2020 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary explained

Election Name:2020 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary
Country:Arkansas
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2024 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary
Next Year:2024
Election Date:March 3, 2020
Outgoing Members:AS
Elected Members:CA
Votes For Election:36 delegates (31 pledged, 5 unpledged)
to the Democratic National Convention
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
Image1:File:Joe Biden February 2020 crop.jpg
Candidate1:Joe Biden
Color1:224192
Home State1:Delaware
Delegate Count1:17
Popular Vote1:93,012
Percentage1:40.6%
Candidate2:Bernie Sanders
Color2:228b22
Home State2:Vermont
Delegate Count2:9
Popular Vote2:51,413
Percentage2:22.4%
Image4:File:Michael Bloomberg by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Candidate4:Michael Bloomberg
Color4:9370db
Home State4:New York
Delegate Count4:5
Popular Vote4:38,312
Percentage4:16.7%
Image5:File:Elizabeth Warren by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Candidate5:Elizabeth Warren
Color5:b61b28
Home State5:Massachusetts
Delegate Count5:0
Popular Vote5:22,971
Percentage5:10.0%
Party Name:no
Map Size:250px

The 2020 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary took place on March 3, 2020, as one of 15 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The Arkansas primary was an open primary, with the state awarding 36 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 31 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Former vice president Joe Biden won every county but Washington County, home to the University of Arkansas, and received 41% of the vote and 17 delegates, far ahead of senator Bernie Sanders' 22% and former mayor Michael Bloomberg's 17%, who won 9 and 5 delegates respectively. Senator Elizabeth Warren did not pass the 15% threshold.

Procedure

Arkansas was one of 14 states and one territory holding primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday",[1] having joined other states on the date after the signing of a bill calling for simultaneous state, local, and presidential primaries on the first Tuesday in March in presidential election years by governor Asa Hutchinson on March 21, 2019.[2]

In the open primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 31 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 4 and 6 were allocated to each of the state's 4 congressional districts and another 4 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 7 at-large delegates. The Super Tuesday primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on the first shared date or on a March date in general.[3]

The congressional district caucus and state conventions were all held virtually on May 30, 2020, as a "first-in-the-nation virtual convention" in Little Rock, to vote on all pledged degates from district-level and statewide level.[4] The delegation also included 5 unpledged PLEO delegates: 5 members of the Democratic National Committee.[5]

Pledged national
convention
delegates
Type
CD14
CD26
CD35
CD45
4
At-large7
Total pledged delegates31

Candidates

The following people have filed for the presidential primary.[6]

Running

Withdrawn

Polling

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate
updated
Dates
polled
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Tulsi
Gabbard
Other/
Undecided
270 to Win[7] March 3, 2020February 6–March 2, 202027.7%22.3%18.7%11.3%0.5%19.5%
RealClear Politics[8] March 3, 2020Insufficient recent polling to supply an average.
FiveThirtyEight[9] March 3, 2020until March 2, 202027.5%21.0%18.1%12.5%0.3%20.6%
Average27.6%21.65%18.4%11.9%0.4%20.05%
Arkansas primary results (March 3, 2020)40.5%16.7%22.4%10.0%0.7%9.7%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Arkansas Democratic Primary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Pete
Buttigieg
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
OtherUndecided
Mar 1–2, 2020Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race
Swayable[10] Mar 1–2, 2020714 (LV)± 6.0%28%25%8%17%10%13%
Data for Progress[11] Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020300 (LV)± 5.6%36%22%2%23%15%2%
The Progress Campaign (D)[12] https://twitter.com/OurProgressHQ/status/1233142058589859868Feb 21–25, 2020209 (RV)± 4.9%17%17%18%19%12%6%10%
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics[13] February 6–7, 2020496 (LV)± 4.3%18.5%19.6%15.5%16.4% 8.9%10.1%11%

Results

2020 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary[14] ! Candidate! Votes! %! Delegates
Joe Biden93,01240.5917
Bernie Sanders51,41322.449
Michael Bloomberg38,31216.725
Elizabeth Warren22,97110.03rowspan="15"
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)7,6493.34
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)7,0093.06
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)2,0530.90
Tulsi Gabbard1,5930.70
Kamala Harris (withdrawn)7150.31
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)7150.31
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)5740.25
Cory Booker (withdrawn)5720.25
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)5010.22
Steve Bullock (withdrawn)4850.21
John Delaney (withdrawn)4430.19
Joe Sestak (withdrawn)4080.18
Julian Castro (withdrawn)3040.13
Other candidate3930.17
Total229,122100%31

