2016 United States Senate election in Georgia explained

See also: 2016 United States Senate elections.

Election Name:2016 United States Senate election in Georgia
Country:Georgia (U.S. state)
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States Senate election in Georgia
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2020–2021 United States Senate special election in Georgia
Next Year: (special)
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Image1:File:Johnny Isakson official Senate photo1 (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Johnny Isakson
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:2,135,806
Percentage1:54.80%
Nominee2:Jim Barksdale
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:1,599,726
Percentage2:41.04%
Map Size:240px
U.S. senator
Before Election:Johnny Isakson
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Johnny Isakson
After Party:Republican Party (US)

The 2016 United States Senate election in Georgia was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary election for the Republican and Democratic parties took place on May 24, 2016.[1]

Incumbent Senator Johnny Isakson won re-election to a third term in office by a wide margin.[2] He later resigned from the Senate on December 31, 2019, due to health issues. As of 2024, this remains the last time Republicans won a Senate election in Georgia, as well as the last time that suburban Gwinnett and Henry counties have voted Republican in a statewide election. It also remains the last time that any statewide candidate has won an election in Georgia by double digits, and the last time that any U.S. Senate candidate in Georgia has won without a runoff. This is the most recent and the last United States Senate election in Georgia in which the winning candidate won a majority of Georgia's counties.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Results

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

Allen Buckley won the nomination at the March 5, 2016, nominating convention in Marietta.[36]

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Johnny
Isakson (R)
Jim
Barksdale (D)
Allen
Buckley (L)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey[38] November 1–7, 20162,419± 4.6% align=center47%41%8%4%
WSB-TV/Landmark[39] November 6, 20161,200± 2.8% align=center52%41%4%3%
SurveyMonkey[40] October 31–November 6, 20162,348± 4.6% align=center47%41%8%4%
CBS News/YouGov[41] November 3–5, 2016995± 4.6% align=center48%41%6%5%
WSB-TV/Landmark[42] November 2–3, 20161,000± 3.1% align=center50%40%5%6%
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy[43] November 2–3, 2016538± 4.2% align=center50%39%8%3%
SurveyMonkey[44] October 28–November 3, 20162,872± 4.6% align=center47%42%8%3%
SurveyMonkey[45] October 27–November 2, 20162,722± 4.6% align=center47%42%7%4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[46] align=center rowspan=2October 30–November 1, 2016707 LV± 3.7% align=center48%37%7%3%5%
937 RV± 3.2% align=center46%36%8%4%7%
SurveyMonkey[47] October 26–November 1, 20162,678± 4.6% align=center48%41%6%5%
Emerson College[48] October 29–31, 2016650± 3.8% align=center48%40%5%7%
SurveyMonkey[49] October 25–31, 20162,665± 4.6% align=center50%41%5%4%
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA[50] October 25–27, 2016594± 4.1% align=center50%38%5%8%
Quinnipiac University[51] October 20–26, 2016707± 3.7% align=center54%40%6%
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy[52] October 20, 2016570± 4.1% align=center51%42%3%4%
Google Consumer Surveys[53] October 18–20, 2016439± 4.2% align=center58%36%6%
Atlanta Journal Constitution[54] October 17–20, 2016839± 4.3% align=center47%32%11%7%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid[55] October 17–18, 2016807± 3.0% align=center49%39%13%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey[56] October 8–16, 2016886± 0.5% align=center50%46%4%
WSB-TV/Landmark[57] October 11–12, 20161,400± 2.7% align=center50%37%5%8%
JMC Analytics (R)[58] September 20–22, 2016600± 4.0% align=center41%28%4%27%
Quinnipiac University[59] September 13–21, 2016638± 3.9% align=center55%34%10%
Monmouth University[60] September 15–18, 2016401± 4.9% align=center50%34%5%10%
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy[61] September 14, 2016568± 4.1% align=center47%34%6%13%
Emerson College[62] September 9–13, 2016600± 3.6% align=center48%32%10%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[63] September 6–8, 2016649± 3.8% align=center53%38%9%
JMC Analytics (R)[64] August 6–7, 2016615± 4.0% align=center39%30%4%27%
Atlanta Journal Constitution[65] August 1–4, 2016847± 4.0% align=center44%38%6%12%
align=center48%42%10%
WSB-TV/Landmark[66] July 31, 2016787± 4.0% align=center46%41%5%8%
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA[67] July 29–31, 2016570± 4.2% align=center48%39%5%8%
Public Policy Polling[68] May 27–30, 2016724± 3.6% align=center47%35%18%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[69] November 2, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[70] November 7, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[71] November 3, 2016
align=left Daily Kos[72] November 8, 2016
align=left Real Clear Politics[73] November 7, 2016

