2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary explained

Election Name:2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 Michigan Democratic presidential primary
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2024 Michigan Democratic presidential primary
Next Year:2024
Election Date:March 10, 2020
Outgoing Members:ID
Elected Members:MS
Votes For Election:147 delegates (125 pledged, 22 unpledged)
to the Democratic National Convention
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
Candidate1:Joe Biden
Color1:224192
Home State1:Delaware
Delegate Count1:73
Popular Vote1:840,360
Percentage1:52.9%
Candidate2:Bernie Sanders
Color2:228b22
Home State2:Vermont
Delegate Count2:52
Popular Vote2:576,926
Percentage2:36.3%
Map Size:300px

The 2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary took place on March 10, 2020, as one of several states voting the week after Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The Michigan primary was an open primary,[1] with the state awarding 147 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 125 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Former vice president Joe Biden decisively won the primary and every county in the state, getting almost 53% of the vote and 73 delegates. Senator Bernie Sanders received around 36% of the vote and 52 delegates, marking a clear regression in support for him from 2016, when he edged out Hillary Clinton by 1.42% and won 73 of the state's 83 counties.[2] Biden's victory was powered by support from African Americans, older voters, working class voters, and moderate voters.[3]

Despite losing every county and almost all municipalities, Sanders was still able to win some of the major cities in the state including: Ann Arbor, Dearborn, Grand Rapids, Lansing and Kalamazoo.[4]

Procedure

Michigan was one of six states (along with Democrats Abroad) which held primaries on March 10, 2020, one week after Super Tuesday.[5] Voting took place throughout the state from 7:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m. local time. In the open primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 125 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 4 and 9[6] were allocated to each of the state's 14 congressional districts and another 16 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 27 at-large delegates.[7] The March primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on a March date.[8]

After district conventions on May 16, 2020, during which district-level delegates were selected, the state central committee meeting subsequently was held on June 13, 2020, to vote on the 27 at-large and 16 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention. The delegation also included 22 unpledged PLEO delegates: 12 members of the Democratic National Committee, 9 members of Congress (both senators and 7 representatives), and the governor Gretchen Whitmer.[7]

Pledged national
convention
delegates
TypeType
CD15CD86
CD25CD97
CD35CD104
CD44CD117
CD56CD127
CD65CD137
CD75CD149
27At-large16
Total pledged delegates125

Candidates

The following people have been included on the list issued by the Michigan Secretary of State for the presidential primary.[9]

Running

Withdrawn

There was also an uncommitted option on the ballot.[10]

