| Election Name: | 2018 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota's at-large district |
| Country: | North Dakota |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2016 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota |
| Previous Year: | 2016 |
| Next Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota |
| Next Year: | 2020 |
| Election Date: | November 6, 2018 |
| Image1: | File:Kelly Armstrong (cropped 2).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Kelly Armstrong |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote1: | 193,568 |
| Percentage1: | 60.2% |
| Nominee2: | Mac Schneider |
| Party2: | North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party |
| Popular Vote2: | 114,377 |
| Percentage2: | 35.6% |
| Map Size: | 250px |
| U.S. Representative | |
| Before Election: | Kevin Cramer |
| Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Kelly Armstrong |
| After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative for North Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the U.S. Senate election, as well as other statewide, legislative, and local elections.
Though incumbent Republican U.S. Representative Kevin Cramer announced on January 11, 2018, he will run for re-election to a fourth term, he later indicated an intention to run for the United States Senate instead.[1] [2] [3] On February 16, 2018, Cramer announced his Senate campaign.
State Senator Tom Campbell has stated he intends to run for the U.S. Senate if Cramer runs for re-election and to run for the U.S. House if Cramer does not run for re-election.[4] Campbell declared for the seat following Cramer's run for Senate. However, on April 11, Campbell dropped out of the race to endorse Armstrong.[5]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | Margin of error | Tiffany Abentroth | Kelly Armstrong | Tom Campbell | Julie Fedorchak | DuWayne Hendrickson | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing[11] | February 21–24, 2018 | 385 | ± 5.0% | 1% | 13% | align=center | 28% | 9% | 1% | align=center | 47% |
The Democratic-NPL Party held their state convention March 16 and 17, during which delegates voted to endorse Mac Schneider. Although general election ballot access is actually controlled by a primary election to be held June 12, both other candidates decided to withdraw from the race, rather than challenge Schneider in the primary.[12]
| The Cook Political Report[17] | June 1, 2018 | ||
| The Rothenberg Political Report[18] | June 1, 2018 | ||
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | June 6, 2018 |
| Date | Link(s) | Participants | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Schneider (D) | Kelly Armstrong (R) | ||||
| KFYR-TV | August 16, 2018 | [20] | Invited | Invited | |
| Prairie Public | September 11, 2018 | Invited | Invited | ||
| KFGO | September 19, 2018 | [21] | Invited | Invited | |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kelly Armstrong (R) | Mac Schneider (D) | Other | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOX News[22] | October 27–30, 2018 | 789 LV | ± 3.0% | align=center | 55% | 33% | 2% | 10% | |
| 851 RV | ± 3.0% | align=center | 52% | 32% | 3% | 12% | |||
| Strategic Research Associates[23] | October 12–19, 2018 | 650 | ± 3.8% | align=center | 56% | 35% | – | 9% | |
| FOX News[24] | September 29 – October 2, 2018 | 704 LV | ± 3.5% | align=center | 51% | 34% | 2% | 12% | |
| 801 V | ± 3.5% | align=center | 49% | 33% | 2% | 14% | |||
| Strategic Research Associates[25] | September 17–27, 2018 | 650 | ± 3.8% | align=center | 55% | 31% | – | 14% | |
| FOX News[26] | September 8–11, 2018 | 701 LV | ± 3.5% | align=center | 48% | 34% | 2% | 15% | |
| 804 V | ± 3.5% | align=center | 47% | 32% | 2% | 17% | |||
| Axis Research (R-Armstrong)[27] | August 26–28, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | align=center | 53% | 32% | – | 15% | |
| Mason-Dixon[28] | June 13–15, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | align=center | 46% | 35% | – | 19% | |
| Axis Research (R-Armstrong)[29] | May 13–14, 2018 | 509 | ± 4.5% | align=center | 48% | 26% | – | 26% |
Official campaign websites