2016 United States Senate election in Oregon explained

See also: 2016 United States Senate elections.

Election Name:	2016 United States Senate election in Oregon
Country:	Oregon
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2010 United States Senate election in Oregon
Previous Year:	2010
Next Election:	2022 United States Senate election in Oregon
Next Year:	2022
Election Date:	November 8, 2016
Nominee1:	Ron Wyden
Party1:	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:	1,105,119
Percentage1:	56.60%
Nominee2:	Mark Callahan
Party2:	Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:	651,106
Percentage2:	33.35%
Map Size:	250px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:	Ron Wyden
Before Party:	Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:	Ron Wyden
After Party:	Democratic Party (United States)

The 2016 United States Senate election in Oregon was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oregon, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Ron Wyden was re-elected to a fourth full term in office. This is the first senate election since 1998 in which Coos County has not supported him. This election also marks the most recent time any candidate from either major party swept all of Oregon's existing congressional districts in any statewide election.^[1]

Democratic Party primary

Candidates

Declared

• Kevin Stine, Medford City Councilor^[2]
• Paul Weaver, retired locomotive engineer^[3]
• Ron Wyden, incumbent U.S. Senator^[1]

Declined

• Peter DeFazio, U.S. Representative^[4]

Results

Results by county

County	Ron Wyden Democratic		Paul Weaver Democratic		Kevin Stine Democratic		Other votes		Total votes
	%		%		%		%
	78.42%	1,205	6.04%	79	14.15%	185	1.38%	18	1,307
	82.47%	15,095	2.74%	502	14.57%	2,666	0.21%	39	18,302
	83.92%	48,355	3.27%	1,884	12.25%	7,060	0.56%	325	57,624
	84.51%	5,173	3.84%	235	11.29%	691	0.36%	22	6,121
	80.70%	5,971	5.95%	440	12.75%	943	0.61%	45	7,399
	77.80%	6,284	6.90%	557	14.60%	1,179	0.71%	57	8,077
	80.97%	1,613	7.28%	145	10.79%	215	0.95%	19	1,992
	80.17%	2,417	5.41%	163	13.47%	406	0.96%	29	3,015
	85.24%	19,489	2.92%	668	11.42%	2,611	0.42%	96	22,864
	77.40%	8,159	7.48%	789	14.27%	1,504	0.85%	90	10,542
	84.31%	188	6.73%	15	6.73%	15	2.24%	5	223
	77.46%	519	6.12%	41	13.43%	90	2.99%	20	670
	80.18%	542	7.25%	49	10.65%	72	1.92%	13	676
	84.57%	3,376	3.18%	127	12.05%	481	0.20%	8	3,992
	77.86%	22,152	3.34%	949	18.35%	5,221	0.46%	130	28,452
	81.59%	1,418	6.33%	110	11.34%	197	0.75%	13	1,738
	77.92%	7,065	4.73%	429	16.37%	1,484	0.98%	89	9,067
	78.52%	4,179	5.73%	305	14.60%	777	1.15%	61	5,322
	76.74%	409	7.88%	42	14.45%	77	0.94%	5	533
	83.64%	58,057	3.31%	2,300	12.70%	8,819	0.35%	241	69,417
	82.28%	7,144	4.60%	399	12.73%	1,105	0.40%	35	8,683
	78.20%	9,435	6.31%	761	14.76%	1,781	0.74%	89	12,066
	75.48%	948	8.20%	103	14.81%	186	1.51%	19	1,256
	81.20%	27,409	4.63%	1,562	13.54%	4,569	0.64%	215	33,755
	80.03%	541	8.28%	56	10.80%	73	0.89%	6	676
	85.30%	148,980	2.04%	3,556	12.32%	21,510	0.35%	603	174,649
	81.64%	8,130	4.88%	486	12.96%	1,291	0.52%	52	9,959
	74.41%	125	10.12%	17	11.91%	20	3.57%	6	168
	83.24%	3,422	4.31%	177	12.16%	500	0.29%	12	4,111
	82.40%	3,656	5.12%	227	11.97%	531	0.52%	23	4,437
	81.05%	1,972	5.67%	138	12.50%	304	0.78%	19	2,433
	86.25%	734	2.12%	18	11.05%	94	0.59%	5	851
	81.63%	2,501	5.48%	168	12.40%	380	0.49%	15	3,064
	84.21%	65,565	3.06%	2,385	12.43%	9,677	0.30%	232	77,859
	76.36%	126	4.85%	8	12.73%	21	6.06%	10	165
	82.37%	9,729	3.86%	456	13.14%	1,552	0.63%	74	11,811

