2018 Fremantle by-election explained

Election Name:2018 Fremantle by-election
Country:Australia
Type:Parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 Australian federal election
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2019 Australian federal election
Next Year:2019
Turnout:66.09% 22.72
Registered:103,149
Seats For Election:The Division of Fremantle (WA) in the House of Representatives
Candidate1:Josh Wilson
Party1:Australian Labor Party
Popular Vote1:33,277
Percentage1:52.62%
Swing1: 11.63
Candidate2:John Gray
Party2:Liberal Democrats
Popular Vote2:8,916
Percentage2:14.10%
Swing2: 14.10
Candidate3:Dorinda Cox
Party3:Australian Greens
Popular Vote3:10,456
Percentage3:16.53%
Swing3: 1.21
1Blank:2CP
1Data1:73.33%
1Data2:26.67%
2Blank:2CP change
2Data1: 15.81
2Data2: 26.67
MP
Before Election:Josh Wilson
Before Party:Australian Labor Party
After Election:Josh Wilson
After Party:Australian Labor Party

A by-election for the Australian House of Representatives seat of Fremantle took place on Saturday 28 July 2018, following the resignation of incumbent Labor MP Josh Wilson.[1]

In early counting, within 90 minutes of the close of polls, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation's psephologist Antony Green's electoral computer had predicted Labor to retain the electorate with an increased margin.[2] This election is notable for being the first time that a Liberal Democrats candidate was included in the two-candidate-preferred counting in an Australian federal election.

The by-election occurred on the same day as four other by-elections for the House of Representatives, colloquially known as Super Saturday.

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Background

Due to the High Court ruling against Senator Katy Gallagher on 9 May 2018 as part of the ongoing parliamentary eligibility crisis, Wilson and three other MPs in the same situation announced their parliamentary resignations later that day,[1] while the Perth incumbent resigned for family reasons.[3] The Speaker announced on 24 May 2018 that he had scheduled the by-elections to occur on 28 July 2018. Popularly labelled "Super Saturday", the occurrence of five simultaneous federal by-elections is unprecedented in Australian political history.[4] The others are:

Key dates

Key dates in relation to the by-election are:[5]

Candidates

Candidates (7) in ballot paper order[6]
PartyCandidateBackground
width=3pt  ChristiansMark StaerContested Cannington at the 2008 state election and Gosnells at the 2013 state election.[7]
width=3pt  GreensDorinda CoxSmall business owner, former police officer, anti-domestic violence campaigner.[8]
 Animal JusticeKatrina LoveParty's national vice president and state convenor.
width=3pt  LaborJosh WilsonPrevious MP for Fremantle elected at the 2016 federal election.[9]
width=3pt  Liberal DemocratsJohn GrayFormer Navy officer, Notre Dame University law student, Starlight Children's Foundation entertainer.[10]
 PeopleJames HarfoucheCurtin University commerce student.
 IndependentJason SpanbroekRunning on an anti-Labor platform.[11]

The Liberals declined to contest the Fremantle and Perth federal by-elections, but concentrated their resources on the Darling Range state by-election.[12]

Polling

+Fremantle by-election polling
DateFirmCommissioned bySamplePrimary voteTCP vote
ALPGRNLDPOTHUNDALPGRN
23 July 2018ReachTELLegalise Vaping Australia[13] 69249.3%16.0%17.4%11.2%6.1%69%31%
2016 election41.0%17.7%41.3%57.5%

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-05-09/high-court-katy-gallagher-citizenship-political-reax/9742130 Citizenship drama flares again, with four MPs and one senator on the way out after High Court ruling: ABC 9 May 2018
  2. http://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/july-2018-by-elections/ July 2018 Federal By-elections: Antony Green ABC
  3. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-05-02/member-for-perth-tim-hammond-resigns-from-politics/9718606 Federal Member for Perth Tim Hammond quits politics for family, triggering WA by-election: ABC 2 May 2018
  4. News: Date set for by-elections in Perth, Fremantle, Mayo, Longman and Braddon. 24 May 2018. ABC News. 24 May 2018. en-AU.
  5. Web site: 2018 Fremantle by-election. Australian Electoral Commission.
  6. http://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/fremantle-by-election-2018/ 2018 Fremantle by-election guide: Antony Green ABC
  7. https://australianchristians.com.au 2018 Fremantle by-election: australianchristians.org.au
  8. https://greens.org.au/wa/person/dorinda-cox Dorinda Cox for Fremantle: greens.org.au
  9. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-05-10/labors-leg-up-on-the-liberals-in-the-citizenship-crisis/9748946 Labor's quadruple edge in the citizenship by-elections: Candidates, time, history and money - ABC 10 May 2018
  10. https://www.facebook.com/JohnGrayLibDems/ John Gray - Liberal Democrats candidate for Fremantle: Facebook
  11. https://www.facebook.com/spanner4freo/ Jason Spanbroek for Fremantle: Facebook
  12. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-05-14/liberals-back-move-not-to-contest-fremantle-perth-by-elections/9758716 Mathias Cormann admits Liberals have given up on Perth, Fremantle by-elections: ABC 14 May 2018
  13. https://www.pollbludger.net/2018/07/27/super-saturday-minus-one-day/ Super Saturday minus one day: Poll Bludger 27 July 2018