2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri explained

Election Name:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
Country:Missouri
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
Next Year:2020
Seats For Election:All eight of Missouri's seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:6
Seats1:6
Popular Vote1:1,330,975
Percentage1:55.03%
Swing1: 3.17%
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:2
Seats2:2
Popular Vote2:1,027,969
Percentage2:42.51%
Swing2: 4.65%
Map Size:275px

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts.

Results summary

Statewide

PartyCandidatesVotesSeats
%+/–%
8 1,330,975 55.04 6 75.00%
8 1,027,969 42.51 2 25.00%
8 54,746 2.26 0 0.00%
2 3,831 0.16 0 0.00%
1 876 0.04 0 0.00%
3 16 0.0 0 0.00%
Total 30 2,418,413 100.0 8 100.0%

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri by district:[1]

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
45,867 16.72% 219,781 80.10% 8,727 3.18% 274,375 100.0% Democratic hold
192,477 51.18% 177,611 47.23% 5,978 1.59% 376,066 100.0% Republican hold
211,243 65.08% 106,589 32.84% 6,776 2.08% 324,608 100.0% Republican hold
190,138 64.82% 95,968 32.72% 7,210 2.46% 293,316 100.0% Republican hold
101,069 35.69% 175,019 61.53% 7,697 2.78% 283,785 100.0% Democratic hold
199,796 65.42% 97,660 31.98% 7,953 2.60% 305,409 100.0% Republican hold
196,343 66.23% 89,190 30.09% 10,922 3.68% 296,455 100.0% Republican hold
194,042 73.39% 66,151 25.02% 4,206 1.59% 264,399 100.0% Republican hold
Total 1,330,975 55.03% 1,027,969 42.51% 59,469 2.46% 2,418,413 100.0%

District 1

Election Name:2018 Missouri's 1st congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 1
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 1
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Lacy Clay official photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Lacy Clay
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:219,781
Percentage1:80.1%
Nominee2:Robert Vroman
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:45,867
Percentage2:16.7%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Lacy Clay
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Lacy Clay
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Missouri's 1st congressional district. The 1st district includes all of St. Louis City and much of Northern St. Louis County. Incumbent Democrat Lacy Clay, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+29.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

General election

Results

District 2

Election Name:2018 Missouri's 2nd congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 2
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 2
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Ann Wagner Headshot (002) (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Ann Wagner
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:192,477
Percentage1:51.2%
Nominee2:Cort VanOstran
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:177,611
Percentage2:47.2%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Ann Wagner
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Ann Wagner
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Missouri's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district includes the suburbs south and west of St. Louis City. Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.

Republican primary

Wagner was considered likely to run for the U.S. Senate in 2018 instead of running for re-election,[2] [3] but opted to seek re-election to the House.[4]

At the filing deadline - one candidate, Noga Sachs, had filed with the Federal Election Commission to run in the Republican primary. Despite an attempt by the Missouri Republican Party to remove her from the ballot in April 2018, she remained on the ballout.[5]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ann
Wagner (R)
Cort
VanOstran (D)
Tony
Kirk (L)
David
Arnold (G)
Undecided
Expedition Strategies (D-VanOstran)[8] August 23–26, 2018402± 4.9%41% align=center43%1%0%14%
Remington Research (R)[9] August 22–23, 2018983± 3.1% align=center51%40%9%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[10] November 5, 2018
align=left Inside Elections[11] November 5, 2018
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] November 5, 2018
RCP[13] November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14] November 5, 2018
538[15] November 7, 2018
CNN[16] October 31, 2018
Politico[17] November 4, 2018

Results

District 3

Election Name:2018 Missouri's 3rd congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 3
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 3
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Blaine Luetkemeyer, Official Portrait, 116th congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Blaine Luetkemeyer
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:211,243
Percentage1:65.1%
Nominee2:Katy Geppert
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:106,589
Percentage2:32.8%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Blaine Luetkemeyer
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Blaine Luetkemeyer
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Missouri's 3rd congressional district. The third district stretches from exurbs of St. Louis to the state capital Jefferson City. Incumbent Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

General election

Results

District 4

Election Name:2018 Missouri's 4th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 4
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 4
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Vicky Hartzler official portrait ca 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Vicky Hartzler
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:190,138
Percentage1:64.8%
Nominee2:Renee Hoagenson
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:106,589
Percentage2:32.7%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Vicky Hartzler
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Vicky Hartzler
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Missouri's 4th congressional district. The fourth district takes in Columbia and much of rural west-central Missouri. Incumbent Republican Vicky Hartzler, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.

