2020 Kaohsiung mayoral by-election explained

Election Name:2020 Kaohsiung mayoral by-election
Country:Taiwan
Type:by-election
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 Taiwanese local elections
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2022 Taiwanese local elections
Next Year:2022
Turnout:41.83%
Image1:Chen Chi-mai election infobox.jpg
Nominee1:Chen Chi-mai
Party1:Democratic Progressive Party
Popular Vote1:671,804
Percentage1:70.03%
Nominee2:Li Mei-jhen
Party2:Kuomintang
Popular Vote2:248,478
Percentage2:25.90%
Mayor
Before Party:Independent (politician)
After Election:Chen Chi-mai
After Party:Democratic Progressive Party

The 2020 Kaohsiung mayoral by-election was held on 15 August 2020 following a successful recall attempt.[1] The registered candidates were Chen Chi-mai representing the Democratic Progressive Party, Li Mei-jhen representing the Kuomintang, and Wu Yi-jheng representing the Taiwan People's Party.[2] Chen Chi-mai won the by-election by a landslide margin with slightly over 70 percent of the votes.[3] He replaced acting mayor Yang Ming-jou on 24 August 2020.[4]

Background

The by-election followed a successful recall attempt against Kaohsiung mayor Han Kuo-yu on 6 June 2020. By law, the Central Election Commission (CEC) was mandated to announce the results of the recall vote within seven days of the vote itself. The law also required the CEC to hold a by-election no later than 11 September 2020, three months after the results of the recall were publicly announced.[5] [6] The CEC confirmed the result on 12 June and announced that the by-election would be held on 15 August.[7]

Procedures and timetable

Han Kuo-yu is barred, by law, from contesting the Kaohsiung mayoralty for four years as a result of the successful recall petition.[8] [9]

Registration of candidates took place between 20 June and 24 June.[10] The sole debate between all three candidates took place on 1 August.[11] Municipal infrastructure was discussed.[12]

Candidates

Following a meeting of the Central Standing Committee of the Democratic Progressive Party on 17 June 2020, Chen Chi-mai was nominated as the DPP candidate for the by-election.[13] [14] On 23 June 2020, the Kuomintang selected Kaohsiung City Councillor Li Mei-jhen to contest the by-election.[15] Following the Kuomintang's announcement,, a city councilor affiliated with the People First Party, joined the Taiwan People's Party to represent the TPP in the by-election.[16]

Opinion polling

DatePollsterwidth=100pxChen Chi-mai
DPP
width=100pxLi Mei-jhen
KMT
width=100pxWu Yi-jheng
TPP
Leading by
(points)
data-sort-value="2020-08-02" 29 July – 2 August 2020TPP (All Dimensions)[17] 90346.5%12.8%11.5%33.7
data-sort-value="2020-07-30" 30–31 July 2020Formosa[18] 1,07152.4%12.6%5.3%39.8
data-sort-value="2020-07-28" 27–28 July 2020Taiwan Brian Trust[19] 1,08253.7%14.4%8.3%39.3
data-sort-value="2020-07-27" 21–28 July 2020All Dimensions[20] 75039.1%16.0%8.9%23.1
data-sort-value="2020-07-22" 22–24 July 2020TVBS[21] 91955%21%5%34
data-sort-value="2020-07-09" 9–10 July 2020Formosa[22] 1,07052.9%14.3%4.4%38.6
data-sort-value="2020-07-01" 29 June – 1 July 2020TVBS[23] 95354%22%5%32
data-sort-value="2020-06-29" 29–30 June 2020TISR[24] 1,07754.6%14.4%4.0%40.2

Results

Chen Chi-mai won 671,804 of the votes cast on 15 August 2020, a vote share of 70.03%. Li Mei-jhen finished second with 248,478 votes or 25.9%. Wu Yi-jhen claimed 4.06% of the vote, a total of 38,960 ballots. Voter turnout was 41.83%.[25] [26] The Central Election Commission certified Chen's electoral victory on 21 August 2020.[27] On 24 August 2020, Chen replaced acting mayor Yang Ming-jou.[28]

