2018 Lower Austrian state election explained

Election Name:2018 Lower Austrian state election
Country:Lower Austria
Flag Year:state
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2013 Lower Austrian state election
Previous Year:2013
Next Election:2023 Lower Austrian state election
Next Year:2023
Seats For Election:All 56 seats in the Landtag of Lower Austria

All 9 seats in the state government
Election Date:28 January 2018
Turnout:922,807 (66.6%)
4.3%
Leader1:Johanna Mikl-Leitner
Party1:Austrian People's Party (2017)
Last Election1:30 seats, 50.8%
Seats1:29
Seat Change1: 1
Popular Vote1:450,812
Percentage1:49.6%
Swing1: 1.2%
Leader2:Franz Schnabl
Party2:Social Democratic Party of Austria
Last Election2:13 seats, 21.6%
Seats2:13
Seat Change2: 0
Popular Vote2:217,289
Percentage2:23.9%
Swing2: 2.3%
Leader3:Udo Landbauer
Party3:Freedom Party of Austria
Last Election3:4 seats, 8.2%
Seats3:8
Seat Change3: 4
Popular Vote3:134,085
Percentage3:14.8%
Swing3: 6.6%
Leader4:Helga Krismer
Party4:The Greens – The Green Alternative
Last Election4:4 seats, 8.1%
Seats4:3
Seat Change4: 1
Popular Vote4:58,401
Percentage4:6.4%
Swing4: 1.6%
Leader5:Indra Collini
Party5:NEOS – The New Austria and Liberal Forum
Last Election5:Did not contest
Seats5:3
Seat Change5: 3
Popular Vote5:46,801
Percentage5:5.2%
Swing5: 5.2%
Map Size:300px
Governor
Before Election:Johanna Mikl-Leitner
Before Party:Austrian People's Party
After Election:Johanna Mikl-Leitner
After Party:Austrian People's Party

The 2018 Lower Austrian state election was held on 28 January 2018 to elect the members of the Landtag of Lower Austria.

The ruling Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) fell just short of an absolute majority of votes, but retained its majority in the Landtag. Nonetheless, this was its worst result in the state since 1998. The Social Democratic Party of Austria (SPÖ) and Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) made gains, with the latter doubling its share of seats. The Greens took minor losses, while NEOS – The New Austria (NEOS) contested its first state election in Lower Austria, debuting at 5.2%. Team Stronach, which had won 9.8% in the previous election, did not compete.[1]

Background

The Lower Austrian constitution mandates that cabinet positions in the state government (state councillors, German: Landesräten) be allocated between parties proportionally in accordance with the share of votes won by each; this is known as Proporz. As such, the government is a perpetual coalition of all parties that qualify for at least one state councillor. After the 2013 election, the ÖVP had six councillors, the SPÖ two, and Team Stronach one.

Electoral system

The 56 seats of the Landtag of Lower Austria are elected via open list proportional representation in a two-step process. The seats are distributed between twenty multi-member constituencies. For parties to receive any representation in the Landtag, they must either win at least one seat in a constituency directly, or clear a 4 percent state-wide electoral threshold. Seats are distributed in constituencies according to the Hare quota, with any remaining seats allocated using the D'Hondt method at the state level, to ensure overall proportionality between a party's vote share and its share of seats.[2]

Contesting parties

The table below lists parties represented in the previous Landtag.

NameIdeologyLeader2013 result
Votes (%)SeatsCouncillors
ÖVPAustrian People's Party
Christian democracyJohanna Mikl-Leitner50.8%
SPÖSocial Democratic Party of Austria
Social democracyFranz Schnabl21.6%
FPÖFreedom Party of Austria
Right-wing populism
Euroscepticism
Udo Landbauer8.2%
GRÜNEThe Greens – The Green Alternative
Green politicsHelga Krismer8.1%

Team Stronach, which contested the previous election and won 9.8% of votes, five seats, and one state councillor, did not contest the 2018 election.

