2018 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia explained

Election Name:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia
Country:West Virginia
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia
Next Year:2020
Seats For Election:All 3 West Virginia seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:3
Seats1:3
Popular Vote1:337,146
Percentage1:58.33%
Swing1: 6.51%
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:0
Seats2:0
Popular Vote2:234,568
Percentage2:40.58%
Swing2: 7.88%
Map Size:230px

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the West Virginia, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The filing deadline was January 27, 2018. The primary elections were held on May 8, 2018. The elections coincided with the other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

The 2018 elections resulted in no change in partisan representation, with the Republican incumbents in Districts 1 and 2 winning re-election, and the Republicans holding the open-seat election in District 3, leaving the House delegation at 3-0 Republican.

Overview

By district

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia by district:[1]

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
127,997 64.58% 70,217 35.42% 0 0.00% 198,214 100% Republican hold
110,504 53.96% 88,011 42.98% 6,277 3.06% 204,792 100% Republican hold
98,645 56.37% 76,340 43.63% 0 0.00% 174,985 100% Republican hold
Total 337,146 58.33% 234,568 40.58% 6,277 1.09% 577,991 100%

District 1

Election Name:2018 West Virginia's 1st congressional district election
Country:West Virginia
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia#District 1
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia#District 1
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:David McKinley Official (alt crop).jpg
Nominee1:David McKinley
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:127,997
Percentage1:64.6%
Nominee2:Kendra Fershee
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:70,217
Percentage2:35.4%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:David McKinley
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:David McKinley
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: West Virginia's 1st congressional district. Republican incumbent David McKinley had represented the district since 2011. In 2016, he was reelected with 68.97% of the vote.[2] McKinley successfully ran for re-election.[3]

Democratic primary

Primary results

Republican primary

Primary results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
David
McKinley (R)
Kendra
Fershee (D)
Undecided
Emerson College[7] October 28–31, 2018341± 5.5% align="center" 57%32%11%
Emerson College[8] September 13–15, 2018275± 6.3% align="center" 43%14% align="center" 43%
Monmouth University[9] June 14–19, 201887 LV± 14.4% align="center" 72%24%
87 RV± 14.4% align="center" 68%22%

Results

District 2

Election Name:2018 West Virginia's 2nd congressional district election
Country:West Virginia
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia#District 2
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia#District 2
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Alex Mooney official photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Alex Mooney
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:110,504
Percentage1:53.9%
Nominee2:Talley Sergent
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:88,011
Percentage2:43.0%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Alex Mooney
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Alex Mooney
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: West Virginia's 2nd congressional district. Republican incumbent Alex Mooney had represented the district since 2015. In 2016, he was reelected with 58.18% of the vote. Mooney successfully ran for reelection. West Virginia's 2nd district had been included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[10]

Democratic primary

Primary results

Republican primary

Primary results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Alex
Mooney (R)
Talley
Sergent (D)
Undecided
Emerson CollegeOctober 28–31, 2018344± 5.5% align="center" 47%39%10%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 13–15, 2018277± 6.3% align="center" 32%24% align="center" 44%
Monmouth UniversityJune 14–19, 2018138 LV± 13.0% align="center" 52%38%
138 RV± 13.0% align="center" 51%33%

Results

District 3

Election Name:2018 West Virginia's 3rd congressional district election
Country:West Virginia
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia#District 3
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia#District 3
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Carol Miller, Official Portrait, 116th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:Carol Miller
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:98,645
Percentage1:56.4%
Nominee2:Richard Ojeda
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:76,340
Percentage2:43.6%
Map Size:250px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Evan Jenkins
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Carol Miller
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: West Virginia's 3rd congressional district. Republican incumbent Evan Jenkins had represented the district since 2015. In 2016, he was reelected with 67.88% of the vote. Jenkins vacated the seat to run for the Senate against Democratic incumbent Joe Manchin.[13] He resigned September 30, 2018, to become justice of the Supreme Court of Appeals of West Virginia.[14]

Democratic primary

Primary results

Republican primary

Primary results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[27] Lean ROctober 3, 2018
Inside Elections[28] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Lean ROctober 4, 2018
Daily Kos[30] Lean RSeptember 28, 2018
Fox News[31] Lean RSeptember 21, 2018
CNN[32] TossupOctober 2, 2018
RealClearPolitics[33] TossupSeptember 21, 2018
The New York Times[34] Lean RSeptember 26, 2018
Politico[35] TossupSeptember 21, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Carol
Miller (R)
Richard
Ojeda (D)
OtherUndecided
Emerson CollegeOctober 28–31, 2018328± 5.5% align="center" 52%45%3%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[36] October 14–18, 2018490± 5.0% align="center" 46%41%13%
Monmouth University[37] October 10–14, 2018343± 5.2% align="center" 48%45%2%5%
DCCC (D)[38] September 16, 2018540± 4.2%44% align="center" 48%8%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 13–15, 2018274± 6.3%31% align="center" 36%33%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[39] September 8–10, 2018499± 5.0% align="center" 48%40%12%
Monmouth University[40] June 14–19, 2018343 LV± 5.3%41% align="center" 47%3%9%
428 RV± 4.7%41% align="center" 43%3%13%

