Election Name: | 2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary |
Country: | Michigan |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2016 Michigan Democratic presidential primary |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2024 Michigan Democratic presidential primary |
Next Year: | 2024 |
Election Date: | March 10, 2020 |
Outgoing Members: | ID |
Elected Members: | MS |
Votes For Election: | 147 delegates (125 pledged, 22 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote |
Candidate1: | Joe Biden |
Color1: | 224192 |
Home State1: | Delaware |
Delegate Count1: | 73 |
Popular Vote1: | 840,360 |
Percentage1: | 52.9% |
Candidate2: | Bernie Sanders |
Color2: | 228b22 |
Home State2: | Vermont |
Delegate Count2: | 52 |
Popular Vote2: | 576,926 |
Percentage2: | 36.3% |
Map Size: | 300px |
The 2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary took place on March 10, 2020, as one of several states voting the week after Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The Michigan primary was an open primary,[1] with the state awarding 147 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 125 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.
Former vice president Joe Biden decisively won the primary and every county in the state, getting almost 53% of the vote and 73 delegates. Senator Bernie Sanders received around 36% of the vote and 52 delegates, marking a clear regression in support for him from 2016, when he edged out Hillary Clinton by 1.42% and won 73 of the state's 83 counties.[2] Biden's victory was powered by support from African Americans, older voters, working class voters, and moderate voters.[3]
Despite losing every county and almost all municipalities, Sanders was still able to win some of the major cities in the state including: Ann Arbor, Dearborn, Grand Rapids, Lansing and Kalamazoo.[4]
Michigan was one of six states (along with Democrats Abroad) which held primaries on March 10, 2020, one week after Super Tuesday.[5] Voting took place throughout the state from 7:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m. local time. In the open primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 125 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 4 and 9[6] were allocated to each of the state's 14 congressional districts and another 16 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 27 at-large delegates.[7] The March primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on a March date.[8]
After district conventions on May 16, 2020, during which district-level delegates were selected, the state central committee meeting subsequently was held on June 13, 2020, to vote on the 27 at-large and 16 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention. The delegation also included 22 unpledged PLEO delegates: 12 members of the Democratic National Committee, 9 members of Congress (both senators and 7 representatives), and the governor Gretchen Whitmer.[7]
Pledged national convention delegates | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Type | Type | |||
CD1 | 5 | CD8 | 6 | |
CD2 | 5 | CD9 | 7 | |
CD3 | 5 | CD10 | 4 | |
CD4 | 4 | CD11 | 7 | |
CD5 | 6 | CD12 | 7 | |
CD6 | 5 | CD13 | 7 | |
CD7 | 5 | CD14 | 9 | |
27 | At-large | 16 | ||
Total pledged delegates | 125 |
The following people have been included on the list issued by the Michigan Secretary of State for the presidential primary.[9]
Running
Withdrawn
There was also an uncommitted option on the ballot.[10]
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Joe Biden | Bernie Sanders | Tulsi Gabbard | Other/ Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[11] | Mar 10, 2020 | Mar 4–9, 2020 | 57.0% | 32.3% | 1.3% | 9.4% | ||
RealClear Politics[12] | Mar 10, 2020 | Mar 4–9, 2020 | 55.7% | 33.3% | 1.3% | 9.7% | ||
FiveThirtyEight[13] | Mar 10, 2020 | until Mar 9, 2020 | 55.3% | 31.9% | 1.2% | 11.6% | ||
Average | 56.0% | 32.5% | 1.3% | 10.2% | ||||
Michigan primary results (March 10, 2020) | 52.9% | 36.4% | 0.6% | 10.1% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Michigan Democratic primary | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided | ||
Swayable[14] | Mar 9, 2020 | 3,126 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 62% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | 10% | – | ||
AtlasIntel[15] | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 528 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 3% | – | – | – | – | – | 40% | 1% | – | 3% | 5% | ||
Data for Progress[16] | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 320 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | 2% | – | ||
Mitchell Research & Communications[17] | Mar 8, 2020 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 1% | – | 1% | – | 1% | – | 33% | 3% | – | 3% | 5% | ||
Target Insyght[18] | Mar 8, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 65% | 2% | – | – | – | 1% | – | 24% | 3% | – | 3% | 1% | ||
Concord Public Opinion Partners/ The Welcome Party[19] | Mar 7–8, 2020 | 305 (LV) | – | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23% | – | – | 1% | 22% | ||
