2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana explained

Election Name:2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
Country:Montana
Type:presidential
Previous Election:2017 Montana's at-large congressional district special election
Previous Year:2017 (special)
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
Next Year:2020
Nominee1:Greg Gianforte
Image1:File:Greg Gianforte 115th congress (cropped 2).jpg
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:256,661
Percentage1:50.9%
Nominee2:Kathleen Williams
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:233,284
Percentage2:46.3%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Greg Gianforte
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Greg Gianforte
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debates

Predictions

!Source!Ranking!As of
The Cook Political Report[9] November 5, 2018
Inside Elections/Rothenberg Political Report[10] November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] November 5, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Greg
Gianforte (R)		Kathleen
Williams (D)		Elinor
Swanson (L)		OtherUndecided
Change Research (D)[12] November 2–4, 2018879– align=center52%44%2%––
Gravis Marketing[13] October 24–26, 2018782± 3.5%48%48%––3%
University of Montana[14] October 10–18, 2018533± 4.3%45% align=center46%2%–7%
Montana State University Billings[15] October 8–13, 2018471± 4.5% align=center44%41%3%–12%
Montana State University Bozeman[16] September 15 – October 6, 20182,079± 2.2% align=center48%40%2%1%9%
Gravis Marketing[17] September 19–22, 2018710± 3.7% align=center51%42%––8%
AARP/Benenson Strategy Group (D)[18] September 6–16, 2018950± 3.1% align=center46%45%–1%7%
University of Montana[19] August 13–31, 2018466± 4.5%38% align=center51%3%–8%
Gravis Marketing[20] June 11–13, 2018469± 4.5%43% align=center49%––8%

Results

Gianforte defeated Kathleen Williams on November 6, 2018.[21]

See also

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: Greg Gianforte files for re-election, extension for court appearance expected. Missoulian. Michels. Holly K.. June 5, 2017. June 7, 2017.
  2. News: Democratic Billings lawyer, business owner says he's running for Greg Gianforte's seat. Independent Record. Michels. Holly K.. August 7, 2017. August 7, 2017.
  3. News: Democrat jumps into primary for U.S. House race. Independent Record. Michels. Holly K.. September 12, 2017. September 13, 2017.
  4. News: Pettinato enters race for lone congressional seat. Great Falls Tribune. Drake. Phil. October 30, 2017. October 30, 2017.
  5. News: Former Bozeman legislator joins Democratic primary for Montana's U.S. House seat. Independent Record. Michels. Holly K.. October 26, 2017. October 26, 2017.
  6. News: Moss Drops Out of Race for Montana's US House Seat - Flathead Beacon. 2018-04-19. Flathead Beacon. 2018-04-20. en-US.
  7. News: Billings Democrat drops out of Montana House race, but will still be on the ballot. Gazette. Billings. missoulian.com. 2018-04-20. en.
  8. News: Billings lawyer enters Montana U.S. House race as Libertarian candidate. KTVH. Ambarlan. Jonathon. February 27, 2018. July 6, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180707034606/http://www.ktvh.com/2018/02/billings-lawyer-enters-montana-u-s-house-race-as-libertarian-candidate. July 7, 2018. dead.
  9. Web site: 2018 House Race ratings . The Cook Political Report . en . July 10, 2018.
  10. Web site: House Ratings Inside Elections. insideelections.com. en. 2017-12-26.
  11. Web site: Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House. www.centerforpolitics.org. en-US. 2017-12-26.
  12. https://twitter.com/ChangePolls/status/1059294632163438592 Change Research (D)
  13. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Gravis_Montana_October_27_2018.pdf Gravis Marketing
  14. http://www.umt.edu/bigskypoll/Methodology/UMBigSkyPoll-BackgroundMemoPoll2-Fall2018.pdf University of Montana
  15. http://www.msubillings.edu/urelations/releases/newsphotos2018/oct/2018%20Montana%20Poll%20report.pdf Montana State University Billings
  16. https://krtv.com/news/montana-politics/2018/10/23/mtn-msu-poll-gianforte-has-7-5-point-lead-in-u-s-house-race-but-10-percent-undecided/ Montana State University Bozeman
  17. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Gravis_September_25_2018.pdf Gravis Marketing
  18. https://states.aarp.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/AARP-Montana-Voter-Topline-Results-9-2018.pdf AARP/Benenson Strategy Group (D)
  19. http://www.umt.edu/bigskypoll/Methodology/UMBigSkyPoll-FinalFullResults2018.pdf University of Montana
  20. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Gravis_Montana_June_2018.pdf Gravis Marketing
  21. News: House Races Midterms 2018 America's Election HQ. November 6, 2018. November 11, 2018. FOX News]. en.

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