2016 United States Senate election in Georgia explained
See also: 2016 United States Senate elections.
Election Name: | 2016 United States Senate election in Georgia |
Country: | Georgia (U.S. state) |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2010 United States Senate election in Georgia |
Previous Year: | 2010 |
Next Election: | 2020–2021 United States Senate special election in Georgia |
Next Year: | (special) |
Election Date: | November 8, 2016 |
Image1: | File:Johnny Isakson official Senate photo1 (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Johnny Isakson |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 2,135,806 |
Percentage1: | 54.80% |
Nominee2: | Jim Barksdale |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 1,599,726 |
Percentage2: | 41.04% |
Map Size: | 240px |
U.S. senator |
Before Election: | Johnny Isakson |
Before Party: | Republican Party (US) |
After Election: | Johnny Isakson |
After Party: | Republican Party (US) |
The 2016 United States Senate election in Georgia was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary election for the Republican and Democratic parties took place on May 24, 2016.[1]
Incumbent Senator Johnny Isakson won re-election to a third term in office by a wide margin.[2] He later resigned from the Senate on December 31, 2019, due to health issues. As of 2024, this remains the last time Republicans won a Senate election in Georgia, as well as the last time that suburban Gwinnett and Henry counties have voted Republican in a statewide election. It also remains the last time that any statewide candidate has won an election in Georgia by double digits, and the last time that any U.S. Senate candidate in Georgia has won without a runoff. This is the most recent and the last United States Senate election in Georgia in which the winning candidate won a majority of Georgia's counties.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Withdrawn
Declined
Results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- James F. Barksdale, investment firm executive[15]
- Cheryl Copeland, AT&T manager[16]
- John Coyne, businessman and perennial candidate
Withdrawn
Declined
- Stacey Abrams, Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[18]
- Thurbert Baker, former Attorney General of Georgia and candidate for governor in 2010[11]
- Roy Barnes, former governor
- John Barrow, former U.S. Representative[19]
- Jason Carter, state senator and nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2014[18]
- Stacey Evans, state representative[18] [20]
- Shirley Franklin, former Mayor of Atlanta
- Scott Holcomb, state representative and candidate for secretary of state in 2006
- Margaret Kaiser, state representative[18] [21]
- Jim Marshall, former U.S. Representative[22]
- Michelle Nunn, former CEO of Points of Light and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014[22] [23]
- Kasim Reed, Mayor of Atlanta[24]
- Michael Sterling, executive director of the Atlanta Workforce Development Agency, former Assistant United States Attorney and former adviser to Mayor Kasim Reed[25] [26]
- Doug Stoner, former state senator[18] [27]
- Ed Tarver, United States Attorney for the Southern District of Georgia and former state senator[28] [29]
- Regina Thomas, former state senator and candidate for GA-12 in 2008 and 2010[15] [30]
- Teresa Tomlinson, Mayor of Columbus[31]
- Raphael Warnock, pastor of Ebenezer Baptist Church and future U.S. Senator for this seat[32] [33]
- Valarie Wilson, former president of the Georgia School Boards Association, former chair of the Decatur School Board, and nominee for State Superintendent of Schools in 2014[32] [22]
Results
Libertarian nomination
Candidates
Declared
- Allen Buckley, attorney, accountant, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004 and 2008 and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Georgia in 2006[34]
- Ted Metz, insurance agent, former Cobb County Republican district chairman, and nominee for insurance commissioner in 2014[35]
Allen Buckley won the nomination at the March 5, 2016, nominating convention in Marietta.[36]
General election
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Johnny Isakson (R) | Jim Barksdale (D) | Allen Buckley (L) | Other | Undecided |
---|
