Election Name: | 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota |
Country: | Minnesota |
Flag Year: | 1983 |
Flag Image: | File:Flag of Minnesota (1983-2024).svg |
Type: | legislative |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Next Election: | 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota |
Next Year: | 2018 |
Seats For Election: | All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives |
Party1: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
Last Election1: | 5 |
Seats1: | 5 |
Popular Vote1: | 1,434,590 |
Percentage1: | 50.23% |
Swing1: | 0.03% |
Party2: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
Last Election2: | 3 |
Seats2: | 3 |
Popular Vote2: | 1,334,686 |
Percentage2: | 46.73% |
Swing2: | 0.20% |
Map Size: | 305px |
The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Minnesota, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 9.
This is the last cycle where the Democrat candidate would win either the 1st or 8th district and the last cycle Republicans candidate would win either the 2nd or 3rd district.
United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2016[1] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– | ||
Democratic (DFL) | 1,434,559 | 50.20% | 5 | 5 | - | ||
Republican | 1,334,679 | 46.70% | 3 | 3 | - | ||
Legal Marijuana Now | 57,911 | 2.02% | 0 | 0 | - | ||
Independence | 28,870 | 1.01% | 0 | 0 | - | ||
Others | 4,370 | 0.15% | 0 | 0 | - | ||
Totals | 2,860,389 | 100.00% | 8 | 8 | — |
Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district:
scope=col rowspan=3 | District | scope=col colspan=2 | Democratic | scope=col colspan=2 | Republican | scope=col colspan=2 | Others | scope=col colspan=2 | Total | scope=col rowspan=3 | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:" | ! | scope=col colspan=2 style="background:" | ! | scope=col colspan=2 | ! | scope=col colspan=2 | |||||||||
scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | Votes ! | scope=col data-sort-type="number" | % |
169,074 | 50.34% | 166,526 | 49.58% | 277 | 0.08% | 335,600 | 100.00% | Democratic hold | |||||||
167,315 | 45.16% | 173,970 | 46.95% | 29,229 | 7.89% | 370,514 | 100.00% | Republican hold | |||||||
169,243 | 43.01% | 223,077 | 56.70% | 1,144 | 0.29% | 393,464 | 100.00% | Republican hold | |||||||
203,299 | 57.76% | 121,032 | 34.39% | 27,613 | 7.85% | 351,944 | 100.00% | Democratic hold | |||||||
249,964 | 69.07% | 80,660 | 22.29% | 31,258 | 8.64% | 361,882 | 100.00% | Democratic hold | |||||||
123,008 | 34.27% | 235,380 | 65.58% | 536 | 0.15% | 358,924 | 100.00% | Republican hold | |||||||
173,589 | 52.47% | 156,952 | 47.44% | 307 | 0.09% | 330,848 | 100.00% | Democratic hold | |||||||
179,098 | 50.17% | 177,089 | 49.61% | 792 | 0.22% | 356,979 | 100.00% | Democratic hold | |||||||
Total | 1,434,559 | 50.15% | 1,334,679 | 46.66% | 91,151 | 3.19% | 2,860,389 | 100.00% |
Election Name: | 2016 Minnesota's 1st congressional district election |
Country: | Minnesota |
Flag Year: | 1983 |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 1 |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Next Election: | 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 1 |
Next Year: | 2018 |
Image1: | File:Tim Walz official photo (cropped 2).jpg |
Nominee1: | Tim Walz |
Party1: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
Popular Vote1: | 169,074 |
Percentage1: | 50.3% |
Nominee2: | Jim Hagedorn |
Party2: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
Popular Vote2: | 166,526 |
Percentage2: | 49.6% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Tim Walz |
Before Party: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
After Election: | Tim Walz |
After Party: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
See also: Minnesota's 1st congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+1.
Election Name: | 2016 Minnesota's 2nd congressional district election |
Country: | Minnesota |
Flag Year: | 1983 |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 2 |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Next Election: | 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 2 |
Next Year: | 2018 |
Image1: | File:Jason Lewis, official portrait, 115th congress (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Jason Lewis |
Party1: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
Popular Vote1: | 173,970 |
Percentage1: | 46.9% |
Nominee2: | Angie Craig |
Party2: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
Popular Vote2: | 167,315 |
Percentage2: | 45.2% |
Image3: | File:3x4.svg |
Nominee3: | Paula Overby |
Party3: | Independence Party of Minnesota |
Popular Vote3: | 28,869 |
Percentage3: | 7.8% |
Map2 Image: | MN2 House 2016.svg |
Map2 Size: | 300px |
Map2 Caption: | Precinct results Lewis: Craig: Tie: |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | John Kline |
Before Party: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
After Election: | Jason Lewis |
After Party: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
See also: Minnesota's 2nd congressional district. Incumbent Republican John Kline, who had represented the district since 2003, announced that he would not seek re-election.[2] He was re-elected with 56% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+2.
