2016 United States presidential election in West Virginia explained

See main article: article and 2016 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2016 United States presidential election in West Virginia
Country:West Virginia
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States presidential election in West Virginia
Previous Year:2012
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Next Election:2020 United States presidential election in West Virginia
Next Year:2020
Turnout:57.45%[1]
Image1:Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:New York
Running Mate1:Mike Pence
Electoral Vote1:5
Popular Vote1:489,371
Percentage1:
Nominee2:Hillary Clinton
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:New York
Running Mate2:Tim Kaine
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:188,794
Map Size:300px
President
Before Election:Barack Obama
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Donald Trump
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2016 United States presidential election in West Virginia was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. West Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On May 10, 2016, in the presidential primaries, West Virginia voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, Green, and Libertarian parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

Donald Trump won West Virginia with 68.5% of the vote, his second largest share of the vote in any state. Hillary Clinton received just over a quarter of the vote, with 26.4%. Trump's performance in the state made it his strongest state in the 2016 election by total vote share.[2]

West Virginia was also one of two states where Donald Trump won every county, the other being Oklahoma. This was the second consecutive presidential election where every county within the state voted Republican. Trump's 42.1% margin of victory is the largest of any presidential candidate from either party in the state's history, besting Abraham Lincoln's 36.4% margin of victory in 1864. Hillary Clinton's performance was the worst by a major party nominee since 1912, when three candidates split the vote and received over 20% of the vote each, and, as of the 2020 election, remains the worst performance ever by a Democrat in West Virginia.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: article and 2016 West Virginia Democratic primary. Six candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot[3] (alphabetically):

Republican primary

See main article: article and 2016 West Virginia Republican primary. Eleven candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[3]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times[4] November 6, 2016
CNN[5] November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[6] November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[7] November 8, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[8] November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[10] November 8, 2016
Fox News[11] November 7, 2016

By congressional district

Trump won all three congressional districts.[12]

DistrictTrumpClintonRepresentative
68%26%David McKinley
66%29%Alex Mooney
73%23%Evan Jenkins

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
%%%%
Barbour4,52774.02%1,22219.98%3676.00%3,30554.04%6,116
Berkeley28,24465.13%12,32128.41%2,7996.46%15,92336.72%43,364
Boone6,50474.09%1,79020.39%4855.52%4,71453.70%8,779
Braxton3,53769.35%1,32125.90%2424.75%2,21643.45%5,100
Brooke6,62568.33%2,56826.49%5035.18%4,05741.84%9,696
Cabell19,85059.09%11,44734.08%2,2946.83%8,40325.01%33,591
Calhoun2,03577.14%45617.29%1475.57%1,57959.85%2,638
Clay2,30076.79%56818.96%1274.25%1,73257.83%2,995
Doddridge2,35882.36%36212.64%1435.00%1,99669.72%2,863
Fayette10,35766.91%4,29027.72%8315.37%6,06739.19%15,478
Gilmer1,89673.52%54521.13%1385.35%1,35152.39%2,579
Grant4,34687.53%51210.31%1072.16%3,83477.22%4,965
Greenbrier9,55667.18%3,76526.47%9036.35%5,79140.71%14,224
Hampshire6,69277.11%1,58018.20%4074.69%5,11258.91%8,679
Hancock8,90969.59%3,26225.48%6314.93%6,64744.11%12,802
Hardy4,27475.33%1,15520.36%2454.31%3,11954.97%5,674
Harrison18,75066.14%7,69427.14%1,9076.72%11,05639.00%28,351
Jackson9,02073.31%2,66321.64%6215.05%6,35751.67%12,304
Jefferson13,20453.88%9,51838.84%1,7867.28%3,68615.04%24,508
Kanawha43,85057.03%28,26336.76%4,7756.21%15,58720.27%76,888
Lewis5,27476.04%1,34719.42%3154.54%3,92756.62%6,936
Lincoln5,30774.36%1,45920.44%3715.20%3,84853.92%7,137
Logan9,89779.56%2,09216.82%4513.62%7,80562.74%12,440
Marion14,66862.77%6,96429.80%1,7357.43%7,70432.97%23,367
Marshall9,66672.39%2,91821.85%7695.76%6,74850.54%13,353
Mason7,65474.54%2,08120.26%5345.20%5,57354.28%10,269
McDowell4,62974.11%1,43823.02%1792.87%3,19151.09%6,246
Mercer17,40475.03%4,70420.28%1,0894.69%12,70054.75%23,197
Mineral9,07077.71%2,05017.56%5514.73%7,02060.15%11,671
Mingo7,91183.17%1,37014.40%2312.43%6,54168.77%9,512
Monongalia18,43250.13%14,69939.97%3,6419.90%3,73310.16%36,772
Monroe4,44375.92%1,11118.98%2985.10%3,33256.94%5,852
Morgan5,73274.09%1,57320.33%4325.58%4,15953.76%7,737
Nicholas7,25175.70%1,84019.21%4885.09%5,41156.49%9,579
Ohio11,13961.16%5,49330.16%1,5828.68%5,64631.00%18,214
Pendleton2,39873.69%72922.40%1273.91%1,66951.29%3,254
Pleasants2,35874.17%62119.53%2006.30%1,73754.64%3,179
Pocahontas2,49667.92%92825.25%2516.83%1,56842.67%3,675
Preston9,53874.73%2,47019.35%7565.92%7,06855.38%12,764
Putnam17,78870.56%5,88423.34%1,5396.10%11,90447.22%25,211
Raleigh22,04873.76%6,44321.55%1,4014.69%15,60552.21%29,892
Randolph7,62969.55%2,73524.93%6055.52%4,89444.62%10,969
Ritchie3,40582.95%49612.08%2044.97%2,90970.87%4,105
Roane3,78171.12%1,22222.99%3135.89%2,55948.13%5,316
Summers3,45570.61%1,19024.32%2485.07%2,26546.29%4,893
Taylor4,73371.79%1,49122.61%3695.60%3,24249.18%6,593
Tucker2,56573.26%75121.45%1855.29%1,81451.81%3,501
Tyler2,99681.15%50713.73%1895.12%2,48967.42%3,692
Upshur7,00575.34%1,76618.99%5275.67%5,23956.35%9,298
Wayne11,15272.67%3,35721.87%8385.46%7,79550.80%15,347
Webster2,30276.45%55618.47%1535.08%1,74657.98%3,011
Wetzel4,51971.59%1,35921.53%4346.88%3,16050.06%6,312
Wirt1,91178.90%38615.94%1255.16%1,52562.96%2,422
Wood25,43470.51%8,40023.29%2,2376.20%17,03447.22%36,071
Wyoming6,54783.08%1,06213.48%2713.44%5,48569.60%7,880
Totals489,37167.85%188,79426.18%43,0965.97%300,57741.67%721,261

