2016 United States presidential election in Illinois explained

See main article: 2016 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2016 United States presidential election in Illinois
Country:Illinois
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States presidential election in Illinois
Previous Year:2012
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Next Election:2020 United States presidential election in Illinois
Next Year:2020
Turnout:68.95%
Image1:Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee1:Hillary Clinton
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State1:New York
Running Mate1:Tim Kaine
Electoral Vote1:20
Popular Vote1:3,090,729
Percentage1:
Nominee2:Donald Trump
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Home State2:New York
Running Mate2:Mike Pence
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:2,146,015
President
Before Election:Barack Obama
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Donald Trump
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2016 United States presidential election in Illinois was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Illinois voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Illinois had 20 votes in the Electoral College.[1]

Illinois was won by Clinton, who garnered 55.83% of the votes cast against Trump's 38.76%, thus winning the state by a margin of 17.07%. Prior to the election, news organizations accurately predicted that the state would be carried by Clinton, who was born in Illinois. Clinton won by a slightly wider margin than Barack Obama in 2012, making it one of eleven states (and the District of Columbia) in which she outperformed Obama's 2012 margin; however, due to an increase in third-party voting, her overall percentage of the vote was lower than Obama's in both his runs.[2] Trump flipped eleven counties red, although all of them have small populations; the most populous of them, Whiteside County, has under 60,000 residents. He also became the first Republican ever to win the White House without carrying DeKalb, DuPage, Kane, Lake, Will, or Winnebago Counties.

Primaries

Presidential primary elections for three parties were held in Illinois. From January 25 to February 17, 2016, the Green Party of the United States held primaries and caucuses, as part of the Green Party presidential primaries, to elect delegates representing a candidate at the 2016 Green National Convention. Physician and activist Jill Stein won a landslide of the popular vote, taking almost all of the state's 23 delegates. On March 15, 2016, both the Democratic and Republican parties held primaries in Illinois as part of a five-state contest being held on the day in both the Democratic and Republican presidential primaries. In the Democratic primaries, 156 pledged delegates to the 2016 Democratic National Convention were elected and awarded to candidates proportionally, according to countywide and statewide vote. In the Republican primaries, 69 delegates to the 2016 Republican National Convention were elected and awarded to the first place candidate, according to statewide vote.

Democratic

See main article: 2016 Illinois Democratic presidential primary.

The 2016 Illinois Democratic presidential primary was held on March 15, 2016, in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the Democratic Party's state primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Forum

March 14, 2016 – Columbus, Ohio, and Springfield, Illinois:The tenth forum was held at 6:00 pm EDT on March 14, 2016, at the campus of Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio, and at the Old State Capitol State Historic Site (Illinois) in Springfield, Illinois. It aired on MSNBC. The first section of the town hall with Bernie Sanders was moderated by Chuck Todd; the second section of the town hall with Hillary Clinton was moderated by Chris Matthews.

Results

Six candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[3]

Republican

Election Name:2016 Illinois Republican presidential primary
Country:Illinois
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 Illinois Republican presidential primary
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2020 Illinois Republican presidential primary
Next Year:2020
Image1:Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg
Candidate1:Donald Trump
Home State1:New York
Delegate Count1:54
Popular Vote1:562,464
Percentage1:38.80%
Candidate2:Ted Cruz
Home State2:Texas
Delegate Count2:9
Popular Vote2:438,235
Percentage2:30.23%
Image4:John Kasich (24618295175) (cropped).jpg
Candidate4:John Kasich
Home State4:Ohio
Delegate Count4:6
Popular Vote4:286,118
Percentage4:19.74%
Image5:Marco Rubio by Gage Skidmore 8 (cropped).jpg
Candidate5:Marco Rubio
Home State5:Florida
Delegate Count5:0
Popular Vote5:126,681
Percentage5:8.74%
Map Size:x280px
Color1:283681
Color2:D4AA00
Color4:29AB87
Color5:C60E3B

The 2016 Illinois Republican presidential primary was held on March 15, 2016, in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the Republican Party's state primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Ten candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[3]