Democrat Angela Craig, who served as vice president of global human resources for St. Jude Medical, resigned from her position in January 2015 to challenge Lewis.[26] Mary Lawrence, a doctor, also ran as a Democrat,[27] but dropped out before the primary.
Commentators wrote that the election was "likely to be one of the most-watched congressional races in the country," (MinnPost[37]), "expected to be one of the most competitive in the country", according to Roll Call newspaper,[38] and "seen as a prime target for Democrats to flip" according to The Atlantic.[39]
Area left-wing weekly City Pages described the campaign as resembling the 2016 presidential campaign, calling Lewis "an entrepreneur and media personality, whose blunt rhetoric is refreshingly honest to some, simply offensive to others", and describing Craig as "a tough female leader with moderate positions, ties to big business, and a penchant for pantsuits".[40]
In May 2016, the Rothenberg and Gonzales Political Report changed its rating of the race from "pure tossup" to "tossup/tilt Democratic,"[41] with political analyst Nathan Gonzales writing that Craig "is probably to the left of the district in her ideology, but she has a good story to tell, is raising considerable money (she had $1.3 million in the bank at the end of March) and is solid as a candidate."[41] Other political prognosticators rated the race "Republican Toss-up" (Charlie Cook), and "pure" toss-up (Larry Sabato's "Crystal Ball"), according to MinnPost.[41]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jason Lewis (R) | Angie Craig (D) | Paula Overby (I) | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[42] | October 13–16, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 41% | align=center | 46% | — | 12% | |
WPA Opinion Research (R-NRCC)[43] | October 9–10, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 36% | 33% | — | 26% | |
Gerstein Bocian Agne Strategies (D-Craig)[44] | August 13–16, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 42% | align=center | 43% | 9% | 6% | |
WPA Opinion Research (R-Lewis/NRCC)[45] | August 14–15, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 39% | 27% | 7% | 25% |
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report[46] | November 7, 2016 | |
align=left | Daily Kos Elections[47] | November 7, 2016 | |
align=left | Rothenberg[48] | November 3, 2016 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | November 7, 2016 | |
RCP[50] | October 31, 2016 |
Lewis ended up defeating Craig by several thousand votes.[51]
Election Name: | 2016 Minnesota's 3rd congressional district election |
Country: | Minnesota |
Flag Year: | 1983 |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 3 |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Next Election: | 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 3 |
Next Year: | 2018 |
Image1: | File:Erik Paulsen official photo (cropped 2).jpg |
Nominee1: | Erik Paulsen |
Party1: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
Popular Vote1: | 223,077 |
Percentage1: | 56.7% |
Nominee2: | Terri Bonoff |
Party2: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
Popular Vote2: | 169,243 |
Percentage2: | 43.0% |
Map2 Image: | MN3 House 2016.svg |
Map2 Size: | 300px |
Map2 Caption: | Precinct results Paulsen: Bonoff: |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Erik Paulsen |
Before Party: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
After Election: | Erik Paulsen |
After Party: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
See also: Minnesota's 3rd congressional district. Incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+2.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Erik Paulsen (R) | Terri Bonoff (D) | Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[54] | October 10–13, 2016 | 579 | ± 4.2% | align=center | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Clarity Campaign Lab (D-House Majority PAC)[55] | September 11–13, 2016 | 353 | ± 4.34% | align=center | 45% | 42% | 13% |
DCCC (D)[56] | September 12, 2016 | 353 | ± 5.2% | 38% | align=center | 40% | 22% |
Newton Heath LLC (R-AAN)[57] | August 9–11, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | align=center | 57% | 31% | 12% |
Victoria Research & Consulting (D-Bonoff)[58] | June 27–30, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report | November 7, 2016 | |
align=left | Daily Kos Elections | November 7, 2016 | |
align=left | Rothenberg | November 3, 2016 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 7, 2016 | |
RCP | October 31, 2016 |
Election Name: | 2016 Minnesota's 4th congressional district election |
Country: | Minnesota |
Flag Year: | 1983 |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 4 |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Next Election: | 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 4 |
Next Year: | 2018 |
Image1: | File:Betty McCollum official photo (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Betty McCollum |
Party1: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
Popular Vote1: | 203,299 |
Percentage1: | 57.8% |
Nominee2: | Greg Ryan |
Party2: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
Popular Vote2: | 121,032 |
Percentage2: | 34.4% |
Image3: | File:3x4.svg |
Nominee3: | Susan Pendergast Sindt |
Party3: | Legal Marijuana Now Party |
Popular Vote3: | 27,152 |
Percentage3: | 7.7% |
Map2 Image: | MN4 House 2016.svg |
Map2 Size: | 300px |
Map2 Caption: | Precinct results McCollum: Ryan: |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Betty McCollum |
Before Party: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
After Election: | Betty McCollum |
After Party: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
See also: Minnesota's 4th congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+11.
