Election Name: | 2018 United States Senate election in Ohio |
Country: | Ohio |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2012 United States Senate election in Ohio |
Previous Year: | 2012 |
Next Election: | 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio |
Next Year: | 2024 |
Turnout: | 54.65% 9.95pp |
Image1: | File:Sherrod Brown 117th Congress (2) (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Sherrod Brown |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 2,355,924 |
Percentage1: | 53.41% |
Nominee2: | Jim Renacci |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 2,053,963 |
Percentage2: | 46.57% |
U.S. Senator | |
Before Election: | Sherrod Brown |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Sherrod Brown |
After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
The 2018 United States Senate election in Ohio took place November 6, 2018. The candidate filing deadline was February 7, 2018; the primary election was held May 8, 2018.[1] Incumbent Senator Sherrod Brown—the only remaining elected Democratic statewide officeholder in Ohio at the time of the election—won his reelection bid for a third term, defeating Republican U.S. Representative Jim Renacci in the general election.[2] [3] This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state won by Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Melissa Ackison | Don Eckhart | Mike Gibbons | Dan Kiley | Jim Renacci | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baldwin Wallace University[25] | April 24 – May 2, 2018 | 323 | – | 4% | 1% | 11% | 4% | align=center | 25% | align=center | 55% | |
Fallon Research[26] | April 4–7, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 1% | align=center | 21% | align=center | 65% | |
OnMessage (R-Renacci)[27] | March 20, 2018 | – | – | 3% | 3% | 8% | 3% | align=center | 36% | align=center | 47% | |
SurveyUSA[28] | March 16–20, 2018 | 541 | ± 5.7% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 1% | align=center | 21% | align=center | 58% |
with Josh Mandel
with Matt Huffman
with Pat Tiberi
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source | Ranking | As of | ||||||
The Cook Political Report[33] | October 26, 2018 | |||||||
Inside Elections[34] | November 1, 2018 | |||||||
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] | November 5, 2018 | |||||||
Fox News[36] | November 5, 2018 | |||||||
CNN[37] | November 5, 2018 | |||||||
RealClearPolitics[38] | November 5, 2018 | |||||||
FiveThirtyEight[39] | November 6, 2018 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Jim Renacci (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research[40] | November 2–4, 2018 | 923 | – | align=center | 53% | 43% | – | – | |
Research Co.[41] | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | align=center | 53% | 39% | – | 8% | |
Cygnal (R)[42] | October 30–31, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 52% | 42% | – | 6% | |
Gravis Marketing[43] | October 29–30, 2018 | 789 | ± 3.5% | align=center | 46% | 37% | – | 17% | |
Emerson College[44] | October 26–28, 2018 | 566 | ± 4.3% | align=center | 49% | 43% | 2%[45] | 6% | |
Baldwin Wallace University[46] | October 19–27, 2018 | 1,051 | ± 3.8% | align=center | 51% | 32% | – | 17% | |
Suffolk University[47] | October 4–8, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 54% | 36% | 0%[48] | 10% | |
Baldwin Wallace University[49] | September 8 – October 8, 2018 | 1,017 | ± 3.5% | align=center | 50% | 33% | – | 18% | |
University of Akron[50] | September 10 – October 4, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | align=center | 43% | 31% | – | 26% | |
Ipsos[51] | September 13–21, 2018 | 1,074 | ± 3.0% | align=center | 50% | 39% | 2% | 9% | |
Triton Polling & Research (R)[52] | September 18–20, 2018 | 1,003 | ± 3.1% | align=center | 53% | 42% | – | 5% | |
NBC News/Marist[53] | September 16–20, 2018 | 564 LV | ± 5.0% | align=center | 49% | 35% | 7%[54] | 8% | |
align=center | 52% | 39% | 1% | 7% | |||||
796 RV | ± 4.2% | align=center | 49% | 33% | 10%[55] | 9% | |||
