| Election Name: | 2019 Aragonese regional election |
| Country: | Aragon |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2015 Aragonese regional election |
| Previous Year: | 2015 |
| Next Election: | 2023 Aragonese regional election |
| Next Year: | 2023 |
| Seats For Election: | All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon |
| Majority Seats: | 34 |
| Opinion Polls: |
|
| Registered: | 1,018,530 0.2% |
| Turnout: | 673,880 (66.2%) 0.1 pp |
| Election Date: | 26 May 2019 |
| Leader1: | Javier Lambán |
| Party1: | Socialists' Party of Aragon |
| Leader Since1: | 31 March 2012 |
| Leaders Seat1: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election1: | 18 seats, 21.4% |
| Seats1: | 24 |
| Seat Change1: | 6 |
| Popular Vote1: | 206,400 |
| Percentage1: | 30.8% |
| Swing1: | 9.4 pp |
| Leader2: | Luis María Beamonte |
| Party2: | People's Party of Aragon |
| Leader Since2: | 25 March 2017 |
| Leaders Seat2: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election2: | 21 seats, 27.5% |
| Seats2: | 16 |
| Seat Change2: | 5 |
| Popular Vote2: | 139,660 |
| Percentage2: | 20.9% |
| Swing2: | 6.6 pp |
| Leader3: | Daniel Pérez Calvo |
| Party3: | Citizens (Spanish political party) |
| Leader Since3: | 2 March 2019 |
| Leaders Seat3: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election3: | 5 seats, 9.4% |
| Seats3: | 12 |
| Seat Change3: | 7 |
| Popular Vote3: | 111,602 |
| Percentage3: | 16.7% |
| Swing3: | 7.3 pp |
| Leader4: | Maru Díaz |
| Party4: | Podemos–Equo |
| Colour4: | 5A205A |
| Leader Since4: | 27 November 2018 |
| Leaders Seat4: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election4: | 14 seats, 20.8% |
| Seats4: | 5 |
| Seat Change4: | 9 |
| Popular Vote4: | 54,252 |
| Percentage4: | 8.1% |
| Swing4: | 12.7 pp |
| Leader5: | José Luis Soro |
| Party5: | Chunta Aragonesista |
| Leader Since5: | 10 February 2012 |
| Leaders Seat5: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election5: | 2 seats, 4.6% |
| Seats5: | 3 |
| Seat Change5: | 1 |
| Popular Vote5: | 41,879 |
| Percentage5: | 6.3% |
| Swing5: | 1.7 pp |
| Leader6: | Santiago Morón |
| Party6: | Vox (political party) |
| Leader Since6: | 22 April 2019 |
| Leaders Seat6: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election6: | Did not contest |
| Seats6: | 3 |
| Seat Change6: | 3 |
| Popular Vote6: | 40,671 |
| Percentage6: | 6.1% |
| Swing6: | New party |
| Leader7: | Arturo Aliaga |
| Party7: | Aragonese Party |
| Leader Since7: | 29 November 2014 |
| Leaders Seat7: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election7: | 6 seats, 6.9% |
| Seats7: | 3 |
| Seat Change7: | 3 |
| Popular Vote7: | 33,978 |
| Percentage7: | 5.1% |
| Swing7: | 1.8 pp |
| Leader8: | Álvaro Sanz |
| Party8: | United Left of Aragon |
| Leader Since8: | 27 May 2017 |
| Leaders Seat8: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election8: | 1 seat, 4.2% |
| Seats8: | 1 |
| Seat Change8: | 0 |
| Popular Vote8: | 22,229 |
| Percentage8: | 3.3% |
| Swing8: | 0.9 pp |
| Map Size: | 225px |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Javier Lambán |
| Before Party: | Socialists' Party of Aragon |
| After Election: | Javier Lambán |
| After Party: | Socialists' Party of Aragon |
The 2019 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
The election resulted in the most fragmented parliament to date, with up to eight parliamentary groups being formed. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) of regional president Javier Lambán emerged as the largest political party and was able to retain government throughout a diverse coalition agreement including Podemos, the Aragonese Party (PAR) and the Aragonese Union (CHA). The People's Party (PP) obtained the worst result in its history, whereas Citizens (Cs) emerged with a strong third-place position. The far-right, represented by Vox, entered parliament for the first time.