Election Name: | 2016 Minnesota's 5th congressional district election |
Country: | Minnesota |
Flag Year: | 1983 |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 5 |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Next Election: | 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 5 |
Next Year: | 2018 |
Image1: | File:Keith Ellison portrait (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Keith Ellison |
Party1: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
Popular Vote1: | 249,964 |
Percentage1: | 69.1% |
Nominee2: | Frank Nelson Drake |
Party2: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
Popular Vote2: | 80,660 |
Percentage2: | 22.3% |
Image3: | File:3x4.svg |
Nominee3: | Dennis Schuller |
Party3: | Legal Marijuana Now Party |
Popular Vote3: | 30,759 |
Percentage3: | 8.5% |
Map Size: | 400px |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Keith Ellison |
Before Party: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
After Election: | Keith Ellison |
After Party: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
See also: Minnesota's 5th congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Keith Ellison, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+71.
Election Name: | 2016 Minnesota's 6th congressional district election |
Country: | Minnesota |
Flag Year: | 1983 |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 6 |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Next Election: | 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 6 |
Next Year: | 2018 |
Image1: | File:Tom Emmer Congressional Photo 2 (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Tom Emmer |
Party1: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
Popular Vote1: | 235,380 |
Percentage1: | 65.6% |
Nominee2: | David Snyder |
Party2: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
Popular Vote2: | 123,008 |
Percentage2: | 34.3% |
Map2 Image: | MN6 House 2016.svg |
Map2 Size: | 300px |
Map2 Caption: | Precinct results Emmer: Snyder: |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Tom Emmer |
Before Party: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
After Election: | Tom Emmer |
After Party: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
See also: Minnesota's 6th congressional district. Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was elected with 56% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+10.
Election Name: | 2016 Minnesota's 7th congressional district election |
Country: | Minnesota |
Flag Year: | 1983 |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 7 |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Next Election: | 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 7 |
Next Year: | 2018 |
Image1: | File:Collin Peterson official photo.jpg |
Nominee1: | Collin Peterson |
Party1: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
Popular Vote1: | 173,589 |
Percentage1: | 52.5% |
Nominee2: | David Hughes |
Party2: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
Popular Vote2: | 156,952 |
Percentage2: | 47.4% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Collin Peterson |
Before Party: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
After Election: | Collin Peterson |
After Party: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
See also: Minnesota's 7th congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+6.
Election Name: | 2016 Minnesota's 8th congressional district election |
Country: | Minnesota |
Flag Year: | 1983 |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 8 |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Next Election: | 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota#District 8 |
Next Year: | 2018 |
Image1: | File:Rick Nolan 115th official photo (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Rick Nolan |
Party1: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
Popular Vote1: | 179,098 |
Percentage1: | 50.2% |
Nominee2: | Stewart Mills |
Party2: | Republican Party of Minnesota |
Popular Vote2: | 177,089 |
Percentage2: | 49.6% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Rick Nolan |
Before Party: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
After Election: | Rick Nolan |
After Party: | Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party |
See also: Minnesota's 8th congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Rick Nolan, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 49% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+1.
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report | November 7, 2016 | |
align=left | Daily Kos Elections | November 7, 2016 | |
align=left | Rothenberg | November 3, 2016 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 7, 2016 | |
RCP | October 31, 2016 |
Though Nolan's margin of victory (2,009 votes) was too large to trigger a publicly funded automatic recount, Mills, as of late November 2016, said that he planned to request and pay for a hand recount of all votes cast in the eighth district, as is his right under law. Mills planned to cover the cost of the recount—just over $100,000— himself. According to the Minneapolis Star Tribune, Minnesota had not seen a recount in a race for the House of Representatives since 2000, when election day totals in Minnesota's 2nd congressional district fell within the half percentage point threshold, thus triggering a state-funded recount. It is not known if Mills's request for a privately funded recount has precedent in Minnesota's electoral history, at least as it pertains to elections for the House of Representatives.[61]