2015 United Kingdom general election in Wales explained

See main article: 2015 United Kingdom general election.

Election Name:2015 United Kingdom general election in Wales
Type:parliamentary
Country:Wales
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United Kingdom general election in Wales
Previous Year:2010
Previous Mps:List of MPs for constituencies in Wales 2010–15
Next Election:2017 United Kingdom general election in Wales
Next Year:2017
Seats For Election:All 40 Welsh seats to the House of Commons
Elected Mps:List of MPs for constituencies in Wales 2015–17
Election Date:7 May 2015
Leader1:Ed Miliband
Leader Since1:25 September 2010
Party1:Labour Party (UK)
Last Election1:26 seats, 36.2%
Seats1:25
Seat Change1:1
Uk Seats1:25
Popular Vote1:552,473
Percentage1:36.9%
Swing1:0.6%
Leader2:David Cameron
Leader Since2:6 December 2005
Party2:Conservative Party (UK)
Last Election2:8 seats, 26.1%
Seats2:11
Seat Change2:3
Uk Seats2:11
Popular Vote2:408,213
Percentage2:27.2%
Swing2:1.1%
Leader4:Leanne Wood
Leader Since4:16 March 2012
Party4:Plaid Cymru
Last Election4:3 seats, 11.3%
Seats4:3
Uk Seats4:3
Popular Vote4:181,704
Percentage4:12.1%
Swing4:0.8%
Leader5:Nick Clegg
Leader Since5:18 December 2007
Party5:Liberal Democrats (UK)
Last Election5:3 seats, 20.1%
Seats5:1
Seat Change5:2
Uk Seats5:1
Popular Vote5:97,783
Percentage5:6.5%
Swing5:13.6%
Map Size:330px

The 2015 United Kingdom general election in Wales was held on 7 May 2015 and all 40 seats in Wales were contested.[1] The election for each seat was conducted on the basis of first-past-the-post.

Despite the Labour party winning the most votes in Wales, the Conservatives won across the UK.[2]

Results overview

A full list of the results in Wales can be found in the House of Commons Library General Elections Online.[3] The following is an overall table of results for Wales by the BBC.[4]

Party! colspan="5"
SeatsVotes
Total Gains LossesNet +/-% seatsTotal%Change
2512162.5552,47336.90.6
1130327.5407,81327.21.1
000—204,33013.611.2
3007.5181,70412.10.8
10222.597,7836.513.6
000—38,3442.62.1
000—3,4810.20.2
000—1,7800.10.1
 Others000—10,3550.70.5
Total40 1,498,063

Turnout statistics

Election turnout statistics source and comment
Estimated total population of Wales 3.1M [5] data for 30 June 2015
Total eligible electorate 2.281M 1[6]
electorate as proportion of total population 74%
Total valid votes 1.498M 1[7]
Mean turnout based on total valid votes 65.67%
Mean as average of constituency results 65.64%
Mean as above but based on ballot box turnout 65.77% 1 ballot box turnout includes rejected ballots
Median valid vote turnout 65.0% turnout midway between 20th and 21st constituency
UK median valid vote turnout 66.7% [8] for comparison with above

1 valid vote, count of rejected ballots and total electorate come from the source(s) given in 'Table of results by constituency' below.