Green

Election Name:2016 Illinois Green Party presidential primary
Country:Illinois
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Votes For Election:23 Green National Convention delegates
Previous Election:2012 Illinois Green Party presidential primary
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2020 Illinois Green Party presidential primary
Next Year:2020
Election Date:January 25–February 17, 2016
Candidate1:Jill Stein
Party1:Green Party of the United States
Home State1:Massachusetts
Delegate Count1:20
Popular Vote1:119
Percentage1:88.81%
Candidate2:William Kreml
Party2:Green Party of the United States
Home State2:South Carolina
Delegate Count2:1
Popular Vote2:5
Percentage2:3.73%
Map Size:150px

The 2016 Illinois Green Party presidential primary was held from January 25 through February 17 in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the Green Party's state primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. It was run by the Green Party of Illinois. Illinois' primary was the first to be held of the series of presidential primaries held by the Green Party of the United States. Registered Green party voters could participate in the primary through an online ballot or at select caucus sites in the state on various dates. 23 delegates to the 2016 Green National Convention were up for election in this primary.

Five candidates stood for election, including a sixth "uncommitted" option for the ballot. The candidates included activist and Green nominee in the 2012 presidential election, Jill Stein, singer-songwriter Darryl Cherney, businesswoman Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry, perennial candidate Kent Mesplay, and professor William "Bill" Kreml. By the end of the primary, 134 votes were cast, with Stein winning a landslide 89% of the vote. 20 delegates from Illinois to the convention were allocated to Stein following the primary, with 1 being allocated to William Kreml and 2 being sent as uncommitted delegates.[4] [5]

Illinois Green Party presidential primary, January 25 - February 17, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageNational delegates
Jill Stein11988.81%20
William Kreml53.73%1
Kent Mesplay21.49%0
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry21.49%0
Darryl Cherney00.00%0
Uncommitted107.46%2
Total134100.00%23

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times[6] November 6, 2016
CNN[7] November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[8] November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[9] November 8, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[10] November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[12] November 8, 2016
Fox News[13] November 7, 2016

Turnout

For the state-run primaries (Democratic and Republican), turnout was 45.73%, with 3,505,795 votes cast.[14] [15] For the general election, turnout was 68.95%, with 5,536,424 votes cast.[16] [15]