The Cortes of Aragon were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Aragonese people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish; Castilian: Voto rogado).[2]
The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 13 seats and the remaining 28 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one).[1] [3]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency was entitled the following seats:[4]
| Seats | Constituencies | |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | Zaragoza | |
| 18 | Huesca | |
| 14 | Teruel |
The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[5]
The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 24 May 2019. The election decree was required to be published in the BOA no later than 30 April 2019, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 23 June 2019.[1] [3] [6]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]
The Cortes of Aragon were officially dissolved on 2 April 2019 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOA, setting the election date for 26 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 20 June.[4]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Cortes at the time of dissolution.[7]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| People's Parliamentary Group | PP | 21 | 21 | ||
| Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 18 | 18 | ||
| We Can Aragon Parliamentary Group | Podemos | 14 | 14 | ||
| Aragonese Parliamentary Group | PAR | 6 | 6 | ||
| Citizens Parliamentary Group | Cs | 5 | 5 | ||
| Mixed Parliamentary Group | CHA | 2 | 3 | ||
| IU | 1 | ||||
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3] [6]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||||
| PP | Luis María Beamonte | Conservatism Christian democracy | 27.50% | [8] | |||||
| PSOE | Javier Lambán | Social democracy | 21.43% | [9] | |||||
| Podemos– Equo | Maru Díaz | Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism | 20.75% | [10] [11] | |||||
| PAR | Arturo Aliaga | Regionalism Centrism | 6.86% | [12] | |||||
| Cs | Daniel Pérez Calvo | Liberalism | 9.42% | [13] | |||||
| CHA | José Luis Soro | Aragonese nationalism Eco-socialism | 4.58% | [14] | |||||
| IU | Álvaro Sanz | Socialism Communism | 4.22% | [15] | |||||
| Vox | Santiago Morón | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism | [16] | ||||||
| Original slogan | English translation | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | « Piensa en Aragón » | "Think of Aragon" | [17] | ||
| PSOE | « Juntos por Aragón » | "Together for Aragon" | [18] [19] | ||
| Podemos–Equo | « Aragón, contigo » | "Aragon, with you" | [20] | ||
| PAR | « El centro necesario » | "The necessary centre" | [21] | ||
| Cs | « Vamos Aragón » | "Let's go Aragon" | [22] | ||
| CHA | « Construimos Aragón contigo » « CHA cumple » | "We build Aragon with you" "CHA delivers" | [23] | ||
| IU | « Tu izquierda » | "Your left" | |||
| Vox | « Tu voz en Aragón » | "Your voice in Aragon" | [24] | ||
| Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | PSOE | Podemos | PAR | Cs | CHA | IU | Vox | Audience | |||||
| 9 May | Heraldo de Aragón | Mikel Iturbe | — | [25] | |||||||||
| 14 May | Aragón TV | Inma Otal | 5.7% | [26] [27] | |||||||||
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | 66.2 | 20.9 | 30.8 | 8.1 | 16.7 | 5.1 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 6.1 | – | 9.9 | ||
| GfK/FORTA[28] [29] [30] | 26 May 2019 | 11,896 | ? | 17.9 | 32.9 | 10.5 | 14.3 | 4.9 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 5.2 | – | 15.0 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[31] | 22–23 May 2019 | ? | ? | 19.0 | 30.0 | 13.3 | 16.2 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 7.1 | – | 11.0 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[32] | 21–22 May 2019 | ? | ? | 19.4 | 30.0 | 13.1 | 15.9 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 6.9 | – | 10.6 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[33] | 20–21 May 2019 | ? | ? | 19.3 | 30.1 | 13.3 | 15.7 | 6.0 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 7.5 | – | 10.8 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[34] | 19–20 May 2019 | ? | ? | 19.1 | 30.0 | 13.4 | 16.0 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 7.2 | – | 10.9 | |