Results by constituency

Table of results by constituency
Constituency 1 Total electorate 2 Winning party Majority Source(s)
49,821 Welsh Labour hold 10,445 [9]
45,525 Welsh Conservatives hold 3,999 [10]
62,016 Welsh Labour hold 3,343 [11]
40,492 Plaid Cymru hold 3,668 [12] [13]
51,335 Welsh Labour hold 12,703 [14]
54,441 Welsh Conservatives gain 5,102 [15] [16]
59,998 Welsh Labour hold 1,927 [17]
63,603 Welsh Labour hold 10,073 [18]
57,456 Welsh Labour gain 4,981 [19]
67,196 Welsh Conservatives hold2,137 [20]
76,006 Labour Co-operative Party hold 7,453 [21]
66,762 Welsh Labour hold 6,789 [22]
55,605 Plaid Cymru hold 5,599 [23] [24]
57,777[25] Welsh Conservatives hold 6,054 [26]
54,243 Welsh Liberal Democrats hold 3,067 [27]
54,996 Welsh Labour hold 2,402 [28]
58,644 Welsh Conservatives hold6,730 [29]
51,422 Welsh Labour hold 9,406 [30]
53,639 Welsh Labour hold 2,930 [31]
44,394 Plaid Cymru hold 5,261 [32]
61,820 Welsh Conservatives gain27 [33]
55,697 Labour Co-operative Party hold 10,404 [34]
59,796 Welsh Labour hold 7,095 [35] [36]
61,716 Welsh Labour hold 11,513 [37]
62,248 Welsh Conservatives hold 10,982 [38]
48,690 Welsh Conservatives hold 5,325 [39]
56,097 Welsh Labour hold 9,546
56,015 Welsh Labour hold 4,705 [40] [41]
62,137 Welsh Labour hold 3,510 [42]
55,320[43] Welsh Labour hold13,043
58,940 Welsh Labour hold 8,985
57,371 Welsh Conservatives hold4,969
51,811 Welsh Labour hold 7,455
58,011 Welsh Labour hold 12,028
58,776 Welsh Labour 3 hold 7,036
61,896 Welsh Labour hold 8,169 [44]
56,505 Welsh Conservatives gain237 [45]
72,187 Welsh Conservatives hold 6,880 [46]
50,992 Welsh Labour hold 1,831 [47]
49,939 Welsh Labour hold 229 [48] [49]

1 The information on the winning party and the majority come from the source(s) indicated.
2 The total electorate comes from unless another reference is given.
3 The MP is a Labour Co-op Party member[50] but he was nominated as 'Welsh Labour'.[51]

Target seats

Labour

Conservative

Plaid Cymru

Opinion polling

Date(s)conductedPolling organisation/clientSample size PlaidLabConLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
16 April 2015Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
13–15 April 2015YouGov/ITV/Cardiff University 1,14312% 40% 26% 6% 13% 4% <0.5%14%
2 April 2015Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
26–31 Mar 2015YouGov/The Sun 1,0359% 40% 27% 6% 13% 5% 1%13%
30 March 2015Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
24–27 Mar 2015YouGov/ITV Wales 1,18911% 40% 25% 5% 14% 5% 1%15%
26 March 2015First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
5–9 Mar 2015YouGov/ITV Wales 1,27910% 39% 25% 5% 14% 6% 1%14%
19–21 Jan 2015YouGov/ITV Wales 1,036 10% 37% 23% 6% 16% 8% 1%14%
8–13 Jan 2015 ICM/BBC Wales 1,004 12% 38% 21% 7% 13% 6% 2% 17%
2–3 Dec 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,131 11% 36% 23% 5% 18% 5% 2% 13%
19–22 Sep 2014 ICM/BBC Wales 1,006 13% 39% 23% 5% 16% 2% 1% 16%
8–11 Sep 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,025 11% 38% 23% 6% 17% 5% 1%15%
26 Jun–1 Jul 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,035 11% 41% 25% 5% 14% 3% 2%16%
data-sort-value="2014-05-22" 22 May 20142014 European Parliament elections
12–14 May 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,092 11% 43% 22% 7% 13% 3% 2%21%
11–22 Apr 2014 YouGov/University of Cardiff 1,027 11% 45% 24% 7% 10% 1% 2%21%
21–24 Feb 2014 ICM/BBC Wales 1,000 15% 45% 24% 6% 8% 2% 1% 21%
10–12 Feb 2014YouGov/ITV Wales 1,250 11% 47% 22% 7% 9% 2% 2%25%
2–4 Dec 2013YouGov/ITV Wales 1,001 12% 46% 21% 8% 10% 2% 2%25%
18–22 Jul 2013YouGov 1,012 9% 48% 23% 8% 8% 2% 2%25%
18–20 Feb 2013YouGov/ITV Wales 1,007 10% 51% 22% 9% 7% 1% 1%29%
2–4 Jul 2012YouGov/ITV Wales 1,000 10% 54% 23% 4% 9%21%
data-sort-value="2012-05-03" 3 May 20122012 Welsh local elections
12–16 Apr 2012YouGov 1,039 12% 50% 23% 7% 9%27%
30 Jan–1 Feb 2012YouGov/ITV Wales 1,008 11% 50% 25% 6% 5% 3% 2%25%
data-sort-value="2011-05-05" 5 May 20112011 Welsh Assembly election
2–4 May 2011YouGov/ITV Wales 1,010 10% 50% 24% 8% 4% 2% 2%25%
6 May 2010 General election results 1,466,690 11.3% 36.2% 26.1% 20.1% 2.4% 0.4% 3.4%10%