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Isakson won 10 of 14 congressional districts.[74]

DistrictIsaksonBarksdaleRepresentative
60%36%Buddy Carter
47%50%Sanford Bishop
67%29%Lynn Westmoreland
Drew Ferguson
26%70%Hank Johnson
20%76%John Lewis
58%37%Tom Price
56%39%Rob Woodall
66%31%Austin Scott
78%18%Doug Collins
64%32%Jody Hice
64%30%Barry Loudermilk
60%37%Rick W. Allen
30%66%David Scott
74%21%Tom Graves

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Georgia GA Elections . November 13, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151117030742/http://georgia.state-election.info/ . November 17, 2015 . dead .
  2. Web site: Johnny Isakson to announce he will seek a third term . Atlanta Journal-Constitution . November 11, 2014 . November 11, 2014 . November 11, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141111180247/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2014/11/11/johnny-isakson-to-announce-he-will-seek-a-third-term/ . dead .
  3. News: Qualifying for Georgia's May primaries ends . . March 11, 2016 . March 11, 2016 . March 12, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160312033042/http://www.wsbtv.com/news/georgia/qualifying-for-georgias-may-primaries-ends/156636356 . dead .
  4. News: It looks like Johnny Isakson has his first challenger . . Malloy . Daniel . January 9, 2015 . January 15, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150117003607/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/01/09/it-looks-like-johnny-isakson-has-his-first-challenger/ . January 17, 2015 . dead . mdy-all .
  5. News: Tea Party Talk . Fetch Your News . June 16, 2015 . June 27, 2015.
  6. News: Columbia County incumbents faces opposition after qualifying ends . Columbia County News-Times . Lennon . Abbigail . March 13, 2016 . March 25, 2016 . March 14, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160314213724/http://newstimes.augusta.com/news/2016-03-13/columbia-county-incumbents-faces-opposition-after-qualifying-ends . dead .
  7. News: Sen. Isakson Announces Re-Election Bid . WABE . Wirth . Michelle . November 17, 2014 . November 18, 2014.
  8. News: Barry Loudermilk, Doug Collins attract two new primary challengers . . Bluestein . Greg . March 9, 2016 . March 9, 2016 . March 10, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160310033547/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/03/09/barry-loudermilk-doug-collins-attract-two-new-primary-challengers/ . dead .
  9. News: READ IN: Keystone's Klose Edition . . Wilson . Reid . November 18, 2014 . November 18, 2014.
  10. News: Georgia's Isakson readies run for third Senate term — and seeks GOP unity . . Bluestein . Greg . November 11, 2014 . November 18, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141126161026/http://www.myajc.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/georgias-isakson-readies-run-for-third-senate-term/nh5KD/ . November 26, 2014 . dead .
  11. News: House speaker: 'You're going to hear more discussion' about horse racing . . Bluestein . Greg . May 5, 2015 . June 20, 2015 . June 21, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150621123044/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/05/05/house-speaker-youre-going-to-hear-more-discussion-about-horse-racing/ . dead .
  12. News: READ IN: Back To School Edition . . Wilson . Reid . November 12, 2014 . November 18, 2014.
  13. News: Qualifying opens for Georgia's 2016 elections . . Gould Sheinin . Aaron . March 7, 2016 . March 7, 2016 . May 15, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160515000804/http://www.ajc.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/qualifying-opens-for-georgias-2016-elections/nqfbK/ . dead .
  14. http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/2015/06/17/insideradvantage-news-survey-conducted-by-opinion-savvy-parkinsons-disclosure-apparently-no-threat-to-isaksons-re-nomination-by-gop InsiderAdvantage
  15. News: Bluestein . Greg . March 10, 2016 . . Party-backed Georgia Democrat qualifies for U.S. Senate seat . March 11, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160311085840/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/03/10/party-backed-georgia-democrat-qualifies-for-u-s-senate-seat/ . March 11, 2016 . dead . mdy-all .
  16. Web site: Southwest Georgia's congressional delegation qualifies for re-election . . March 8, 2016 . March 8, 2016.
  17. Web site: Candidate changes affects May primary ballot . . Hankerson . Jazmyne . April 18, 2016 . April 19, 2016.
  18. News: Cahn . Emily . Republicans Line Up for Open Seats in Georgia Farm Team . August 14, 2013 . Roll Call.
  19. News: John Barrow to teach at University of Georgia, signaling he's out for 2016 . The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . July 22, 2015 . July 23, 2015 . July 23, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150723180517/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/07/22/john-barrow-to-teach-at-university-of-georgia-signaling-hes-out-for-2016/ . dead .
