2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska explained

See main article: article and 2016 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska
Country:Nebraska
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States presidential election in Nebraska
Previous Year:2012
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Next Election:2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska
Next Year:2020
Turnout:63.80% [1]
Image1:Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:New York
Running Mate1:Mike Pence
Electoral Vote1:5
Popular Vote1:495,961
Percentage1:
Nominee2:Hillary Clinton
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:New York
Running Mate2:Tim Kaine
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:284,494
President
Before Election:Barack Obama
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Donald Trump
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Nebraska voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Nebraska has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, two from the state at large, and one each from the three congressional districts.[2]

Trump carried the state with 58.7% of the vote, while Clinton received 33.7%.[3] Trump subsequently became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Douglas or Lancaster County since William Howard Taft in 1908.

Caucuses and primaries

Democratic caucus

See main article: article and 2016 Nebraska Democratic presidential caucuses and primary.

The 2016 Nebraska Democratic caucuses was held on March 15, 2016, as part of a series of primary elections to decide the 2016 Democratic nominee for president. Senator Bernie Sanders won a commanding victory in Nebraska, winning rural areas along with big cities such as Omaha and Lincoln. This was the last Democratic primary in Nebraska held via the caucus method, the state party switched to a standard popular vote to decide the allocation of delegates in future elections including 2020. In 2016, the Nebraska caucuses occurred on the same dates as Kansas and Louisiana, the former being won handily by Sanders, while the latter was won in a landslide by the eventual nominee Hillary Clinton.

Republican primary

See main article: 2016 Nebraska Republican presidential primary.

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[4] [5]

Libertarian primary

Election Name:2016 Nebraska Libertarian presidential primary
Country:Nebraska
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Next Year:2020
Image1:Garyjohnsonphoto - modified.jpg
Candidate1:Gary Johnson
Color1:1f75fe
Home State1:New Mexico
Popular Vote1:375
Percentage1:52.08%
Candidate2:Austin Petersen
Color2:03C03C
Home State2:Missouri
Popular Vote2:135
Percentage2:18.75%
Image4:John McAfee by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Candidate4:John McAfee
Color4:FE6F5E
Home State4:Tennessee
Popular Vote4:124
Percentage4:17.22%
Image5:Marc Allan Feldman (20277052616) (cropped).jpg
Candidate5:Marc Allan Feldman
Color5:00CC99
Home State5:Ohio
Popular Vote5:47
Percentage5:6.53%
Map Size:300px

The Nebraska primary was held on May 10, 2016. Independents and registered Libertarians were allowed to vote in the state's Libertarian primary. The Nebraska Primary marked the third large victory for Gary Johnson in the handful of states that conduct Libertarian presidential primaries. However, since the Libertarian Party does not use such primaries for selecting delegates to its national nominating convention, the results were effectively non-binding.

2016 Nebraska Libertarian primary[6]
CandidatePopular vote
CountPercentage
Gary Johnson37552.08%
Austin Petersen13518.75%
John McAfee12417.22%
Marc Allan Feldman476.53%
Steve Kerbel354.86%
Total:720100%

General election

Polling

Nebraska's 1st Congressional District

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small Margin of
error
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
OtherUndecided
Emerson College[7] September 25–27, 201623329% align=center53%

Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small Margin of
error
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
OtherUndecided
Emerson CollegeSeptember 25–27, 201623340% align=center49%
The Singularis Group, LLC[8] May 11–12, 20161,007± 3.08%36% align=center44%20%

Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small Margin of
error
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
OtherUndecided
Emerson CollegeSeptember 25–27, 201623420% align=center65%

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Nebraska as of election day.

SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times[9] November 6, 2016
CNN[10] November 8, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[11] November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] November 7, 2016
NBC[13] November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[14] November 8, 2016
Fox News[15] November 7, 2016
ABC[16] November 7, 2016

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanDonald TrumpMike Pence495,96158.75%5
DemocraticHillary ClintonTim Kaine284,49433.70%0
LibertarianWilliam Weld38,9464.61%0
Write-Ins16,0511.90%0
GreenJill SteinAjamu Baraka8,7751.04%0
Totals844,227100.00%5