Polling

Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate updatedDates polledJoe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Tulsi
Gabbard
Other/
Undecided
270 to Win[11] Mar 10, 2020Mar 4–9, 202057.0%32.3%1.3%9.4%
RealClear Politics[12] Mar 10, 2020Mar 4–9, 202055.7%33.3%1.3%9.7%
FiveThirtyEight[13] Mar 10, 2020until Mar 9, 202055.3%31.9%1.2%11.6%
Average56.0%32.5%1.3%10.2%
Michigan primary results (March 10, 2020)52.9%36.4%0.6%10.1%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Michigan Democratic primary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
OtherUndecided
Swayable[14] Mar 9, 20203,126 (LV)± 3.0%62%28%10%
AtlasIntel[15] Mar 7–9, 2020528 (LV)± 4.0%48%3%40%1%3% 5%
Data for Progress[16] Mar 7–9, 2020320 (LV)± 5.5%59%38%2%
Mitchell Research & Communications[17] Mar 8, 2020602 (LV)± 4.0%54%1%1%1%33%3%3% 5%
Target Insyght[18] Mar 8, 2020600 (LV)± 4.0%65%2%1%24%3%3% 1%
Concord Public Opinion Partners/
The Welcome Party[19]
Mar 7–8, 2020305 (LV)54%23%1% 22%
YouGov/Yahoo News[20] Mar 6–8, 2020–(RV)± 5.8%54%42%
Monmouth University[21] Mar 5–8, 2020411 (LV)± 4.8%51%3%<1%<1%36%1%7% 2%
ROI Rocket[22] Mar 4–8, 20201,000 (LV)± 3.1%55%45%
The Progress Campaign (D)[23] https://twitter.com/OurProgressHQ/status/1237164482226540544Mar 3–7, 2020417 (RV)± 4.7%51%44%1%4%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[24] Mar 4–6, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%51%27%9%13%
Mar 5, 2020Warren withdraws from the race
Mar 4, 2020Bloomberg withdraws from the race
Mar 2, 2020Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Mar 1, 2020Buttigieg withdraws from the race
GlenGariff Group Inc./Detroit News/WDIV-TV[25] Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2020600 (LV)± 4.0%29%11%6%3%23%7%6% 16%
Feb 29, 2020South Carolina primary
Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[26] Feb 11–20, 2020662 (LV)16%13%11%8%25%13%14%
Feb 11, 2020New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland
University/Ohio Northern University[27]
Jan 8–20, 2020477 (RV)27%9.1%6.3%1.9%21.6%13.6%3.5%5.3%10.6%
Jan 13, 2020Booker withdraws from the race
Dec 3, 2019Harris withdraws from the race
Nov 24, 2019Bloomberg announces his candidacy
Emerson College[28] Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019454± 4.6%34%3%8%3%0%28%19%2%3%
Nov 1, 2019O'Rourke withdraws from the race
Siena Research/New York Times[29] Oct 13–26, 201920330%0%3%0%1%0%17%21%1%1%23%
Kaiser Family Foundation[30] Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019208 (LV)19%1%7%2%1%1%15%25%1%0%27%
Denno Research[31] Sep 21–24, 201921727%1%4%4%1%1%12%23%1%4%23%
Climate Nexus[32] Jul 14–17, 2019324 (LV)35%2%4%8%1%1%16%14%1%2%13%
Zogby Analytics[33] May 23–29, 2019268± 6.0%27%1%9%7%1%4%18%8%2%5%
Denno Research[34] May 8–10, 201923537%3%5%4%1%1%16%9%0%4%23%
Apr 25, 2019Biden announces his candidacy
Apr 14, 2019Buttigieg announces his candidacy
Mar 14, 2019O'Rourke announces his candidacy
Emerson College[35] Mar 7–10, 2019317± 5.5%40%3%0%12%5%2%23%11%4%

Results

|+ style="background-color:#f2f2f2;margin-bottom:-1px;border:1px solid #aaa;padding:0.2em 0.4em;" | 2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary[36] ! Candidate! Votes! %! Delegates[37] |-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Biden, Joe" | Joe Biden| 840,360| 52.93| 73|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Sanders, Bernie" | Bernie Sanders| 576,926| 36.34| 52 |-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Bloomberg, Michael" | Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)| 73,464| 4.63| rowspan=14 |-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Warren, Elizabeth" | Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)| 26,148| 1.65|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Buttigieg, Pete" |Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)| 22,462| 1.41|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Klobuchar, Amy" |Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)| 11,018| 0.69|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Gabbard, Tulsi" | Tulsi Gabbard| 9,461| 0.60|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Yang, Andrew" | Andrew Yang (withdrawn)| 2,380| 0.15|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Steyer, Tom" |Tom Steyer (withdrawn)| 1,732| 0.11|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Bennet, Michael" |Michael Bennet (withdrawn)| 1,536| 0.10|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Booker, Cory" | Cory Booker (withdrawn)| 840| 0.05|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Sestak, Joe" | Joe Sestak (withdrawn)| 757| 0.05|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Williamson, Marianne" | Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)| 719| 0.05|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Delaney, John" |John Delaney (withdrawn)| 464| 0.03|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Castro, Julian" | Julian Castro (withdrawn)| 306| 0.02|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="ZZ" | Uncommitted| 19,106| 1.20|-! Total! 1,587,679! 100%! 125|}