SurveyMonkey[38] | November 1–7, 2016 | 2,419 | ± 4.6% | align=center | 47% | 41% | 8% | — | 4% |
WSB-TV/Landmark[39] | November 6, 2016 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% | align=center | 52% | 41% | 4% | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey[40] | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 2,348 | ± 4.6% | align=center | 47% | 41% | 8% | — | 4% |
CBS News/YouGov[41] | November 3–5, 2016 | 995 | ± 4.6% | align=center | 48% | 41% | — | 6% | 5% |
WSB-TV/Landmark[42] | November 2–3, 2016 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | align=center | 50% | 40% | 5% | — | 6% |
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy[43] | November 2–3, 2016 | 538 | ± 4.2% | align=center | 50% | 39% | 8% | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey[44] | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 2,872 | ± 4.6% | align=center | 47% | 42% | 8% | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey[45] | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 2,722 | ± 4.6% | align=center | 47% | 42% | 7% | — | 4% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist[46] | align=center rowspan=2 | October 30–November 1, 2016 | 707 LV | ± 3.7% | align=center | 48% | 37% | 7% | 3% | 5% |
937 RV | ± 3.2% | align=center | 46% | 36% | 8% | 4% | 7% |
SurveyMonkey[47] | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 2,678 | ± 4.6% | align=center | 48% | 41% | 6% | — | 5% |
Emerson College[48] | October 29–31, 2016 | 650 | ± 3.8% | align=center | 48% | 40% | — | 5% | 7% |
SurveyMonkey[49] | October 25–31, 2016 | 2,665 | ± 4.6% | align=center | 50% | 41% | 5% | — | 4% |
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA[50] | October 25–27, 2016 | 594 | ± 4.1% | align=center | 50% | 38% | 5% | — | 8% |
Quinnipiac University[51] | October 20–26, 2016 | 707 | ± 3.7% | align=center | 54% | 40% | — | — | 6% |
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy[52] | October 20, 2016 | 570 | ± 4.1% | align=center | 51% | 42% | 3% | — | 4% |
Google Consumer Surveys[53] | October 18–20, 2016 | 439 | ± 4.2% | align=center | 58% | 36% | — | — | 6% |
Atlanta Journal Constitution[54] | October 17–20, 2016 | 839 | ± 4.3% | align=center | 47% | 32% | 11% | — | 7% |
The Times-Picayune/Lucid[55] | October 17–18, 2016 | 807 | ± 3.0% | align=center | 49% | 39% | — | — | 13% |
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey[56] | October 8–16, 2016 | 886 | ± 0.5% | align=center | 50% | 46% | — | — | 4% |
WSB-TV/Landmark[57] | October 11–12, 2016 | 1,400 | ± 2.7% | align=center | 50% | 37% | 5% | — | 8% |
JMC Analytics (R)[58] | September 20–22, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | align=center | 41% | 28% | 4% | — | 27% |
Quinnipiac University[59] | September 13–21, 2016 | 638 | ± 3.9% | align=center | 55% | 34% | — | — | 10% |
Monmouth University[60] | September 15–18, 2016 | 401 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 50% | 34% | 5% | — | 10% |
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy[61] | September 14, 2016 | 568 | ± 4.1% | align=center | 47% | 34% | 6% | — | 13% |
Emerson College[62] | September 9–13, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.6% | align=center | 48% | 32% | — | — | 10% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist[63] | September 6–8, 2016 | 649 | ± 3.8% | align=center | 53% | 38% | — | — | 9% |
JMC Analytics (R)[64] | August 6–7, 2016 | 615 | ± 4.0% | align=center | 39% | 30% | 4% | — | 27% |
Atlanta Journal Constitution[65] | August 1–4, 2016 | 847 | ± 4.0% | align=center | 44% | 38% | 6% | — | 12% |
align=center | 48% | 42% | — | — | 10% |
WSB-TV/Landmark[66] | July 31, 2016 | 787 | ± 4.0% | align=center | 46% | 41% | 5% | — | 8% |
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA[67] | July 29–31, 2016 | 570 | ± 4.2% | align=center | 48% | 39% | 5% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling[68] | May 27–30, 2016 | 724 | ± 3.6% | align=center | 47% | 35% | — | — | 18% | |
Predictions
Results
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Isakson won 10 of 14 congressional districts.[74]
External links
Official campaign websites
Notes and References
- Web site: Georgia GA Elections . November 13, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151117030742/http://georgia.state-election.info/ . November 17, 2015 . dead .
