2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary explained

Election Name:2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary
Country:Florida
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 Florida Democratic primary
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2020 Florida Democratic primary
Next Year:2020
Candidate1:Hillary Clinton
Color1:d4aa00
Home State1:New York
Popular Vote1:1,101,414[1]
Percentage1:64.4%
Delegate Count1:141
Candidate2:Bernie Sanders
Color2:228B22
Home State2:Vermont
Popular Vote2:568,839
Percentage2:33.3%
Delegate Count2:73
Map Size:300px

The 2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Florida as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, the Democratic Party held primaries in Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio, while the Republican Party held primaries in the same five states, including their own Florida primary, plus the Northern Mariana Islands.

Clinton's landslide was fueled by support from retirees, and Jewish and Latino[2] voters in South Florida.

Debates and forums

March 2016 debate in Miami

On March 9, 2016, the Democratic Party held an eighth presidential debate at Miami Dade College in Miami, Florida. It was broadcast through a partnership between Univision and The Washington Post.

Opinion polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016.

Results

See also: Results of the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016.

Results by district

Florida Democratic primary, March 15, 2016
DistrictDelegatesVotes ClintonVotes SandersVotes QualifiedClinton delegatesSanders delegates
1326987184974548421
2650190340738426342
3432070279746004422
4433920227655668522
5655855186397449442
6537995244436243832
7537410267956420532
8539384243766376032
9540609198806048932
10538011222136022432
11538061215905965132
12535498231725867032
13644121297077382842
14649146236177276342
15532793207125350532
16643921258566977742
17429899170454694431
18642804206206342442
19431958172354919331
20761998157617775961
21757723221007982352
22649602222097181142
23644510199746448442
24859274138937316762
2532489792873418421
26432069141484621731
27430709122584296731
Total140110141456883916702539347
PLEO28110141456883916702531810
At Large46110141456883916702533016
Gr. Total2141101414568839167025314173
Total vote64.44%33.28%1,709,183
Source: Florida Department of State Division of Elections

Results by county

County[3] ClintonVotesSandersVotes
49.2%17,73348.8%17,590
38.5%65447.4%805
Bay 52.6%5,20941.7%4,131
Bradford 48.7%1,05641.8%908
59.7%31,83537.7%20,083
72.5%132,52726.4%48,330
36.2%43745.2%545
62.1%8,12535.4%4,634
56.3%6,86339.2%4,776
Clay 57.1%5,34539.5%3,698
66.1%12,71231.9%6,127
52.9%2,29938.6%1,676
52.6%98738.7%726
Dixie 40.2%40945.1%459
67.2%58,63230.6%26,716
62.2%16,76534.6%9,318
65.8%6,15231.9%2,977
47.0%66545.7%647
Gadsden 76.4%7,44620.0%1,944
37.5%42850.7%578
49.9%38740.3%313
Gulf 47.4%56843.4%520
Hamilton 54.7%75834.6%479
52.7%52939.1%393
60.6%1,15633.9%647
59.6%8,88237.0%5,512
61.4%3,71134.0%2,054
62.8%68,93635.1%38,505
28.3%33951.7%619
62.4%6,89735.5%3,926
53.9%2,79835.5%1,840
64.6%1,67129.5%762
30.0%29550.9%501
Lake 63.5%15,91433.8%8,465
Lee 62.7%27,94035.0%15,624
Leon 56.5%27,33341.1%19,866
Levy 50.0%1,57043.1%1,354
Liberty 38.0%31647.1%392
Madison 62.4%1,54230.0%741
62.5%18,11635.1%10,165
Marion 62.7%18,22034.1%9,892
59.8%6,52337.6%4,101
74.7%129,46724.3%42,009
Monroe 55.3%4,83042.8%3,739
56.2%2,91039.8%2,060
52.0%4,55943.1%3,782
55.2%1,15037.6%784
63.8%66,65435.1%36,639
68.2%16,51230.0%7,273
71.5%103,36927.2%39,314
58.3%21,76038.9%14,493
60.3%63,69937.6%39,742
Polk 63.0%29,32833.3%15,473
49.4%3,18242.7%2,747
49.2%3,93845.0%3,602
61.1%25,88137.3%15,776
58.3%22,06939.9%15,100
57.0%9,73440.7%6,953
66.9%17,55430.8%8,091
68.1%7,02229.3%3,022
42.2%1,47544.3%1,550
45.9%98342.4%907
Union 36.7%33651.6%472
60.2%26,27637.1%16,170
Wakulla 48.9%1,65942.0%1,424
50.0%1,51544.9%1,361
47.1%85842.9%781
Total 64.4%1,101,41433.3% 568,839

Analysis

Florida was generally viewed as a state Hillary Clinton would win, given her strong performance in previous contests with older voters (who comprised 65% of the Democratic electorate in Florida, the largest in any contest) and non-white voters (who made up 52% of the electorate). Clinton won the Florida Primary by 31 points, winning older voters by a margin of 71–26, and non-white voters by a margin of 74–25. Specifically, she won Hispanic/Latino voters by a margin of 68-32 (who made up 20% of the electorate), and African American voters 81-18 (who comprised 27% of the electorate). Clinton also won white voters by a narrower margin of 53–43. She won across all income and educational attainment levels.[4]

In terms of religious affiliation, Clinton won Protestants in Florida 69-29 (36% of the electorate), Catholics 69-29 (22% of the electorate), and other religious affiliations 68-31 (Jews were 4% of the electorate but were unaccounted for in exit polls). Sanders won voters who identified as agnostic/atheist 56–31. In terms of political ideology, Clinton won liberals 59-41 and moderates/conservatives 70–26. And while Clinton won Democrats 71–28, Sanders won self-identified Independents 55–41.[5]

Clinton won in Miami and along the Gold Coast 73–26, where there is a larger population of Hispanic/Latino voters who in South Florida are predominantly of Cuban or Nicaraguan descent. Clinton also won the Gulf Coast and Mid-Florida 64–35, the Tampa Bay Area 63–37, the Orlando area 62–34, and the Northern Panhandle which is whiter, more conservative and more rural by a smaller margin of 58–37.[6]

Notes and References

  1. http://enight.elections.myflorida.com/FederalOffices/Presidential/ Florida Division of Elections - Official Primary Results
  2. Web site: Trump Won Florida But Clinton Is Winning the Latino Vote. 2021-08-24. Fortune. en.
  3. Web site: 2016 Election Center. CNN. June 4, 2018.
  4. Web site: 2016 Election Center. CNN. 2016-08-07.
  5. Web site: 2016 Election Center. CNN. 2016-09-25.
  6. Web site: 2016 Election Center. CNN. 2016-09-25.