2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas explained

See main article: 2016 United States presidential election.

Election Name:	2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas
Country:	Arkansas
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2012 United States presidential election in Arkansas
Previous Year:	2012
Election Date:	November 8, 2016
Next Election:	2020 United States presidential election in Arkansas
Next Year:	2020
Turnout:	64.65%
Image1:	Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Donald Trump
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:	New York
Running Mate1:	Mike Pence
Electoral Vote1:	6
Popular Vote1:	684,872
Percentage1:
Nominee2:	Hillary Clinton
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:	New York
Running Mate2:	Tim Kaine
Electoral Vote2:	0
Popular Vote2:	380,494
Map Size:	250px
President
Before Election:	Barack Obama
Before Party:	Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:	Donald Trump
After Party:	Republican Party (United States)

The 2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Arkansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Arkansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[1]

Although Clinton once served as the First Lady of Arkansas from 1979 to 1981 and from 1983 to 1992 as the wife of then-Governor Bill Clinton, Arkansas was considered to be a state Trump would win or otherwise a safe red state. Bill Clinton won the state twice in 1992 and 1996, but the state has trended Republican in every election since the 2000, and no Democrat won a statewide election there since 2010. Trump won the state with 60.57% of the vote, and Hillary Clinton received 33.65% of the vote.^[2] The Republican candidate has carried Arkansas in every election starting in 2000. This is also the first election in which the state simultaneously voted for a Republican presidential candidate and a Republican Senate candidate. Arkansas was 1 of 11 states that voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

Trump's 60.57% share of the vote is tied with Mitt Romney's 60.57% in 2012, making both candidates' performances the best result for the Republicans in Arkansas since Richard Nixon in 1972. However, Trump bested Romney in terms of margin, winning by 26.92% versus Romney's 23.69%. The Prohibition Party candidate, James Hedges, also had the notable achievement of finishing third in Arkansas County, ahead of major third-party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, the only county in the country where he did so.

Primary elections

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Arkansas voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, Green, Libertarian, Constitution, and Prohibition parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

Democratic primary

See main article: 2016 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary.

Results

See also: Results of the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries.

Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 37

Republican primary

See main article: 2016 Arkansas Republican presidential primary. Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:^{[3] [4]}

General election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Arkansas as of Election Day.

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times^[5]		November 6, 2016
CNN^[6]		November 8, 2016
align=left	Rothenberg Political Report^[7]		November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[8]		November 7, 2016
NBC^[9]		November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics^[10]		November 8, 2016
Fox News^[11]		November 7, 2016
ABC^[12]		November 7, 2016

Statewide results

2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas^[13]
Party		Candidate	Running mate	Votes	%	Electoral votes
	Republican	Donald Trump	Mike Pence	684,872	60.57%	6
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	Tim Kaine	380,494	33.65%	0
	Libertarian		William Weld	29,949	2.64%	0
	Independent		Nathan Johnson	13,176	1.17%	0
	Green	Jill Stein	Ajamu Baraka	9,473	0.84%	0
	Prohibition Party	Jim Hedges	Bill Bayes	4,709	0.42%	0
	Constitution	Darrell Castle	Scott Bradley	4,613	0.41%	0
	Independent	Lynn S. Kahn	Kathleen Monahan	3,390	0.30%	0
Total				1,130,676	100.00%	6