Results by county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
%%%%
Adams9,28768.73%3,30224.44%9246.83%5,98544.29%13,513
Antelope2,73283.27%38311.67%1665.06%2,34971.60%3,281
Arthur24489.38%176.23%124.39%22783.15%273
Banner35788.81%194.73%266.46%33884.08%402
Blaine27687.07%309.46%113.47%24677.61%317
Boone2,29979.14%41414.25%1926.61%1,88564.89%2,905
Box Butte3,61773.46%96519.60%3426.94%2,65253.86%4,924
Boyd98385.03%12811.07%453.90%85573.96%1,156
Brown1,38586.73%1539.58%593.69%1,23277.15%1,597
Buffalo14,56968.95%4,76322.54%1,7978.51%9,80646.41%21,129
Burt2,36766.53%93026.14%2617.33%1,43740.39%3,558
Butler3,07977.34%69117.36%2115.30%2,38859.98%3,981
Cass8,45265.35%3,48426.94%9977.71%4,96838.41%12,933
Cedar3,53279.91%57112.92%3177.17%2,96166.99%4,420
Chase1,64886.83%1719.01%794.16%1,47777.82%1,898
Cherry2,62384.12%31710.17%1785.71%2,30673.95%3,118
Cheyenne3,66577.80%71115.09%3357.11%2,95462.71%4,711
Clay2,42279.02%47715.56%1665.42%1,94563.46%3,065
Colfax2,17167.55%85926.73%1845.72%1,31240.82%3,214
Cuming3,12276.63%71917.65%2335.72%2,40358.98%4,074
Custer4,69583.07%64111.34%3165.59%4,05471.73%5,652
Dakota3,61657.59%2,31436.85%3495.56%1,30220.74%6,279
Dawes2,63271.60%80121.79%2436.61%1,83149.81%3,676
Dawson5,98469.30%2,13624.74%5155.96%3,84844.56%8,635
Deuel80982.22%12012.20%555.58%68970.02%984
Dixon2,04173.36%55619.99%1856.65%1,48553.37%2,782
Dodge9,93363.96%4,54429.26%1,0526.78%5,38934.70%15,529
Douglas108,07744.95%113,79847.33%18,5587.72%-5,721-2.38%240,433
Dundy82386.36%899.34%414.30%73477.02%953
Fillmore2,13072.42%61320.84%1986.74%1,51751.58%2,941
Franklin1,34780.51%25014.94%764.55%1,09765.57%1,673
Frontier1,11083.58%16112.12%574.30%94971.46%1,328
Furnas1,92182.09%30412.99%1154.92%1,61769.10%2,340
Gage6,38063.50%2,93529.21%7337.29%3,44534.29%10,048
Garden86980.84%15314.23%534.93%71666.61%1,075
Garfield82183.78%12112.35%383.87%70071.43%980
Gosper79478.61%16616.44%504.95%62862.17%1,010
Grant36790.62%204.94%184.44%34785.68%405
Greeley91277.62%21017.87%534.51%70259.75%1,175
Hall14,40865.31%6,28228.48%1,3706.21%8,12636.83%22,060
Hamilton3,78375.60%87817.55%3436.85%2,90558.05%5,004
Harlan1,49681.66%25413.86%824.48%1,24267.80%1,832
Hayes47291.83%305.84%122.33%44285.99%514
Hitchcock1,23283.92%16110.97%755.11%1,07172.95%1,468
Holt4,35485.07%53110.38%2334.55%3,82374.69%5,118
Hooker35585.13%409.59%225.28%31575.54%417
Howard2,28476.29%54418.17%1665.54%1,74058.12%2,994
Jefferson2,39968.66%83723.96%2587.38%1,56244.70%3,494
Johnson1,35564.86%56326.95%1718.19%79237.91%2,089
Kearney2,53176.79%55016.69%2156.52%1,98160.10%3,296
Keith3,23580.19%57114.15%2285.66%2,66466.04%4,034
Keya Paha46088.63%407.71%193.66%42080.92%519
Kimball1,33079.31%23013.71%1176.98%1,10065.60%1,677
Knox3,18877.47%72017.50%2075.03%2,46859.97%4,115
Lancaster61,58845.21%61,89845.44%12,7379.35%-310-0.23%136,223
Lincoln12,16475.41%2,91318.06%1,0546.53%9,25157.35%16,131
Logan40088.30%327.06%214.64%36881.24%453
Loup32383.90%4812.47%143.63%27571.43%385
Madison10,62874.10%2,71118.90%1,0047.00%7,91755.20%14,343
McPherson25789.55%144.88%165.57%24384.67%287
Merrick2,92677.24%60215.89%2606.87%2,32461.35%3,788
Morrill1,80281.58%28412.86%1235.56%1,51868.72%2,209
Nance1,26177.79%28117.33%794.88%98060.46%1,621
Nemaha2,11666.94%78524.83%2608.23%1,33142.11%3,161
Nuckolls1,72678.28%35316.01%1265.71%1,37362.27%2,205
Otoe4,86065.17%2,02527.16%5727.67%2,83538.01%7,457
Pawnee97473.40%27921.02%745.58%69552.38%1,327
Perkins1,21783.64%16111.07%775.29%1,05672.57%1,455
Phelps3,84981.98%57212.18%2745.84%3,27769.80%4,695
Pierce3,05284.08%38210.52%1965.40%2,67073.56%3,630
Platte10,96575.97%2,64618.33%8225.70%8,31957.64%14,433
Polk2,02878.54%41316.00%1415.46%1,61562.54%2,582
Red Willow4,25882.28%64512.46%2725.26%3,61369.82%5,175
Richardson2,76972.77%81821.50%2185.73%1,95151.27%3,805
Rock68786.09%708.77%415.14%61777.32%798
Saline3,00458.49%1,73333.74%3997.77%1,27124.75%5,136
Sarpy45,14356.02%28,03334.79%7,4049.19%17,11021.23%80,580
Saunders7,55569.57%2,52323.23%7827.20%5,03246.34%10,860
Scotts Bluff10,07670.38%3,20722.40%1,0347.22%6,86947.98%14,317
Seward5,45468.85%1,87523.67%5937.48%3,57945.18%7,922
Sheridan2,21184.78%28711.00%1104.22%1,92473.78%2,608
Sherman1,15073.11%34021.61%835.28%81051.50%1,573
Sioux61683.70%8111.01%395.29%53572.69%736
Stanton2,18778.08%41714.89%1977.03%1,77063.19%2,801
Thayer2,05176.25%49918.55%1405.20%1,55257.70%2,690
Thomas34487.53%307.63%194.84%31479.90%393
Thurston1,04349.95%91944.01%1266.04%1245.94%2,088
Valley1,78080.73%33915.37%863.90%1,44165.36%2,205
Washington7,42468.54%2,62324.22%7857.24%4,80144.32%10,832
Wayne2,69371.32%83522.11%2486.57%1,85849.21%3,776
Webster1,33077.87%30617.92%724.21%1,02459.95%1,708
Wheeler37781.08%6213.33%265.59%31567.75%465
York4,70073.66%1,18618.59%4957.75%3,51455.07%6,381
Totals495,96158.75%284,49433.70%63,7777.55%211,46725.05%844,232