- Web site: Johnny Isakson to announce he will seek a third term . Atlanta Journal-Constitution . November 11, 2014 . November 11, 2014 . November 11, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141111180247/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2014/11/11/johnny-isakson-to-announce-he-will-seek-a-third-term/ . dead .
- News: Qualifying for Georgia's May primaries ends . . March 11, 2016 . March 11, 2016 . March 12, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160312033042/http://www.wsbtv.com/news/georgia/qualifying-for-georgias-may-primaries-ends/156636356 . dead .
- News: It looks like Johnny Isakson has his first challenger . . Malloy . Daniel . January 9, 2015 . January 15, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150117003607/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/01/09/it-looks-like-johnny-isakson-has-his-first-challenger/ . January 17, 2015 . dead . mdy-all .
- News: Tea Party Talk . Fetch Your News . June 16, 2015 . June 27, 2015.
- News: Columbia County incumbents faces opposition after qualifying ends . Columbia County News-Times . Lennon . Abbigail . March 13, 2016 . March 25, 2016 . March 14, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160314213724/http://newstimes.augusta.com/news/2016-03-13/columbia-county-incumbents-faces-opposition-after-qualifying-ends . dead .
- News: Sen. Isakson Announces Re-Election Bid . WABE . Wirth . Michelle . November 17, 2014 . November 18, 2014.
- News: Barry Loudermilk, Doug Collins attract two new primary challengers . . Bluestein . Greg . March 9, 2016 . March 9, 2016 . March 10, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160310033547/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/03/09/barry-loudermilk-doug-collins-attract-two-new-primary-challengers/ . dead .
- News: READ IN: Keystone's Klose Edition . . Wilson . Reid . November 18, 2014 . November 18, 2014.
- News: Georgia's Isakson readies run for third Senate term — and seeks GOP unity . . Bluestein . Greg . November 11, 2014 . November 18, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141126161026/http://www.myajc.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/georgias-isakson-readies-run-for-third-senate-term/nh5KD/ . November 26, 2014 . dead .
- News: House speaker: 'You're going to hear more discussion' about horse racing . . Bluestein . Greg . May 5, 2015 . June 20, 2015 . June 21, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150621123044/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/05/05/house-speaker-youre-going-to-hear-more-discussion-about-horse-racing/ . dead .
- News: READ IN: Back To School Edition . . Wilson . Reid . November 12, 2014 . November 18, 2014.
- News: Qualifying opens for Georgia's 2016 elections . . Gould Sheinin . Aaron . March 7, 2016 . March 7, 2016 . May 15, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160515000804/http://www.ajc.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/qualifying-opens-for-georgias-2016-elections/nqfbK/ . dead .
- http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/2015/06/17/insideradvantage-news-survey-conducted-by-opinion-savvy-parkinsons-disclosure-apparently-no-threat-to-isaksons-re-nomination-by-gop InsiderAdvantage
- News: Bluestein . Greg . March 10, 2016 . . Party-backed Georgia Democrat qualifies for U.S. Senate seat . March 11, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160311085840/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/03/10/party-backed-georgia-democrat-qualifies-for-u-s-senate-seat/ . March 11, 2016 . dead . mdy-all .
- Web site: Southwest Georgia's congressional delegation qualifies for re-election . . March 8, 2016 . March 8, 2016.
- Web site: Candidate changes affects May primary ballot . . Hankerson . Jazmyne . April 18, 2016 . April 19, 2016.
- News: Cahn . Emily . Republicans Line Up for Open Seats in Georgia Farm Team . August 14, 2013 . Roll Call.
- News: John Barrow to teach at University of Georgia, signaling he's out for 2016 . The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . July 22, 2015 . July 23, 2015 . July 23, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150723180517/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/07/22/john-barrow-to-teach-at-university-of-georgia-signaling-hes-out-for-2016/ . dead .
