2015 Swiss federal election explained

Country:Switzerland
Previous Election:2011
Next Election:2019
Seats For Election:All 200 seats in the National Council (101 seats needed for a majority)
All 46 seats in the Council of States (24 seats needed for a majority)
Turnout:48.5% 0.0 pp
Election Date:18 October 2015
Heading1:National Council
Leader1:Toni Brunner
Party1:Swiss People's Party
Percentage1:29.4%
Last Election1:54
Seats1:65
Leader2:Christian Levrat
Party2:Social Democratic Party of Switzerland
Percentage2:18.8%
Last Election2:46
Seats2:43
Leader3:Philipp Müller
Party3:FDP.The Liberals
Percentage3:16.4%
Last Election3:30
Seats3:33
Party4:Christian Democratic People's Party of Switzerland
Percentage4:11.6%
Last Election4:28
Seats4:27
Leader5:Adèle Thorens
Regula Rytz
Party5:Green Party of Switzerland
Percentage5:7.1%
Last Election5:15
Seats5:11
Leader6:Martin Bäumle
Party6:Green Liberal Party of Switzerland
Percentage6:4.6%
Last Election6:12
Seats6:7
Leader7:Martin Landolt
Party7:Conservative Democratic Party of Switzerland
Percentage7:4.1%
Last Election7:9
Seats7:7
Leader8:Marianne Streiff
Party8:Evangelical People's Party of Switzerland
Percentage8:1.9%
Last Election8:2
Seats8:2
Leader9:Attilio Bignasca
Party9:Ticino League
Percentage9:1.0%
Last Election9:2
Seats9:2
Leader10:Gavriel Pinson
Party10:Swiss Party of Labour
Percentage10:0.4%
Last Election10:0
Seats10:1
Leader11:Sepp Stalder
Party11:Christian Social Party of Obwalden
Percentage11:0.4%
Last Election11:1
Seats11:1
Leader12:Roger Golay
Party12:Geneva Citizens' Movement
Percentage12:0.3%
Last Election12:1
Seats12:1
Heading13:Council of States
Party13:Christian Democratic People's Party of Switzerland
Last Election13:13
Seats13:13
Party14:FDP.The Liberals
Last Election14:11
Seats14:13
Party15:Social Democratic Party of Switzerland
Last Election15:11
Seats15:12
Party16:Swiss People's Party
Last Election16:5
Seats16:5
Party17:Green Party of Switzerland
Last Election17:2
Seats17:1
Party18:Conservative Democratic Party of Switzerland
Last Election18:1
Seats18:1
Party19:Independent (politician)
Last Election19:1
Seats19:1

Federal elections were held in Switzerland on 18 October 2015 for the National Council and the first round of elections to the Council of States, with runoff elections to the Council of States being held in various cantons until 22 November.[1] [2]

Results showed a shift, due to voter concerns regarding refugee immigration, to the right and increased support for the three largest parties, with the strong showing of Swiss People's Party and FDP.The Liberals possibly affecting future reforms of energy, social security and tax issues, as well as the make-up of the seven-member government.[3] [4] [5]

The Swiss People's Party won a record number of seats, taking a third of the 200-seat lower house. The SVP received the highest proportion of votes of any Swiss political party since 1919, when proportional representation was first introduced,[6] and it received more seats in the National Council than any other political party since 1963, when the number of seats was set at 200.

The federal election was followed by the 2015 Swiss Federal Council election on 9 December 2015, where the SVP won a second seat on the Federal Council.