Results by county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Hillary Clinton Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
		%		%		%		%
	Arkansas		3,826		61.59%		1,939		31.21%		447		7.20%		1,887		30.38%		6,212
	Ashley		5,338		66.04%		2,408		29.79%		337		4.17%		2,930		36.25%		8,083
	Baxter		14,682		74.28%		4,169		21.09%		915		4.63%		10,513		53.19%		19,766
	Benton		60,871		62.87%		28,005		28.92%		7,948		8.21%		32,866		33.95%		96,824
	Boone		12,235		75.94%		2,926		18.16%		950		5.90%		9,309		57.78%		16,111
	Bradley		2,164		59.24%		1,317		36.05%		172		4.71%		847		23.19%		3,653
	Calhoun		1,556		68.58%		639		28.16%		74		3.26%		917		40.42%		2,269
	Carroll		6,786		63.08%		3,342		31.07%		630		5.85%		3,444		32.01%		10,758
	Chicot		1,716		41.09%		2,350		56.27%		110		2.64%		-634		-15.18%		4,176
	Clark		4,404		51.65%		3,620		42.46%		502		5.89%		784		9.19%		8,526
	Clay		3,781		72.71%		1,199		23.06%		220		4.23%		2,582		49.65%		5,200
	Cleburne		9,458		78.26%		2,101		17.39%		526		4.35%		7,357		60.87%		12,085
	Cleveland		2,462		73.40%		723		21.56%		169		5.04%		1,739		51.84%		3,354
	Columbia		5,456		61.39%		3,140		35.33%		291		3.28%		2,316		26.06%		8,887
	Conway		4,849		61.17%		2,656		33.51%		422		5.32%		2,193		27.66%		7,927
	Craighead		22,892		64.35%		10,538		29.62%		2,143		6.03%		12,354		34.73%		35,573
	Crawford		16,686		74.33%		4,488		19.99%		1,276		5.68%		12,198		54.34%		22,450
	Crittenden		6,964		43.66%		8,410		52.72%		578		3.62%		-1,446		-9.06%		15,952
	Cross		4,584		66.69%		1,999		29.08%		291		4.23%		2,585		37.61%		6,874
	Dallas		1,509		54.46%		1,165		42.04%		97		3.50%		344		12.42%		2,771
	Desha		1,919		45.08%		2,228		52.34%		110		2.58%		-309		-7.26%		4,257
	Drew		3,968		60.17%		2,365		35.86%		262		3.97%		1,603		24.31%		6,595
	Faulkner		29,346		61.75%		14,629		30.78%		3,552		7.47%		14,717		30.97%		47,527
	Franklin		5,039		74.43%		1,376		20.32%		355		5.25%		3,663		54.11%		6,770
	Fulton		3,471		72.74%		1,067		22.36%		234		4.90%		2,404		50.38%		4,772
	Garland		26,087		63.93%		12,311		30.17%		2,407		5.90%		13,776		33.76%		40,805
	Grant		5,725		76.90%		1,373		18.44%		347		4.66%		4,352		58.46%		7,445
	Greene		10,720		73.42%		3,071		21.03%		809		5.55%		7,649		52.39%		14,600
	Hempstead		4,401		62.43%		2,377		33.72%		271		3.85%		2,024		28.71%		7,049
	Hot Spring		8,172		68.42%		3,149		26.36%		623		5.22%		5,023		42.06%		11,944
	Howard		3,157		67.54%		1,351		28.90%		166		3.56%		1,806		38.64%		4,674
	Independence		9,936		72.98%		2,881		21.16%		797		5.86%		7,055		51.82%		13,614
	Izard		4,042		74.19%		1,113		20.43%		293		5.38%		2,929		53.76%		5,448
	Jackson		3,267		63.36%		1,583		30.70%		306		5.94%		1,684		32.66%		5,156
	Jefferson		9,250		35.72%		15,772		60.91%		872		3.37%		-6,522		-25.19%		25,894
	Johnson		6,091		66.85%		2,427		26.64%		594		6.51%		3,664		40.21%		9,112
	Lafayette		1,758		61.47%		1,032		36.08%		70		2.45%		726		25.39%		2,860
	Lawrence		4,064		71.49%		1,263		22.22%		358		6.29%		2,801		49.27%		5,685
	Lee		1,229		40.61%		1,735		57.34%		62		2.05%		-506		-16.73%		3,026
	Lincoln		2,455		64.17%		1,252		32.72%		119		3.11%		1,203		31.45%		3,826
	Little River		3,605		68.97%		1,397		26.73%		225		4.30%		2,208		42.24%		5,227
	Logan		5,746		72.54%		1,715		21.65%		460		5.81%		4,031		50.89%		7,921
	Lonoke		19,958		73.65%		5,664		20.90%		1,478		5.45%		14,294		52.75%		27,100
	Madison		4,928		72.04%		1,588		23.21%		325		4.75%		3,340		48.83%		6,841
	Marion		5,336		75.08%		1,434		20.18%		337		4.74%		3,902		54.90%		7,107
	Miller		11,294		70.19%		4,273		26.56%		524		3.25%		7,021		43.63%		16,091
	Mississippi		7,061		53.48%		5,670		42.94%		473		3.58%		1,391		10.54%		13,204
	Monroe		1,489		51.63%		1,312		45.49%		83		2.88%		177		6.14%		2,884
	Montgomery		2,643		74.26%		748		21.02%		168		4.72%		1,895		53.24%		3,559
	Nevada		2,000		61.61%		1,157		35.64%		89		2.75%		843		25.97%		3,246
	Newton		2,875		76.61%		699		18.63%		179		4.76%		2,176		57.98%		3,753
	Ouachita		5,351		53.86%		4,321		43.49%		263		2.65%		1,030		10.37%		9,935
	Perry		3,008		69.86%		1,049		24.36%		249		5.78%		1,959		45.50%		4,306
	Phillips		2,446		35.18%		4,310		61.99%		197		2.83%		-1,864		-26.81%		6,953
	Pike		3,150		79.13%		685		17.21%		146		3.66%		2,465		61.92%		3,981
	Poinsett		5,502		71.25%		1,880		24.35%		340		4.40%		3,622		46.90%		7,722
	Polk		6,618		80.40%		1,212		14.72%		401		4.88%		5,406		65.68%		8,231
	Pope		16,256		72.03%		5,000		22.15%		1,313		5.82%		11,256		49.88%		22,569
	Prairie		2,505		72.74%		814		23.64%		125		3.62%		1,691		49.10%		3,444
	Pulaski		61,257		38.34%		89,574		56.06%		8,945		5.60%		-28,317		-17.72%		159,776
	Randolph		4,509		70.69%		1,425		22.34%		445		6.97%		3,084		48.35%		6,379
	St. Francis		3,195		43.00%		4,031		54.25%		204		2.75%		-836		-11.25%		7,430
	Saline		35,863		68.83%		13,256		25.44%		2,981		5.73%		22,607		43.39%		52,100
	Scott		2,731		77.81%		602		17.15%		177		5.04%		2,129		60.66%		3,510
	Searcy		2,955		79.27%		601		16.12%		172		4.61%		2,354		63.15%		3,728
	Sebastian		29,127		65.25%		12,300		27.56%		3,210		7.19%		16,827		37.69%		44,637
	Sevier		3,282		71.94%		1,075		23.56%		205		4.50%		2,207		48.38%		4,562
	Sharp		5,407		74.59%		1,472		20.31%		370		5.10%		3,935		54.28%		7,249
	Stone		4,113		73.21%		1,203		21.41%		302		5.38%		2,910		51.80%		5,618
	Union		10,456		61.89%		5,855		34.66%		583		3.45%		4,601		27.23%		16,894
	Van Buren		5,382		73.33%		1,549		21.11%		408		5.56%		3,833		52.22%		7,339
	Washington		41,476		50.67%		33,366		40.76%		7,019		8.57%		8,110		9.91%		81,861
	White		21,077		75.28%		5,170		18.46%		1,752		6.26%		15,907		56.82%		27,999
	Woodruff		1,347		52.39%		1,118		43.49%		106		4.12%		229		8.90%		2,571
	Yell		4,608		71.56%		1,480		22.98%		351		5.46%		3,128		48.58%		6,439
Totals	684,872	60.57%	380,494	33.65%	65,310	5.78%	304,378	26.92%	1,130,676

