See main article: 2016 United States presidential election.
| Election Name: | 2016 United States presidential election in Indiana |
| Country: | Indiana |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2012 United States presidential election in Indiana |
| Previous Year: | 2012 |
| Election Date: | November 8, 2016 |
| Next Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in Indiana |
| Next Year: | 2020 |
| Turnout: | 57.9% [1] |
| Image1: | Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Donald Trump |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Home State1: | New York |
| Running Mate1: | Mike Pence |
| Electoral Vote1: | 11 |
| Popular Vote1: | 1,557,286 |
| Percentage1: | |
| Nominee2: | Hillary Clinton |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Home State2: | New York |
| Running Mate2: | Tim Kaine |
| Electoral Vote2: | 0 |
| Popular Vote2: | 1,033,126 |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Barack Obama |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Donald Trump |
| After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
The 2016 United States presidential election in Indiana was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Indiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
Trump won the state with 56.47% of the vote, while Clinton received 37.46%. Indiana is the home state of Pence, which was believed to have provided assistance to the Trump campaign in what already would have been a Republican-leaning state.
See main article: 2016 Indiana Democratic presidential primary. Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:
See main article: 2016 Indiana Republican presidential primary. Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:
Donald Trump won every pre-election poll conducted by at least 5 points, and often by double digits. The average of the last 3 polls showed Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton 49% to 38%.[3] Donald Trump had won almost all the undecided vote, as shown by the results where he won 56% to 37%.
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNN[4] | November 4, 2016 | ||
| Cook Political Report[5] | November 7, 2016 | ||
| Electoral-vote.com[6] | November 7, 2016 | ||
| NBC[7] | November 7, 2016 | ||
| RealClearPolitics[8] | November 7, 2016 | ||
| align=left | Rothenberg Political Report[9] | November 7, 2016 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | November 7, 2016 |
Trump won 7 of 9 congressional districts.[11]
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41% | 54% | Pete Visclosky | ||||
| 59% | 36% | Jackie Walorski | ||||
| 65% | 30% | Marlin Stutzman | ||||
| 64% | 30% | Todd Rokita | ||||
| 53% | 41% | Susan Brooks | ||||
| 68% | 27% | Luke Messer | ||||
| 36% | 58% | André Carson | ||||
| 64% | 31% | Larry Bucshon | ||||
| 61% | 34% | Todd Young |
| County | Donald Trump Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | % | % | % | ||||||||||||||||