Results by county

2020 Arkansas Democratic primary(results per county)[15]
CountyJoe BidenBernie SandersMichael BloombergElizabeth WarrenPete ButtigiegAmy KlobucharTom SteyerTulsi GabbardKamala HarrisAndrew YangMichael BennetCory BookerMarianne WilliamsonSteve BullockJohn DelaneyJoe SestakMosie BoydJulian CastroTotal votes cast
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Arkansas45049.2312513.6815817.29818.86212.30353.83161.75101.0910.1100.0010.1100.0010.1130.3340.4400.0060.6620.22914
Ashley63352.4025320.9413311.01625.13292.40292.4070.5870.5850.4130.2570.5850.41100.83120.9930.2500.0060.5040.331,208
Baxter95543.0244820.1840018.021888.471004.50793.56110.5070.3280.3670.3200.0000.0050.2340.1830.1430.1410.0510.052,220
Benton5,74531.655,27029.032,81915.532,43813.431,0015.514982.741180.65950.5290.05600.33100.06130.07180.10160.0990.05110.0650.03170.0918,152
Boone67640.3640624.2426515.821529.07653.88553.2880.48221.3120.1260.3620.1210.0630.1850.3030.1820.1210.0610.061,675
Bradley37254.959614.1810615.66243.55152.2281.18162.3650.74142.0710.1540.5991.3320.3000.0020.3010.1510.1510.15677
Calhoun14143.935316.516620.56134.05134.0582.4920.6210.3110.3120.6251.5641.2510.3130.9320.6230.9320.6210.31321
Carroll74231.6072831.0129312.4830813.121205.11913.88120.51281.1940.1780.3420.0910.0440.1730.1310.0400.0010.0420.092,348
Chicot71154.2719715.0426620.31453.44141.07181.37100.7640.3180.6140.3170.5310.0810.0870.5360.4630.2350.3830.231,310
Clark94848.7933117.0428214.511507.72572.93683.50281.44110.57231.1880.4100.0020.1050.2630.1570.3680.41100.5120.101,943
Clay26239.7011517.4217927.12355.30142.12142.12101.5250.7660.9100.0020.3020.3060.9120.3040.6120.3020.3000.00660
Cleburne55645.6117814.6027822.81856.97403.28443.61141.1580.6620.1620.1620.1610.0810.0840.3300.0010.0810.0820.161,219
Cleveland18647.216616.757017.77174.3192.28174.3151.2751.2710.2530.7600.0000.0051.2730.7610.2530.7620.5110.25394
Columbia61352.6617515.0318716.07514.38161.37252.15262.23131.1280.6940.3460.5260.5280.6970.60100.8660.5200.0030.261,164
Conway97445.7335916.8537017.371255.87683.19622.91522.44271.27261.2260.2830.1460.2830.1460.28100.47100.47221.0310.052,130
Craighead1,84936.141,39727.3187317.064879.521983.871663.24310.61260.51130.25220.4330.0680.1660.12210.4130.0620.0420.0490.185,116
Crawford1,06137.9162322.2656920.332217.90712.54802.86562.00301.0790.32140.5070.2570.25110.3940.1420.0760.21230.8250.182,799
Crittenden1,65253.2049115.8156818.291444.64431.38682.19200.64210.68110.35200.64100.3290.29120.3970.2370.23110.3550.1660.193,105
Cross43048.3714916.7616118.11444.95364.05222.4780.9040.4580.9030.3440.4550.5620.2230.3440.4530.3420.2210.11889
Dallas35053.68588.9010816.56182.7671.07284.29172.61121.8450.7740.6110.15121.8420.31101.5330.4630.46101.5340.61652
Desha64152.1617314.0822718.47463.74161.30292.36231.8760.49120.9860.49131.06131.0660.4970.5720.1630.2450.4110.081,229
Drew65546.4922515.9726418.74815.75231.63715.04140.99100.7150.3550.3560.4370.5070.50171.2140.28110.7830.2110.071,409
Faulkner3,05934.272,50328.041,22313.701,29514.512943.293173.55570.64540.60210.24240.27130.1580.09120.13190.2150.0660.07110.1260.078,927
Franklin35536.0814714.9424725.10727.32323.25424.27191.93131.32111.1230.3050.51111.1260.6120.2070.7140.4140.4140.41984
Fulton33140.6615418.9216019.66566.88253.07283.44121.4760.7410.1280.98121.4730.3700.0030.3791.1130.3710.1220.25814
Garland2,89036.851,65321.081,55019.766778.633914.993894.96871.11480.61190.24300.3860.08200.26340.4370.09190.24100.1370.0960.087,843
Grant35536.5217217.7019119.65858.74545.56555.66161.65101.0330.3140.4160.6230.3140.4160.6220.2120.2130.3110.10972
Greene64634.9639921.5942623.051337.20824.44563.03241.30150.8130.16150.8170.38110.6050.27120.65100.5440.2200.0000.001,848
Hempstead54955.5712812.9614915.08434.35151.52282.83101.0180.8190.9110.1040.4020.2090.91151.52101.0120.2020.2040.40988
Hot Spring73538.9945223.9834418.251115.89432.28854.51261.38110.5850.27110.58120.6490.4890.4830.16140.7430.1650.2770.371,885
Howard35852.4910415.258111.88385.57192.79294.25121.7660.8871.0330.4450.7330.4430.4450.7300.0020.2940.5930.44682
Independence79641.2235418.3333817.5020010.36613.16794.09241.24281.4570.3670.3640.2180.4190.4750.2620.1020.1050.2620.101,931
Izard35645.0114418.2012015.17648.09344.30415.1820.2560.7630.3860.7610.1320.2520.2520.2510.1310.1350.6310.13791
Jackson46646.3216316.2019319.18575.67353.48313.0870.70121.1950.5020.2090.8920.2010.1050.50111.0940.4020.2010.101,006
Jefferson5,01848.401,49614.432,23821.596496.261141.101971.901891.82850.82310.30400.39230.22620.60430.41270.26250.24640.62140.14530.5110,368
Johnson57333.4335620.7730317.681619.39854.96865.02472.74311.8140.23140.8290.5390.5370.4170.4160.3560.3530.1870.411,714