See also

Notes and References

  1. News: Election 2015 – Wales. 8 May 2015. BBC News.
  2. Web site: UK Election Statistics: 1918-2022, A Long Century of Elections . House of Commons Library . 22.
  3. Web site: May 2015 results for Wales. General Elections Online. House of Commons Library. 2 September 2015. 17 August 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160817050048/http://geo.digiminster.com/election/2015-05-07/Search?Query=Wales. dead.
  4. Web site: Results of the 2015 General Election in Wales – Election 2015 – BBC News. BBC News. 3 January 2016. en-GB.
  5. Web site: Population of Wales 2014. Overview of the UK Population. UK Office of National Statistics. 18 September 2015. 25 June 2015.
  6. Web site: eligible voters. Who is eligible to vote at a UK general election?. The Electoral Commission. 20 September 2015. 19 April 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140419134030/http://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/faq/voting-and-registration/who-is-eligible-to-vote-at-a-uk-general-election. dead.
  7. Web site: Voter turnout. Electoral data. The Electoral Commission. 20 September 2015.
  8. Web site: Ranked list of constituencies by turnout. General Elections Online. House of Commons Library. 6 September 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20170917032244/http://geo.digiminster.com/election/2015-05-07/Statistics/Turnout. 17 September 2017. dead.
  9. Web site: Aberavon and Neath Results. UK Parliamentary Elections May 2015 results. Neath Port Talbot County Borough Council. 16 September 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20151005110443/http://www.npt.gov.uk/pdf/Elections_DOR_UKPARL_2015.pdf. 5 October 2015. dead. dmy-all.
  10. Web site: Aberconwy Result. Election Results. Conwy County Borough Council. 16 September 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20160304112353/http://www.conwy.gov.uk/upload/public/attachments/638/declaration_of_resultsaberconwy.pdf. 4 March 2016. dead. dmy-all.
  11. Web site: Alyn and Deeside result. Election Results For Alyn And Deeside. 7 May 2015 . Flintshire County Council. 20 September 2015.
  12. Web site: Gwynedd Council results. Parliamentary Election results – 7 May 2015. Gwynedd Council. 20 September 2015.
  13. rejected ballots 95 email from Gwynedd Council 3Jun15
  14. Web site: Blaenau Gwent result. Blaenau Gwent Parliamentary Constituency Election 2015. Blaenau Gwent County Borough Council. 20 September 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150708110200/http://www.blaenau-gwent.gov.uk/council/17804.asp. 8 July 2015. dead. dmy-all.
  15. Web site: Powys election results. 2015 General Election results. Powys County Council. 20 September 2015.
  16. rejected ballots 71 email from Powys County Council 15Jul15
  17. Web site: Bridgend and Ogmore results. Elections. Bridgend County Borough Council. 21 September 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150923060422/http://www1.bridgend.gov.uk/services/electoral-services/elections.aspx. 23 September 2015. dead. dmy-all.
  18. Web site: Caerphilly result. General Election 2015 – Results for Caerphilly constituency. Caerphilly County Borough Council. 21 September 2015.
  19. Web site: Cardiff Central result. Election results for Cardiff Central. City of Cardiff Council. 21 September 2015. 7 May 2015.
  20. Web site: Cardiff North result. Election results for Cardiff North. City of Cardiff Council. 21 September 2015. 7 May 2015.
  21. Web site: Cardiff South and Penarth result. Election results for Cardiff South and Penarth. City of Cardiff Council. 21 September 2015. 7 May 2015.
  22. Web site: Cardiff West result. Election results for Cardiff West. City of Cardiff Council. 21 September 2015. 7 May 2015.
  23. Web site: Carmarthen East result. The Newsroom. Carmarthenshire County Council. 21 September 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150926024528/http://newsroom.carmarthenshire.gov.uk/news-archive/2015/05/carmarthen/#.VgAbZLT5ndl. 26 September 2015. dead. dmy-all.