Electoral system

The 200 members of the National Council were elected by plurality in six single-member constituencies, and by proportional representation in 20 multi-member constituencies, with the 26 constituencies being the 26 cantons.[7] The elections were held using the open list system where voters could cross out names on party lists, with voters also able to split their vote between parties (a system known as panachage) or draw up their own list on a blank ballot. Seats are allocated using the Hagenbach-Bischoff system.[8]

The 46 members of the Council of States were elected in 20 two-seat constituencies (representing the 20 full cantons) and six single-member constituencies (representing the six half-cantons). In Jura and Neuchâtel the elections were held using proportional representation. In the other cantons, councilors are elected through an up to two-round system of voting. In the first round of voting, candidates must obtain an absolute majority of the vote in order to be elected. If no candidate receives an absolute majority in the first round of voting then a second round is held in which a simple plurality is sufficient to be elected. The top two finishing candidates are elected in the second round.[9] [10]

Compulsory voting was in force in the canton of Schaffhausen for both elections.[11]

Campaign

The parties contesting the elections were:

Political partyLeaderPolitical spectrum
Swiss People's Party (SVP)Toni BrunnerRight-wing
Social Democratic Party of Switzerland (SP)Christian LevratCentre-left to left-wing
FDP.The Liberals (FDP)Philipp MüllerCentre-right
Christian Democratic People's Party of Switzerland (CVP/PDC)Christophe DarbellayCentre to centre-right
Green Party of Switzerland (GPS)Adèle Thorens, Regula RytzLeft-wing
Green Liberal Party of Switzerland (glp)Martin BäumleCentre
Conservative Democratic Party of Switzerland (BDP)Martin LandoltCentre to centre-right
Evangelical People's Party of Switzerland (EVP)Marianne StreiffCentre
Ticino League (TL)Attilio BignascaRight-wing
Alternative Left (AL)Frédéric CharpiéLeft-wing
Federal Democratic Union of Switzerland (EDU)Hans MoserRight-wing
Christian Social Party (Switzerland) (CSP)Marius AchermannCentre-left
Geneva Citizens' Movement (MCG)Roger GolayRight-wing

Opinion polls

Date
style="width:350px;"
InstitutionSVPSPSFDPCVPGPSBDPGLPEVPALEDULEGACSPMCGOtherLead
18 October 20152015 Elections29.4%18.8% 16.4% 11.6% 7.1% 4.1% 4.6% 1.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.3% 10.6%
2 October 2015Sotomo/20min29.0% 18.4% 15.8% 11.4% 7.4% 4.9% 5.2% 7.9% 10.6%
16 September 2015Sotomo/20min29.0% 17.6% 16.8% 11.2% 6.9% 4.9% 5.1% 11.4%
GfS Berne/SSR28.0% 19.3% 16.9% 11.1% 7.4% 4.2% 4.3% 1.7% 7.1% 8.7%
24 June 201520min/Somoto27.6% 18.2% 16.4% 12.0% 6.8% 4.9% 5.0% 13.0% 9.4%
24 June 2015GfS Berne/SSR26.1% 19.3% 17.1% 11.5% 7.4% 4.4% 4.8% 1.9% 1.1% 0.9% 5.5% 6.8%
31 March 2015GfS Berne/SSR26.2% 19.6% 16.3% 11.8% 7.5% 4.6% 5.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.8% 4.7% 6.5%
21 December 201423.8% 19.8% 15.7% 12.4% 8.2% 7.2% 7.4% 6.0%
3 October 2014GfS Berne/Le Temps24.6% 20.1% 15.8% 11.2% 7.3% 4.8% 7.3% 1.8% 1.4% 1% 4.7% 4.5%
30 March 2014Léger Marketing/Le Matin25% 19.4% 15.2% 12.2% 7.4% 6.9% 6.6% 5.6%
27 September 2013GfS Berne/SSR 25.8% 18.7% 14.7% 11.7% 8.3% 7.5% 5.8% 1.8% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 2.5% 7.1%
15 September 2013Isopublic/Le Matin 24.3% 19.6% 14.1% 13.1% 7.3% 6.1% 6.6% 4.7%
21 October 2012Isopublic/Blick23.7% 19.5% 15.9% 12.9% 8.2% 6.9% 7.0% 4.2%
16 September 2012Isopublic/Le Matin23.9% 19.3% 16.3% 13% 8.2% 6.2% 7.7% 4.6%
25 March 2012Isopublic/Le Matin23.7% 19.9% 15.8% 12.1% 8.2% 7.0% 7.5% 3.8%
23 October 20112011 Elections26.6%18.7% 15.1% 12.3% 8.4% 5.4% 5.4% 2% 0.9% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.4% 7.9%