Results

External links

Official campaign websites for first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Johnson. Cheryl L.. Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018. Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. 2019-04-27. 2019-02-28. mdy-all.
  2. Web site: West Virginia Statewide Results General Election – November 8, 2016 Official Results . West Virginia Secretary of State . November 8, 2016 . December 3, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20161225112543/http://services.sos.wv.gov/apps/elections/results/results.aspx?year=2016&eid=23&county=Statewide . December 25, 2016 . dead . mdy-all .
  3. Web site: McKinley to run for re-election in 2018. West Virginia MetroNews. Thomas. Alex. May 30, 2017. May 30, 2017.
  4. Web site: Ex-Orrick Leader Finally Ready to Run for Congress. www.law.com. en. 2017-09-12.
  5. News: WVU Law professor declares candidacy for Congress. 2017-09-21. WV MetroNews. 2017-09-22. en-US.
  6. News: Tom Payne (West Virginia) - Ballotpedia. 2018-04-13. en-US.
  7. https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/emerson-poll-west-virginia-senate-race-tightens-texas-senate-race-remains-close-republicans-look-hold-three-house-seats-wv#.W9sgG3pKjOQ Emerson College
  8. https://www.emerson.edu/office-of-communications/media-relations/press-releases/emerson-e-poll-manchin-leads-12-points-west-virginia-senate-race-democrats-look-take-1-possibly-2-house-seats#.W5-3_ZNKi8U Emerson College
  9. https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_wv_062018.pdf/ Monmouth University
  10. Web site: Amid Democratic doldrums, DCCC identifies 2018 targets. Politico. Cheney. Kyle. January 30, 2017. March 23, 2017.
  11. News: Veteran announces bid for Alex Mooney's congressional seat. Charleston Gazette-Mail. 2017-08-08. en-US.
  12. News: Former Clinton staffer to challenge Mooney for House seat. Charleston Gazette-Mail. 2017-08-08. en-US.
  13. News: Jenkins to challenge Manchin for U.S. Senate seat. WSAZ-TV. May 8, 2017. May 8, 2017.
  14. Web site: Evan Jenkins to Resign Seat on Sunday, Head to West Virginia Supreme Court. Roll Call. Staff. September 27, 2018. www.rollcall.com. November 8, 2018. March 21, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210321134833/https://www.rollcall.com/2018/09/27/evan-jenkins-to-resign-seat-on-sunday-head-to-west-virginia-supreme-court/. dead.
  15. News: Editorial: 3rd Congressional seat is a hot ticket item. The Parthenon. 2017-08-08. en-US.
  16. News: Janice Hagerman - Ballotpedia. 2018-04-13. en-US.
  17. News: Shirley Love - Ballotpedia. 2018-04-13. en-US.
  18. Web site: Democrats Hope to Re-Take WV-03 - GrafWV.com — Entertainment, the arts, alternative news for W.Va. Graffiti. www.grafwv.com. 2017-08-08.
  19. News: Beckley physician announces run for Congressional seat. Wendy . Holdren. Beckley Register-Herald. 2017-08-08. en.
  20. Web site: Gearheart enters race for 3rd Congressional District. H. D.. Media. The Herald-Dispatch. 5 January 2018 .
  21. Web site: From Party Chair to Candidate, Lucas Running for Open West Virginia Seat. Simone. Pathé. November 10, 2017. www.rollcall.com.
  22. Web site: WV Republican Party chairman Lucas to seek 3rd District seat. Jake. Zuckerman . Charleston Gazette-Mail. 8 November 2017 .
  23. Web site: Miller announces US Congress bid. 2017-07-20. WV MetroNews. 2017-08-08.
  24. News: Philip Payton - Ballotpedia. 2018-04-13. en-US.
  25. News: Ojeda, Phillips latest to declare runs for Congress. Charleston Gazette-Mail. 2017-08-08. en-US.
  26. News: Snuffer announces bid for Republican nomination for 3rd Congressional District House seat. Telegraph. CHARLES OWENS Bluefield Daily. Bluefield Daily Telegraph. 2017-08-08. en.
  27. Web site: 2018 House Race Ratings The Cook Political Report. The Cook Political Report. en. 2017-08-13.
  28. Web site: House Ratings Inside Elections. insideelections.com. en. 2018-08-18.
  29. Web site: 2018 House. www.centerforpolitics.org. en-US. 2017-08-13.
  30. Web site: Daily Kos: House 2018. September 28, 2018. Daily Kos. October 5, 2018.
  31. News: Fox News Midterms 2018 America's Election HQ. Fox News. 2018-08-18. en-US.
  32. Web site: CNN Key Races: Path to House majority comes into focus as a dozen races move toward Democrats. . 29 July 2018 . en-US. 2018-07-30.
  33. Web site: RealClearPolitics - 2018 Election Maps - Battle for the House 2018. www.realclearpolitics.com. 2018-08-18.
  34. News: Elections 2018: Tracking the House Races to Watch in the 2018 Midterm Elections. The New York Times . 13 August 2018 . en-US. 2018-08-13 . Lee . Jasmine C. . Burns . Alexander .
  35. News: Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election. POLITICO. 2018-09-07.
  36. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-wv03-3.html NYT Upshot/Siena College
  37. https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_wv_101618.pdf Monmouth University
  38. https://dccc.org/poll-ojeda-leads-miller-wv-03/ DCCC (D)
  39. http://files.constantcontact.com/9c83fb30501/d1e2673f-0a8f-4cb6-ad47-f519c3d203ea.pdf NYT Upshot/Siena College
  40. https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_wv_062018.pdf Monmouth University