2018 Carinthian state election explained

Election Name:2018 Carinthian state election
Country:Carinthia
Flag Year:state
Type:parliamentary
Previous Election:2013 Carinthian state election
Previous Year:2013
Next Election:2023 Carinthian state election
Next Year:2023
Election Date:5 March 2018
Seats For Election:All 36 seats in the Landtag of Carinthia
Majority Seats:19
Turnout:297,921 (68.6%)
6.5%
Image1:File:CoR Members portraits - Peter KAISER.jpg
Leader1:Peter Kaiser
Party1:Social Democratic Party of Austria
Last Election1:14 seats, 37.1%
Seats1:18
Seat Change1: 4
Popular Vote1:140,994
Percentage1:47.9%
Swing1: 10.8%
Leader2:Gernot Darmann
Party2:Freedom Party of Austria
Last Election2:6 seats, 16.8%
Seats2:9
Seat Change2: 3
Popular Vote2:67,538
Percentage2:23.0%
Swing2: 6.2%
Leader3:Christian Benger
Party3:Austrian People's Party (2017)
Last Election3:5 seats, 14.4%
Popular Vote3:45,438
Seats3:6
Seat Change3: 1
Percentage3:15.5%
Swing3: 1.1%
Leader4:Gerhard Köfer
Party4:Team Carinthia
Colour4:FFED00
Last Election4:4 seats, 11.1%
Seats4:3
Seat Change4: 1
Popular Vote4:16,667
Percentage4:5.7%
Swing4: 5.5%
Leader5:Rolf Holub
Party5:The Greens – The Green Alternative
Last Election5:5 seats, 12.1%
Seats5:0
Seat Change5: 5
Popular Vote5:9,188
Percentage5:3.1%
Swing5: 9.0%
Map Size:350px
Governor
Before Election:Peter Kaiser
Before Party:SPÖ
After Election:Peter Kaiser
After Party:SPÖ

The 2018 Carinthian state election was held on 5 March 2018 to elect the members of the Landtag of Carinthia.

The centre-left Social Democratic Party of Austria (SPÖ) was the clear winner, taking 47.9% of votes, an eleven percentage point increase from 2013. The Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) gained six points, and the Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) gained one. This was enabled by a collapse in support for other parties: Team Carinthia, which had split from defunct Team Stronach, lost half its voteshare; The Greens tumbled from 12% to 3% and lost their representation; and the Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZÖ) collapsed from 6.4% to just 0.4%.

The SPÖ fell one seat short of an absolute majority, and held exploratory talks with the three other parties in the Landtag. They ultimately formed a coalition government with the ÖVP.[1]

Background

Prior to amendments made in 2017, the Carinthian constitution mandated that cabinet positions in the state government be allocated between parties proportionally in accordance with the share of votes won by each; this is known as Proporz. As such, the government was a perpetual coalition of all parties that qualified for at least one cabinet position. In June 2017, the SPÖ, ÖVP, and Greens (all members of the government) as well as Team Carinthia voted to amend the constitution to remove this requirement.[2] As such, the 2018 election was the first in post-war Carinthian history in which conventional coalition formation could take place.[3]

In the 2013 election, the Freedom Party in Carinthia suffered the largest defeat of any party in Austrian history, falling from 45% to just 17%. Their collapse led to a highly fractious result, with five parties winning at least one state councillor. However, the SPÖ emerged as a clear victor with 37% of the vote. The FPK, having previously been the dominant party in the state, won only one state councillor. Shortly after the election, they voted to give up their independence and merge into the federal Freedom Party. The SPÖ subsequently formed a governing agreement with the ÖVP and Greens.

Electoral system

The 36 seats of the Landtag of Carinthia are elected via open list proportional representation in a two-step process. The seats are distributed between four multi-member constituencies. For parties to receive any representation in the Landtag, they must either win at least one seat in a constituency directly, or clear a 5 percent state-wide electoral threshold. Seats are distributed in constituencies according to the Hare quota, with any remaining seats allocated using the D'Hondt method at the state level, to ensure overall proportionality between a party's vote share and its share of seats.[4]

Contesting parties

The table below lists parties represented in the previous Landtag.