  24. rejected ballots 61 email from Carmarthenshire County Council 27Jul15
  25. email from Pembrokeshire County Council 14Jul15
  26. Web site: Pembrokeshire results. Election Results. Pembrokeshire County Council. 21 September 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20111218143127/http://www.pembrokeshire.gov.uk/content.asp?nav=101,1580,1067&parent_directory_id=646. 18 December 2011. dead. dmy-all.
  27. Web site: Ceredigion result. UK Parliamentary General Election 2015. Ceredigion County Council. 21 September 2015.
  28. Web site: Clwyd South result. DECLARATION OF RESULT OF POLL. Wrexham County Borough Council. 21 September 2015.
  29. Web site: Clwyd West result. DECLARATION OF RESULT OF POLL. Conwy County Borough Council. 21 September 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150926024440/http://www.conwy.gov.uk/upload/public/attachments/638/declaration_of_resultsclwyd_west.pdf. 26 September 2015. dead. dmy-all.
  30. Web site: Rhondda Cynon Taf. Parliamentary General Elections 2015. Rhondda Cynon Taf County Borough Council. 21 September 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150925091713/http://www.rctcbc.gov.uk/en/councildemocracy/democracyelections/elections-publishingresults/parliamentarygeneralelections2015.aspx. 25 September 2015. dead. dmy-all.
  31. Web site: Delyn result. Election Results For Delyn. Flintshire County Council. 21 September 2015. 7 May 2015.
  32. rejected ballots 65 email from Gwynedd Council 3Jun15
  33. Web site: Swansea results. Results – UK Parliamentary general election 2015. City and County of Swansea. 21 September 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20151001124401/http://www.swansea.gov.uk/article/16420/Results---UK-Parliamentary-general-election-2015-Declarations. 1 October 2015. dead.
  34. Web site: Islwyn result. General Election 2015 – Results for Islwyn constituency. Caerphilly County Borough Council. 21 September 2015.
  35. Web site: Llanelli result. The Newsroom. Carmarthenshire County Council. 21 September 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20151001104806/http://newsroom.carmarthenshire.gov.uk/news-archive/2015/05/llanelli/#.VgAlXbT5ndl. 1 October 2015. dead.
  36. rejected ballots 40 email from Carmarthenshire County Council 27Jul15
  37. Web site: Merthyr result. Election results for Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney. Merthyr Tydfil County Borough Council. 21 September 2015. 7 May 2015.
  38. Web site: Monmouth result. Declaration of Result of Poll. Monmouthshire County Council. 21 September 2015.
  39. rejected ballots 54 email from Powys County Council 15Jul15
  40. Web site: Newport results. General Election 7 May 2015. Newport City Council. 21 September 2015.
  41. rejected ballots 70 email from Newport City Council 4Sep15
  42. rejected ballots 76 email from Newport City Council 4Sep15
  43. email from Bridgend County Borough Council 29Jun15
  44. Web site: Torfaen result. DECLARATION OF RESULT OF POLL. Torfaen County Borough Council. 20 September 2015.
  45. Web site: Vale of Clwyd result. Election results for Vale of Clwyd. Denbighshire County Council. 20 September 2015. April 2013.
  46. Web site: Vale of Glamorgan result. Statement of Results. Vale of Glamorgan Council. 20 September 2015.
  47. Web site: Wrexham result. DECLARATION OF RESULT OF POLL. Wrexham County Borough Council. 20 September 2015.
  48. Web site: Election results for Ynys Môn. Election results for Ynys Môn. Isle of Anglesey Count Council. 16 September 2015. 7 May 2015.
  49. Web site: Formal Result for Ynys Môn. Declaration of Result of Poll. Isle of Anglesey County Council. 16 September 2015.
  50. Web site: Co-op Party MPs. Members of Parliament. The Co-operative Party. 6 September 2015.
  51. Web site: Swansea Persons Nominated. Notices (UK parliamentary general election 2015). City and County of Swansea. 6 September 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20151005102533/http://www.swansea.gov.uk/GENotices. 5 October 2015. dead. dmy-all.

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