| KeyData/Público[35] | 19 May 2019 | ? | 68.7 | 18.3 | 25.4 | 12.9 | 18.4 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 7.5 | – | 7.0 | |
| NC Report/La Razón[36] [37] [38] | 19 May 2019 | ? | ? | 21.7 | 28.1 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | – | 6.4 | |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[39] | 19 May 2019 | ? | ? | 19.6 | 30.8 | 13.1 | 13.8 | 6.5 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 7.7 | – | 11.2 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[40] | 16–19 May 2019 | ? | ? | 19.0 | 29.5 | 13.7 | 17.1 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 7.3 | – | 10.5 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[41] | 13–16 May 2019 | ? | ? | 17.3 | 29.7 | 12.2 | 18.6 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 7.4 | – | 11.1 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[42] | 10–13 May 2019 | ? | ? | 16.7 | 28.4 | 12.3 | 19.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 8.1 | – | 8.9 | |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[43] | 6–11 May 2019 | ? | 71.2 | 20.5 | 25.3 | 15.1 | 16.7 | 6.5 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 5.5 | – | 4.8 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[44] | 7–10 May 2019 | ? | ? | 16.6 | 28.0 | 12.6 | 19.9 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 8.8 | – | 8.1 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[45] | 4–7 May 2019 | ? | ? | 16.2 | 27.9 | 12.0 | 20.6 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 8.8 | – | 7.3 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[46] | 29 Apr–4 May 2019 | ? | ? | 15.9 | 28.0 | 11.9 | 21.1 | 4.8 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 8.6 | – | 6.9 | |
| April 2019 general election | 28 Apr 2019 | 75.2 | 18.9 | 31.7 | 20.5 | – | – | 12.2 | 13.6 | 11.2 | ||||
| CIS[47] | 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019 | 892 | ? | 22.2 | 26.4 | 15.0 | 12.7 | 6.0 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 3.0 | – | 4.2 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[48] | 31 Mar–7 Apr 2019 | ? | ? | 21.9 | 25.3 | 11.9 | 12.2 | 4.5 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 12.7 | – | 3.4 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[49] | 24–31 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 21.3 | 25.4 | 11.6 | 12.6 | 4.5 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 12.7 | – | 4.1 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[50] | 17–24 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 21.6 | 26.2 | 12.4 | 4.6 | 6.5 | 11.3 | 11.7 | 4.6 | |||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[51] | 10–17 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 22.0 | 25.0 | 11.6 | 4.6 | 6.4 | 13.1 | 11.6 | 3.0 | |||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[52] | 3–10 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 21.6 | 24.7 | 12.1 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 13.0 | 11.8 | 3.1 | |||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[53] | 22 Feb–3 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 21.4 | 24.7 | 12.4 | 6.0 | 4.9 | 12.9 | 12.0 | 3.3 | |||
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[54] | 1–2 Oct 2018 | 1,200 | 65.2 | 22.3 | 23.6 | 21.4 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 17.3 | 1.3 | |||
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[55] [56] | 11–15 Apr 2018 | 5,600 | 64.6 | 23.8 | 25.1 | 12.7 | 22.1 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 4.3 | – | – | 1.3 | |
| SyM Consulting[57] [58] | 15–18 Mar 2018 | 1,800 | 70.4 | 20.0 | 24.1 | 14.2 | 17.6 | 8.4 | 6.3 | 4.7 | – | – | 4.1 | |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[59] [60] | 22–27 Nov 2017 | 2,000 | 68.9 | 26.3 | 25.0 | 13.6 | 15.3 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 5.5 | – | – | 1.3 | |