Lafayette23768.303710.664011.5382.3151.4441.1530.8600.0041.1500.0000.0000.0041.1541.1500.0010.2900.0000.00347
Lawrence39136.3718717.4021119.63787.26373.44474.37322.98393.6380.7480.7440.3710.0930.2830.28131.2170.6530.2830.281,075
Lee42053.9811214.4014218.25121.5450.64263.34101.2991.1620.2640.51212.7010.1340.5120.2620.2630.3920.2610.13778
Lincoln37152.3311916.7810715.09202.8270.99263.67131.83121.6940.5650.7110.1420.2830.4240.5620.2891.2720.2820.28709
Little River37954.539713.969413.53365.18172.45121.7350.7271.0191.2930.4360.8650.7271.0160.8610.1430.4320.2960.86695
Logan41540.3316315.8426125.36767.39272.62191.85212.04100.9740.3970.6870.6840.3910.1010.1020.1940.3940.3930.291,029
Lonoke1,25237.9779524.1156016.992989.041313.971354.09280.85270.82110.33150.4590.2730.0930.0990.2740.12100.3030.0940.123,297
Madison39135.4826924.4120218.33928.35524.72262.36171.54151.3660.5420.1810.0940.3660.5450.4560.5420.1840.3620.181,102
Marion32738.0221024.4214817.21728.37475.47283.2670.8140.4740.4720.2310.1200.0060.7020.2300.0000.0000.0020.23860
Miller1,06961.0927015.4321512.29784.46231.31221.2690.51100.57110.6320.1150.2970.4090.5150.2970.4020.1140.2320.111,750
Mississippi1,01751.0532216.1638119.131015.07341.71291.4690.4590.4550.25110.55130.65130.6550.25160.80100.50100.5040.2030.151,992
Monroe37548.7013217.1410914.16395.06111.43121.56121.56162.0840.5240.52263.38101.3040.5250.6530.3950.6520.2610.13770
Montgomery22645.028516.938516.93367.17152.99275.3871.3930.6010.2010.2061.2010.2020.4020.4000.0020.4020.4010.20502
Nevada29951.379015.467713.23345.8461.03264.47111.8971.2030.5210.1710.1740.6971.2040.6940.6940.6910.1730.52582
Newton18439.6613729.536113.155311.4251.08112.3710.2271.5100.0030.6500.0000.0000.0000.0010.2200.0000.0010.22464
Ouachita1,21857.2929513.8834816.37673.15492.30391.83130.61190.89110.5280.38140.6630.14120.56130.6130.1440.1980.3820.092,126
Perry26933.1716420.2218122.32718.75293.58435.30141.7340.4960.7460.7430.3750.6250.6240.4930.3720.2520.2500.00811
Phillips96952.5229115.7729616.04945.09191.03532.8780.43211.14100.5490.4970.38140.7660.3370.38180.98150.8120.1160.331,845
Pike19041.677316.016814.91429.21163.51337.2481.7581.7520.4430.6640.8851.1010.2210.2200.0010.2200.0010.22456
Poinsett39346.5616819.9115718.60495.81101.18131.54121.4291.0720.2430.3620.2440.4730.3670.8340.4720.2440.4720.24844
Polk27231.7420824.2715718.32748.63404.67404.67161.87131.5210.1291.0560.7010.1240.4710.1240.4770.8220.2320.23857
Pope1,07034.3586127.6449115.7632310.371344.301133.63280.90190.6170.22110.3560.1930.10150.4880.26110.35100.3230.1020.063,115
Prairie20747.707617.516915.90235.3051.15204.6161.3871.6140.9200.0040.9220.4600.0030.6900.0040.9210.2330.69434
Pulaski24,58744.6611,06320.108,99116.336,26111.371,6042.911,5032.732360.432270.411140.21860.161230.22930.17250.05270.05270.05390.07280.05180.0355,052
Randolph33332.8422522.1924624.26727.10353.45403.9490.89111.08131.2840.3920.2090.8930.3010.1060.5910.1010.1030.301,014
Saline3,12137.301,81421.681,53218.318349.973994.773854.60961.15390.47450.54220.2690.11140.17170.2020.0280.10100.1270.08130.168,367
Scott15944.415515.367320.39164.47113.07133.6341.1261.6800.0000.0061.6851.4000.0041.1210.2810.2830.8410.28358
Searcy12136.568224.775215.714513.60123.6382.4210.3010.3000.0010.3020.6010.3010.3010.3000.0010.3010.3010.30331
Sebastian2,73535.851,91925.151,48619.486718.803284.301942.54911.19560.73100.13220.2980.1090.1240.05140.18100.1330.04630.8360.087,629
Sevier25547.2210519.449417.41325.93112.0491.6761.1150.9330.5650.9320.3700.0061.1110.1910.1900.0000.0050.93540
Sharp41741.4919519.4018818.71646.37424.18343.38111.09212.0970.7010.1070.7020.2020.2010.1060.6040.4010.1020.201,005
St. Francis1,18255.0329713.8336817.13843.91271.26341.58100.47150.70200.93100.47140.65110.51160.74200.93190.8850.23130.6130.142,148
Stone34333.8324624.2615815.5811211.05484.73414.04131.28151.4820.2030.3010.1050.4930.3020.20171.6800.0040.3910.101,014
Union1,35054.0945018.0335614.261134.53512.04381.52140.56150.60291.1620.0880.32251.00160.6440.1670.2890.3640.1650.202,496
Van Buren41837.7919817.9021719.6212110.94433.89554.97211.90121.0810.0910.0930.2720.1830.2750.4510.0930.2710.0910.091,106
Washington6,91428.338,49134.793,00712.323,88415.919203.776872.811490.611570.64220.09580.24140.06220.09170.07140.06140.0680.0390.04190.0824,406
White1,40142.5368520.8059918.182848.62862.611113.37260.79290.88140.43170.5290.2740.1240.1260.1840.1240.1280.2430.093,294
Woodruff30343.6612017.2911917.15578.21121.73152.16152.1681.1530.4360.8650.7230.4340.5830.4381.1560.8660.8610.14694
Yell34236.4216617.6816117.15889.37363.83606.39252.66111.1730.3240.4330.32101.0670.7530.3250.5320.2180.8550.53939
Total93,01140.5951,41322.4438,31216.7222,97010.037,6493.347,0093.062,0530.901,5930.707150.317150.315740.255720.255010.224850.214430.194080.183930.173040.13229,120