By county

CountyHillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
%%%%
Adams7,67623.76%22,79070.54%1,8445.70%−15,114−46.78%32,310
Alexander1,26244.75%1,49653.05%622.20%−234−8.30%2,820
Bond2,06827.32%4,88864.57%6148.11%−2,820−37.25%7,570
Boone8,98639.07%12,28253.40%1,7337.53%−3,296−14.33%23,001
Brown47620.01%1,79675.49%1074.50%−1,320−55.48%2,379
Bureau6,02936.38%9,28156.01%1,2617.61%−3,252−19.63%16,571
Calhoun73928.74%1,72166.94%1114.32%−982−38.20%2,571
Carroll2,44732.87%4,43459.56%5647.57%−1,987−26.69%7,445
Cass1,62131.64%3,21662.76%2875.60%−1,595−31.12%5,124
Champaign50,13754.72%33,36836.42%8,1238.86%16,76918.30%91,628
Christian3,99225.79%10,54368.12%9426.09%−6,551−42.33%15,477
Clark1,87723.68%5,62270.91%4295.41%−3,745−47.23%7,928
Clay1,02016.06%5,02179.07%3094.87%−4,001−63.01%6,350
Clinton3,94522.65%12,41271.26%1,0626.09%−8,467−48.61%17,419
Coles7,30933.35%13,00359.33%1,6067.32%−5,694−25.98%21,918
Cook1,611,94673.93%453,28720.79%115,1115.28%1,158,65953.14%2,180,344
Crawford1,99222.79%6,27771.83%4705.38%−4,285−49.04%8,739
Cumberland1,03118.51%4,20675.50%3345.99%−3,175−56.99%5,571
DeKalb20,46646.94%19,09143.79%4,0439.27%1,3753.15%43,600
DeWitt1,91025.28%5,07767.19%5697.53%−3,167−41.91%7,556
Douglas1,94923.78%5,69869.53%5486.69%−3,749−45.75%8,195
DuPage228,62253.08%166,41538.64%35,6378.28%62,20714.44%430,674
Edgar1,79322.70%5,64571.46%4615.84%−3,852−48.76%7,899
Edwards43413.06%2,77883.57%1123.37%−2,344−70.51%3,324
Effingham3,08317.51%13,63577.43%8915.06%−10,552−59.92%17,609
Fayette1,81918.97%7,37276.86%4004.17%−5,553−57.89%9,591
Ford1,41422.11%4,48070.04%5027.85%−3,066−47.93%6,396
Franklin4,72725.26%13,11670.10%8684.64%−8,389−44.84%18,711
Fulton6,13338.82%8,49253.76%1,1727.42%−2,359−14.94%15,797
Gallatin65724.27%1,94271.74%1083.99%−1,285−47.47%2,707
Greene1,20521.58%4,14574.22%2354.20%−2,940−52.64%5,585
Grundy8,06534.71%13,45457.90%1,7187.39%−5,389−23.19%23,237
Hamilton80219.30%3,20677.14%1483.56%−2,404−57.84%4,156
Hancock2,13923.45%6,43070.50%5526.05%−4,291−47.05%9,121
Hardin42019.55%1,65376.96%753.49%−1,233−57.41%2,148
Henderson1,15532.83%2,15561.26%2085.91%−1,000−28.43%3,518
Henry8,87136.00%13,98556.75%1,7877.25%−5,114−20.75%24,643
Iroquois2,50419.11%9,75074.42%8486.47%−7,246−55.31%13,102
Jackson11,63447.26%10,84344.05%2,1408.69%7913.21%24,617
Jasper92418.08%3,97577.76%2134.16%−3,051−59.68%5,112
Jefferson4,42526.03%11,69568.80%8795.17%−7,270−42.77%16,999
Jersey2,67924.37%7,74870.49%5645.14%−5,069−46.12%10,991
Jo Daviess4,46239.37%6,12154.01%7516.62%−1,659−14.64%11,334
Johnson1,14218.76%4,64976.35%2984.89%−3,507−57.59%6,089
Kane103,66551.91%82,73441.43%13,2886.66%20,93110.48%199,687
Kankakee18,97140.10%25,12953.12%3,2056.78%−6,158−13.02%47,305
Kendall24,88446.03%24,96146.18%4,2107.79%−77−0.15%54,055
Knox10,08344.81%10,73747.71%1,6837.48%−654−2.90%22,503
Lake171,09556.37%109,76736.16%22,6587.47%61,32820.21%303,520
LaSalle19,54339.29%26,68953.65%3,5117.06%−7,146−14.36%49,743
Lawrence1,29021.17%4,52174.19%2834.64%−3,231−53.02%6,094