Chen Chi-mai! style="border-bottom:4px solid ;"
%Li Mei-jhen%Wu Yi-jheng%Invalid votesTurnout
Yancheng21,0559,9617,11371.732,38124.014234.274447.31%
Gushan113,53847,24531,79967.5113,31528.271,9904.2214141.61%
Zuoying158,51763,32339,35262.3521,06233.372,7014.2820839.95%
Nanzih151,73362,02942,70069.1216,73027.082,3443.7925540.88%
Sanmin281,098119,05185,12171.7428,43423.975,0914.2940542.35%
Sinsing43,35219,24712,83366.955,13526.791,2006.267944.40%
Cianjin23,64610,4746,95466.672,81126.956656.384444.30%
Lingya142,69662,07841,22266.6516,90327.333,7226.0223143.50%
Cianjhen157,24168,66848,34670.6417,29525.272,8034.1022443.67%
Cijin23,94010,0307,64276.492,08920.912602.603941.90%
Siaogang129,65252,74738,35872.9612,26923.341,9473.7017340.68%
Fongshan294,369121,72082,69868.1933,56127.675,0154.1444641.35%
Linyuan57,68224,01418,14375.894,90520.528583.5910841.63%
Daliao95,14938,96228,35773.049,18023.641,2893.3213640.95%
Dashu35,73915,57911,73875.663,32121.414562.946443.59%
Dashe29,29312,8329,70275.932,63420.614423.465443.81%
Renwu74,50231,30723,30574.746,70821.511,1703.7512442.02%
Niaosong39,03016,81012,00571.624,07624.326814.064843.07%
Gangshan79,25433,52722,85468.459,32727.931,2093.6213742.30%
Ciaotou32,72416,05312,37277.322,98218.646474.045249.06%
Yanchao25,35310,6917,83473.682,48023.323193.005842.17%
Tianliao6,4082,5921,96175.9556121.73602.321040.45%
Alian23,8399,8387,61177.691,90519.442812.874141.27%
Lujhu42,42017,39512,46571.964,05223.398064.657241.01%
Hunei25,1369,7637,40976.192,00820.653073.163938.84%
Qieding25,5439,8947,41975.292,20922.422262.294038.73%
Yong'an11,6984,7453,42072.371,14124.141653.491940.56%
Mituo15,9026,7694,65569.161,86827.752083.093842.57%
Zihguan30,26913,79510,44476.022,84220.694523.295745.57%
Cishan30,75712,6838,79869.673,35926.604723.745441.24%
Meinong34,06213,4357,89559.025,12538.313562.665939.44%
Liouguei10,8683,5142,31966.501,08831.20802.292732.33%
Jiasian5,2221,8631,07758.2273839.89351.891335.68%
Shanlin10,2103,5392,21963.091,22234.75762.162234.66%
Neimen12,5074,5923,07767.241,35729.651423.101636.72%
Maolin1,52453810419.3340374.91315.76035.30%
Taoyuan3,33886224528.4259769.26202.32425.94%
Namasia2,33165723836.3940561.93111.68328.19%

