2015 Styrian state election explained

Election Name:2015 Styrian state election
Country:Styria
Flag Year:state
Type:parliamentary
Previous Election:2010 Styrian state election
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2019 Styrian state election
Next Year:2019
Election Date:31 May 2015
Seats For Election:All 48 seats in the Landtag of Styria
Majority Seats:25
Turnout:655,051 (67.9%)
1.6%
Leader1:Franz Voves
Party1:Social Democratic Party of Austria
Last Election1:23 seats, 38.3%
Seats1:15
Seat Change1: 8
Popular Vote1:189,762
Percentage1:29.3%
Swing1: 9.0%
Leader2:Hermann Schützenhöfer
Party2:Austrian People's Party
Last Election2:22 seats, 37.2%
Popular Vote2:184,301
Seats2:14
Seat Change2: 8
Percentage2:28.5%
Swing2: 8.7%
Leader3:Mario Kunasek
Party3:Freedom Party of Austria
Last Election3:6 seats, 10.7%
Seats3:14
Seat Change3: 8
Popular Vote3:173,332
Percentage3:26.8%
Swing3: 16.1%
Leader4:Lambert Schönleitner
Party4:The Greens – The Green Alternative
Last Election4:3 seats, 5.6%
Seats4:3
Seat Change4: 0
Popular Vote4:43,272
Percentage4:6.7%
Swing4: 1.1%
Leader5:Claudia Klimt-Weithaler
Party5:Communist Party of Austria
Last Election5:2 seats, 4.4%
Seats5:2
Seat Change5: 0
Popular Vote5:27,339
Percentage5:4.2%
Swing5: 0.2%
Map Size:350px
Governor
Before Election:Franz Voves
Before Party:Social Democratic Party of Austria
After Election:Hermann Schützenhöfer
After Party:Austrian People's Party

The 2015 Styrian state election was held on 31 May 2015 to elect the members of the Landtag of Styria.

The election saw major losses for the Social Democratic Party of Austria (SPÖ) and Austrian People's Party (ÖVP), the two major parties, matched by huge gains for the Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ). The SPÖ finished first on 29.3% and 15 seats, just ahead of the ÖVP's 28.5% and 14 seats. The FPÖ placed a close third with 26.8%, and tied the ÖVP in seats.[1]

Governor Franz Voves resigned after the election. The SPÖ and ÖVP renewed their coalition government, but during negotiations, it was unexpectedly announced that ÖVP leader Hermann Schützenhöfer would become Governor, despite his party being the smaller of the two.[2] The SPÖ claimed it was a necessary concession to prevent an ÖVP–FPÖ coalition; nonetheless, the announcement caused significant controversy. Schützenhöfer was sworn in on 15 June.[3]

Background

After the 2010 election, the SPÖ won a narrow victory over the ÖVP, and the two parties formed a coalition government.

Prior to amendments made in 2011, the Styrian constitution mandated that cabinet positions in the state government be allocated between parties proportionally in accordance with the share of votes won by each; this is known as Proporz. As such, the government was a perpetual coalition of all parties that qualified for at least one cabinet position. In November 2011, the Landtag voted to amend the constitution to remove this requirement. As such, the 2015 election was the first in post-war Styrian history in which conventional coalition formation could take place.[4]

Electoral system

The 48 seats of the Landtag of Styria are elected via open list proportional representation in a two-step process. 38 of the seats are distributed between four multi-member constituencies. For parties to receive any representation in the Landtag, they must win at least one seat in a constituency directly. Seats are distributed in constituencies according to the Hare quota, with ten leveling seats allocated using the D'Hondt method at the state level, to ensure overall proportionality between a party's vote share and its share of seats.[5]

Contesting parties

NameIdeologyLeader2010 result
Votes (%)Seats
SPÖSocial Democratic Party of Austria
Social democracyFranz Voves38.3%
ÖVPAustrian People's Party
Christian democracyHermann Schützenhöfer37.2%
FPÖFreedom Party of Austria
Right-wing populism
Euroscepticism
Mario Kunasek10.7%
GRÜNEThe Greens – The Green Alternative
Green politicsLambert Schönleitner5.6%
KPÖCommunist Party of Austria
CommunismClaudia Klimt-Weithaler4.4%