| Adams | 9,648 | 73.12% | 2,805 | 21.26% | 741 | 5.62% | 6,843 | 51.86% | 13,194 | ||||||||||
| Allen | 83,930 | 56.47% | 55,382 | 37.26% | 9,320 | 6.27% | 28,548 | 19.21% | 148,632 | ||||||||||
| Bartholomew | 20,640 | 63.09% | 9,841 | 30.08% | 2,236 | 6.83% | 10,799 | 33.01% | 32,717 | ||||||||||
| Benton | 2,579 | 69.93% | 860 | 23.32% | 249 | 6.75% | 1,719 | 46.61% | 3,688 | ||||||||||
| Blackford | 3,350 | 68.63% | 1,243 | 25.47% | 288 | 5.90% | 2,107 | 43.16% | 4,881 | ||||||||||
| Boone | 19,654 | 60.41% | 10,181 | 31.29% | 2,702 | 8.30% | 9,473 | 29.12% | 32,537 | ||||||||||
| Brown | 5,016 | 62.69% | 2,518 | 31.47% | 467 | 5.84% | 2,498 | 31.22% | 8,001 | ||||||||||
| Carroll | 6,273 | 72.10% | 1,892 | 21.74% | 536 | 6.16% | 4,381 | 50.36% | 8,701 | ||||||||||
| Cass | 9,701 | 68.27% | 3,759 | 26.46% | 749 | 5.27% | 5,942 | 41.81% | 14,209 | ||||||||||
| Clark | 30,035 | 57.99% | 18,808 | 36.32% | 2,946 | 5.69% | 11,227 | 21.67% | 51,789 | ||||||||||
| Clay | 8,531 | 75.26% | 2,306 | 20.34% | 498 | 4.40% | 6,225 | 54.92% | 11,335 | ||||||||||
| Clinton | 8,531 | 71.15% | 2,819 | 23.51% | 641 | 5.34% | 5,712 | 47.64% | 11,991 | ||||||||||
| Crawford | 3,015 | 64.95% | 1,323 | 28.50% | 304 | 6.55% | 1,692 | 36.45% | 4,642 | ||||||||||
| Daviess | 8,545 | 78.98% | 1,800 | 16.64% | 474 | 4.38% | 6,745 | 62.34% | 10,819 | ||||||||||
| Dearborn | 18,113 | 75.06% | 4,883 | 20.24% | 1,135 | 4.70% | 13,230 | 54.82% | 24,131 | ||||||||||
| Decatur | 8,490 | 75.95% | 2,121 | 18.97% | 567 | 5.08% | 6,369 | 56.98% | 11,178 | ||||||||||
| DeKalb | 12,054 | 70.92% | 3,942 | 23.19% | 1,000 | 5.89% | 8,112 | 47.73% | 16,996 | ||||||||||
| Delaware | 24,263 | 53.31% | 18,153 | 39.89% | 3,093 | 6.80% | 6,110 | 13.42% | 45,509 | ||||||||||
| Dubois | 13,365 | 66.51% | 5,389 | 26.82% | 1,341 | 6.67% | 7,976 | 39.69% | 20,095 | ||||||||||
| Elkhart | 41,867 | 63.21% | 20,740 | 31.31% | 3,632 | 5.48% | 21,127 | 31.90% | 66,239 | ||||||||||
| Fayette | 6,839 | 71.25% | 2,252 | 23.46% | 507 | 5.29% | 4,587 | 47.79% | 9,598 | ||||||||||
| Floyd | 21,432 | 56.64% | 13,945 | 36.85% | 2,465 | 6.51% | 7,487 | 19.79% | 37,842 | ||||||||||
| Fountain | 5,662 | 75.15% | 1,476 | 19.59% | 396 | 5.26% | 4,186 | 55.56% | 7,534 | ||||||||||
| Franklin | 8,669 | 78.12% | 1,969 | 17.74% | 459 | 4.14% | 6,700 | 60.38% | 11,097 | ||||||||||
| Fulton | 6,010 | 71.23% | 1,960 | 23.23% | 467 | 5.54% | 4,050 | 48.00% | 8,437 | ||||||||||
| Gibson | 11,081 | 71.56% | 3,721 | 24.03% | 682 | 4.41% | 7,360 | 47.53% | 15,484 | ||||||||||
| Grant | 17,008 | 66.51% | 7,010 | 27.41% | 1,554 | 6.08% | 9,998 | 39.10% | 25,572 | ||||||||||
| Greene | 10,277 | 74.14% | 2,929 | 21.13% | 655 | 4.73% | 7,348 | 53.01% | 13,861 | ||||||||||
| Hamilton | 87,404 | 56.04% | 57,263 | 36.72% | 11,299 | 7.24% | 30,141 | 19.32% | 155,966 | ||||||||||
| Hancock | 25,074 | 68.76% | 8,904 | 24.42% | 2,490 | 6.82% | 16,170 | 44.34% | 36,468 | ||||||||||
| Harrison | 12,943 | 69.74% | 4,783 | 25.77% | 832 | 4.49% | 8,160 | 43.97% | 18,558 | ||||||||||