Republican Party primary

Candidates

Declared

• Mark Callahan, information technology consultant and perennial candidate^{[5] [6] [7]}
• Sam Carpenter, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014^[8]
• Dan Laschober, business consultant^[5]
• Faye Stewart, Lane County Commissioner^[9]

Results

Independent Party primary

Candidates

Declared

• Steven Reynolds, businessman, Progressive nominee for OR-01 in 2012 and Pacific Green nominee for OR-01 in 2014^{[10] [11]}
• Marvin Sandnes, businessman^[10]

Results

Working Families Party

The Working Families Party of Oregon, which usually cross-endorses Democratic candidates, nominated their own candidate in protest of Sen. Ron Wyden's support of the Trans-Pacific Partnership.^{[12] [13] [14]}

Candidates

Declared

• Shanti Lewallen, attorney, labor union activist, and longshoreman^[15]

Pacific Green Party and Oregon Progressive Party

The Pacific Green Party and the Oregon Progressive Party cross-endorsed Eric Navickas, former member of the Ashland, Oregon City Council.^{[16] [17] [18]}

Candidates

Declared

• Eric Navickas, former Ashland City Councilman^{[19] [20]}

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[21]		November 2, 2016
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[22]		November 7, 2016
align=left	Rothenberg Political Report^[23]		November 3, 2016
align=left	Daily Kos^[24]		November 8, 2016
align=left	Real Clear Politics^[25]		November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ron Wyden (D)	Mark Callahan (R)	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey^[26]	November 1–7, 2016	1,595	± 4.6%	align=center	63%	32%	—	5%
SurveyMonkey^[27]	October 31–November 6, 2016	1,483	± 4.6%	align=center	64%	32%	—	4%
SurveyMonkey^[28]	October 28–November 3, 2016	1,150	± 4.6%	align=center	64%	32%	—	4%
SurveyMonkey^[29]	October 27–November 2, 2016	934	± 4.6%	align=center	64%	33%	—	3%
SurveyMonkey^[30]	October 26–November 1, 2016	809	± 4.6%	align=center	61%	34%	—	5%
SurveyMonkey^[31]	October 25–31, 2016	743	± 4.6%	align=center	62%	34%	—	4%
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA^[32]	October 10–12, 2016	654	± 3.9%	align=center	54%	32%	6%	9%
Gravis Marketing (R-Breitbart)^[33]	October 4, 2016	1,248	± 2.8%	align=center	52%	33%	—	15%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Coos (largest city: Coos Bay)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Deschutes (largest city: Bend)
• Jefferson (largest city: Madras)

By congressional district

Wyden won all 5 congressional districts at the time, including one that elected a Republican.^[34]

District	Wyden	Callahan	Representative
		60%	31%		Suzanne Bonamici
		48%	43%		Greg Walden
		70%	19%		Earl Blumenauer
		52%	37%		Peter DeFazio
		53%	38%		Kurt Schrader

External links

Official campaign websites

• Mark Callahan for Senate (R)
• Shanti Lewallen for Senate (WFP)
• Eric Navickas for Senate (PGP/OPP)
• Ron Wyden for Senate (D)

