2016 United States presidential election in South Dakota explained

See main article: article and 2016 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2016 United States presidential election in South Dakota
Country:South Dakota
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States presidential election in South Dakota
Previous Year:2012
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Next Election:2020 United States presidential election in South Dakota
Next Year:2020
Turnout:59.90% [1]
Image1:Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:New York
Running Mate1:Mike Pence
Electoral Vote1:3
Popular Vote1:227,721
Percentage1:
Nominee2:Hillary Clinton
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:New York
Running Mate2:Tim Kaine
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:117,458
Image3:Gary Johnson June 2016.jpg
Nominee3:Gary Johnson
Party3:Libertarian Party (United States)
Home State3:New Mexico
Running Mate3:Bill Weld
Electoral Vote3:0
Popular Vote3:20,845
Map Size:350px
President
Before Election:Barack Obama
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Donald Trump
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2016 United States presidential election in South Dakota was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. South Dakota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, celebrity Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

South Dakota has voted for the Republican ticket in every election since 1968. Donald Trump continued the Republican tradition in South Dakota, carrying the state with 61.5% of the vote, to Hillary Clinton's 31.7% of the vote,[2] a 29.8% margin of victory, the largest margin of victory for a candidate of either party since Republican Dwight D. Eisenhower's 38.5% margin in 1952. South Dakota was also Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson's fifth strongest state in the 2016 election, which his 5.63% in popular vote being only behind New Mexico, North Dakota, Alaska and Oklahoma.[3]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2016 South Dakota Democratic presidential primary. Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

Republican primary

See main article: 2016 South Dakota Republican presidential primary. Three candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot. The only candidate with a campaign that remained active was Donald Trump. Trump's state director was Neal Tapio.

General Election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for South Dakota as of Election Day.

SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times[4] November 6, 2016
CNN[5] November 8, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[6] November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] November 7, 2016
NBC[8] November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[9] November 8, 2016
Fox News[10] November 7, 2016
ABC[11] November 7, 2016

Statewide Results

2016 United States presidential election in South Dakota[12]
PartyCandidateRunning MateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanDonald TrumpMike Pence227,72161.53%3
DemocraticHillary ClintonTim Kaine117,45831.74%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonWilliam Weld20,8505.63%0
ConstitutionDarrell CastleScott Bradley4,0641.10%0
Totals370,093100.00%3

Results by county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
%%%%
Aurora97469.23%34024.16%936.61%63445.07%1,407
Beadle4,45565.79%1,91228.23%4055.98%2,54337.56%6,772
Bennett66657.96%41235.86%716.18%25422.10%1,149
Bon Homme2,10570.78%70423.67%1655.55%1,40147.11%2,974
Brookings6,74853.22%4,87938.48%1,0538.30%1,86914.74%12,680
Brown9,61359.66%5,45233.83%1,0496.51%4,16125.83%16,114
Brule1,56568.40%57124.96%1526.64%99443.44%2,288
Buffalo17134.90%29660.41%234.69%-125-25.51%490
Butte3,35777.15%69616.00%2986.85%2,66161.15%4,351
Campbell70484.72%10512.64%222.64%59972.08%831
Charles Mix2,38269.39%93527.24%1163.37%1,44742.15%3,433
Clark1,13968.74%39824.02%1207.24%74144.72%1,657
Clay2,10941.61%2,60851.45%3526.94%-499-9.84%5,069
Codington7,76466.54%3,17427.20%7316.26%4,59039.34%11,669
Corson58850.04%53545.53%524.43%534.51%1,175
Custer3,29369.75%1,12123.74%3076.51%2,17246.01%4,721
Davison5,15764.85%2,35529.62%4405.53%2,80235.23%7,952
Day1,62759.23%97435.46%1465.31%65323.77%2,747
Deuel1,36665.67%57027.40%1446.93%79638.27%2,080
Dewey72342.33%88851.99%975.68%-165-9.66%1,708
Douglas1,33883.36%21413.33%533.31%1,12470.03%1,605
Edmunds1,43374.71%38019.81%1055.48%1,05354.90%1,918
Fall River2,51170.47%82123.04%2316.49%1,69047.43%3,563
Faulk85876.74%20418.25%565.01%65458.49%1,118
Grant2,38266.84%97127.24%2115.92%1,41139.60%3,564
Gregory1,60076.52%39118.70%1004.78%1,20957.82%2,091
Haakon93689.66%777.38%312.96%85982.28%1,044
Hamlin2,05174.26%55520.09%1565.65%1,49654.17%2,762
Hand1,39176.51%33418.37%935.12%1,05758.14%1,818
Hanson1,49774.63%42421.14%854.23%1,07353.49%2,006
Harding69590.26%384.94%374.80%65785.32%770
Hughes5,17463.29%2,45029.97%5516.74%2,72433.32%8,175
Hutchinson2,51774.80%69220.56%1564.64%1,82554.24%3,365
Hyde54378.70%12518.12%223.18%41860.58%690
Jackson72265.94%32329.50%504.56%39936.44%1,095
Jerauld64867.01%26427.30%555.69%38439.71%967
Jones45080.65%6912.37%396.98%38168.28%558
Kingsbury1,68065.86%70327.56%1686.58%97738.30%2,551
Lake4,03859.50%2,31434.10%4346.40%1,72425.40%6,786
Lawrence7,41162.58%3,35628.34%1,0759.08%4,05534.24%11,842
Lincoln15,49961.43%8,07632.01%1,6566.56%7,42329.42%25,231
Lyman97768.75%36925.97%755.28%60842.78%1,421
Marshall1,05654.24%75438.73%1377.03%30215.51%1,947
McCook1,79469.35%62324.08%1706.57%1,17145.27%2,587
McPherson89278.45%19216.89%534.66%70061.56%1,137
Meade8,44172.64%2,22319.13%9578.23%6,21853.51%11,621
Mellette40258.86%23834.85%436.29%16424.01%683
Miner70666.35%28126.41%777.24%42539.94%1,064
Minnehaha42,05353.72%30,61839.11%5,6107.17%11,43514.61%78,281
Moody1,73159.02%1,04335.56%1595.42%68823.46%2,933
Oglala Lakota2418.30%2,51086.40%1545.30%-2,269-78.10%2,905
Pennington29,80462.43%14,07429.48%3,8658.09%15,73032.95%47,743
Perkins1,33383.00%18811.71%855.29%1,14571.29%1,606
Potter1,07180.10%21516.08%513.82%85664.02%1,337
Roberts2,14455.13%1,54039.60%2055.27%60415.53%3,889
Sanborn81972.93%24121.46%635.61%57851.47%1,123
Spink1,85462.83%91931.14%1786.03%93531.69%2,951
Stanley1,14873.26%32921.00%905.74%81952.26%1,567
Sully67978.86%13715.91%455.23%54262.95%861
Todd48722.92%1,50570.82%1336.26%-1,018-47.90%2,125
Tripp2,06978.67%46217.57%993.76%1,60761.10%2,630
Turner2,93770.77%96123.16%2526.07%1,97647.61%4,150
Union5,29066.99%2,22728.20%3804.81%3,06338.79%7,897
Walworth1,89676.54%45718.45%1245.01%1,43958.09%2,477
Yankton5,65958.81%3,30134.30%6636.89%2,35824.51%9,623
Ziebach36847.98%35346.02%466.00%151.96%767
Totals227,73161.53%117,46631.74%24,9146.73%110,26529.79%370,111