| Hendricks | 48,337 | 63.45% | 22,600 | 29.67% | 5,247 | 6.88% | 25,737 | 33.78% | 76,184 | ||||||||||
| Henry | 13,895 | 68.48% | 5,124 | 25.25% | 1,271 | 6.27% | 8,771 | 43.23% | 20,290 | ||||||||||
| Howard | 23,675 | 63.40% | 11,215 | 30.03% | 2,452 | 6.57% | 12,460 | 33.37% | 37,342 | ||||||||||
| Huntington | 11,649 | 71.99% | 3,506 | 21.67% | 1,026 | 6.34% | 8,143 | 50.32% | 16,181 | ||||||||||
| Jackson | 12,859 | 72.79% | 3,843 | 21.75% | 965 | 5.46% | 9,016 | 51.04% | 17,667 | ||||||||||
| Jasper | 9,382 | 69.61% | 3,329 | 24.70% | 767 | 5.69% | 6,053 | 44.91% | 13,478 | ||||||||||
| Jay | 5,697 | 71.02% | 1,889 | 23.55% | 436 | 5.43% | 3,808 | 47.47% | 8,022 | ||||||||||
| Jefferson | 8,546 | 62.59% | 4,326 | 31.69% | 781 | 5.72% | 4,220 | 30.90% | 13,653 | ||||||||||
| Jennings | 8,224 | 73.23% | 2,364 | 21.05% | 643 | 5.72% | 5,860 | 52.18% | 11,231 | ||||||||||
| Johnson | 45,456 | 67.70% | 17,318 | 25.79% | 4,373 | 6.51% | 28,138 | 41.91% | 67,147 | ||||||||||
| Knox | 11,077 | 71.00% | 3,772 | 24.18% | 753 | 4.82% | 7,305 | 46.82% | 15,602 | ||||||||||
| Kosciusko | 23,935 | 73.78% | 6,313 | 19.46% | 2,193 | 6.76% | 17,622 | 54.32% | 32,441 | ||||||||||
| LaGrange | 7,025 | 72.68% | 2,080 | 21.52% | 561 | 5.80% | 4,945 | 51.16% | 9,666 | ||||||||||
| Lake | 75,625 | 37.29% | 116,935 | 57.66% | 10,243 | 5.05% | -41,310 | -20.37% | 202,803 | ||||||||||
| LaPorte | 22,687 | 49.74% | 19,798 | 43.41% | 3,124 | 6.85% | 2,889 | 6.33% | 45,609 | ||||||||||
| Lawrence | 14,035 | 72.95% | 4,210 | 21.88% | 993 | 5.17% | 9,825 | 51.07% | 19,238 | ||||||||||
| Madison | 32,376 | 59.54% | 18,595 | 34.20% | 3,407 | 6.26% | 13,781 | 25.34% | 54,378 | ||||||||||
| Marion | 130,360 | 35.53% | 212,899 | 58.03% | 23,620 | 6.44% | -82,539 | -22.50% | 366,879 | ||||||||||
| Marshall | 12,288 | 67.36% | 4,798 | 26.30% | 1,155 | 6.34% | 7,490 | 41.06% | 18,241 | ||||||||||
| Martin | 3,697 | 76.29% | 881 | 18.18% | 268 | 5.53% | 2,816 | 58.11% | 4,846 | ||||||||||
| Miami | 9,975 | 73.34% | 2,766 | 20.34% | 860 | 6.32% | 7,209 | 53.00% | 13,601 | ||||||||||
| Monroe | 20,592 | 35.23% | 34,216 | 58.53% | 3,646 | 6.24% | -13,624 | -23.30% | 58,454 | ||||||||||
| Montgomery | 11,059 | 72.41% | 3,362 | 22.01% | 851 | 5.58% | 7,697 | 50.40% | 15,272 | ||||||||||
| Morgan | 23,674 | 75.28% | 6,040 | 19.21% | 1,732 | 5.51% | 17,634 | 56.07% | 31,446 | ||||||||||
| Newton | 4,077 | 69.57% | 1,404 | 23.96% | 379 | 6.47% | 2,673 | 45.61% | 5,860 | ||||||||||
| Noble | 12,198 | 71.32% | 3,904 | 22.83% | 1,002 | 5.85% | 8,294 | 48.49% | 17,104 | ||||||||||
| Ohio | 2,118 | 72.51% | 686 | 23.49% | 117 | 4.00% | 1,432 | 49.02% | 2,921 | ||||||||||
| Orange | 5,803 | 70.10% | 2,048 | 24.74% | 427 | 5.16% | 3,755 | 45.36% | 8,278 | ||||||||||
| Owen | 6,153 | 71.41% | 1,946 | 22.59% | 517 | 6.00% | 4,207 | 48.82% | 8,616 | ||||||||||
| Parke | 4,863 | 73.28% | 1,441 | 21.71% | 332 | 5.01% | 3,422 | 51.57% | 6,636 | ||||||||||