NameIdeologyLeader2013 result
Votes (%)Seats
SPÖSocial Democratic Party of Austria
Social democracyPeter Kaiser37.1%
FPÖFreedom Party of Austria
Right-wing populism
Euroscepticism
Gernot Darmann16.8%
ÖVPAustrian People's Party
Christian democracyWolfgang Waldner14.4%
GRÜNEThe Greens – The Green Alternative
Green politicsRolf Holub12.1%
TKTeam Carinthia
PopulismGerhard Köfer11.1%
BZÖAlliance for the Future of Austria
National conservatismHelmut Nikel6.4%

In addition to the parties already represented in the Landtag, four parties collected enough signatures to be placed on the ballot.[5]

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPÖFPÖÖVPGrüneTKBZÖNEOSOthersLead
2018 state electiondata-sort-value="2018-03-05"5 March 201847.922.915.43.15.70.42.12.725.0
OGMdata-sort-value="2018-02-22"14–20 Feb 20187864424182–354–51–220
M+Rdata-sort-value="2018-02-05"Autumn 201750042–4426–2816–183–45–62–3214–18
TrendComdata-sort-value="2017-05-06"February 20171,1003928131240311
IFAPdata-sort-value="2014-08-12"12 Aug 2014?4316171342426
Humaninstitutdata-sort-value="2014-03-26"26 Mar 2014?38161214103722
IMASdata-sort-value="2014-02-28"28 Feb 2014?3618101581.5101.518
2013 state electiondata-sort-value="2013-03-03"3 March 201337.116.814.412.111.26.41.920.3

Results

align=center colspan=7
PartyVotes%+/−Seats+/−
bgcolor=Social Democratic Party of Austria (SPÖ)140,99447.94+10.8118+4
bgcolor=Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ)67,53822.96+6.119+3
bgcolor=Austrian People's Party (ÖVP)45,43815.45+1.056+1
bgcolor=Team Carinthia (TK)16,6675.67–5.513–1
bgcolor=The Greens – The Green Alternative (GRÜNE)9,1883.12–8.980–5
bgcolor=NEOS – The New Austria (NEOS)6,3072.14New0New
Responsibility EARTH (ERDE)5,4411.85New0New
bgcolor=Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZÖ)1,0750.37–6.030–2
bgcolor=Communist Party of Austria (KPÖ)8220.28+0.280±0
FAIR (FAIR)6220.21New0New
Invalid/blank votes3,826
Total297,918100360
align=left colspan=2Registered voters/turnout434,12168.63–6.52
align=left colspan=8 Source: Carinthian Government

Results by constituency

ConstituencySPÖFPÖÖVPTKGrüneNEOSOthersTotal
seats
Turnout
class=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable%
Klagenfurt 51.7 5 19.9 1 13.3 1 4.9 5.0 2.6 2.7 7 67.4
Carinthia East 46.4 4 25.8 2 17.0 1 4.8 2.2 1.9 1.9 7 69.3
Villach 51.2 4 21.6 1 12.4 5.4 2.9 2.1 4.5 5 67.9
Carinthia West 42.3 3 24.5 1 19.0 1 7.9 2.3 1.9 2.1 5 70.0
Remaining seats 2 4 3 3 0 0 12
Total 47.9 18 22.9 9 15.4 6 5.7 3 3.1 0 2.1 0 2.7 36 68.6
Source: Carinthian Government

Aftermath

After the election, the SPÖ began exploratory talks with the three other parties in the Landtag. By the beginning of April, a coalition agreement had been reached with the ÖVP. However, after ÖVP leader Christian Benger unexpectedly resigned a few days later, the SPÖ led by Kaiser demanded the coalition be renegotiated, fearing the new ÖVP leadership may renege on promises made by their predecessors.[6] On 9 April, the coalition was finalised and presented.[1]

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: New faces in the state government. 9 April 2018. ORF.
  2. Web site: Carinthia abolishes the Proporz. 1 June 2017. Die Presse.
  3. Web site: New rules for government formation in the future. 23 December 2017. ORF.
  4. Web site: LT2018_Mandate.pdf. Carinthian Government.
  5. Web site: Landtag election 4 March 2018. Carinthian Government. 3 August 2020. 5 March 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180305063455/http://www.ktn.gv.at/wahlen/lt2018/. dead.
  6. Web site: Coalition wobbles after Benger resigns. 4 April 2018. ORF.