2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas explained

See also: 2016 United States Senate elections.

Election Name:2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas
Country:Arkansas
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States Senate election in Arkansas
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas
Next Year:2022
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Image1:File:John Boozman, official portrait, 112th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:John Boozman
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:661,984
Percentage1:59.77%
Nominee2:Conner Eldridge
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:400,602
Percentage2:36.17%
Map: Boozman:
Eldridge:
Tie:
U.S. Senator
Before Election:John Boozman
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:John Boozman
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:64.65%

The 2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Arkansas, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent senator John Boozman won re-election to a second term in office, becoming the first Republican senator reelected in the history of the state. Former U.S. Attorney Conner Eldridge was the only Democrat to declare his candidacy. The primaries were held March 1.[1] This is also the first election that the state has simultaneously voted for a Republican Senate candidate and a Republican presidential candidate.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Democratic primary

Conner Eldridge was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Candidates

Declared

Results

Third parties

The Libertarian Party of Arkansas held a special nominating convention on October 24, 2015, to select nominees for elections in 2016. Frank Gilbert was selected as the nominee for the U.S. Senate race.[5]

Candidates

Nominated

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[7] November 2, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] November 7, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[9] November 3, 2016
align=left Daily Kos[10] November 8, 2016
align=left Real Clear Politics[11] November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Boozman (R)
Conner
Eldridge (D)
Frank
Gilbert (L)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey[12] November 1–7, 2016930± 4.6% align=center56%41%3%
SurveyMonkey[13] October 31 – November 6, 2016798± 4.6% align=center55%42%3%
SurveyMonkey[14] October 28 – November 3, 2016696± 4.6% align=center56%43%1%
SurveyMonkey[15] October 27 – November 2, 2016593± 4.6% align=center54%43%3%
SurveyMonkey[16] October 26 – November 1, 2016475± 4.6% align=center52%46%2%
SurveyMonkey[17] October 25–31, 2016484± 4.6% align=center54%44%2%
University of Arkansas[18] October 18–25, 2016800± 3.5% align=center61%38%1%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[19] October 21, 2016463± 4.6% align=center52%34%4%2%8%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[20] September 15–17, 2016831± 3.4% align=center55%29%5%3%8%
Emerson College[21] September 9–13, 2016600± 3.6% align=center44%30%11%15%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[22] June 21, 2016751± 3.6% align=center51%29%6%14%

with Mike Beebe

Poll sourceJohn
Boozman (R)
Mike
Beebe (D)
OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy Polling[23] August 1–3, 20141,066± 3%40%46%14%
align=left Public Policy Polling[24] 1,453± 2.6%39%49%12%
align=left

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Conner Eldridge to Challenge Boozman for U.S. Senate Seat | Times Record . October 30, 2015 . October 3, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151003081415/http://swtimes.com/news/politics/conner-eldridge-challenge-boozman-us-senate-seat . dead .
  2. News: DeMillo . Andrew . Boozman, back at work post-surgery, to run in '16 . Associated Press . June 9, 2014 . June 9, 2014.
  3. http://talkbusiness.net/2016/02/sen-boozman-has-commanding-lead-over-gop-challenger-coleman Talk Business/Hendrix College
  4. News: Yokley . Eli . Former U.S. Attorney Will Challenge Boozman in Arkansas . September 9, 2015 . Roll Call . September 9, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151109184527/http://atr.rollcall.com/former-u-s-attorney-will-challenge-boozman-arkansas/?dcz= . November 9, 2015 . dead .
  5. Web site: Arkansas Libertarians Nominate 23, Including Full Congressional Slate . Talk Business & Politics . Brawner . Steve . October 25, 2015 . October 27, 2015.
  6. https://www.c-span.org/video/?416593-1/arkansas-senate-debate Full debate
  7. Web site: 2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 . The Cook Political Report . March 26, 2021.
  8. Web site: 2016 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 19, 2016.
  9. Web site: 2016 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 3, 2016.
  10. Web site: Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version . Daily Kos . March 27, 2021.
  11. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2016 . Real Clear Politics . October 28, 2016.
  12. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArc1RLTFJqQ3JhTTA/view SurveyMonkey
  13. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcEwxQXh2M25qSFE/view SurveyMonkey
  14. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreE9xVzhyUUNZNGc/view SurveyMonkey
  15. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view SurveyMonkey
  16. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view SurveyMonkey
  17. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAraEFpRXdFc21TVG8/view SurveyMonkey
  18. https://fulbright.uark.edu/departments/political-science/partners/arkpoll/2016/Arkansas-Poll-Release-2016.pdf University of Arkansas
  19. https://talkbusiness.net/2016/10/trump-boozman-maintain-big-leads-in-arkansas Talk Business/Hendrix College
  20. http://talkbusiness.net/2016/09/boozman-still-far-ahead-of-eldridge-in-senate-contest Talk Business/Hendrix College
  21. http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_b53ca6b673c14cdab9d68832bd7e74cb.pdf Emerson College
  22. http://talkbusiness.net/2016/06/poll-gov-hutchinson-job-approval-two-to-one-favorable-sen-boozman-up-on-eldridge Talk Business/Hendrix College
  23. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AR_806513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  24. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AR_922.pdf Public Policy Polling