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | – | 1% | 12% | 12% | |||||||||
| XP/Ipespe | 2–3 Nov | 800 | 26% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | – | 0% | 18% | 7% | |||||||||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 29 Oct–1 Nov | 1,000 | 25.6% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | – | 0.4% | 16.3% | 6.1% | |||||||||
| Ibope | 28–30 Oct | 1,204 | 26% | 20% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 15% | 6% | |||||||||
| XP/Ipespe | 26–27 Oct | 800 | 27% | 22% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 5% | |||||||||
| 26 Oct | Filipe Sabará's candidacy is denied by the Regional Electoral Court of São Paulo, due to his expulsion from New Party.[50] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Datafolha | 20–21 Oct | 1,204 | 23% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 16% | 3% | |||||||||
| RealTime Big Data | 14–17 Oct | 1,050 | 24% | 25% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 19% | 1% | |||||||||
| Ibope | 13–15 Oct | 1,001 | 22% | 25% | 10% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 24% | 3% | |||||||||
| Datafolha | 5–6 Oct | 1,092 | 21% | 27% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 6% | |||||||||
| Ibope | 30 Sep–1 Oct | 805 | 21% | 26% | 8% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 28% | 5% | |||||||||
| Exame/Ideia | 19–22 Sep | 800 | 22% | 21% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 1% | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Russomanno | Datena | Skaf | França | Suplicy | Covas | Doria | Hasselmann | Boulos | Bomfim | Erundina | Matarazzo | Amaral | Tatto | Haddad | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | |||||||||||||||
| Datafolha | 21–22 Sep | 1,092 | 29.0% | – | – | 8% | 20% | – | 1% | 9% | – | – | 2% | – | 2% | – | 8% | 21% | 9.0% | ||||||||||
| Ibope | 14–20 Sep | 1,001 | 24.0% | – | – | 6.0% | 18.0% | – | 2.0% | 8.0% | – | – | 1.0% | – | 1.0% | – | 4.0% | 33.0% | 6.0% | ||||||||||
| Consultoria Atlas | 26 Aug–1 Sep | 1,514 | 12.3% | – | – | 11.5% | 4.2% | 16.0% | – | 2.1% | 12.4% | – | – | 2.1% | – | 2.1% | – | 3.8% | 24.9% | 4.4% | |||||||||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 15–19 Aug | 1,100 | 20.5% | – | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 20.1% | – | 1% | 6.2% | – | – | 2.1% | – | 2.3% | – | 5.5% | 16.9% | 0.4% | |||||||||
| RealTimeBigData | 12–13 Aug | 1,200 | 22% | – | – | 7% | 7% | 26% | – | 1% | 7% | – | – | 3% | – | 3% | – | 3% | 21% | 4% | |||||||||
| 23% | – | – | 8% | – | 27% | – | 1% | 7% | – | – | 5% | – | 3% | – | 3% | 23% | 4% | ||||||||||||
| Instituto Ideia Big Data | 14 Jul | 1,009 | – | – | – | 16% | 9% | 30% | – | 3% | 11% | – | – | 2% | – | 1% | – | – | – | 14% | |||||||||
| – | – | – | 15% | 11% | 31% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | 16% | ||||||||||||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 4–8 Jul | 1,200 | 18.3% | 12.9% | – | 7.8% | 6.5% | 22.6% | – | 1.3% | 5.7% | – | – | 3.8% | – | 2.1% | – | 4.3% | 14.9% | 4.3% | |||||||||
| 20.0% | – | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 22.8% | – | 1.3% | 5.5% | – | – | 3.6% | – | 1.9% | – | 3.9% | 16.0% | 2.8% | ||||||||||||
| – | 19.5% | – | 9.4% | 7.6% | 25.9% | – | 1.7% | 6.3% | – | – | 4.4% | – | 2.3% | – | 5.0% | 18.0% | 6.4% | ||||||||||||
| – | – | – | 12.6% | – | 33.6% | – | 2.4% | 7.2% | – | – | 6.8% | – | 3.3% | – | 7.7% | 26.5% | 11.0% | ||||||||||||
| Ibope | 17–19 Mar | 1,001 | 24% | – | – | 9% | – | 18% | – | 2% | 6% | – | – | 3% | – | 2% | – | 3% | 34% | 6% | |||||||||
| Badra | 8–10 Jan | 2,408 | 16.0% | 7.6% | – | 9% | 13.0% | 11.2% | – | 1.5% | 4.3% | – | – | 1.7% | 1.4% | 4.0% | – | 3.8% | 27.6% | 3% | |||||||||
| 2016 election | 2 Oct | – | 13.64% | – | – | – | 10.14% | – | 53.29% | – | – | – | 3.18% | – | – | – | 16.7% | 3.04% | 16.64 | 36.59% |
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Russomanno | Datena | França | Suplicy | Covas | Doria | Hasselmann | Boulos | Erundina | Matarazzo | Amaral | Tatto | Haddad | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | |||||||||||||