- News: Scouted for Senate run, Stacey Evans decides to stay in Georgia House . . Bluestein . Greg . August 25, 2015 . August 27, 2015 . August 28, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150828012937/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/08/25/scouted-for-senate-run-stacey-evans-decides-to-stay-in-georgia-house/? . dead .
- News: Get ready for three open-seat House races in Atlanta . . Bluestein . Greg . Malloy . Daniel . April 11, 2015 . June 20, 2015 . June 21, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150621102642/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/04/10/get-ready-for-three-open-seat-house-races-in-atlanta/ . dead .
- News: Georgia Democrats still searching for a 2016 Senate contender . . Bluestein . Greg . Malloy . Daniel . April 28, 2015 . May 30, 2015 . June 14, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150614154140/http://www.myajc.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/georgia-democrats-still-searching-for-a-2016-senat/nk476/#d439a521.3574263.735717 . dead .
- News: Schultheis . Emily . Losing Democrats Already Being Touted for 2016 Comebacks . . November 12, 2014 . November 13, 2014.
- News: Galloway . Jim . Kasim Reed rules out a 2016 run for U.S. Senate . The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . May 9, 2013 . October 31, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141101002737/http://www.ajc.com/weblogs/political-insider/2013/may/09/kasim-reed-rules-out-2016-run-us-senate/ . November 1, 2014 . dead .
- News: Democrats vetting Reed ally for Senate race against Isakson . . Leslie . Katie . December 2, 2015 . December 3, 2015 . December 5, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151205020932/http://www.ajc.com/news/news/local-govt-politics/democrats-vetting-reed-protege-for-senate-race-aga/npZrY/ . dead .
- News: Search for Democratic challenger to Isakson continues . . Leslie . Katie . December 18, 2015 . December 21, 2015 . December 21, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151221044400/http://www.ajc.com/news/news/local-govt-politics/search-for-democratic-challenger-to-isakson-contin/npnTS/ . dead .
- News: Former state senator to run for Smyrna City Council . . July 6, 2015 . October 3, 2015.
- News: Johnny Isakson appears to scare off all potential challengers . . Henry . Scott . March 3, 2016 . March 5, 2016.
- News: Democrat Ed Tarver eyes a potential Senate bid . . Bluestein . Greg . January 16, 2016 . January 18, 2016 . January 18, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160118224021/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/01/16/democrat-ed-tarver-eyes-a-potential-senate-bid/ . dead .
- News: More Democrats come out of woodwork for Georgia Senate race . . Bluestein . Greg . March 6, 2016 . March 6, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160307121825/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/03/06/more-democrats-come-out-of-woodwork-in-georgia-senate-race/ . March 7, 2016 . dead . mdy-all .
- News: DuBose Porter announces re-election bid as chairman of Georgia Democrats . . Galloway . Jim . November 20, 2014 . May 27, 2015 . May 28, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150528053234/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2014/11/20/dubose-porter-announces-re-election-bid-as-chairman-of-georgia-democrats/ . dead .
- News: Pastor of MLK's church will not run for Georgia Senate seat . . Bluestein . Greg . October 2, 2015 . October 3, 2015 . July 6, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170706150819/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/10/02/pastor-of-mlks-church-will-not-run-for-georgia-senate-seat/ . dead .
- News: Exclusive: Pastor of historic Ebenezer Baptist Church considers U.S. Senate run . . Bluestein . Greg . Malloy . Daniel . August 6, 2015 . August 7, 2015 . August 7, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150807203934/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/08/06/exclusive-pastor-of-mlks-historic-church-considering-georgia-senate-run/ . dead .
- News: Johnny Isakson draws a Libertarian challenger as he raises another $1 million . . Bluestein . Greg . Malloy . Daniel . October 7, 2015 . October 7, 2015 . October 8, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151008052601/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/10/07/johnny-isakson-draws-a-libertarian-challenger/ . dead .
