| Election Name: | 2019 Extremaduran regional election |
| Country: | Extremadura |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2015 Extremaduran regional election |
| Previous Year: | 2015 |
| Next Election: | 2023 Extremaduran regional election |
| Next Year: | 2023 |
| Seats For Election: | All 65 seats in the Assembly of Extremadura |
| Majority Seats: | 33 |
| Opinion Polls: |
|
| Registered: | 899,930 |
| Turnout: | 623,288 (69.3%) 2.1 pp |
| Election Date: | 26 May 2019 |
| Leader1: | Guillermo Fernández Vara |
| Party1: | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Extremadura |
| Leader Since1: | 20 September 2006 |
| Leaders Seat1: | Badajoz |
| Last Election1: | 30 seats, 41.5% |
| Seats1: | 34 |
| Seat Change1: | 4 |
| Popular Vote1: | 287,619 |
| Percentage1: | 46.8% |
| Swing1: | 5.3 pp |
| Leader2: | José Antonio Monago |
| Party2: | People's Party of Extremadura |
| Leader Since2: | 8 November 2008 |
| Leaders Seat2: | Badajoz |
| Last Election2: | 28 seats, 37.0% |
| Seats2: | 20 |
| Seat Change2: | 8 |
| Popular Vote2: | 168,982 |
| Percentage2: | 27.5% |
| Swing2: | 9.5 pp |
| Leader3: | Cayetano Polo |
| Party3: | Citizens (Spanish political party) |
| Leader Since3: | 9 March 2019 |
| Leaders Seat3: | Cáceres |
| Last Election3: | 1 seat, 4.4% |
| Seats3: | 7 |
| Seat Change3: | 6 |
| Popular Vote3: | 68,343 |
| Percentage3: | 11.1% |
| Swing3: | 6.7 pp |
| Leader4: | Irene de Miguel |
| Party4: | Podemos–IU–eX–Equo |
| Leader Since4: | 27 November 2018 |
| Leaders Seat4: | Cáceres |
| Last Election4: | 6 seats, 14.0% |
| Seats4: | 4 |
| Seat Change4: | 2 |
| Popular Vote4: | 44,309 |
| Percentage4: | 7.2% |
| Swing4: | 6.8 pp |
| Map Size: | 250px |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Guillermo Fernández Vara |
| Before Party: | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Extremadura |
| After Election: | Guillermo Fernández Vara |
| After Party: | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Extremadura |
The 2019 Extremaduran regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Assembly of the autonomous community of Extremadura. All 65 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
The Assembly of Extremadura was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Extremadura, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Extremaduran Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Extremadura and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Extremadurans abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish; Castilian: Voto rogado).[2]
The 65 members of the Assembly of Extremadura were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Alternatively, parties failing to reach the threshold in one of the constituencies were also entitled to enter the seat distribution as long as they ran candidates in both districts and reached five percent regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Badajoz and Cáceres, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 25 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1] [3]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Assembly constituency was entitled the following seats:[4]
| Seats | Constituencies | |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | Badajoz | |
| 29 | Cáceres |
The term of the Assembly of Extremadura expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 24 May 2019. The election decree was required to be published in the DOE no later than 30 April 2019, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 23 June 2019.[1] [3] [5]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Extremadura and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]
The election to the Assembly of Extremadura was officially triggered on 2 April 2019 after the publication of the election decree in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), setting the election date for 26 May.[4]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Assembly at the time of dissolution.[6]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | |||||
| Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 30 | 30 | |||
| People's Parliamentary Group | PP | 27 | 27 | |||
| We Can Extremadura Parliamentary Group | Podemos | 6 | 6 | |||
| Mixed Parliamentary Group | Cs | 1 | 1 | |||
| Non-Inscrits | Vox | 1 | 1 | |||
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least two percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3] [5]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Candidate | Ideology | Previous result | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||||||
| PSOE | Guillermo Fernández Vara | Social democracy | 41.50% | [7] | ||||||
| PP | José Antonio Monago | Conservatism Christian democracy | 37.00% | [8] | ||||||
| Podemos– IU–eX–Equo | Irene de Miguel | Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism | 13.96% | [9] [10] | ||||||
| Cs | Cayetano Polo | Liberalism | 4.39% | [11] | ||||||
| Vox | Juan Antonio Morales | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism | 0.28% | [12] | ||||||
