2016 Azorean regional election explained

Election Name:2016 Azorean regional election
Country:Azores
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 Azorean regional election
Previous Year:2012
Election Date:16 October 2016[1]
Next Election:2020 Azorean regional election
Next Year:2020
Seats For Election:57 seats to the Legislative Assembly of Azores
Majority Seats:29
Opinion Polls:
  1. Opinion polls
Turnout:40.8% 7.0 pp
Leader1:Vasco Cordeiro
Party1:Socialist Party (Portugal)
Leader Since1:2012
Leaders Seat1:São Miguel[2]
Last Election1:31 seats, 49.0%
Seats1:30
Seat Change1: 1
Popular Vote1:43,274
Percentage1:46.4%
Swing1: 2.6 pp
Leader2:Duarte Freitas
Party2:Social Democratic Party (Portugal)
Leader Since2:2013
Leaders Seat2:São Miguel
Last Election2:20 seats, 33.0%
Seats2:19
Seat Change2: 1
Popular Vote2:28,793
Percentage2:30.9%
Swing2: 2.1 pp
Image3: CDS
Leader3:Artur Lima
Party3:CDS – People's Party
Leader Since3:2008
Leaders Seat3:Terceira
Last Election3:3 seats, 5.6%
Seats3:4
Seat Change3: 1
Popular Vote3:6,674
Percentage3:7.2%
Swing3: 1.6 pp
Image4: BE
Leader4:Zuraida Soares
Party4:Left Bloc (Portugal)
Leaders Seat4:São Miguel
Last Election4:1 seat, 2.3%
Seats4:2
Seat Change4: 1
Popular Vote4:3,414
Percentage4:3.7%
Swing4: 1.4 pp
Image6: PPM
Colour6:005FAD
Leader6:Paulo Estêvão
Party6:PPM
Leader Since6:2008
Leaders Seat6:Corvo
Last Election6:1 seat, 0.9%
Seats6:1
Seat Change6: 0
Popular Vote6:866
Percentage6:0.9%
Swing6: 0.8 pp
Image5: CDU
Colour5:FF0000
Leader5:João Corvelo
Party5:PCP
Alliance5:CDU
Leader Since5:2016
Leaders Seat5:Flores
Last Election5:1 seats, 1.9%
Seats5:1
Seat Change5: 0
Popular Vote5:2,437
Percentage5:2.6%
Swing5: 0.7 pp
Map Size:400px
President
Posttitle:President-designate
Before Election:Vasco Cordeiro
Before Party:Socialist Party (Portugal)
After Election:Vasco Cordeiro
After Party:Socialist Party (Portugal)

The 2016 Azorean regional election (Portuguese: Eleições regionais dos Açores de 2016) was on October 16 of the same year. In this election, the incumbent president of the regional government, led by the Socialist Vasco Cordeiro, was seeking a second term.

In this election, the PS maintained their absolute majority but lost one seat and lost 2.6 percent of the vote compared to 2012. The Social Democrats also lost one seat although their vote share fall was lower than the Socialists. The big winner was the People's Party which gain 7 percent of the vote and gained one seat compared to 2012. The Left Bloc also won one more seat compared to last time while the CDU maintained their only seat but at the same time, gained in share of the vote and was the most voted party in the island of Flores. The PPM also maintained their seat in the island of Corvo.

Turnout in this election was the lowest ever, as only 40.84 percent of the electorate cast a ballot.

Background

Leadership changes and challenges

Social Democratic Party

Following the defeat of the PSD in the 2012 regional election, then party leader Berta Cabral resigned and a leadership ballot was called for 18 December 2012. Only one candidate was on the ballot: Duarte Freitas. Freitas was easily elected leader with almost 93 percent of the votes:[3]

|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"! align="center" colspan=2 style="width: 60px"|Candidate! align="center" style="width: 50px"|Votes! align="center" style="width: 50px"|%|-|bgcolor=orange|| align=left | Duarte Freitas| align=right | 1,401| align=right | 92.6|-| colspan=2 align=left | Blank/Invalid ballots| align=right | 112| align=right | 7.4|-|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"| colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | Turnout| align=right | 1,513| align=right | –|-| colspan="4" align=left|Source: [4] |}

Electoral system

The Azores regional parliament elects 57 members through a proportional system in which the 9 islands elect a number of MPs proportional to the number of registered voters. MPs are allocated by using the D'Hondt method. 5 members are also elected for a Compensation constituency.