Results

Global media commented on the gains of the Swiss People's Party, linking it to concerns of the electorate on the European migrant crisis.[12] [13] [14] [15] Combined, right-of-centre parties received a slim 101-seat majority in the National Council.[5] [6] While the right-of-centre SVP and FDP made gains, centrist and left-of-centre parties lost seats in the National Council.[16] [17] The FDP increased its share of the popular vote for the first time since the 1979 federal election.[17]

In the Swiss capital Bern, a group of activists in favour of settling refugees held a demonstration on the day of the election, which is prohibited by law. A total of 110 were arrested.[18]

The election results elicited various responses from the Swiss media, such as that the election represented "a return to normality" after a period when the legislative makeup was not as clear, or that it represented "a divided country."[19] [20] Newspapers, both in Switzerland and in other countries, also noted the SVP's historic gains.[20]

Council of States

By canton

CantonSeat 1PartySeat 2Party
Daniel JositschSocial Democratic PartyRuedi NoserFDP.The Liberals
Werner LuginbühlConservative Democratic PartyHans StöckliSocial Democratic Party
Konrad GraberDamian MüllerFDP.The Liberals
Isidor BaumannChristian Democratic People's PartyJosef DittliFDP.The Liberals
Peter FöhnSwiss People's PartyAlex KuprechtSwiss People's Party
Hans WickiFDP.The LiberalsN/A
Erich EttlinChristian Democratic People's PartyN/A
Thomas HeftiFDP.The LiberalsWerner HösliSwiss People's Party
Joachim EderFDP.The LiberalsPeter HegglinChristian Democratic People's Party
Christian LevratSocial Democratic PartyBeat VonlanthenChristian Democratic People's Party
Pirmin BischofChristian Democratic People's PartyRoberto ZanettiSocial Democratic Party
Anita FetzSocial Democratic PartyN/A
Claude JaniakSocial Democratic PartyN/A
Hannes GermannSwiss People's PartyThomas MinderIndependent
Andrea CaroniFDP.The LiberalsN/A
Ivo BischofbergerChristian Democratic People's PartyN/A
Karin Keller-SutterFDP.The LiberalsPaul RechsteinerSocial Democratic Party
Stefan EnglerChristian Democratic People's PartyMartin SchmidFDP.The Liberals
Pascale BrudererSocial Democratic PartyPhilipp MüllerFDP.The Liberals
Roland EberleSwiss People's PartyBrigitte Häberli-KollerChristian Democratic People's Party
Fabio AbateFDP.The LiberalsFilippo LombardiChristian Democratic People's Party
Olivier FrançaisFDP.The LiberalsGéraldine SavarySocial Democratic Party
Jean-René FournierChristian Democratic People's PartyBeat RiederChristian Democratic People's Party
Didier BerberatSocial Democratic PartyRaphaël ComteFDP.The Liberals
Robert CramerGreen PartyLiliane Maury PasquierSocial Democratic Party
Claude HêcheSocial Democratic PartyAnne Seydoux-ChristeChristian Democratic People's Party

Aftermath

The 2015 federal election was followed by the 2015 Swiss Federal Council election on 9 December 2015.[21]

Owing to the results of the federal election, Federal Councillor Eveline Widmer-Schlumpf, a member of the Conservative Democratic Party (BDP), announced she would not run for re-election, as the Swiss People's Party (SVP) won a record percentage of the vote, while her own party decreased its share.[22] The SVP was widely expected to fill her seat in the election, and it chose Thomas Aeschi (Zug), Guy Parmelin (Vaud) and Norman Gobbi (Ticino) as candidates for the seat, with Aeschi being the favorite at the time.[23] [24]

Guy Parmelin, of the SVP, was ultimately elected on 9 December.[21] Parmelin, a farmer and winegrower from Bursins in canton Vaud, was the first member of the Federal Council who is also a member of the Swiss People's Party from the French-speaking part of Switzerland.[21] [25]

There was a minor cabinet reshuffle after the election, as newly elected Parmelin was selected to become head of the Federal Department of Defence, Civil Protection and Sports, replacing fellow SVP-member Ueli Maurer, who became head of the Federal Department of Finance.[26] The SVP gained its second seat in the Federal Council, which it had lost in 2008, when the newly created BDP split from the SVP.