align=center | 52% | 39% | 1% | 8% | |||||
Baldwin Wallace University[56] | September 5–15, 2018 | 1,048 | ± 3.6% | align=center | 49% | 32% | – | 19% | |
Morning Consult[57] | September 2–11, 2018 | 1,592 | ± 2.0% | align=center | 47% | 31% | – | 22% | |
Change Research (D-Innovation Ohio)[58] | August 31 – September 4, 2018 | 822 | ± 3.0% | align=center | 46% | 42% | – | 12% | |
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC)[59] | June 30 – July 10, 2018 | 1,485 | ± 3.0% | align=center | 45% | 41% | – | 14% | |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[60] | June 11 – July 2, 2018 | 951 | ± 5.0% | align=center | 52% | 44% | – | 4% | |
NBC News/Marist[61] | June 17–22, 2018 | 778 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 51% | 38% | 1% | 10% | |
Quinnipiac University[62] | June 7–12, 2018 | 1,082 | ± 3.7% | align=center | 51% | 34% | 1% | 12% | |
Suffolk University[63] | June 6–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 53% | 37% | 2% | 8% | |
America First Action (R)[64] | May 29–31, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 45% | 41% | – | 10% | |
Fallon Research[65] | May 21–25, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | align=center | 48% | 34% | 3%[66] | 15% | |
Grassroots Targeting (R-Ohio First)[67] | April 2018 | 1,266 | – | align=center | 41% | 40% | – | 19% | |
SurveyUSA | March 16–20, 2018 | 1,408 | ± 3.5% | align=center | 52% | 38% | – | 11% | |
Baldwin Wallace University[68] | February 28 – March 9, 2018 | 1,011 | ± 3.0% | align=center | 41% | 29% | – | 30% | |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[69] | February 12 – March 5, 2018 | 1,995 | ± 3.6% | align=center | 50% | 45% | – | 5% | |
Grassroots Targeting (R-Ohio First) | February 2018 | – | – | align=center | 43% | 38% | – | 19% |
with Mike Gibbons
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Mike Gibbons (R) | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | March 16–20, 2018 | 1,408 | ± 3.5% | align=center | 52% | 38% | 10% | |
Baldwin Wallace University | February 28 – March 9, 2018 | 1,011 | ± 3.0% | align=center | 41% | 31% | 28% |
with Don Eckhart
with Dan Kiley
with Pat Tiberi
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Josh Mandel (R) | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luntz Global[71] | June 12, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | align=center | 53% | 34% | 13% | |
Gravis Marketing | April 27 – May 2, 2017 | 1,352 | ± 2.7% | 42% | align=center | 45% | 13% | |
WPA Opinion Research (R)[72] | November 29 – December 1, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 39% | align=center | 40% | 21% | |
Public Policy Polling[73] | July 22–24, 2016 | 1,334 | ± 2.7% | align=center | 45% | 36% | 18% | |
Public Policy Polling[74] | April 26–27, 2016 | 799 | ± 3.2% | align=center | 47% | 33% | 21% |
The election was not particularly close, with Brown winning by 6.84%. Brown was the only Democrat who won statewide in Ohio in this election cycle. Brown was able to win re-election by winning back most of the Rust Belt, which swung Republican in 2016. Brown did well in Portage County, Summit County, and Trumbull County, which are all very heavily pro union counties. Brown also did well in the rust belt from Lucas County, home of Toledo, all the way to Cuyahoga County, home of Cleveland. Brown also trounced Renacci in Franklin County and Hamilton County home of Columbus and Cincinnati respectively; the latter, Hamilton County was once considered a Republican stronghold. Renacci, while performing well in most rural areas of the state, underperformed Mike DeWine, the Republican Party's nominee and eventual winner for governor. Regardless, Renacci somewhat overperformed in comparison to most polling before the election, while Brown lost in several counties he had won in his previous Senate races. Exit polls also show Brown had a very strong showing amongst minority and women voters, which was key to his victory. Brown was sworn in for a third term as the senior senator from Ohio on January 3, 2019.