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[13]

By congressional district

South Dakota has only one congressional district because of its small population compared to other states. This district, called the At-Large district because it covers the entire state, is equivalent to the statewide election results.

Analysis

South Dakota gave Republican nominee Donald Trump a more than 29-point margin of victory over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, thus gaining him three electoral votes.[14] The Mount Rushmore state's politics are driven by agrarian conservatism, with the eastern portion of the state being largely rural and considered an extension of the Corn Belt. The western portion of the state is even more conservative.[15] South Dakota, like many neighboring majority-white Great Plains and prairie states in the Farm Belt, has not voted for a Democratic candidate since the landslide election of Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.

Donald Trump carried most of the state's counties, including Hughes County where the capital city of Pierre is located, Pennington County which contains Rapid City, Minnehaha County which contains Sioux Falls, Brown County which contains Aberdeen, and Codington County which contains Watertown. Clinton won only five counties statewide: Todd, Buffalo, Dewey, and Oglala Lakota, all of which are majority Native American, and Clay County which contains the University of South Dakota.[16] However, Trump did fare well with some Native American groups, and thus held the Native American-majority counties of Bennett, Corson, Mellette and Ziebach, along with the plurality-Native county of Jackson. Distinctly noticeable were the split of both the Pine Ridge and Standing Rock reservations votes and the majority-Native counties they contained: the western half of Pine Ridge (Oglala Lakota County) voted Democrat, while eastern Pine Ridge (Bennett and Jackson Counties) voted Republican, and while northern Standing Rock (Sioux County) remained heavily Democratic, southern Standing Rock (Corson County) swung Republican for the first time in three elections.

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Voter turnout in United States elections .
  2. News: South Dakota Election Results 2016. The New York Times. August 2017.
  3. Web site: 2016 Presidential Election Statistics. Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. 2018-03-05.
  4. News: Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours. . . 2016-11-06 . 2016-11-13.
  5. Web site: Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com . Cnn.com . 2016-11-08 . 2016-11-13.
  6. Web site: Presidential Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . August 16, 2021.
  7. Web site: Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President . Centerforpolitics.org . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
  8. Web site: Todd . Chuck . NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead . . 2016-11-13.
  9. Web site: 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House . RealClearPolitics . 2016-11-13.
  10. Web site: Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge . . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
  11. Web site: The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election . Abcnews.go.com . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
  12. Web site: 2016 Presidential General Election Results - South Dakota.
  13. News: Bump. Philip. The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election. en-US. Washington Post. 2020-09-01. 0190-8286.
  14. Web site: South Dakota Election Results 2016. The New York Times. 2016-11-11.
  15. News: In South Dakota, Only the Farm Trumps Conservatism. Cohen. Micah. FiveThirtyEight. 24 August 2012 . 2016-11-11.
  16. Web site: 2016 election results: South Dakota. www.cnn.com. 2016-11-11.