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Parties Manoeuvre for Seats in Swiss Senate . 19 October 2015 . . 13 December 2016.
  2. Web site: Final Composition of Swiss Parliament Emerges . 23 November 2015 . . 12 December 2016.
  3. Web site: Homepage Elections 2015. 18 October 2015. 15 September 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150915120839/https://www.ch.ch/en/elections2015/. dead.
  4. Web site: Duc-Nguyen . Quang . Parliament's Shift to the Right, in Figures . 22 October 2015 . . 12 December 2016.
  5. Web site: Geiser. Urs. Parliament shifts to the right. Swissinfo.ch. 18 October 2015.
  6. News: Gerber . Marlène . Mueller . Sean . 4 Cool Graphs that Explain Sunday's Swiss Elections . 23 October 2015 . . 13 December 2016.
  7. https://www.ch.ch/en/elections2019/how-many-seats-does-each-canton-have-in-parliament Swiss Confederation
  8. http://www.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2305_B.htm Electoral system
  9. Web site: Elections 2015:How the elections to the Council of States are organised: process, rules and principal stages . official site . The Swiss Confederation . ch.ch – A service of the Confederation, cantons and communes . Berne, Switzerland . 2016-08-09 . 2016-09-19 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160919235930/https://www.ch.ch/en/elections2015/organisation/council-of-states/ . dead .
  10. http://www.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2306_B.htm Electoral system
  11. http://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/__data/assets/electoral_commission_pdf_file/0020/16157/ECCompVotingfinal_22225-16484__E__N__S__W__.pdf Compulsory voting around the world
  12. News: Anti-immigration party wins Swiss election in 'slide to the Right'. 19 October 2015. The Daily Telegraph. Reuters. 19 October 2015.
  13. News: Anti-immigration SVP wins Swiss election in big swing to right. 19 October 2015. BBC News. 19 October 2015.
  14. News: Larson. Nina. Swiss parliament shifts to right in vote dominated by migrant fears. 19 October 2015. AFP. Yahoo!. 19 October 2015.
  15. News: Amid rising fears over refugees, far-right party gains ground in Swiss election. 19 October 2015. Deutsche Welle. 19 October 2015.
  16. News: Revill . John . Swiss Right Makes Gains in Election . October 19, 2015 . . December 15, 2016.
  17. Web site: Nationalratswahlen 2015: Analyse . bfs.admin.ch . December 2015 . December 17, 2016 . de.
  18. News: Polizei nimmt 110 Personen auf die Wache. Police take 110 people to the police station. 19 October 2015. Blick. 18 October 2015. de.
  19. Web site: Swiss National Elections: 'Return to Normality'? . October 19, 2016 . . December 12, 2016.
  20. Web site: Stephens . Thomas . Fear and Isolation in a 'Divided Land' . October 19, 2016 . . December 13, 2016.
  21. Web site: Mombelli . Armando . People's Party Gains Second Seat in Cabinet . December 10, 2015 . . January 27, 2016.
  22. Web site: Jaberg . Samuel . Stephens . Thomas . Finance Minister Eveline Widmer-Schlumpf to Stand Down . October 28, 2015 . . January 28, 2016.
  23. Web site: People's Party Posts Candidates for Cabinet Seat . November 20, 2015 . . January 28, 2016.
  24. Web site: People's Party Tightens Grip on Second Cabinet Seat . October 28, 2015 . . January 28, 2016.
  25. Web site: Bradley . Simon . Wary Press Split Over Farmer Parmelin . December 10, 2015 . . January 28, 2016.
  26. Web site: People's Party finally nails finance minister job . December 11, 2015 . . January 28, 2016.