Notes and References

  1. News: 黃欣柏 . 高雄市長補選8/15舉行 本月20至24日受理候選人登記 . 18 January 2022 . Liberty Times Net . 12 June 2020 . Taiwan . zh.
  2. News: 王承中 . 高雄市長補選3人登記 8/15投票 . 18 January 2022 . Central News Agency . 24 June 2020 . Taiwan . zh.
  3. News: 高雄市長補選即時開票 陳其邁67萬1804票當選 . 18 January 2022 . Central News Agency . 15 August 2020 . Taiwan . zh.
  4. News: 侯文婷 . 宣誓就職高雄市長 陳其邁:捲起袖子立刻上工[影] ]. 18 January 2022 . Central News Agency . 24 August 2020 . Taiwan . zh.
  5. News: Huang . Hsin-po . IN FOCUS: Uncertainties remain in Han Kuo-yu recall . 6 June 2020 . Taipei Times . 6 June 2020.
  6. News: Wang . Cheng-chung . Huang . Frances . After mayoral recall vote, Kaohsiung to hold election by Sept. 12 . 6 June 2020 . Central News Agency . 6 June 2020.
  7. News: Wang . Cheng-chung . Hsu . Elizabeth . Kaohsiung mayoral by-election set to be held Aug. 15 . 12 June 2020 . Central News Agency . 12 June 2020.
  8. News: Wei . Katherine . Kaohsiung set to hold mayoral by-election . 8 June 2020 . Straits Times . 8 June 2020.
  9. News: Ku . Chuan . Yeh . Joseph . Han accepts recall decision, won't challenge result . 9 June 2020 . Central News Agency . 9 June 2020.
  10. News: Liu . Chien-pang . Mazzetta . Matthew . Protesters defy Han to rally against Kaohsiung recall vote . 13 June 2020 . Central News Agency . 13 June 2020.
  11. News: Chung . Jake . Kaohsiung policy debate to air . 31 July 2020 . Taipei Times . 31 July 2020.
  12. News: Kaohsiung mayoral candidates face off before by-election . 5 August 2020 . Taipei Times . 3 August 2020.
  13. News: Yen . Su-ping . Ku . Chuan . Yu . Hsiang . Yeh . Joseph . DPP nominates outgoing vice premier for Kaohsiung mayoral by-election . 17 June 2020 . Central News Agency . 17 June 2020.
  14. News: Pan . Jason . DPP selects vice premier to run for Kaohsiung mayor . 18 June 2020 . Taipei Times . 18 June 2020.
  15. News: Wang . Shwu-feng . Kao . Evelyn . KMT picks city councilor Li Mei-jhen for Kaohsiung mayoral by-election . 23 June 2020 . Central News Agency . 23 June 2020.
  16. News: Kuo . Chien-shen . Kao . Evelyn . City councilor Wu Yi-jheng to represent TPP in Kaohsiung mayoral race . 23 June 2020 . Central News Agency . 23 June 2020.
  17. Web site: 操作棄保?民眾黨封關民調:李眉蓁、吳益政可能黃金交叉. 3 August 2020. 3 August 2020. newtalk.tw. zh-tw.
  18. Web site: 美麗島民調:高雄市長補選民調結果. 3 August 2020. 3 August 2020. 美麗島電子報. zh-tw.
  19. Web site: 最新高雄市長補選選情評估. 3 August 2020. 3 August 2020. Taiwan Brian Trust. zh-tw.
  20. Web site: 【高雄補選】學者民調陳其邁獲過半支持 李眉蓁政見會表現恐催動棄保 . 2 August 2020. 4 August 2020. tw.appledaily.com. zh-tw.
  21. Web site: TVBS民調:未受論文風波影響 李眉蓁穩住基本盤. 27 July 2020. 27 July 2020. tvbs.com.tw. zh-tw.
  22. Web site: 美麗島民調:高雄市長補選民調結果. 14 July 2020. 美麗島電子報. zh-tw. 14 July 2020.
  23. Web site: TVBS民調/陳其邁支持度54%狠甩李眉蓁的22% 近五成民眾一定去投票. ETtoday.net. 2 July 2020. 2 July 2020. zh-hant.
  24. Web site: 台湾指标民调》陈其迈支持度破5成 补选压倒性领先李眉蓁40个百分点. Storm Media. 1 July 2020. 1 July 2020. zh-hans.
  25. News: Liu . Kuan-ting . Yeh . Su-ping . Chen . Christie . Huang . Frances . KMT chair vows to win back Kaohsiung mayorship in 2022 . 15 August 2020 . Central News Agency . 15 August 2020.
  26. News: Chen . Chao-fu . Yang . Ssu-jui . Kuo . Chu-chen . Huang . Frances . DPP's Chen Chi-mai wins Kaohsiung by-election by wide margin (update) . 15 August 2020 . Central News Agency . 15 August 2020.
  27. News: Wang . Flor . Yu . Hsiang . Chen confirmed as Kaohsiung mayor-elect . 21 August 2020 . Central News Agency . 21 August 2020.
  28. News: Hou . Wen-ting . Kao . Evelyn . Chen Chi-mai takes up post as Kaohsiung mayor . 24 August 2020 . Central News Agency . 24 August 2020.