County | Sherrod Brown Democratic | Jim Renacci Republican | Write In Other parties | Margin | Total votes cast | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | % | % | % | ||||||||||||||||
Adams | 2,635 | 30.49% | 6,000 | 69.42% | 8 | 0.09% | -3,365 | -38.93% | 8,643 | ||||||||||
Allen | 14,429 | 40.16% | 21,492 | 59.82% | 8 | 0.02% | -7,063 | -19.66% | 35,929 | ||||||||||
Ashland | 6,472 | 34.94% | 12,048 | 65.04% | 3 | 0.02% | -5,576 | -30.10% | 18,523 | ||||||||||
Ashtabula | 16,473 | 51.05% | 15,794 | 48.95% | 0 | 0.00% | 679 | 2.10% | 32,267 | ||||||||||
Athens | 15,472 | 68.45% | 7,126 | 31.53% | 4 | 0.02% | 8,346 | 36.92% | 22,602 | ||||||||||
Auglaize | 5,557 | 29.00% | 13,603 | 70.99% | 1 | 0.01% | -8,046 | -41.99% | 19,161 | ||||||||||
Belmont | 11,603 | 46.84% | 13,159 | 53.13% | 7 | 0.03% | -1,556 | -6.29% | 24,769 | ||||||||||
Brown | 4,651 | 31.35% | 10,184 | 68.63% | 3 | 0.02% | -5,533 | -37.28% | 14,838 | ||||||||||
Butler | 55,604 | 40.96% | 80,106 | 59.02% | 26 | 0.02% | -24,502 | -18.06% | 135,736 | ||||||||||
Carroll | 3,788 | 36.80% | 6,503 | 63.18% | 2 | 0.02% | -2,715 | -26.38% | 10,293 | ||||||||||
Champaign | 5,443 | 36.74% | 9,372 | 63.26% | 0 | 0.00% | -3,929 | -26.52% | 14,815 | ||||||||||
Clark | 23,525 | 49.03% | 24,446 | 50.95% | 9 | 0.02% | -921 | -1.92% | 47,980 | ||||||||||
Clermont | 27,803 | 34.87% | 51,918 | 65.12% | 9 | 0.01% | -24,115 | -30.25% | 79,730 | ||||||||||
Clinton | 4,645 | 30.96% | 10,356 | 69.03% | 1 | 0.01% | -5,711 | -38.07% | 15,002 | ||||||||||
Columbiana | 13,995 | 39.04% | 21,849 | 60.95% | 3 | 0.01% | -7,854 | -21.91% | 35,847 | ||||||||||
Coshocton | 4,680 | 39.51% | 7,163 | 60.48% | 1 | 0.01% | -2,483 | -20.97% | 11,844 | ||||||||||
Crawford | 5,345 | 36.87% | 9,149 | 63.11% | 2 | 0.01% | -3,804 | -26.24% | 14,496 | ||||||||||
Cuyahoga | 350,362 | 72.48% | 132,948 | 27.50% | 54 | 0.01% | 217,414 | 44.98% | 483,364 | ||||||||||
Darke | 5,569 | 28.57% | 13,921 | 71.42% | 2 | 0.01% | -8,352 | -42.85% | 19,492 | ||||||||||
Defiance | 5,812 | 42.05% | 8,003 | 57.91% | 5 | 0.04% | -2,191 | -15.86% | 13,820 | ||||||||||
Delaware | 44,743 | 47.43% | 49,587 | 52.56% | 6 | 0.01% | -4,844 | -5.13% | 94,336 | ||||||||||
Erie | 16,659 | 54.98% | 13,633 | 45.00% | 6 | 0.02% | 3,026 | 9.98% | 30,298 | ||||||||||
Fairfield | 26,518 | 44.76% | 32,707 | 55.21% | 21 | 0.04% | -6,189 | -10.45% | 59,246 | ||||||||||