| XP/Ipespe | 30 Sep–2 Oct | 1,000 | 19% | 22% | – | 11% | 10% | – | 7% | – | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | – | 3% | |||||||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 20–24 Sep | 1,220 | 22.1% | 11.6% | – | – | 9.6% | – | 7.2% | 4.2% | – | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | – | 0.6% | 16.1 | 10.5% | |||||||
| 30.7% | – | 13.3% | – | 12.0% | – | 8.1% | 4.5% | – | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | – | 1.3% | 20.9% | 7.4% | ||||||||||
| 22.4% | 21.3% | 12.0% | – | 9.6% | – | 7.2% | 4.7% | – | 2.7% | 2.9% | – | – | 0.9% | 16.3% | 1.1% | ||||||||||
| 2016 election | 2 Oct | – | 13.64% | – | – | 10.14% | – | 53.29% | – | – | 3.18% | – | – | – | 16.7% | 3.04% | 16.64 | 36.59% |
| Active candidates | |
| Bruno Covas (PSDB) | |
| Guilherme Boulos (PSOL) |
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Covas | Boulos | Abst. Undec. | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | ||||||
| 2020 election | 29 Nov | – | 59.38% | 40.62 | – | 18.76% | |
| Valid votes | |||||||
| Ibope | 27–28 Nov | 1,204 | 57% | 43% | – | 14% | |
| Datafolha | 27–28 Nov | 3,047 | 55% | 45% | – | 10% | |
| Real Time Big Data | 25–26 Nov | 1,000 | 54% | 46% | – | 8% | |
| Datafolha | 24–25 Nov | 1,512 | 54% | 46% | – | 8% | |
| Ibope | 23–25 Nov | 1,001 | 57% | 43% | – | 14% | |
| Datafolha | 23 Nov | 1,260 | 55% | 45% | – | 10% | |
| Datafolha | 17–18 Nov | 1,254 | 58% | 42% | – | 16% | |
| Ibope | 16–18 Nov | 1,001 | 58% | 42% | – | 16% | |
| Exame/Ideia | 16–17 Nov | 800 | 64% | 36% | – | 28% | |
| XP/Ipespe | 16–17 Nov | 800 | 60% | 40% | – | 20% | |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 16–17 Nov | 1,000 | 61.5% | 38.5% | – | 23% | |
| Real Time Big Data | 16–17 Nov | 1,050 | 60% | 40% | – | 20% | |
| Total votes | |||||||
| Ibope | 27–28 Nov | 1,204 | 48% | 36% | 17% | 12% | |
| Datafolha | 27–28 Nov | 3,047 | 48% | 39% | 9% | 9% | |
| Real Time Big Data | 25–26 Nov | 1,000 | 49% | 41% | 10% | 8% | |
| Datafolha | 24–25 Nov | 1,512 | 47% | 40% | 13% | 7% | |
| XP/Ipespe | 24–25 Nov | 800 | 48% | 41% | 8% | 7% | |
| Ibope | 23–25 Nov | 1,001 | 48% | 37% | 15% | 11% | |
| Datafolha | 23 Nov | 1,260 | 48% | 40% | 12% | 8% | |
| Datafolha | 17–18 Nov | 1,254 | 48% | 35% | 17% | 13% | |
| Ibope | 16–18 Nov | 1,001 | 47% | 35% | 18% | 12% | |
| Exame/Ideia | 16–17 Nov | 800 | 56% | 31% | 13% | 25% | |
| XP/Ipespe | 16–17 Nov | 800 | 48% | 32% | 20% | 14% | |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 16–17 Nov | 1,000 | 50% | 32% | 18% | 18% | |
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Covas | Russomanno | Boulos | França | Abst. Undec. | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | ||||||
| Ibope | 12–14 Nov | 1,204 | 53% | – | 26% | – | 21% | 27% | |
| 46% | – | – | 34% | 20% | 12% | ||||
| 56% | 23% | – | – | 21% | 35% | ||||
| Datafolha | 13–14 Nov | 2,987 | 57% | – | 30% | – | 14% | 27% | |
| 51% | – | – | 36% | 13% | 15% | ||||
| 63% | 21% | – | – | 16% | 42% | ||||
| RealTime Big Data/CNN Brasil | 12–13 Nov | 1,200 | 48% | – | – | 31% | 20% | 19% | |
| 50% | – | 30% | – | 20% | 20% | ||||
| 51% | 22% | – | – | 27% | 28% | ||||
| Datafolha | 9–10 Nov | 1,096 | 59% | 25% | – | – | 16% | 34% | |
| 56% | – | 30% | – | 14% | 26% | ||||
| 53% | – | – | 34% | 14% | 19% | ||||
| Ibope | 7–9 Nov | 1,204 | 52% | – | 24% | – | 24% | 28% | |
| 54% | 22% | – | – | 25% | 32% | ||||
| 47% | – | – | 30% | 23% | 17% | ||||
| – | 36% | 32% | – | 32% | 4% | ||||
| – | – | 24% | 45% | 30% | 21% | ||||
| – | 27% | – | 45% | 28% | 18% | ||||
| Datafolha | 3–4 Nov | 1,260 | 57% | 27% | – | – | 16% | 30% | |
| 54% | – | 32% | – | 13% | 22% | ||||
| 48% | – | – | 32% | 14% | 16% | ||||
| – | 39% | 41% | – | 20% | 2% | ||||
| Ibope | 28–30 Oct | 1,204 | – | – | 26% | 48% | 26% | 22% | |
| – | 34% | – | 43% | 23% | 9% | ||||
| – | 43% | 31% | – | 26% | 12% | ||||
| 45% | – | – | 34% | 21% | 11% | ||||
| 51% | – | 26% | – | 23% | 25% | ||||
| 47% | 31% | – | – | 22% | 16% | ||||
| Datafolha | 20–21 Oct | 1,204 | 48% | 36% | – | – | 14% | 12% | |
| Ibope | 13–15 Oct | 1,001 | 40% | 39% | – | – | 21% | 1% | |
| Datafolha | 5–6 Oct | 1,092 | 40% | 46% | – | – | 13% | 6% |