ConstituencyTotal
MPs
Registered
voters
Corvo2334
Faial413,019
Flores33,187
Graciosa34,411
Pico413,496
Santa Maria35,499
São Jorge38 648
São Miguel20127,206
Terceira1052,409
Compensation 5
Total57228,259

Current parties in parliament

The parties that up to date of election were represented in the Assembly and their leaders, are:

PartyLeaderMPs
Socialist Party (PS)Vasco Cordeiro31
Social Democratic Party (PPD/PSD)Duarte Freitas20
People's Party (CDS–PP)Artur Lima3
Unitary Democratic Coalition (PCP–PEV)Aníbal Pires1
Left Bloc (BE)Zuraida Soares1
People's Monarchist Party (PPM)Paulo Estêvâo1

Opinion Polling

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

Vote

Color key:
Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample
size
Lead
Regional election16.10.1640.8%46.430.97.23.72.69.215.5
UCP-CESOP[5] 16.10.16??52.529.06.03.02.07.523.5
Norma Açores20.09.16–28.09.16?65.4%66.920.73.21.71.26.346.2
Legislative election04.10.1541.2%40.436.13.97.82.59.34.3
Norma Açores15.04.15–21.04.15503?33.227.91.11.31.36.15.3
EP election25.05.1419.7%41.3align:center;" colspan="2"29.63.93.721.511.7
Local elections29.09.1354.0%46.941.92.61.61.75.35.0
Regional election14.10.1247.9%49.033.05.62.31.98.216.0

Voter turnout

The table below shows voter turnout throughout election day.

TurnoutTime
11:0016:0019:00
20122016±20122016±20122016±
Total10.34%7.47% 2.96 pp34.37%29.29% 5.08 pp47.86%40.85% 7.01 pp
Sources[6]

Results

|-| colspan=11| |-! rowspan="2" colspan=2 style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=left|Parties! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|Votes! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|%! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|±pp swing! colspan="5" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align="center"|MPs! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:right;" |MPs %/
votes %|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"! style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:center;"|2012! style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:center;"|2016! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|±! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|%! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|±|-| |43,274||46.43||2.6||31||30||1||52.63||1.8||1.13|-| |28,793||30.90||2.1||20||19||1||33.33||1.8||1.08|-| |6,674||7.16||1.6||3||4||1||7.02||1.8||0.98|-| |3,414||3.66||1.4||1||2||1||3.51||1.8||0.96|-| |2,437||2.61||0.7||1||1||0||1.75||0.0||0.67|-| |1,342||1.44||0.8||0||0||0||0.00||0.0||0.0|-| |866||0.93||0.8||1||1||0||1.75||0.0||1.88|-| |451||0.48||||||0||||0.00||||0.0|-| |343||0.37||0.4||0||0||0||0.00||0.0||0.0|-| |299||0.32||0.0||0||0||0||0.00||0.0||0.0|-| style="width:10px; background:#00CD8C; text-align:center;"| | style="text-align:left;" |FREE/Time to move Forward |227||0.24||||||0||||0.00||||0.0|-| |83||0.09||||||0||||0.00||||0.0|-| |67||0.07||||||0||||0.00||||0.0|-|colspan=2 align=left style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|Total valid|width="50" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|88,270|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|94.69|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|0.8|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|57|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|57|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|0|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|100.00|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|0.0|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"||-|colspan=2|Blank ballots|2,697||2.90||0.3||colspan=6 rowspan=4||-|colspan=2|Invalid ballots|2,227||2.40||1.1|-|colspan=2 align=left style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|Total |width="50" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|93,194|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|100.00|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"||-|colspan=2|Registered voters/turnout||228,162||40.85||7.0|-| colspan=11 align=left|Portuguese Communist Party (1 MPs) and "The Greens" (0 MPs) ran in coalition.|-| colspan=11 align=left | Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições|}