Fayette | 2,914 | 34.36% | 5,566 | 65.63% | 1 | 0.01% | -2,652 | -31.27% | 8,481 | ||||||||||
Franklin | 332,825 | 68.69% | 151,588 | 31.29% | 96 | 0.02% | 181,237 | 37.40% | 484,509 | ||||||||||
Fulton | 6,707 | 41.49% | 9,454 | 58.49% | 3 | 0.02% | -2,747 | -17.00% | 16,164 | ||||||||||
Gallia | 3,355 | 34.84% | 6,275 | 65.16% | 0 | 0.00% | -2,920 | -30.32% | 9,630 | ||||||||||
Geauga | 19,104 | 44.94% | 23,397 | 55.04% | 6 | 0.01% | -4,293 | -10.10% | 42,507 | ||||||||||
Greene | 30,243 | 44.23% | 38,102 | 55.72% | 32 | 0.05% | -7,859 | -11.49% | 68,377 | ||||||||||
Guernsey | 5,014 | 39.97% | 7,529 | 60.02% | 2 | 0.02% | -2,515 | -20.05% | 12,545 | ||||||||||
Hamilton | 200,404 | 59.34% | 137,116 | 40.60% | 193 | 0.06% | 63,288 | 18.74% | 337,713 | ||||||||||
Hancock | 10,929 | 38.95% | 17,123 | 61.02% | 9 | 0.03% | -6,194 | -22.07% | 28,061 | ||||||||||
Hardin | 3,497 | 37.19% | 5,899 | 62.74% | 6 | 0.06% | -2,402 | -25.55% | 9,402 | ||||||||||
Harrison | 2,480 | 42.70% | 3,327 | 57.28% | 1 | 0.02% | -847 | -14.58% | 5,808 | ||||||||||
Henry | 4,468 | 42.24% | 6,109 | 57.76% | 0 | 0.00% | -1,641 | -15.52% | 10,577 | ||||||||||
Highland | 3,939 | 29.25% | 9,526 | 70.75% | 0 | 0.00% | -5,587 | -41.50% | 13,465 | ||||||||||
Hocking | 4,408 | 44.60% | 5,474 | 55.39% | 1 | 0.01% | -1,066 | -10.79% | 9,883 | ||||||||||
Holmes | 2,059 | 23.35% | 6,755 | 76.61% | 3 | 0.03% | -4,696 | -53.26% | 8,817 | ||||||||||
Huron | 8,274 | 44.02% | 10,522 | 55.98% | 0 | 0.00% | -2,248 | -11.96% | 18,796 | ||||||||||
Jackson | 3,815 | 37.88% | 6,255 | 62.12% | 0 | 0.00% | -2,440 | -24.24% | 10,070 | ||||||||||
Jefferson | 11,376 | 46.32% | 13,180 | 53.66% | 6 | 0.02% | -1,804 | -7.34% | 24,562 | ||||||||||
Knox | 8,413 | 37.05% | 14,290 | 62.93% | 4 | 0.02% | -5,877 | -25.88% | 22,707 | ||||||||||
Lake | 49,276 | 52.08% | 45,313 | 47.90% | 18 | 0.02% | 3,963 | 4.18% | 94,607 | ||||||||||
Lawrence | 8,064 | 39.61% | 12,292 | 60.37% | 4 | 0.02% | -4,228 | -20.76% | 20,360 | ||||||||||
Licking | 29,469 | 42.94% | 39,142 | 57.04% | 11 | 0.02% | -9,673 | -14.10% | 68,622 | ||||||||||
Logan | 5,235 | 31.77% | 11,243 | 68.23% | 1 | 0.01% | -6,008 | -36.46% | 16,479 | ||||||||||
Lorain | 67,452 | 59.23% | 46,403 | 40.75% | 21 | 0.02% | 21,049 | 18.48% | 113,876 | ||||||||||
Lucas | 100,807 | 66.74% | 50,223 | 33.25% | 18 | 0.01% | 50,584 | 33.49% | 151,048 | ||||||||||