See also

Notes

Additional candidates

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Election 2020 — Democratic Delegate Count . March 10, 2020 . Real Clear Politics . March 10, 2020.
  2. News: Live Primary Election Results: Michigan, Washington and More. New York Times. March 10, 2020 . March 10, 2020.
  3. News: Live results: 2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary. 2021-02-21. Washington Post. en.
  4. Web site: 20 Presidential Election Results - Michigan. en.
  5. Web site: Putnam. Josh. The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar. Frontloading HQ. June 23, 2019.
  6. Web site: 2020 Delegate Selection Plan FINAL . Michigan Democratic Party . March 5, 2020.
  7. Web site: Michigan Democratic Delegation 2020. The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. June 23, 2019.
  8. Web site: Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses. The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. March 19, 2022.
  9. Web site: SOS—Upcoming Elections . Michigan Secretary of State. January 29, 2021. March 28, 2022.
  10. Web site: Michigan Secretary of State issues 2020 presidential primary candidate list. Malachi. Barrett. November 8, 2019. March 29, 2022. mlive.
  11. https://www.270towin.com/2020-democratic-nomination/michigan-primary 270 to Win
  12. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/mi/michigan_democratic_presidential_primary-6835.html RealClear Politics
  13. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/michigan/ FiveThirtyEight
  14. https://swayable.com/insights/democratic-primaries-2020-mini-tuesday-polling Swayable
  15. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200309_MI.pdf AtlasIntel
  16. https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2020/3/9/biden-ahead-mi-id Data for Progress
  17. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Mitchell_Poll_of_MI_Dem_Pres_Primary_Press_Release_3-8-20.pdf Mitchell Research & Communications
  18. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Target_Insyght_Michigan_Dem_Primary_March_9_2020.pdf Target Insyght
  19. https://twitter.com/WelcomePartyNow/status/1237026009410650113 Concord Public Opinion Partners/
    The Welcome Party
  20. https://news.yahoo.com/new-yahoo-news-you-gov-poll-shows-biden-crushing-sanders-in-michigan-and-other-battleground-states-ahead-of-tuesdays-primary-180347138.html YouGov/Yahoo News
  21. https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_mi_030920.pdf/ Monmouth University
  22. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/new-poll-biden-leads-in-michigan-on-eve-of-primary-despite-key-weaknesses-301020034.html ROI Rocket
  23. https://becd085d-5f24-4974-b9b5-73518197155a.filesusr.com/ugd/83fab9_40b46a64ab2644bca660fc3191272736.pdf The Progress Campaign (D)
  24. https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/03/09/polls-joe-biden-holds-lead-over-bernie-sanders-michigan-primaries/4994142002/ EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press
  25. https://www.scribd.com/document/450004461/Michigan-Democratic-primary-poll-results GlenGariff Group Inc./Detroit News/WDIV-TV
  26. https://news.wisc.edu/battleground-state-poll-1/ YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison
  27. https://www.bw.edu/Assets/community-research-institute/2020-great-lakes-poll-full-FINAL.pdf Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland
    University/Ohio Northern University
  28. https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/michigan-2020-democrats-aim-to-take-back-the-state Emerson College
  29. https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/08/us/politics/democrats-poll-moderates-battleground.html Siena Research/New York Times
  30. http://files.kff.org/attachment/TOPLINE-Blue-Wall-Voices-Project Kaiser Family Foundation
  31. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1O-27Ag7vLvHJ7GNkXIVWIEGMFBV6NrwH/view Denno Research
  32. https://web.archive.org/web/20191208172620/https://climatenexus.org/wp-content/uploads/Michigan-Poll-Toplines-PR1916.pdf Climate Nexus
  33. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20190615_National.xlsx Zogby Analytics
  34. http://www.vanguard-pa.com/single-post/2019/05/24/poll-by-Vanguard-and-Denno-Research Denno Research
  35. http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ Emerson College
  36. Web site: 2020 Michigan Election Results . Michigan Secretary of State . June 11, 2020 . en-us.
  37. Web site: Associated Press Election Services - Delegate Tracker . . November 23, 2022.