YouGov/Yahoo News[20] | Mar 6–8, 2020 | –(RV) | ± 5.8% | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | ||
Monmouth University[21] | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 411 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 51% | 3% | – | <1% | – | <1% | – | 36% | 1% | – | 7% | 2% | ||
ROI Rocket[22] | Mar 4–8, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | ||
The Progress Campaign (D)[23] https://twitter.com/OurProgressHQ/status/1237164482226540544 | Mar 3–7, 2020 | 417 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | – | 1% | 4% | ||
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[24] | Mar 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27% | – | – | 9% | 13% | ||
Warren withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||||
GlenGariff Group Inc./Detroit News/WDIV-TV[25] | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 11% | – | 6% | – | 3% | – | 23% | 7% | – | 6% | 16% | ||
South Carolina primary
| |||||||||||||||||
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[26] | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 662 (LV) | – | 16% | 13% | – | 11% | – | 8% | – | 25% | 13% | – | – | 14% | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University[27] | Jan 8–20, 2020 | 477 (RV) | – | 27% | 9.1% | – | 6.3% | – | 1.9% | – | 21.6% | 13.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 10.6% | ||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||||
Emerson College[28] | Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 454 | ± 4.6% | 34% | – | 3% | 8% | 3% | 0% | – | 28% | 19% | 2% | 3% | – | ||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||||
Siena Research/New York Times[29] | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 203 | – | 30% | – | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 17% | 21% | 1% | 1% | 23% | ||
Kaiser Family Foundation[30] | Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 | 208 (LV) | – | 19% | – | 1% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 15% | 25% | 1% | 0% | 27% | ||
Denno Research[31] | Sep 21–24, 2019 | 217 | – | 27% | – | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 23% | 1% | 4% | 23% | ||
Climate Nexus[32] | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 324 (LV) | – | 35% | – | 2% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 14% | 1% | 2% | 13% | ||
Zogby Analytics[33] | May 23–29, 2019 | 268 | ± 6.0% | 27% | – | 1% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 8% | 2% | 5% | – | ||
Denno Research[34] | May 8–10, 2019 | 235 | – | 37% | – | 3% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 9% | 0% | 4% | 23% | ||
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||||
Emerson College[35] | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 317 | ± 5.5% | 40% | – | 3% | 0% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 23% | 11% | – | 4% | – |
|+ style="background-color:#f2f2f2;margin-bottom:-1px;border:1px solid #aaa;padding:0.2em 0.4em;" | 2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary[36] ! Candidate! Votes! %! Delegates[37] |-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Biden, Joe" | Joe Biden| 840,360| 52.93| 73|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Sanders, Bernie" | Bernie Sanders| 576,926| 36.34| 52 |-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Bloomberg, Michael" | Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)| 73,464| 4.63| rowspan=14 |-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Warren, Elizabeth" | Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)| 26,148| 1.65|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Buttigieg, Pete" |Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)| 22,462| 1.41|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Klobuchar, Amy" |Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)| 11,018| 0.69|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Gabbard, Tulsi" | Tulsi Gabbard| 9,461| 0.60|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Yang, Andrew" | Andrew Yang (withdrawn)| 2,380| 0.15|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Steyer, Tom" |Tom Steyer (withdrawn)| 1,732| 0.11|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Bennet, Michael" |Michael Bennet (withdrawn)| 1,536| 0.10|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Booker, Cory" | Cory Booker (withdrawn)| 840| 0.05|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Sestak, Joe" | Joe Sestak (withdrawn)| 757| 0.05|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Williamson, Marianne" | Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)| 719| 0.05|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Delaney, John" |John Delaney (withdrawn)| 464| 0.03|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Castro, Julian" | Julian Castro (withdrawn)| 306| 0.02|-| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="ZZ" | Uncommitted| 19,106| 1.20|-! Total! 1,587,679! 100%! 125|}
Additional candidates