Republican primary

Hartzler has been considered a potential candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018.[3]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

General election

Results

District 5

Election Name:2018 Missouri's 5th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 5
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 5
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Emanuel Cleaver, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Emanuel Cleaver
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:175,019
Percentage1:61.7%
Nominee2:Jacob Turk
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:101,069
Percentage2:35.6%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Emanuel Cleaver
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Emanuel Cleaver
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Missouri's 5th congressional district. The fifth district encompasses most of Jackson County, the southern part of Clay County, and three other rural counties to the east. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who had represented the district since 2005, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+7.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Results

District 6

Election Name:2018 Missouri's 6th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 6
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 6
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Congressman Sam Graves Official Photo, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Sam Graves
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:199,796
Percentage1:65.4%
Nominee2:Henry Martin
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:97,660
Percentage2:32.0%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Sam Graves
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Sam Graves
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The sixth district encompasses rural northern Missouri, St. Joseph and much of Kansas City north of the Missouri River. Incumbent Republican Sam Graves, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+16.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

General election

Results

District 7

Election Name:2018 Missouri's 7th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 7
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 7
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Billy Long 115th official photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Billy Long
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:196,343
Percentage1:66.2%
Nominee2:Jamie Schoolcraft
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:89,190
Percentage2:30.1%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Billy Long
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Billy Long
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Missouri's 7th congressional district. The seventh district takes in Springfield, Joplin, and much of the rest of rural southwestern Missouri. Incumbent Republican Billy Long, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 20`6. The district had a PVI of R+23.

Republican primary

Long has been considered a potential candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018.[3]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

General election

Results

District 8

Election Name:2018 Missouri's 8th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 8
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 8
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Jason Smith 116th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:Jason Smith
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:194,042
Percentage1:73.4%
Nominee2:Kathy Ellis
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:66,151
Percentage2:25.0%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Billy Long
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Billy Long
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Missouri's 8th congressional district. The eighth district is the most rural district of Missouri, taking in all of the rural southeastern and south-central part of the state. It has a PVI of R+24, the most strongly Republican district of Missouri. Incumbent Republican Jason Smith, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 74% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+24.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

General election

Results

External links

Official campaign websites of first district candidates

Official campaign websites of second district candidates

Official campaign websites of third district candidates

Official campaign websites of fourth district candidates

Official campaign websites of fifth district candidates

Official campaign websites of sixth district candidates

Official campaign websites of seventh district candidates

Official campaign websites of eighth district candidates

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Johnson. Cheryl L.. Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018. Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. 2019-04-27. 2019-02-28. mdy-all.
  2. News: House GOPer eyes McCaskill challenge. The Hill. Wong. Scott. April 22, 2016. November 17, 2016.
  3. News: 2018 showdown looms: House Republicans vs. Democratic senators. Politico. Schor. Elana. Everett. Burgess. November 18, 2016. November 18, 2016.
  4. Web site: Top GOP Senate recruit Ann Wagner won't challenge Clair McCaskill. Drucker. David. July 3, 2017. The Washington Examiner. July 3, 2017.
  5. Web site: SOS, Missouri - Elections: Offices Filed in Candidate Filing.
  6. Web site: Chuck Raasch . At least three Democratic newcomers are considering running for Wagner's congressional seat . stltoday.com . St. Louis Post-Dispatch . 4 August 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170623234907/https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/at-least-three-democratic-newcomers-are-considering-running-for-wagner/article_e7cd663e-4377-5ca2-9bd0-12c9f22e217e.html . 23 June 2017 . 23 June 2017.
  7. Web site: LeftOfYou . Congress 2018: Democrat War Hero Squares off Against GOP Incumbent Drone in the St. Louis Suburbs . dailykos.com . Daily Kos . 4 August 2023 . 11 September 2017.
  8. https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000165-b0c8-db0d-a3e5-fae98cbe0001 Expedition Strategies (D-VanOstran)
  9. https://static1.squarespace.com/static/59015f4b37c581b2ce01e5b3/t/5b81466b2b6a282494d3d0f7/1535198829808/MOScout+Weekly+Poll+-+CD-2.pdf Remington Research (R)
  10. Web site: 2018 House Race Ratings . Cook Political Report . October 30, 2018.
  11. Web site: 2018 House Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 5, 2018.
  12. Web site: 2018 House . . November 5, 2018.
  13. News: Battle for the House 2018 . RCP . November 5, 2018.
  14. Web site: Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings . . November 5, 2018 .
  15. Web site: Silver . Nate . 2018 House Forecast . . November 6, 2018 . August 16, 2018.
  16. Web site: CNN's 2018 Race Ratings . cnn.com . Turner Broadcasting System . 30 July 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20181031235918/https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/key-races . 31 October 2018.
  17. News: Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election. POLITICO. 2018-09-07 . https://web.archive.org/web/20181104115002/https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/house-senate-race-ratings-and-predictions/ . 4 November 2018.
  18. Web site: Aaron Randle . ‘Disgusted, but not surprised’: KC trans veteran speaks against Trump’s military ban . kansascity.com . Kansas City Star . 7 August 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170727045859/https://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article163859458.html . 27 July 2017 . 26 July 2017.
  19. Web site: Will Schmitt . Rep. Billy Long to face former Willard mayor Jamie Schoolcraft . news-leader.com . Springfield News-Leader . 7 August 2023 . 7 August 2018.