2016 United States Senate election in Vermont explained

See also: 2016 United States Senate elections.

Election Name:2016 United States Senate election in Vermont
Country:Vermont
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States Senate election in Vermont
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2022 United States Senate election in Vermont
Next Year:2022
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Image1:File:Patrick Leahy 117th Congress (cropped).jpeg
Nominee1:Patrick Leahy
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:192,243
Percentage1:61.26%
Nominee2:Scott Milne
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:103,637
Percentage2:33.03%
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Patrick Leahy
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Patrick Leahy
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2016 United States Senate election in Vermont was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held August 9.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Patrick Leahy, the most senior member in the Senate, the longest-serving U.S. Senator from Vermont, and the first Democrat to be elected to a Senate seat in Vermont, won re-election to a record eighth term in office.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Liberty Union primary

This election was the last in which Diamondstone ran prior to his death in 2017. Diamondstone had run for Vermont statewide office in every biennial election since 1970.

Candidates

Declared

Other candidacies

Declared

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[7] November 2, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] November 7, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[9] November 3, 2016
align=left Daily Kos[10] November 8, 2016
align=left Real Clear Politics[11] November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Patrick
Leahy (D)
Scott
Milne (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey[13] November 1–7, 2016454± 4.6% align=center75%24%1%
SurveyMonkey[14] October 31 – November 6, 2016447± 4.6% align=center75%24%1%
SurveyMonkey[15] October 28 – November 3, 2016449± 4.6% align=center69%28%3%
SurveyMonkey[16] October 27 – November 2, 2016424± 4.6% align=center65%32%3%
SurveyMonkey[17] October 26 – November 1, 2016428± 4.6% align=center64%34%2%
SurveyMonkey[18] October 25–31, 2016436± 4.6% align=center64%33%3%
Braun Research/WCAX[19] October 19–22, 2016603± 4.0% align=center64%29%3%5%
Castleton University[20] September 29 – October 14, 2016579± 3.9% align=center59%22%7%10%
Emerson College[21] September 2–5, 2016600± 3.9% align=center57%34%4%5%
Castleton University[22] July 11–23, 2016637± 3.9% align=center62%23%1%11%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Debates

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016 . Roll Call . January 28, 2015 . January 29, 2015 . Emily Cahn . Alexis Levinson . https://web.archive.org/web/20150129222855/http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-races-2016-retirement-guide/ . January 29, 2015 . dead .
  2. Web site: Voters to see familiar faces and new races . The Rutland Herald . May 27, 2016 . June 2, 2016 . Josh . O'Gorman . https://web.archive.org/web/20160530192403/http://www.rutlandherald.com/article/20160527/THISJUSTIN/305279996# . May 30, 2016 . dead . mdy-all .
  3. Web site: Scott Milne Considers Challenging Patrick Leahy . . Heintz . Paul . October 5, 2015 . October 7, 2015.
  4. Web site: Milne hopes to unseat Sen. Leahy . . Gram . Dave . May 26, 2016 . May 27, 2016.
  5. Web site: Candidates register to appear on ballots . . June 5, 2016.
  6. Web site: Jerry Trudell for Senate VT . October 24, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20161025174709/http://www.jerrytrudellforsenate.com/ . October 25, 2016 . dead . mdy-all .
  7. Web site: 2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 . The Cook Political Report . March 26, 2021.
  8. Web site: 2016 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 19, 2016.
  9. Web site: 2016 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 3, 2016.
  10. Web site: Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version . Daily Kos . March 27, 2021.
  11. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2016 . Real Clear Politics . October 28, 2016.
  12. https://www.c-span.org/video/?416993-1/vermont-senate-debate Full debate - C-SPAN
  13. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArc1RLTFJqQ3JhTTA/view SurveyMonkey
  14. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcEwxQXh2M25qSFE/view SurveyMonkey
  15. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreE9xVzhyUUNZNGc/view SurveyMonkey
  16. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view SurveyMonkey
  17. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view SurveyMonkey
  18. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAraEFpRXdFc21TVG8/view SurveyMonkey
  19. http://www.wcax.com/story/33476242/wcax-poll-leahy-holds-strong-lead-over-milne Braun Research/WCAX
  20. http://digital.vpr.net/post/vpr-poll-overall-results-full-data#stream/0 Castleton University
  21. http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_dd659ad4faf34206969d7dbef07995e2.pdf Emerson College
  22. http://digital.vpr.net/post/vpr-poll-issues-races-and-full-results#stream/0 Castleton University