Lee5,52835.69%8,61255.60%1,3498.71%−3,084−19.91%15,489
Livingston4,02326.22%10,20866.54%1,1117.24%−6,185−40.32%15,342
Logan3,31326.72%8,18165.97%9077.31%−4,868−39.25%12,401
Macon18,34338.17%26,86655.90%2,8515.93%−8,523−17.73%48,060
Macoupin6,68929.87%14,32263.96%1,3806.17%−7,633−34.09%22,391
Madison50,58738.86%70,49054.15%9,1026.99%−19,903−15.29%130,179
Marion4,36925.55%11,85969.36%8705.09%−7,490−43.81%17,098
Marshall1,78929.90%3,78563.25%4106.85%−1,996−33.35%5,984
Mason2,01431.02%4,05862.50%4216.48%−2,044−31.48%6,493
Massac1,55823.26%4,84672.36%2934.38%−3,288−49.10%6,697
McDonough5,28840.23%6,79551.70%1,0618.07%−1,507−11.47%13,144
McHenry60,80342.24%71,61249.75%11,5158.01%−10,809−7.51%143,930
McLean36,19644.51%37,23745.79%7,8919.70%−1,041−1.28%81,324
Menard1,81727.89%4,23164.94%4677.17%−2,414−37.05%6,515
Mercer3,07136.02%4,80756.39%6477.59%−1,736−20.37%8,525
Monroe5,53528.60%12,62965.25%1,1906.15%−7,094−36.65%19,354
Montgomery3,50427.00%8,63066.50%8446.50%−5,126−39.50%12,978
Morgan4,69631.73%9,07661.32%1,0286.95%−4,380−29.59%14,800
Moultrie1,48123.57%4,45570.91%3475.52%−2,974−47.34%6,283
Ogle8,05033.27%14,35259.32%1,7917.41%−6,302−26.05%24,193
Peoria38,06048.12%35,63345.05%5,4096.83%2,4273.07%79,102
Perry2,46224.93%6,85569.42%5575.65%−4,393−44.49%9,874
Piatt2,64529.19%5,63462.19%7818.62%−2,989−33.00%9,060
Pike1,41318.76%5,75476.41%3634.83%−4,341−57.65%7,530
Pope37517.51%1,67878.34%894.15%−1,303−60.83%2,142
Pulaski96235.17%1,67561.24%983.59%−713−26.07%2,735
Putnam1,14736.86%1,76756.78%1986.36%−620−19.92%3,112
Randolph3,43924.23%10,02370.61%7325.16%−6,584−46.38%14,194
Richland1,58420.59%5,73974.59%3714.82%−4,155−54.00%7,694
Rock Island32,29850.47%26,99842.19%4,6987.34%5,3008.28%63,994
Saline2,57222.59%8,27672.70%5364.71%−5,704−50.11%11,384
Sangamon40,90741.58%49,94450.77%7,5227.65%−9,037−9.19%98,373
Schuyler1,07528.04%2,52465.83%2356.13%−1,449−37.79%3,834
Scott53520.51%1,96675.38%1074.11%−1,431−54.87%2,608
Shelby2,28820.71%8,22974.48%5324.81%−5,941−53.77%11,049
St. Clair60,75650.03%53,85744.35%6,8235.62%6,8995.68%121,436
Stark75127.38%1,77864.82%2147.80%−1,027−37.44%2,743
Stephenson7,76838.19%11,08354.48%1,4927.33%−3,315−16.29%20,343
Tazewell20,68531.95%38,70759.78%5,3598.27%−18,022−27.83%64,751
Union2,40227.88%5,79067.20%4244.92%−3,388−39.32%8,616
Vermilion10,03932.58%19,08761.93%1,6925.49%−9,048−29.35%30,818
Wabash1,15121.07%4,04774.07%2664.86%−2,896−53.00%5,464
Warren2,98738.26%4,27554.76%5456.98%−1,288−16.50%7,807
Washington1,44819.47%5,57174.90%4195.63%−4,123−55.43%7,438
Wayne1,04812.62%6,96783.93%2863.45%−5,919−71.31%8,301
White1,41219.25%5,64076.89%2833.86%−4,228−57.64%7,335
Whiteside11,03543.14%12,61549.31%1,9327.55%−1,580−6.17%25,582
Will151,92749.94%132,72043.63%19,5796.43%19,2076.31%304,226
Williamson8,58126.94%21,57067.72%1,7015.34%−12,989−40.78%31,852
Winnebago55,71346.41%55,62446.33%8,7187.26%890.08%120,055
Woodford5,09225.63%13,20766.49%1,5657.88%−8,115−40.86%19,864
Totals3,090,72955.24%2,146,01538.35%358,5356.41%944,71416.89%5,595,279