| 2016 general election | 26 Jun 2016 | 69.9 | 35.8 | 24.8 | 16.2 | – | 0.3 | 19.7 | 11.0 | |||||
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | 72.6 | 31.3 | 23.0 | 18.6 | 17.2 | 6.2 | 0.3 | – | 8.3 | ||||
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | 66.3 | 27.5 | 21.4 | 20.6 | 9.4 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 4.2 | – | – | 6.1 | ||
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Lead | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | 14.1 | 20.8 | 5.5 | 11.3 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 4.1 | – | 31.9 | 6.7 | |||
| April 2019 general election | 28 Apr 2019 | 14.0 | 23.5 | 15.2 | – | – | 9.0 | 10.0 | 21.6 | 8.3 | |||||
| CIS | 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019 | 892 | 13.6 | 19.4 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | – | 40.4 | 7.0 | 5.8 | |
| 2016 general election | 26 Jun 2016 | 24.7 | 17.1 | 11.2 | – | 0.2 | 13.6 | 27.2 | 7.6 | ||||||
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | 22.5 | 16.5 | 13.3 | 12.4 | 4.4 | 0.2 | – | 24.5 | 6.0 | |||||
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | 18.5 | 14.4 | 13.8 | 6.3 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 2.8 | – | – | 31.7 | 4.1 | |||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | |||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 206,400 | 30.84 | +9.41 | 24 | +6 | ||
| People's Party (PP) | 139,660 | 20.87 | –6.63 | 16 | –5 | ||
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) | 111,602 | 16.67 | +7.25 | 12 | +7 | ||
| We Can–Equo (Podemos–Equo)1 | 54,252 | 8.11 | –12.64 | 5 | –9 | ||
| Aragonese Union (CHA) | 41,879 | 6.26 | +1.68 | 3 | +1 | ||
| Vox (Vox) | 40,671 | 6.08 | New | 3 | +3 | ||
| Aragonese Party (PAR) | 33,978 | 5.08 | –1.78 | 3 | –3 | ||
| United Left of Aragon (IU) | 22,229 | 3.32 | –0.90 | 1 | ±0 | ||
| Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 4,543 | 0.68 | –0.06 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Ñ Platform (PAÑ) | 3,145 | 0.47 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Blank Seats (EB) | 1,483 | 0.22 | –0.58 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Federation of Independents of Aragon (FIA) | 821 | 0.12 | +0.02 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Upper Aragon in Common (AAeC) | 728 | 0.11 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE) | 564 | 0.08 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Social Aragonese Movement (MAS) | 434 | 0.06 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Aragonese Land (TA) | 364 | 0.05 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Blank ballots | 6,587 | 0.98 | –1.00 | ||||
| Total | 669,340 | 67 | ±0 | ||||
| Valid votes | 669,340 | 99.33 | +0.63 | ||||
| Invalid votes | 4,540 | 0.67 | –0.63 | ||||
| Votes cast / turnout | 673,880 | 66.16 | –0.17 | ||||
| Abstentions | 344,650 | 33.84 | +0.17 | ||||
| Registered voters | 1,018,530 | ||||||
| Sources[61] [62] | |||||||
| Constituency | PSOE | PP | Cs | Podemos | CHA | Vox | PAR | IU | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S |
| Huesca | 33.7 | 7 | 21.0 | 4 | 13.9 | 3 | 8.3 | 1 | 4.6 | 1 | 5.3 | 1 | 7.9 | 1 | 2.4 | − | |||||||||||||||
| Teruel | 31.5 | 6 | 24.1 | 4 | 13.7 | 2 | 5.9 | 1 | 4.6 | − | 4.8 | − | 10.4 | 1 | 3.1 | − | |||||||||||||||
| Zaragoza | 30.1 | 11 | 20.3 | 8 | 17.8 | 7 | 8.4 | 3 | 6.9 | 2 | 6.5 | 2 | 3.6 | 1 | 3.6 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| Total | 30.8 | 24 | 20.9 | 16 | 16.7 | 12 | 8.1 | 5 | 6.3 | 3 | 6.1 | 3 | 5.1 | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| Sources | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Investiture Javier Lambán (PSOE) | |||
| Ballot → | 31 July 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 34 out of 67 | ||
| Abstentions | |||
| Absentees | |||
| Sources | |||