Madison | 5,116 | 37.25% | 8,617 | 62.74% | 1 | 0.01% | -3,501 | -25.49% | 13,734 | ||||||||||
Mahoning | 54,594 | 60.49% | 35,654 | 39.50% | 8 | 0.01% | 18,940 | 20.99% | 90,256 | ||||||||||
Marion | 8,677 | 42.23% | 11,850 | 57.68% | 19 | 0.09% | -3,173 | -15.45% | 20,546 | ||||||||||
Medina | 34,493 | 46.00% | 40,478 | 53.98% | 15 | 0.02% | -5,985 | -7.98% | 74,986 | ||||||||||
Meigs | 2,898 | 37.04% | 4,926 | 62.95% | 1 | 0.01% | -2,028 | -25.91% | 7,825 | ||||||||||
Mercer | 4,504 | 26.27% | 12,637 | 73.72% | 2 | 0.01% | -8,133 | -47.45% | 17,143 | ||||||||||
Miami | 14,649 | 35.33% | 26,815 | 64.66% | 5 | 0.01% | -12,166 | -29.33% | 41,469 | ||||||||||
Monroe | 2,518 | 47.66% | 2,765 | 52.34% | 0 | 0.00% | -247 | -4.68% | 5,283 | ||||||||||
Montgomery | 115,200 | 56.06% | 90,242 | 43.92% | 40 | 0.02% | 24,958 | 12.14% | 205,482 | ||||||||||
Morgan | 2,115 | 42.04% | 2,916 | 57.96% | 0 | 0.00% | -801 | -15.92% | 5,031 | ||||||||||
Morrow | 4,361 | 33.23% | 8,761 | 66.76% | 1 | 0.01% | -4,400 | -33.53% | 13,123 | ||||||||||
Muskingum | 12,395 | 42.88% | 16,504 | 57.10% | 4 | 0.01% | -4,109 | -14.22% | 28,903 | ||||||||||
Noble | 1,709 | 36.62% | 2,958 | 63.38% | 0 | 0.00% | -1,249 | -26.76% | 4,667 | ||||||||||
Ottawa | 9,477 | 51.85% | 8,799 | 48.14% | 3 | 0.02% | 678 | 3.71% | 18,279 | ||||||||||
Paulding | 2,232 | 32.40% | 4,656 | 67.59% | 1 | 0.01% | -2,424 | -35.19% | 6,889 | ||||||||||
Perry | 4,599 | 40.01% | 6,895 | 59.98% | 1 | 0.01% | -2,296 | -19.97% | 11,495 | ||||||||||
Pickaway | 7,481 | 37.81% | 12,302 | 62.18% | 2 | 0.01% | -4,821 | -24.37% | 19,785 | ||||||||||
Pike | 3,900 | 44.33% | 4,897 | 55.67% | 0 | 0.00% | -997 | -11.34% | 8,797 | ||||||||||
Portage | 32,303 | 53.34% | 28,231 | 46.62% | 22 | 0.04% | 4,072 | 6.72% | 60,556 | ||||||||||
Preble | 4,942 | 31.31% | 10,838 | 68.66% | 4 | 0.03% | -5,896 | -37.35% | 15,784 | ||||||||||
Putnam | 4,369 | 29.56% | 10,408 | 70.41% | 4 | 0.03% | -6,039 | -40.85% | 14,781 | ||||||||||
Richland | 17,984 | 40.41% | 26,499 | 59.55% | 16 | 0.04% | -8,515 | -19.14% | 44,499 | ||||||||||
Ross | 10,602 | 45.42% | 12,738 | 54.57% | 2 | 0.01% | -2,136 | -9.15% | 23,342 | ||||||||||
Sandusky | 10,987 | 49.65% | 11,141 | 50.34% | 2 | 0.01% | -154 | -0.69% | 22,130 | ||||||||||
Scioto | 10,627 | 44.95% | 13,014 | 55.05% | 0 | 0.00% | -2,387 | -10.10% | 23,641 | ||||||||||
Seneca | 8,741 | 46.76% | 9,945 | 53.20% | 6 | 0.03% | -1,204 | -6.44% | 18,692 | ||||||||||