| Perry | 4,556 | 56.30% | 3,062 | 37.84% | 474 | 5.86% | 1,494 | 18.46% | 8,092 | ||||||||||
| Pike | 4,398 | 73.58% | 1,297 | 21.70% | 282 | 4.72% | 3,101 | 51.88% | 5,977 | ||||||||||
| Porter | 38,832 | 49.62% | 33,676 | 43.03% | 5,758 | 7.35% | 5,156 | 6.59% | 78,266 | ||||||||||
| Posey | 8,404 | 66.74% | 3,521 | 27.96% | 667 | 5.30% | 4,883 | 38.78% | 12,592 | ||||||||||
| Pulaski | 3,854 | 70.60% | 1,327 | 24.31% | 278 | 5.09% | 2,527 | 46.29% | 5,459 | ||||||||||
| Putnam | 10,637 | 71.78% | 3,356 | 22.65% | 825 | 5.57% | 7,281 | 49.13% | 14,818 | ||||||||||
| Randolph | 7,517 | 71.43% | 2,446 | 23.24% | 560 | 5.33% | 5,071 | 48.19% | 10,523 | ||||||||||
| Ripley | 9,806 | 75.81% | 2,471 | 19.10% | 658 | 5.09% | 7,335 | 56.71% | 12,935 | ||||||||||
| Rush | 5,292 | 72.83% | 1,525 | 20.99% | 449 | 6.18% | 3,767 | 51.84% | 7,266 | ||||||||||
| Scott | 6,074 | 66.40% | 2,642 | 28.88% | 431 | 4.72% | 3,432 | 37.52% | 9,147 | ||||||||||
| Shelby | 12,718 | 70.34% | 4,247 | 23.49% | 1,115 | 6.17% | 8,471 | 46.85% | 18,080 | ||||||||||
| Spencer | 6,572 | 65.41% | 2,861 | 28.47% | 615 | 6.12% | 3,711 | 36.94% | 10,048 | ||||||||||
| St. Joseph | 52,021 | 46.51% | 52,252 | 46.72% | 7,569 | 6.77% | -231 | -0.21% | 111,842 | ||||||||||
| Starke | 6,367 | 68.34% | 2,489 | 26.72% | 460 | 4.94% | 3,878 | 41.62% | 9,316 | ||||||||||
| Steuben | 10,133 | 68.87% | 3,744 | 25.45% | 837 | 5.68% | 6,389 | 43.42% | 14,714 | ||||||||||
| Sullivan | 6,138 | 71.26% | 2,113 | 24.53% | 362 | 4.21% | 4,025 | 46.73% | 8,613 | ||||||||||
| Switzerland | 2,558 | 68.97% | 930 | 25.07% | 221 | 5.96% | 1,628 | 43.90% | 3,709 | ||||||||||
| Tippecanoe | 30,768 | 48.57% | 27,282 | 43.07% | 5,292 | 8.36% | 3,486 | 5.50% | 63,342 | ||||||||||
| Tipton | 5,589 | 74.42% | 1,587 | 21.13% | 334 | 4.45% | 4,002 | 53.29% | 7,510 | ||||||||||
| Union | 2,445 | 73.76% | 715 | 21.57% | 155 | 4.67% | 1,730 | 52.19% | 3,315 | ||||||||||
| Vanderburgh | 40,496 | 55.19% | 28,530 | 38.88% | 4,349 | 5.93% | 11,966 | 16.31% | 73,375 | ||||||||||
| Vermillion | 4,513 | 64.72% | 2,081 | 29.84% | 379 | 5.44% | 2,432 | 34.88% | 6,973 | ||||||||||
| Vigo | 21,937 | 54.67% | 15,931 | 39.70% | 2,259 | 5.63% | 6,006 | 14.97% | 40,127 | ||||||||||
| Wabash | 9,821 | 72.47% | 3,018 | 22.27% | 713 | 5.26% | 6,803 | 50.20% | 13,552 | ||||||||||
| Warren | 2,898 | 73.31% | 839 | 21.22% | 216 | 5.47% | 2,059 | 52.09% | 3,953 | ||||||||||
| Warrick | 19,113 | 63.84% | 9,086 | 30.35% | 1,741 | 5.81% | 10,027 | 33.49% | 29,940 | ||||||||||
| Washington | 8,209 | 72.12% | 2,636 | 23.16% | 537 | 4.72% | 5,573 | 48.96% | 11,382 | ||||||||||
| Wayne | 16,028 | 62.66% | 8,322 | 32.53% | 1,229 | 4.81% | 7,706 | 30.13% | 25,579 | ||||||||||
| Wells | 10,005 | 75.30% | 2,586 | 19.46% | 696 | 5.24% | 7,419 | 55.84% | 13,287 | ||||||||||
| White | 6,893 | 68.27% | 2,590 | 25.65% | 614 | 6.08% | 4,303 | 42.62% | 10,097 | ||||||||||