  20. News: Scouted for Senate run, Stacey Evans decides to stay in Georgia House . . Bluestein . Greg . August 25, 2015 . August 27, 2015 . August 28, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150828012937/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/08/25/scouted-for-senate-run-stacey-evans-decides-to-stay-in-georgia-house/? . dead .
  21. News: Get ready for three open-seat House races in Atlanta . . Bluestein . Greg . Malloy . Daniel . April 11, 2015 . June 20, 2015 . June 21, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150621102642/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/04/10/get-ready-for-three-open-seat-house-races-in-atlanta/ . dead .
  22. News: Georgia Democrats still searching for a 2016 Senate contender . . Bluestein . Greg . Malloy . Daniel . April 28, 2015 . May 30, 2015 . June 14, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150614154140/http://www.myajc.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/georgia-democrats-still-searching-for-a-2016-senat/nk476/#d439a521.3574263.735717 . dead .
  23. News: Schultheis . Emily . Losing Democrats Already Being Touted for 2016 Comebacks . . November 12, 2014 . November 13, 2014.
  24. News: Galloway . Jim . Kasim Reed rules out a 2016 run for U.S. Senate . The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . May 9, 2013 . October 31, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141101002737/http://www.ajc.com/weblogs/political-insider/2013/may/09/kasim-reed-rules-out-2016-run-us-senate/ . November 1, 2014 . dead .
  25. News: Democrats vetting Reed ally for Senate race against Isakson . . Leslie . Katie . December 2, 2015 . December 3, 2015 . December 5, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151205020932/http://www.ajc.com/news/news/local-govt-politics/democrats-vetting-reed-protege-for-senate-race-aga/npZrY/ . dead .
  26. News: Search for Democratic challenger to Isakson continues . . Leslie . Katie . December 18, 2015 . December 21, 2015 . December 21, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151221044400/http://www.ajc.com/news/news/local-govt-politics/search-for-democratic-challenger-to-isakson-contin/npnTS/ . dead .
  27. News: Former state senator to run for Smyrna City Council . . July 6, 2015 . October 3, 2015.
  28. News: Johnny Isakson appears to scare off all potential challengers . . Henry . Scott . March 3, 2016 . March 5, 2016.
  29. News: Democrat Ed Tarver eyes a potential Senate bid . . Bluestein . Greg . January 16, 2016 . January 18, 2016 . January 18, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160118224021/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/01/16/democrat-ed-tarver-eyes-a-potential-senate-bid/ . dead .
  30. News: More Democrats come out of woodwork for Georgia Senate race . . Bluestein . Greg . March 6, 2016 . March 6, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160307121825/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/03/06/more-democrats-come-out-of-woodwork-in-georgia-senate-race/ . March 7, 2016 . dead . mdy-all .
  31. News: DuBose Porter announces re-election bid as chairman of Georgia Democrats . . Galloway . Jim . November 20, 2014 . May 27, 2015 . May 28, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150528053234/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2014/11/20/dubose-porter-announces-re-election-bid-as-chairman-of-georgia-democrats/ . dead .
  32. News: Pastor of MLK's church will not run for Georgia Senate seat . . Bluestein . Greg . October 2, 2015 . October 3, 2015 . July 6, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170706150819/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/10/02/pastor-of-mlks-church-will-not-run-for-georgia-senate-seat/ . dead .
  33. News: Exclusive: Pastor of historic Ebenezer Baptist Church considers U.S. Senate run . . Bluestein . Greg . Malloy . Daniel . August 6, 2015 . August 7, 2015 . August 7, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150807203934/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/08/06/exclusive-pastor-of-mlks-historic-church-considering-georgia-senate-run/ . dead .
  34. News: Johnny Isakson draws a Libertarian challenger as he raises another $1 million . . Bluestein . Greg . Malloy . Daniel . October 7, 2015 . October 7, 2015 . October 8, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151008052601/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/10/07/johnny-isakson-draws-a-libertarian-challenger/ . dead .