Distribution by constituency

|- class="unsortable"!rowspan=2|Constituency!!%!!S!!%!!S!!%!!S!!%!!S!!%!!S!!%!!S!rowspan=2|Total
S|- class="unsortable" style="text-align:center;"!colspan=2 | PS!colspan=2 | PSD!colspan=2 | CDS-PP!colspan=2 | BE!colspan=2 | CDU!colspan=2 | PPM|-| style="text-align:left;" | Corvo| style="background:; color:white;"|36.7| 1| 26.2| -|colspan="2" bgcolor="#AAAAAA"|| 0.4| -| 1.6| -| 32.0| 1| 2|-| style="text-align:left;" | Faial| 32.6| 2| style="background:; color:white;"|41.2| 2| 6.5| -| 6.4| -| 4.6| -| 1.5| -| 4|-| style="text-align:left;" | Flores| 23.7| 1| 21.0| 1| 17.0| -| 1.3| -| style="background:red; color:white;"|32.5| 1|colspan="2" bgcolor="#AAAAAA"|| 3|-| style="text-align:left;" | Graciosa| style="background:; color:white;"|54.6| 2| 36.7| 1| 1.7| -| 1.2| -| 0.5| -| 0.5| -| 3|-| style="text-align:left;" | Pico| style="background:; color:white;"|39.5| 2| 37.8| 2| 14.1| -| 1.1| -| 1.5| -| 0.4| -| 4|-| style="text-align:left;" | Santa Maria| style="background:; color:white;"|50.3| 2| 29.1| 1| 1.8| -| 4.4| -| 8.3| -| 0.6| -| 3|-| style="text-align:left;" | São Jorge| style="background:; color:white;"|39.5| 1| 21.4| 1| 26.3| 1| 2.8| -| 3.0| -| 0.7| -| 3|-| style="text-align:left;" | São Miguel| style="background:; color:white;"|49.2| 12| 30.6| 7| 3.2| -| 4.2| 1| 1.5| -| 1.2| -| 20|-| style="text-align:left;" | Terceira| style="background:; color:white;"|49.0| 6| 28.8| 3| 10.1| 1| 3.1| -| 1.5| -| 0.3| -| 10|-| style="text-align:left;" | Compensation| style="color:inherit;background:#AAAAAA"|| 1| style="color:inherit;background:#AAAAAA"|| 1| style="color:inherit;background:#AAAAAA"|| 2| style="color:inherit;background:#AAAAAA"|| 1| style="color:inherit;background:#AAAAAA"|| -| style="color:inherit;background:#AAAAAA"|| -| 5|- class="unsortable" style="background:#E9E9E9"| style="text-align:left;" | Total| style="background:; color:white;"|46.4| 30| 30.9| 19| 7.2| 4| 3.7| 2| 2.6| 1| 0.9| 1| 57|-| colspan=14 style="text-align:left;" | Source: Azores Government|}

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: ALRAA-2016 - marcação oficial da data da eleição - 16 outubro 2016 . Comissão Nacional de Eleições . 30 June 2016 . 7 July 2016 . Portuguese . Lisbon, Portugal.
  2. http://www.alra.pt/index.php?option=com_wrapper&view=wrapper&Itemid=151 Assembleia Legislativa dos Açores - Deputados e Grupos Parlamentares
  3. Web site: Duarte Freitas eleito presidente do PSD/Açores . Diário de Notícias . Lisbon, Portugal . 19 December 2012. 1 March 2024 . Portuguese.
  4. Web site: Duarte Freitas eleito líder do PSD-Açores com 92,6% . Lisbon, Portugal . 19 December 2012. 1 March 2024 . Portuguese.
  5. This poll provides data ranges and/or approximations. In order to simplify, the average of these data is given.
  6. Web site: Candidatos apelam à participação nos Açores . pt . eco.pt. ECO . 16 October 2016 . 18 August 2023.