In addition to the parties already represented in the Landtag, three parties collected enough signatures to be placed on the ballot:

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPÖÖVPFPÖGrüneKPÖTSNEOSOthersLead
2015 state electiondata-sort-value="2015-05-31"31 May 201529.328.526.86.74.21.72.60.20.8
OGMdata-sort-value="2015-05-24"May 201550331–3228–2921–226–75–61–23–41–22–4
Gallupdata-sort-value="2015-05-15"11–13 May 2015400312921852422
Marketdata-sort-value="2015-05-15"4–7 May 2015398333117751512
OGMdata-sort-value="2015-05-10"May 2015?302824761312
M+Rdata-sort-value="2015-05-03"March 2015800343019.56.54.5324
Gallupdata-sort-value="2015-04-20"April 201530031292084522
Gallupdata-sort-value="2015-03-15"March 2015?32292084523
meinungsraum.atdata-sort-value="2015-01-08"January 2015?3028211031612
2010 state electiondata-sort-value="2010-09-26"26 September 201038.337.210.75.64.43.91.1

Results

align=center colspan=7
PartyVotes%+/−Seats+/−
bgcolor=Social Democratic Party of Austria (SPÖ)189,76229.29–8.9715–8
bgcolor=Austrian People's Party (ÖVP)184,30128.45–8.7414–8
bgcolor=Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ)173,33226.76+16.1014+8
bgcolor=The Greens – The Green Alternative (GRÜNE)43,2726.68+1.133±0
bgcolor=Communist Party of Austria (KPÖ)27,3394.22–0.192±0
bgcolor=NEOS – The New Austria (NEOS)17,0782.64New0New
bgcolor=Team Stronach (FRANK)11,2921.74New0New
Pirate Party of Austria (PIRAT)1,4060.22+0.220±0
Invalid/blank votes7,269
Total655,05110048–8
align=left colspan=2Registered voters/turnout964,66567.90–1.64
align=left colspan=8 Source: Styrian Government

Results by constituency

ConstituencySPÖÖVPFPÖGrüneKPÖOthersTotal
seats
Turnout
class=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable%
District 1 28.3 4 24.8 3 23.5 3 11.2 1 6.4 1 5.7 12 64.4
District 2 22.0 2 38.1 4 27.9 3 5.2 1.9 4.9 9 72.3
District 3 28.3 2 28.4 2 31.8 2 4.4 2.9 4.1 6 68.3
District 4 36.9 5 24.3 3 26.4 3 4.4 4.5 3.4 11 68.2
State seats 2 2 3 2 1 10
Total 29.3 15 28.5 14 26.8 14 6.7 3 4.2 2 4.6 48 67.9
Source: Styrian Government

Aftermath

Prior to the election, Governor Franz Voves stated he would resign if the SPÖ fell below 30% of vote share. As the party fell short of this target, albeit by less than one percentage points, Voves announced his resignation. He was replaced as party leader by Michael Schickhöfer. Formal coalition talks between the SPÖ and ÖVP proceeded. As the SPÖ was the larger party, it was naturally expected that they would retain the governorship. However, after several days of negotiations, the government announced that Voves would be succeeded by ÖVP leader Hermann Schützenhöfer.[2] This was received poorly by opposition parties and the federal SPÖ alike, who criticised it as a breach of political convention. The Styrian SPÖ claimed it had been done to prevent the ÖVP from defecting and forming a coalition with the FPÖ.[3] The government took office on 16 June.

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Styria overall - final result. 3 June 2015. Styrian Government.
  2. Web site: Schützenhöfer becomes LH, Schickhofer follows Voves. 10 June 2015. ORF.
  3. Web site: "First should provide governor". 11 June 2015. ORF.
  4. Web site: Proporz is becoming obsolete. 8 October 2014. Die Presse.
  5. Web site: Mandate distribution table. Styrian Government.