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[17]

By congressional district

Clinton won 11 of 18 congressional districts, both candidates won a district held by the other party.[18]

DistrictClintonTrumpRepresentative
75%22%Bobby Rush
79%19%Robin Kelly
55%39%Dan Lipinski
81%13%Luis Gutierrez
70%24%Mike Quigley
50%43%Peter Roskam
87%9%Danny K. Davis
58%36%Tammy Duckworth
Raja Krishnamoorthi
69%25%Jan Schakowsky
61%32%Robert Dold
Brad Schneider
58%35%Bill Foster
40%55%Mike Bost
44%50%Rodney Davis
45%48%Randy Hultgren
24%71%John Shimkus
38%55%Adam Kinzinger
47%47%Cheri Bustos
33%60%Darin LaHood

Analysis

Clinton's win in Illinois was largely the result of a lopsided victory in Cook County, the state's most populous county and home of Chicago, the city where Clinton was born and raised. Trump meanwhile won most of the downstate rural counties by large margins. Many of these counties had voted for Clinton's husband in both his 1992 and 1996 presidential runs. This is also the first presidential election in history where a Republican managed to win the White House nationally without carrying any of Chicago's collar counties aside from McHenry County, which is more Republican-leaning than the other four collar counties. Illinois, along with Minnesota, was one of the only two Midwestern states not won by Donald Trump. The election marked the first time since 1988 in which Illinois did not vote the same as neighboring Wisconsin, and the first time since 1960 when the Democratic candidate won Illinois, while losing Wisconsin.

Cook County, the collar counties, and the downstate counties of Champaign and McLean were the only ones to swing towards Clinton. Knowing these statistics, if one were to subtract Cook County's total votes from the rest of Illinois, Trump would have won the state with 1,692,728 votes to Clinton's 1,478,783 votes.[19] [20] Peoria County matched the national popular vote this year, as it did in the 2012 election.[21]

Had Clinton won the election, she would have become the second president born in Illinois after Ronald Reagan. But like Reagan, both politicians jump-started their political careers in elected office elsewhere. Reagan served as Governor of California while Clinton served as a United States Senator from New York.

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Distribution of Electoral Votes. National Archives and Records Administration. 19 September 2019. November 25, 2020.
  2. Web site: 2016 National Popular Vote Tracker . . https://web.archive.org/web/20161115050350/https://www.cookpolitical.com/story/10174 . 2016-11-15 . 2018-10-28.
  3. Web site: Board of Election Commissioners for the City of Chicago . 2016-02-03 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160126210043/http://www.chicagoelections.com/en/offices-on-the-ballots.html . 2016-01-26 . dead .
  4. Web site: Mastrangelo. Vito. Dr. Jill Stein Wins ILGP Presidential Preference Vote!. Illinois Green Party. Green Party of the United States. March 8, 2016. February 19, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160305184244/http://www.ilgp.org/dr_jill_stein_wins_ilgp_presidentila. March 5, 2016. dead. mdy-all.
  5. Web site: Lesiak. Krzysztof. Jill Stein easily wins Illinois Green Party presidential preference vote. American Third Party Report. Independent Political Report. March 8, 2016. February 21, 2016. March 9, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160309001522/http://amthirdpartyreport.com/2016/02/21/jill-stein-easily-wins-illinois-green-party-presidential-preference-vote/. dead.
  6. News: Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours. . . 2016-11-06 . 2016-11-13.
  7. News: Chalian . David . David Chalian. Road to 270: CNN's new election map . March 3, 2019 . . November 4, 2016.
  8. Web site: 2016 Electoral Scorecard . November 7, 2016 . . en . March 3, 2019 . February 16, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170216084540/https://cookpolitical.com/presidential/charts/scorecard . dead .
  9. Web site: 2016 Electoral Map Prediction . November 8, 2016 . . March 3, 2019.
  10. Web site: Presidential Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . August 16, 2021.
  11. Web site: 2016 President . Sabato . Larry J. . Larry Sabato . November 7, 2016 . . March 3, 2019.
  12. Web site: 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House. RealClearPolitics. 2016-11-13.
  13. Web site: Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge . . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
  14. Web site: Voter Turnout . www.elections.il.gov . Illinois State Board of Elections . 22 March 2020 .
  15. Web site: Election Results . www.elections.il.gov . Illinois State Board of Elections . 23 March 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200222093629/https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/ElectionVoteTotals.aspx . 22 February 2020 . dead .
  16. Web site: Voter Turnout . www.elections.il.gov . Illinois State Board of Elections . 22 March 2020 .
  17. News: Bump. Philip. The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election. en-US. Washington Post. 2020-09-01. 0190-8286.
  18. Web site: Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project. www.swingstateproject.com.
  19. Web site: 2016 Presidential General Election Data - National. US Election Atlas.
  20. Sullivan, Robert David; ‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’; America Magazine in The National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016,
  21. Web site: Illinois Election Results 2016: President Live Map by County, Real-Time Voting Updates. Election Hub.