Polling

Analysis

As expected, Republican nominee Donald Trump won West Virginia in a 42-point rout (the largest of any presidential candidate in the state's history) over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton,[13] thanks to ardent support from coal industry workers in Appalachia. He thus captured all five electoral votes from West Virginia. Trump had promised to bring back mining jobs in economically depressed areas of coal country, whereas his opponent had proposed investing millions into converting the region to a producer of green energy.[14] [15] Democrats' championing of environmentalism is viewed as a threat in coal country, and Clinton faced a towering rejection from Mountain State voters. Clinton was also seen as being "haunted" by a comment she made within the state itself, in which, while describing the transition to sustainable energy, she stated "We're going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business."[16]

West Virginia was once a solidly Democratic state; it voted Democratic in every election from 1932 to 1996, except for the Republican landslides of 1956, 1972, and 1984. However, in recent years it has drifted to becoming solidly Republican, and has stayed that way since it was won by George W. Bush in 2000. Barack Obama, for example, failed to win even a single county in 2012. West Virginia is one of the two states where Hillary Clinton did not win any counties, the other being Oklahoma, which last voted for a Democrat in 1964.[17]

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2016 General Election Turnout. www.sos.wv.gov. en-us. 28 June 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20170713222809/http://sos.wv.gov/elections/Pages/2016-General-Election-Turnout.aspx . 13 July 2017.
  2. Web site: FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2016--Election Results for the U.S. President, the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives. November 18, 2020.
  3. Web site: West Virginia Presidential Primary Ballots Set | Ballot Access News.
  4. News: Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours. . . 2016-11-06 . 2016-11-13.
  5. News: Chalian . David . David Chalian. Road to 270: CNN's new election map . March 3, 2019 . . November 4, 2016.
  6. Web site: 2016 Electoral Scorecard . November 7, 2016 . . en . March 3, 2019 . February 16, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170216084540/https://cookpolitical.com/presidential/charts/scorecard . dead .
  7. Web site: 2016 Electoral Map Prediction . November 8, 2016 . . March 3, 2019.
  8. Web site: Presidential Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . August 16, 2021.
  9. Web site: 2016 President . Sabato . Larry J. . Larry Sabato . November 7, 2016 . . March 3, 2019.
  10. Web site: 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House. RealClearPolitics. 2016-11-13.
  11. Web site: Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge . . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
  12. Web site: Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index.
  13. Web site: West Virginia Election Results 2016. The New York Times. 2016-11-12.
  14. News: Deep in Virginia's craggy coal country, they saw Trump as their only hope. Washington Post. 2016-11-12.
  15. News: Coal country West Virginia feels forgotten by politics. Thomas. Zoe. 2016-11-02. BBC News. en-GB. 2016-11-12.
  16. News: Clinton haunted by coal country comment. Daniel. Strauss. May 10, 2016. June 3, 2017. Politico.
  17. Web site: West Virginia Election Results 2016 – The New York Times. The New York Times. November 10, 2016.