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 33 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Extremadura.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | 69.3 | 46.8 | 27.5 | 11.1 | 4.7 | 7.2 | 19.3 | |||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[15] | 22–23 May 2019 | ? | ? | 40.6 | 25.8 | 15.8 | 6.5 | 8.6 | 14.8 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[16] | 21–22 May 2019 | ? | ? | 40.7 | 26.2 | 15.6 | 6.2 | 8.4 | 14.5 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[17] | 20–21 May 2019 | ? | ? | 40.5 | 26.1 | 15.6 | 6.4 | 8.5 | 14.4 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[18] | 19–20 May 2019 | ? | ? | 40.4 | 25.9 | 15.8 | 6.0 | 8.4 | 14.5 | ||||
| NC Report/La Razón[19] [20] [21] | 19 May 2019 | ? | ? | 42.9 | 23.2 | ? | ? | ? | 19.3 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[22] | 16–19 May 2019 | ? | ? | 40.4 | 24.9 | 16.0 | 6.5 | 8.1 | 15.5 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[23] | 13–16 May 2019 | ? | ? | 39.0 | 23.3 | 17.5 | 8.1 | 9.3 | 15.7 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[24] | 10–13 May 2019 | ? | ? | 37.1 | 23.0 | 18.8 | 9.2 | 10.2 | 14.1 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[25] | 7–10 May 2019 | ? | ? | 36.2 | 22.2 | 19.8 | 8.6 | 10.9 | 14.0 | ||||
| Sigma Dos/Hoy[26] | 6–8 May 2019 | 1,100 | ? | 40.2 | 30.1 | 13.8 | 4.5 | 8.3 | 10.1 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[27] | 4–7 May 2019 | ? | ? | 37.0 | 21.6 | 19.8 | 8.7 | 10.8 | 15.4 | ||||
| Ágora Integral/El Periódico[28] | 29 Apr–6 May 2019 | 1,200 | ? | 44.1 | 21.1 | 13.1 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 23.0 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[29] | 29 Apr–4 May 2019 | ? | ? | 37.0 | 21.5 | 19.7 | 8.6 | 10.9 | 15.5 | ||||
| April 2019 general election | 28 Apr 2019 | 74.2 | 38.1 | 21.4 | 18.0 | 0.3 | 10.8 | 9.5 | 16.7 | ||||
| CIS[30] | 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019 | 531 | ? | 45.6 | 28.6 | 9.3 | 2.6 | 12.3 | 17.0 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[31] | 31 Mar–7 Apr 2019 | ? | ? | 37.4 | 23.3 | 11.9 | 13.9 | 10.0 | 14.1 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[32] | 24–31 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 37.4 | 22.6 | 12.3 | 14.0 | 9.8 | 14.8 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[33] | 17–24 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 38.6 | 22.8 | 11.9 | 13.8 | 9.4 | 15.8 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[34] | 10–17 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 37.0 | 22.6 | 11.2 | 16.4 | 9.3 | 14.4 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[35] | 3–10 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 36.4 | 22.4 | 11.8 | 16.3 | 9.5 | 14.0 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[36] | 22 Feb–3 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 36.2 | 22.6 | 11.9 | 16.2 | 9.5 | 13.6 | ||||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[37] | 20–26 Jan 2019 | 578 | ? | 34.2 | 23.1 | 17.2 | 1.6 | 9.4 | 10.9 | 11.1 | |||
| Celeste-Tel/PSOE[38] | 14–25 Jan 2019 | 1,500 | 72.3 | 40.8 | 28.9 | 6.0 | 13.8 | 4.3 | – | 4.8 | – | 11.9 | |
| Sigma Dos/Hoy[39] [40] | 14–18 May 2018 | 1,100 | ? | 40.2 | 32.8 | 7.1 | 14.7 | – | – | – | – | 7.6 | |
| SyM Consulting[41] [42] | 13–14 Mar 2018 | 1,430 | 73.2 | 42.3 | 32.5 | 6.0 | 8.5 | 4.7 | 1.6 | – | – | 9.8 | |
| Sigma Dos/Hoy[43] [44] | 6–13 Mar 2017 | 1,200 | ? | 40.1 | 37.0 | 8.8 | 7.5 | 1.6 | – | – | – | 3.1 | |
| 2016 general election | 26 Jun 2016 | 68.6 | 34.5 | 39.9 | 10.5 | – | 0.2 | 13.1 | 5.4 | ||||
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | 72.2 | 36.0 | 34.8 | 12.7 | 11.4 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | 1.2 | ||
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | 71.4 | 41.5 | 37.0 | 8.0 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 | – | 4.5 | ||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | |||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 287,619 | 46.77 | +5.27 | 34 | +4 | ||
| People's Party (PP) | 168,982 | 27.48 | –9.52 | 20 | –8 | ||
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) | 68,343 | 11.11 | +6.72 | 7 | +6 | ||
| United for Extremadura (Podemos–IU–eXtremeños–Equo)1 | 44,309 | 7.20 | –6.76 | 4 | –2 | ||
| Vox (Vox) | 28,992 | 4.71 | +4.43 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| United Extremadura (EU) | 3,970 | 0.65 | +0.16 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 3,460 | 0.56 | +0.32 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Public Defense Organization (ODP) | 1,422 | 0.23 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Act (PACT) | 1,311 | 0.21 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 555 | 0.09 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| With You, We Are Democracy (Contigo) | 441 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Blank ballots | 5,611 | 0.91 | –0.43 | ||||
| Total | 615,015 | 65 | ±0 | ||||
| Valid votes | 615,015 | 98.67 | +0.53 | ||||
| Invalid votes | 8,273 | 1.33 | –0.53 | ||||
| Votes cast / turnout | 623,288 | 69.26 | –2.14 | ||||
| Abstentions | 276,642 | 30.74 | +2.14 | ||||
| Registered voters | 899,930 | ||||||
| Sources[45] | |||||||
| Constituency | PSOE | PP | Cs | UpE | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S |
| Badajoz | 48.5 | 20 | 26.2 | 10 | 11.1 | 4 | 6.8 | 2 | |||||||
| Cáceres | 44.0 | 14 | 29.4 | 10 | 11.1 | 3 | 7.8 | 2 | |||||||
| Total | 46.8 | 34 | 27.5 | 20 | 11.1 | 7 | 7.2 | 4 | |||||||
| Sources | |||||||||||||||
| Investiture Guillermo Fernández Vara (PSOE) | |||
| Ballot → | 25 June 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 33 out of 65 | ||
| Absentees | |||
| Sources[46] | |||