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Woodruff (largest city: Augusta)

By congressional district

Trump won all four of the state's congressional districts.^[14]

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
		65.0%	30.2%		Rick Crawford
		52.4%	41.7%		French Hill
		61.9%	30.5%		Steve Womack
		64.2%	31.3%		Bruce Westerman

Turnout

The voter turnout in Arkansas was 64.65% with 1,137,772 ballots cast out of 1,759,974 registered voters.^[15]

See also

• United States presidential elections in Arkansas
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Arkansas

Notes and References

1. Web site: Distribution of Electoral Votes. National Archives and Records Administration. 19 September 2019. November 23, 2020. January 9, 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190109144218/https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html. live.
2. News: Arkansas Election Results 2016 – The New York Times. November 10, 2016.
3. Web site: James Jackson . Candidates file for Arkansas primaries - News - The Sun-Times - Heber Springs, AR - Heber Springs, AR . https://web.archive.org/web/20151116010813/http://www.thesuntimes.com/article/20151110/NEWS/151119947 . dead . 2015-11-16 . The Sun-Times . 2015-11-10 . 2016-01-21 .
4. Web site: Washington County, AR : March 1, 2016 Republican Preferential Primary Sample Ballots . Co.washington.ar.us . 2016-01-21 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160129221959/https://www.co.washington.ar.us/index.aspx?page=758 . January 29, 2016 . dead .
5. News: Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours. . . 2016-11-06 . 2016-11-13.
6. Web site: Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com . Cnn.com . 2016-11-08 . 2016-11-13.
7. Web site: Presidential Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . August 16, 2021.
8. Web site: Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President . Centerforpolitics.org . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
9. Web site: Todd . Chuck . NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead . . 2016-11-13.
10. Web site: 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House . RealClearPolitics . 2016-11-13.
11. Web site: Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge . . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
12. Web site: The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election . Abcnews.go.com . 2016-11-07 . 2016-11-13.
13. Web site: 2016 General ELection and Nonpartisan Runoff Election Official County Results . . Arkansas Secretary of State.
14. Web site: Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project.
15. Web site: AR - Election Results. December 2, 2016.