2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine explained

Election Name:2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine
Country:Maine
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine
Next Year:2018
Seats For Election:All 2 Maine seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election1:1
Seats1:1
Popular Vote1:386,627
Percentage1:51.93%
Swing1:0.40%
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election2:1
Seats2:1
Popular Vote2:357,447
Percentage2:48.01%
Swing2:9.51%

The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Maine, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on June 14.

Overview

By district

Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine by district:

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
227,546 57.99% 164,569 41.94% 276 0.07% 392,391 100.0% Democratic hold
159,081 45.17% 192,878 54.77% 224 0.06% 352,183 100.0% Republican hold
Total 386,627 51.93% 357,447 48.01% 500 0.07% 744,574 100.0%

District 1

Election Name:2016 Maine's 1st congressional district election
Country:Maine
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine#District 1
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine#District 1
Next Year:2018
Nominee1:Chellie Pingree
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:227,546
Percentage1:58.0%
Nominee2:Mark Holbrook
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:164,569
Percentage2:41.9%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Chellie Pingree
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Chellie Pingree
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Maine's 1st congressional district. Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+9.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

After a recount, Holbrook was declared the winner with a margin of 57 votes.[4]

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Mark
Holbrook (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire[5] September 15–20, 2016266 LV± 6.0% align=center64%22%2%12%
SurveyUSA[6] September 4–10, 2016382 LV± 5.1% align=center57%37%7%
University of New Hampshire[7] June 15–21, 2016248 LV± 4.5% align=center56%34%10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Ande
Smith (R)
University of New HampshireJune 15–21, 2016248 LV± 4.5% align=center55%34%

Results

District 2

Election Name:2016 Maine's 2nd congressional district election
Country:Maine
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine#District 1
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine#District 1
Next Year:2018
Nominee1:Bruce Poliquin
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:192,878
Percentage1:54.8%
Nominee2:Emily Cain
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:159,081
Percentage2:45.2%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Bruce Poliquin
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Bruce Poliquin
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Maine's 2nd congressional district. Incumbent Republican Bruce Poliquin, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was elected with 47% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+2.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary

After the 2014 election, Cain indicated she was interested in running against Poliquin in 2016.[8] In December 2014, Cain met with Nancy Pelosi, the Democratic Leader of the House of Representatives, to discuss her potential candidacy.[9] On March 3, 2015, Cain announced that she would be running for the seat.

Bangor City Councilors Joe Baldacci and Ben Sprague were mentioned as potential Democratic candidates.[10] Jeff McCabe, the Majority Leader of the Maine House of Representatives, indicated that he might run against Poliquin in 2016, but later said that he would not do so.[11]

Troy Jackson, the former Majority Leader of the Maine Senate, who lost to Cain in the 2014 Democratic primary election, had said he might run as an independent candidate,[12] but he elected to run for his former Senate seat instead.

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
Declined
Endorsements

Results

Independents

Withdrawn

Declined

General election

Debates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Emily
Cain (D)
Bruce
Poliquin (R)
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[17] October 20–25, 2016341 LV± 3.8% align=center43%42%11%
Normington Petts (D-Cain)[18] October 2–3, 2016400 RV± 4.9% align=center46%45%9%
University of New Hampshire[19] September 15–20, 2016231 LV± 6%35% align=center45%15%
SurveyUSA[20] September 4–10, 2016397 LV± 5%45% align=center50%6%
University of New HampshireJune 15–21, 2016227 LV± 4.5%40% align=center41%12%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[21] November 7, 2016
align=left Daily Kos Elections[22] November 7, 2016
align=left Rothenberg[23] November 3, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] November 7, 2016
RCP[25] October 31, 2016

Results

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Brunswick Republican files to challenge Pingree in 2016. November 20, 2015 . November 20, 2015.
  2. Web site: North Yarmouth attorney will try to unseat Maine's U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree - The Portland Press Herald / Maine Sunday Telegram . Pressherald.com . January 11, 2016. 2016-07-09.
  3. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QKwtGw6bXD4 YouTube
  4. Web site: Shepherd . Michael . Holbrook confirmed GOP primary winner in Maine's 1st District — Politics — Bangor Daily News — BDN Maine . Bangordailynews.com . 2016-06-29 . 2016-07-09.
  5. http://www.pressherald.com/2016/09/25/pingree-holds-strong-lead-in-1st-district-congressional-race/ University of New Hampshire
  6. http://www.colby.edu/goldfarb/elections/colby-globe-election-poll/ SurveyUSA
  7. http://www.pressherald.com/2016/06/25/pingree-leads-comfortably-poliquin-and-cain-virtually-tied-in-congressional-races/ University of New Hampshire
  8. Web site: Democrats push for Cain vs. Poliquin 2016 rematch in Maine's 2nd District - Central Maine. Central Maine. November 15, 2014. December 5, 2014.
  9. Web site: Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer Are Recruiting Emily Cain to Run Again. At the Races. December 5, 2014. December 8, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20141208102810/http://atr.rollcall.com/democratic-leaders-court-candidate-for-house-rematch/. dead.
  10. Web site: Maine's Bruce Poliquin dives into budget, energy issues. Central Maine. Michael Shepherd. January 11, 2015. January 12, 2015.
  11. Web site: Skowhegan's McCabe says he won't run for Congress in 2016. Central Maine. Michael Shepherd. February 4, 2015. February 7, 2015.
  12. Web site: What kind of a congressman will Maine's Bruce Poliquin be? - Central Maine. Central Maine. November 9, 2014. December 5, 2014.
  13. Web site: Cain seeks 2016 rematch for Maine's 2nd District seat. Kennebec Journal. Shepherd. Michael. March 3, 2015. March 4, 2014.
  14. Web site: Joe Baldacci Drops Out of Congressional Race | Maine Public Broadcasting . News.mpbn.net . 2016-02-05 . 2016-07-09.
  15. Web site: Democrats McCabe, Jackson announce Maine Senate bids. Bangor Daily News. Shepherd. Michael. January 4, 2016. January 4, 2016.
  16. Web site: Candidate Proposing Nuke Plants for Maine Drops out of Congressional Race . MPBN. Mitchell. Jennifer. May 14, 2016. June 26, 2016.
  17. http://www.centralmaine.com/2016/10/30/poll-cain-and-poliquin-virtually-tied-again/ University of New Hampshire
  18. http://www.sunjournal.com/news/maine/2016/10/11/cain-polls-show-tight-congressional-race/2009635 Normington Petts (D-Cain)
  19. http://www.pressherald.com/2016/09/25/district-2-incumbents-edge-grows-to-10-percentage-points/ University of New Hampshire
  20. https://web.archive.org/web/20160914142323/http://www.colby.edu/goldfarb/elections/colby-globe-election-poll/ SurveyUSA
  21. Web site: 2016 House Race Ratings for November 7, 2016 . House: Race Ratings . . November 12, 2016.
  22. Web site: Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2016 . . November 7, 2016.
  23. Web site: 2016 House Ratings (November 3, 2016) . House Ratings . . November 3, 2016.
  24. Web site: 2016 House . . November 7, 2016 . November 7, 2016.
  25. Web site: Battle for the House 2016 . . October 31, 2016.