Shelby | 5,183 | 27.84% | 13,433 | 72.16% | 0 | 0.00% | -8,250 | -44.32% | 18,616 | ||||||||||
Stark | 68,526 | 49.24% | 70,588 | 50.72% | 49 | 0.04% | -2,062 | -1.48% | 139,163 | ||||||||||
Summit | 129,479 | 60.86% | 83,149 | 39.08% | 117 | 0.05% | 46,330 | 21.78% | 212,745 | ||||||||||
Trumbull | 43,381 | 57.93% | 31,482 | 42.04% | 19 | 0.03% | 11,899 | 15.89% | 74,882 | ||||||||||
Tuscarawas | 14,088 | 43.57% | 18,244 | 56.42% | 3 | 0.01% | -4,156 | -12.85% | 32,335 | ||||||||||
Union | 8,964 | 37.81% | 14,747 | 62.19% | 0 | 0.00% | -5,783 | -24.38% | 23,711 | ||||||||||
Van Wert | 3,020 | 28.12% | 7,721 | 71.88% | 0 | 0.00% | -4,701 | -43.76% | 10,741 | ||||||||||
Vinton | 1,641 | 39.95% | 2,467 | 60.05% | 0 | 0.00% | -826 | -20.10% | 4,108 | ||||||||||
Warren | 35,815 | 35.96% | 63,757 | 64.02% | 20 | 0.02% | -27,942 | -28.06% | 99,592 | ||||||||||
Washington | 9,259 | 39.96% | 13,908 | 60.03% | 3 | 0.01% | -4,649 | -20.07% | 23,170 | ||||||||||
Wayne | 15,495 | 38.90% | 24,324 | 61.07% | 11 | 0.03% | -8,829 | -22.17% | 39,830 | ||||||||||
Williams | 5,272 | 39.94% | 7,927 | 60.05% | 1 | 0.01% | -2,655 | -20.11% | 13,200 | ||||||||||
Wood | 27,540 | 55.45% | 22,105 | 44.51% | 18 | 0.04% | 5,435 | 10.94% | 49,663 | ||||||||||
Wyandot | 3,062 | 37.74% | 5,051 | 62.26% | 0 | 0.00% | -1,989 | -24.52% | 8,113 | ||||||||||
Totals | 2,358,508 | 53.40% | 2,057,559 | 46.58% | 1,017 | 0.02% | 300,949 | 6.82% | 4,417,084 |
Brown won 9 of 16 congressional districts, including 5 that elected Republicans to the House.[75]
District | Brown | Renacci | Representative | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 49.82% | 48.41% | Steve Chabot | ||
2nd | 47.54% | 50.59% | Brad Wenstrup | ||
3rd | 73.88% | 24.82% | Joyce Beatty | ||
4th | 41.96% | 55.90% | Jim Jordan | ||
5th | 45.33% | 51.34% | Bob Latta | ||
6th | 40.13% | 57.23% | Bill Johnson | ||
7th | 43.42% | 54.40% | Bob Gibbs | ||
8th | 38.79% | 59.50% | Warren Davidson | ||
9th | 67.15% | 30.97% | Marcy Kaptur | ||
10th | 51.92% | 46.55% | Mike Turner | ||
11th | 82.53% | 15.73% | Marcia Fudge | ||
12th | 50.48% | 47.82% | Troy Balderson | ||
13th | 61.10% | 36.80% | Tim Ryan | ||
14th | 51.58% | 46.32% | Dave Joyce | ||
15th | 49.78% | 48.22% | Steve Stivers | ||
16th | 48.56% | 49.42% | Jim Renacci (115th Congress) | ||
Anthony Gonzalez (116th Congress) |
Official campaign websites