2018 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota explained

Election Name:2018 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota, At-large district
Country:South Dakota
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2020 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Dusty Johnson, official portrait, 116th congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Dusty Johnson
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:202,446
Percentage1:60.3%
Nominee2:Tim Bjorkman
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:120,816
Percentage2:36.0%
Map Size:250px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Kristi Noem
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Dusty Johnson
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota was held on November 6, to elect the U.S. representative for South Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other statewide, legislative, and local elections.

Incumbent Republican U.S. Representative Kristi Noem did not run for a fifth term and instead ran successfully for Governor of South Dakota.[1] This is the first open seat election since 2004 and the first time a male candidate was elected since 2002. This was the last U.S. House election in South Dakota until 2024 that a Democrat appeared on the November ballot.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Failed to file

Declined

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declined

General election

Predictions

!Source!Ranking!As of
The Cook Political Report[19] June 1, 2018
The Rothenberg Political Report[20] June 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] June 6, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Dusty
Johnson (R)		Tim
Bjorkman (D)		OtherUndecided
Change Research (D)[22] November 2–4, 2018851– align=center51%41%5%[23] –
Emerson College[24] November 1–4, 2018514± 4.5% align=center54%38%–5%
Mason-Dixon[25] October 18–22, 2018500± 4.5% align=center54%31%3%[26] 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Johnson)[27] August 1–3 & 5, 2018400± 4.9% align=center54%33%–10%
Public Policy Polling (D-Bjorkman)[28] July 19–20, 2018641± 3.9% align=center43%33%–14%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Noem announces historic bid for governor. Argus Leader. Ellis. Jonathan. November 14, 2016. November 15, 2016.
  2. Web site: Who Could Run for Kristi Noem's At-Large Seat?. Pathé. Simone. November 15, 2016. Roll Call. November 15, 2016.
  3. Web site: Former Trump state campaign director Neal Tapio announces bid for U.S. House. Argus Leader. Ferguson. Dana. January 29, 2018.
  4. Web site: Man files Tennessee based Statement of Candidacy to run as Republican in South Dakota Congressional race?. South Dakota War College. Powers. Pat. May 20, 2017. May 25, 2017.
  5. Web site: SD Republican Among First Ten Bernie-Bloomer "Brand New Congress" Candidates to File. Dakota Free Press. Heidelberger. Cory. May 22, 2017. May 25, 2017.
  6. https://www.argusleader.com/story/news/politics/2018/05/30/argus-leader-and-kelo-poll-dusty-johnson-leads-gop-house-race-shantel-krebs-neal-tapio/651299002/ Mason-Dixon
  7. News: Strubinger. Lee. Bjorkman Says There's Key Differences Between Him, Johnson. June 7, 2018. South Dakota Public Radio. April 11, 2024.
  8. Web site: Rapid City Democrat emerges as US House candidate. Leischner. Mike. April 11, 2017. KELO. April 14, 2017. April 14, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170414162518/http://kelo.com/news/articles/2017/apr/12/rapid-city-democrat-emerges-as-us-house-candidate/. dead.
  9. Web site: Democratic town hall meeting sets the stage for possible campaign announcement. Mitchell Daily Republic. Hendershot. Evan. July 7, 2017. August 6, 2017. August 6, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170806221617/http://www.mitchellrepublic.com/news/local/4294670-democratic-town-hall-meeting-sets-stage-possible-campaign-announcement. dead.
  10. Web site: The 2018 campaign is underway. Black Hills Pioneer. Lawrence. Tom. November 22, 2016. November 24, 2016.
  11. Web site: Herseth Sandlin: 'I am done seeking political office'. Argus Leader. Raposa. Megan. February 23, 2017. April 1, 2017.
  12. Web site: Huether dumps Dems amid speculation of statewide run. Argus Leader. Anderson. Patrick. December 19, 2016. April 1, 2017.
  13. Web site: SD Dems' director exits for 'statewide' campaign. Argus Leader. Ferguson. Dana. April 12, 2017. April 13, 2017.
  14. Web site: Democrats, Sutton enter South Dakota governor race. Argus Leader. Ferguson. Dana. May 30, 2017. May 31, 2017.
  15. Web site: Medical cannabis advocate, former police officer enters U.S. House race. Argus Leader. Ferguson. Dana. July 15, 2017. July 16, 2017.
  16. Web site: 2018 Candidates. 8 January 2018.
  17. Web site: Huether moves hint at 2018 run. Argus Leader. Sneve. Joe. March 7, 2017. April 1, 2017.
  18. Web site: Mayor Mike Huether not seeking U.S. House seat. Argus Leader. Ferguson. Danielle. Sneve. Joe. June 22, 2017. July 1, 2017.
  19. News: House Maps. The Cook Political Report. 2018-06-07. en.
  20. Web site: South Dakota Inside Elections. insideelections.com. en. 2018-06-07.
  21. Web site: Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House. www.centerforpolitics.org. en-US. 2018-06-07.
  22. https://twitter.com/ChangePolls/status/1059301248380223488 Change Research (D)
  23. Ron Wieczorek (I) with 3%, George Hendrickson (L) with 2%
  24. https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/final-emerson-battleground-polls-finds-democratic-momentum-florida-nevada-south-dakota-arizona-republicans-poised-take-missouri-0#.W-Bgv5P7S1s Emerson College
  25. https://www.argusleader.com/story/news/politics/2018/10/25/south-dakota-2018-election-us-house-representative-poll-dusty-johnson-tim-bjorkman/1749637002/ Mason-Dixon
  26. Ron Wieczorek (I) with 2%, George Hendrickson (L) with 1%
  27. http://media.graytvinc.com/documents/Public+Opinion+Strategies'+findings.pdf Public Opinion Strategies (R-Johnson)
  28. https://timbjorkman.com/2018/08/07/bjorkman-poll-from-noteworthy-source-shows-tightening-race/ Public Policy Polling (D-Bjorkman)

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