| Whitley | 11,358 | 72.07% | 3,379 | 21.44% | 1,022 | 6.49% | 7,979 | 50.63% | 15,759 | ||||||||||
| Totals | 1,557,286 | 56.42% | 1,033,126 | 37.43% | 169,963 | 6.15% | 524,160 | 18.99% | 2,760,375 | ||||||||||
Of the 2,760,375 votes cast, Donald Trump won 1,557,286 votes, Hillary Clinton won 1,033,126 votes and Gary Johnson won 133,993 votes.[12] Indiana has historically been the most conservative state in the Rust Belt. It went Democratic for Barack Obama in 2008—the first time it had done so since 1964, and only the fourth time since 1912. However, it has shifted back to being solidly Republican. Republican nominee Donald Trump carried the state by 19 points over Democrat Hillary Clinton,[13] thus gaining all of Indiana's 11 electoral votes.
Donald Trump's victory in Indiana can be attributed to several factors. For one, Donald Trump had selected Indiana governor Mike Pence as his running mate, effectively eliminating any chance that Clinton could repeat Obama's surprise upset win in the state over John McCain eight years prior. Also, the state skews whiter and more Evangelical Protestant than the rest of the Midwest and the Rust Belt overall, which is a better demographic make-up for Republicans; Trump won white born-agains and evangelicals by a margin of 75–22.[14]
Suburban communities in the "doughnut counties" surrounding Indianapolis lean heavily Republican, and bolstered the Trump-Pence ticket in the state. Many of these voters are both fiscally and socially conservative. Another GOP stronghold that benefited Trump was the northeast region around Fort Wayne, which is a mix of suburban, exurban and rural areas, and is home to some of the most socially conservative voters in the nation.
In Southern Indiana along the Ohio River, especially around Evansville in Vanderburgh County, the electorate is dominated by "Butternut Democrats" - socially conservative, working-class white voters who were Democrats for generations but have been trending Republican in reaction to the increased social liberalism of national Democrats.[15] Such voters turned out for Trump in full force, inspired by his economic populism and by Pence's social conservatism.
Trump also won in Vigo County, home to Terre Haute and a noted bellwether; it has voted for the winner of every presidential election all but twice since 1892. Clinton, for her part, performed well in Indianapolis in Marion County and in Gary in Lake County, which has a large African American population and is considered part of the Chicago Metropolitan Area. Clinton won African Americans by a margin of 83–12. She also won St. Joseph and Monroe counties, home to the University of Notre Dame and Indiana University, respectively. Areas, where Clinton improved on Obama's performance in 2012, were predominantly located in well-educated suburbs of Indianapolis and areas surrounding large universities, where several socially moderate Republicans chose not to vote for Trump out of discomfort for his controversial views on race and women.