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Putnam. Josh. The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar. Frontloading HQ. June 22, 2019.
  2. News: Putnam. Josh. Arkansas Presidential Primary to Super Tuesday. Frontloading HQ. March 25, 2019. June 22, 2019.
  3. Web site: Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses. The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. March 19, 2022.
  4. Web site: Arkansas Elects Delegates To The Democratic National Convention. Democratic Party of Arkansas. 30 May 2022. 19 September 2022.
  5. Web site: Arkansas Democratic Delegation 2020. The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. June 22, 2019.
  6. Web site: Arkansas Secretary of State. 2021-02-21. www.ark.org.
  7. https://www.270towin.com/2020-democratic-nomination/arkansas-primary 270 to Win
  8. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/ar/arkansas_democratic_primary-7013.html RealClear Politics
  9. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/arkansas/ FiveThirtyEight
  10. https://swayable.com/insights/democratic-primaries-2020-super-tuesday-polling Swayable
  11. https://www.dataforprogress.org/memos/super-tuesday-final-polling Data for Progress
  12. https://becd085d-5f24-4974-b9b5-73518197155a.filesusr.com/ugd/83fab9_6d43cd575778406cb51a50b9a4ccf8a2.pdf The Progress Campaign (D)
  13. https://talkbusiness.net/2020/02/poll-bloomberg-holds-slim-lead-among-logjam-in-arkansas-democratic-presidential-primary/ Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics
  14. Web site: Election Night Reporting . results.enr.clarityelections.com . Arkansas Secretary of State . March 23, 2020.
  15. Web site: 2020 Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan Judicial General Election. April 15, 2020. clarityelections.com. Arkansas Secretary of State. live. https://web.archive.org/web/20200416213943/https://results.enr.clarityelections.com//AR//101561/246185/reports/detailxls.zip. April 16, 2020. April 16, 2020.