Notes and References

1. Web site: Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016 . Roll Call . January 28, 2015 . January 29, 2015 . Emily Cahn . Alexis Levinson . https://web.archive.org/web/20150129222855/http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-races-2016-retirement-guide/ . January 29, 2015 . dead .
2. Web site: Medford Councilor Stine to challenge Sen. Ron Wyden . . Mann . Damian . September 21, 2015 . September 21, 2015 . October 1, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151001203745/http://www.mailtribune.com/article/20150921/NEWS/150929984 . dead .
3. Web site: Who's running for president, Oregon governor, other seats? The latest on 2016 candidates . . Kullgren . Ian K. . November 17, 2015 . March 7, 2016.
4. Web site: Wyden Looks Safe, but Democratic Rift Is Real . . Gonzales . Nathan L. . April 10, 2015 . September 30, 2015 . October 1, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151001183442/http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/ron-wyden-primary-tpp-trade-safe/ . dead .
5. Web site: Republican Mark Callahan of 'blah, blah, blah' fame runs again for U.S. Senate . . Mapes . Jeff . September 10, 2015 . September 11, 2015.
6. Web site: Four GOP candidates in primary vie for spot to face off against U.S. Sen. Ron Wyden . The Eugene Register-Guard . Saul . Hubbard . April 27, 2016 . May 10, 2016 .
7. Web site: Surprise Winners, Lousy Polls and Cheap Shots—Last Night's Primary Had It All . Willamette Week . Nigel . Jaquiss . May 18, 2016 . May 21, 2016.
8. Web site: Bend businessman Carpenter to run for Senate . The Bend Bulletin . February 5, 2016 . February 19, 2016 . Scott . Hammers.
9. Web site: Oregon county commissioner Faye Stewart to run for US Senate . November 12, 2015 . November 16, 2015 . KATU . Steven . Dubois.
10. Web site: Election 2016: Who's running for office in Oregon? Portland? We've got your list right here . The Oregonian . March 9, 2016 . April 7, 2016 . Ian . Kullgren.
11. Web site: Ron Wyden to face Mark Callahan, Steven Reynolds for U.S. Senate seat in November (election results) . The Oregonian . Everton . Bailey . May 17, 2016 . May 18, 2016.
12. Web site: Oregon Working Families Party challenges free-trader Ron Wyden . NWLaborPress.org . August 2, 2016 . August 28, 2016.
13. Web site: Oregon Working Families Party challenges "fast-track" backer Ron Wyden . People's World . August 16, 2016 . August 28, 2016.
14. Web site: Oregon Working Families Party Runs its Own Member for U.S. Senate . Ballot Access News . Richard . Winger . August 24, 2016 . August 28, 2016.
15. Web site: Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Shanti Lewallen . Oregon Secretary of State . July 28, 2016 . August 28, 2016.
16. Web site: 2016 PACIFIC GREEN PARTY CANDIDATES . Pacific Green Party . Trisha . Driscoll . August 4, 2016 . September 1, 2016.
17. Web site: I am proud to announce that in addition to receiving the Pacific Green Party nomination, our campaign has also won the nomination to run for U.S. Senate from the Progressive Party of Oregon. . Eric Navickas for US Senate- Official Facebook . Eric . Navickas . August 31, 2016 . September 1, 2016.
18. Web site: The League responds with an event gathering signatures to get Jill Stein and Eric Navickas in the voters pamphlet. This will be at the Salem Wednesday Farmers market. . Salem Weekly News . August 3, 2016 . September 1, 2016.
19. Web site: Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Eric Navickas (Pacific Green Nomination) . Oregon Secretary of State . June 30, 2016 . September 1, 2016.
20. Web site: Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Eric Navickas (Oregon Progressive Nomination) . Oregon Secretary of State . August 30, 2016 . September 1, 2016.
21. Web site: 2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 . The Cook Political Report . March 26, 2021.
22. Web site: 2016 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 19, 2016.
23. Web site: 2016 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 3, 2016.
24. Web site: Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version . Daily Kos . March 27, 2021.
25. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2016 . Real Clear Politics . October 28, 2016.
26. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArc1RLTFJqQ3JhTTA/view SurveyMonkey
27. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcEwxQXh2M25qSFE/view SurveyMonkey
28. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreE9xVzhyUUNZNGc/view SurveyMonkey
29. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view SurveyMonkey
30. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view SurveyMonkey
31. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAraEFpRXdFc21TVG8/view SurveyMonkey
32. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=088d0066-02dc-4faa-affe-a321d1390f73 KATU-TV/SurveyUSA
33. https://scribd.com/document/326885550/Oregon-October-7-2016-v2-1#from_embed Gravis Marketing (R-Breitbart)
34. Web site: DRA 2020 . 2024-08-18 . Daves Redistricting.