- News: Johnny Isakson gets an opponent — a Libertarian one . . Bluestein . Greg . Malloy . Daniel . November 19, 2015 . November 22, 2015 . November 22, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151122054355/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/11/19/johnny-isakson-gets-an-opponent-a-libertarian-one/ . dead .
- Web site: Libertarian Nomination . 28 January 2023 . politics.blog.ajc.com . May 24, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160524143435/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/04/18/georgias-libertarian-senate-candidate-sees-opportunity-with-donald-trumps-candidacy/ . dead .
- https://www.c-span.org/video/?416829-1/georgia-senate-debate Full debate
- https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArc1RLTFJqQ3JhTTA/view SurveyMonkey
- https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B_KEK8-LWmzhRmhwd29lVlNGSjA/view WSB-TV/Landmark
- https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcEwxQXh2M25qSFE/view SurveyMonkey
- https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/jmei6e535m/FinalYouGov2016.pdf CBS News/YouGov
- http://media.beta.wsbtv.com/document_dev/2016/11/04/Statewide%20Poll%20Nov%203rd%20.xls_6522500_ver1.0.pdf WSB-TV/Landmark
- http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/OS-GA-General-11.4.16.pdf FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy
- https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreE9xVzhyUUNZNGc/view SurveyMonkey
- https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view SurveyMonkey
- https://www.scribd.com/document/329921040/NBC-News-WSJ-Marist-Poll-Georgia-Annotated-Questionnaire-November-2016 NBC/WSJ/Marist
- https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view SurveyMonkey
- http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_6ee2070379ba4a88bff29b1fa5aae9e0.pdf Emerson College
- https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAraEFpRXdFc21TVG8/view SurveyMonkey
- http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=874ea794-a227-44a0-a81b-bdc09dd92fac WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA
- https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps10282016_Sbw72uv.pdf/ Quinnipiac University
- http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/OS-GA-General-10.20.16.pdf FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy
- https://medium.com/@alexanderpower/new-senate-polls-in-florida-georgia-and-alabama-28c8580117fb#.ithzyvnsi Google Consumer Surveys
- http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/10/21/ajc-poll-johnny-isakson-holds-commanding-lead-in-georgia-senate-race-but-runoff-possible/ Atlanta Journal Constitution
- https://web.archive.org/web/20161022100030/http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Georgia-Battleground-Results.pdf The Times-Picayune/Lucid
- http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/surveymonkey-15-state-poll/2103/ Washington Post/SurveyMonkey
- https://www.georgiapol.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Landmark-Poll-Georgia-Statewide-Oct-11-12-2016.pdf WSB-TV/Landmark
- http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Georgia-Executive-Summary-Poll-2.pdf JMC Analytics (R)
- https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps09232016_Sqh86by.pdf Quinnipiac University
- http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_GA_091916/ Monmouth University
- http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/OS-GA-General-9.15.16.pdf FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy
- http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_b53ca6b673c14cdab9d68832bd7e74cb.pdf Emerson College
- https://ru.scribd.com/document/323578643/NBC-News-WSJ-Marist-Poll-Georgia-Annotated-Questionnaire-September-2016 NBC/WSJ/Marist
- http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Georgia-Executive-Summary.pdf JMC Analytics (R)
- http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/08/05/new-ajc-poll-senate-race-between-johnny-isakson-and-jim-barksdale-within-single-digits/ Atlanta Journal Constitution
- http://grab.by/RV8u WSB-TV/Landmark
- http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=8d9f0b0f-3ebe-4a47-9bab-ae670129a04d WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA
- http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_GA_60216.pdf Public Policy Polling
- Web site: 2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 . The Cook Political Report . March 26, 2021.
- Web site: 2016 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 19, 2016.
- Web site: 2016 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 3, 2016.
- Web site: Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version . Daily Kos . March 27, 2021.
- Web site: Battle for the Senate 2016 . Real Clear Politics . October 28, 2016.
- Web site: DRA 2020 . 2024-08-20 . Daves Redistricting.