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Trump won all of the state's three congressional districts, winning all of the state's electoral votes.[17]

DistrictTrumpClintonRepresentative
56%36%Jeff Fortenberry
47%45%Brad Ashford
Don Bacon
74%20%Adrian Smith

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Voter turnout in United States elections .
  2. Web site: Distribution of Electoral Votes. National Archives and Records Administration. 19 September 2019. December 14, 2020.
  3. News: Nebraska Election Results 2016. The New York Times. 9 August 2017.
  4. http://www.wral.com/board-of-elections-sets-presidential-primary-ballots/15215886/ WRAL: NC approves 27 candidates for presidential primary ballots
  5. ftp://alt.ncsbe.gov/Candidate_Filing/presidentialprimarycandidates.pdf NC State Board of Elections presidential primary candidates' list (preliminary)
  6. Web site: Unofficial Results: Primary Election - May 10, 2016. May 10, 2016. Nebraska Secretary of State. July 22, 2016.
  7. Web site: Emerson Poll: Washington State Looks Safe for Democrats in the Presidential and Senate Races; Trump Has a Wide Lead in Nebraska.. Emerson College. September 28, 2016.
  8. Web site: BACON LEADS ASHFORD IN LATEST POLL. Don Bacon for Congress. The Singularis Group, LLC. May 16, 2016. August 14, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160910005723/http://new01.donbacon2016.com/news/bacon-leads-ashford-in-latest-poll/. September 10, 2016. dead.
  9. News: Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours. . . 2016-11-06 . 2016-11-13.
  10. Web site: Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com . Cnn.com . 2016-11-08 . 2016-11-13.
  11. Web site: Presidential Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . August 16, 2021.
  12. Web site: Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President . Centerforpolitics.org . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
  13. Web site: Todd . Chuck . NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead . . 2016-11-13.
  14. Web site: 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House . RealClearPolitics . 2016-11-13.
  15. Web site: Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge . . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
  16. Web site: The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election . Abcnews.go.com . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
  17. Web site: Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index.