In addition to the parties already represented in the Landtag, four parties collected enough signatures to be placed on the ballot.[3]

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
ÖVPSPÖFPÖGrüneNEOSOthersLead
2018 state electiondata-sort-value="2018-01-28"28 Jan 201849.623.914.86.45.20.125.7
Research Affairsdata-sort-value="2018-01-19"16–18 Jan 201841345232155122
OGMdata-sort-value="2018-01-21"8–16 Jan 20188314526195519
Public Opinion Strategiesdata-sort-value="2018-01-15"2–11 Jan 201880548231756125
Marketdata-sort-value="2018-01-15"January 2018?46241756222
Unique Researchdata-sort-value="2018-01-10"2–10 Jan 201850047231855224
Research Affairsdata-sort-value="2018-01-05"3–5 Jan 201841045222145323
SOZABdata-sort-value="2017-12-10"30 Oct–25 Nov 20171,50050221654328
OGMdata-sort-value="2017-11-14"9–14 Nov 201778445252044220
2013 state electiondata-sort-value="2013-03-13"3 Mar 201350.821.68.28.111.329.2

Results

align=center colspan=9
PartyVotes%+/−Seats+/−+/−
bgcolor=Austrian People's Party (ÖVP)450,81249.63–1.1629–16±0
bgcolor=Social Democratic Party of Austria (SPÖ)217,28923.92+2.3513±02±0
bgcolor=Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ)134,08514.76+6.558+41+1
bgcolor=The Greens – The Green Alternative (GRÜNE)58,4016.43–1.633–10±0
bgcolor=NEOS – The New Austria (NEOS)46,8015.15+5.153+30New
bgcolor=Christian Party of Austria (CPÖ)5840.06–0.030±00±0
We for Lower Austria (WFNOE)3670.04New0New0New
Invalid/blank votes14,468
Total922,80710056090
align=left colspan=2Registered voters/turnout1,386,35666.56–4.31
align=left colspan=9 Source: Lower Austrian Government

Results by constituency

ConstituencyÖVPSPÖFPÖGrüneNEOSOthersTotal
seats
Turnout
class=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable%
52.7 2 23.0 1 13.8 5.5 4.6 0.4 3 69.4
40.1 2 29.0 1 15.9 7.8 6.6 0.5 3 61.5
41.7 1 30.3 1 17.0 6.3 4.7 2 60.7
46.4 1 28.2 16.5 5.3 3.6 1 62.5
53.9 26.1 13.3 3.5 3.2 0 69.5
58.1 1 19.7 13.2 5.4 3.6 1 70.4
65.0 15.8 11.7 4.1 3.4 0 72.7
49.4 1 22.7 13.3 8.2 6.4 1 65.0
54.0 1 20.2 14.1 6.1 5.6 1 70.4
48.6 29.5 13.8 4.4 3.6 0 72.1
52.4 1 22.7 16.0 4.6 3.9 0.4 1 70.8
57.1 1 19.6 13.8 5.7 3.9 1 70.5
43.4 1 23.0 1 11.4 11.7 10.2 0.3 2 64.1
45.5 1 28.9 1 17.1 4.6 3.9 2 66.2
45.8 2 26.6 1 14.1 7.8 5.7 3 66.2
59.5 20.1 12.1 4.4 3.9 0 72.4
50.9 1 20.1 13.4 9.0 6.6 1 65.7
55.0 16.8 20.4 4.5 3.3 0 69.8
45.7 2 26.6 1 18.3 4.8 4.6 3 63.0
63.4 1 13.1 15.6 4.3 3.6 1 73.2
Remaining seats 10 6 8 3 3 30
Total 49.6 29 23.9 13 14.8 8 6.4 3 5.2 3 0.1 56 66.6
Source: Lower Austrian Government

Preference votes

Alongside votes for a party, voters were able to cast a preferential votes for a candidate on the party list. The ten candidates with the most preferential votes were as follows:[4]

PartyCandidateVotes
bgcolor=ÖVP1Johanna Mikl-Leitner186,13377.4
bgcolor=FPÖ1Udo Landbauer41,46175.3
bgcolor=SPÖ1Franz Schnabl39,95058.8
bgcolor=ÖVP2Stefan Pernkopf18,4657.7
bgcolor=ÖVP4Karl Wilfing7,4913.1
bgcolor=ÖVP6Ludwig Schleritzko7,0912.9
bgcolor=GRÜNE1Helga Krismer7,07942.4
bgcolor=NEOS1Indra Collini6,95959.7
bgcolor=SPÖ2Karin Renner4,3096.3
bgcolor=FPÖ2Gottfried Waldhäusl4,1337.5

Aftermath

The ÖVP retained its Landtag majority and six out of nine state councillors; the SPÖ also retained its two councillors. With the disappearance of Team Stronach, the FPÖ moved into third place on a strong swing, and won one state councillor.[5]

Notes and References

  1. Web site: State of Lower Austria - Landtag election 2018. Lower Austrian Government.
  2. Web site: ROS - NÖ Landtag electoral law 1992 - State law for Lower Austria, version of 04.08.2020. Lower Austrian Government.
  3. Web site: Parties. Lower Austrian Government.
  4. Web site: Candidates. Lower Austrian Government.
  5. Web site: State government. Lower Austrian Government.