  35. News: Johnny Isakson gets an opponent — a Libertarian one . . Bluestein . Greg . Malloy . Daniel . November 19, 2015 . November 22, 2015 . November 22, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151122054355/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2015/11/19/johnny-isakson-gets-an-opponent-a-libertarian-one/ . dead .
  36. Web site: Libertarian Nomination . 28 January 2023 . politics.blog.ajc.com . May 24, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160524143435/http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/04/18/georgias-libertarian-senate-candidate-sees-opportunity-with-donald-trumps-candidacy/ . dead .
  37. https://www.c-span.org/video/?416829-1/georgia-senate-debate Full debate
  38. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArc1RLTFJqQ3JhTTA/view SurveyMonkey
  39. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B_KEK8-LWmzhRmhwd29lVlNGSjA/view WSB-TV/Landmark
  40. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcEwxQXh2M25qSFE/view SurveyMonkey
  41. https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/jmei6e535m/FinalYouGov2016.pdf CBS News/YouGov
  42. http://media.beta.wsbtv.com/document_dev/2016/11/04/Statewide%20Poll%20Nov%203rd%20.xls_6522500_ver1.0.pdf WSB-TV/Landmark
  43. http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/OS-GA-General-11.4.16.pdf FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy
  44. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreE9xVzhyUUNZNGc/view SurveyMonkey
  45. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view SurveyMonkey
  46. https://www.scribd.com/document/329921040/NBC-News-WSJ-Marist-Poll-Georgia-Annotated-Questionnaire-November-2016 NBC/WSJ/Marist
  47. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view SurveyMonkey
  48. http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_6ee2070379ba4a88bff29b1fa5aae9e0.pdf Emerson College
  49. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAraEFpRXdFc21TVG8/view SurveyMonkey
  50. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=874ea794-a227-44a0-a81b-bdc09dd92fac WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA
  51. https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps10282016_Sbw72uv.pdf/ Quinnipiac University
  52. http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/OS-GA-General-10.20.16.pdf FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy
  53. https://medium.com/@alexanderpower/new-senate-polls-in-florida-georgia-and-alabama-28c8580117fb#.ithzyvnsi Google Consumer Surveys
  54. http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/10/21/ajc-poll-johnny-isakson-holds-commanding-lead-in-georgia-senate-race-but-runoff-possible/ Atlanta Journal Constitution
  55. https://web.archive.org/web/20161022100030/http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Georgia-Battleground-Results.pdf The Times-Picayune/Lucid
  56. http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/surveymonkey-15-state-poll/2103/ Washington Post/SurveyMonkey
  57. https://www.georgiapol.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Landmark-Poll-Georgia-Statewide-Oct-11-12-2016.pdf WSB-TV/Landmark
  58. http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Georgia-Executive-Summary-Poll-2.pdf JMC Analytics (R)
  59. https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps09232016_Sqh86by.pdf Quinnipiac University
  60. http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_GA_091916/ Monmouth University
  61. http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/OS-GA-General-9.15.16.pdf FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy
  62. http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_b53ca6b673c14cdab9d68832bd7e74cb.pdf Emerson College
  63. https://ru.scribd.com/document/323578643/NBC-News-WSJ-Marist-Poll-Georgia-Annotated-Questionnaire-September-2016 NBC/WSJ/Marist
  64. http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Georgia-Executive-Summary.pdf JMC Analytics (R)
  65. http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/08/05/new-ajc-poll-senate-race-between-johnny-isakson-and-jim-barksdale-within-single-digits/ Atlanta Journal Constitution
  66. http://grab.by/RV8u WSB-TV/Landmark
  67. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=8d9f0b0f-3ebe-4a47-9bab-ae670129a04d WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA
  68. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_GA_60216.pdf Public Policy Polling
  69. Web site: 2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 . The Cook Political Report . March 26, 2021.
  70. Web site: 2016 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 19, 2016.
  71. Web site: 2016 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 3, 2016.
  72. Web site: Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version . Daily Kos . March 27, 2021.
  73. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2016 . Real Clear Politics . October 28, 2016.
  74. Web site: DRA 2020 . 2024-08-20 . Daves Redistricting.