2015 Davenport state by-election explained

Country:South Australia
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Election Date:31 January 2015
Candidate1:Sam Duluk
Party1:Liberal Party of Australia (South Australian Division)
Popular Vote1:9,740
Percentage1:46.9%
Swing1: 4.1pp
Candidate2:Mark Ward
Party2:Australian Labor Party (South Australian Branch)
Popular Vote2:6,927
Percentage2:33.4%
Swing2: 4.8pp
Candidate3:Jody Moate
Party3:Greens South Australia
Popular Vote3:2,584
Percentage3:12.5%
Swing3: 2.8pp
1Blank:TPP
2Blank:TPP swing
1Data1:53.1%
2Data1: 5.0pp
1Data2:46.9%
2Data2: 5.0pp
MP
Before Election:Iain Evans
Before Party:Liberal Party of Australia (South Australian Division)
After Election:Sam Duluk
After Party:Liberal Party of Australia (South Australian Division)

A by-election for the seat of Davenport in the South Australian House of Assembly was held on 31 January 2015. The by-election was triggered by the resignation of Liberal Party of Australia MP and former Liberal leader Iain Evans, who retained the seat at the 2014 election on a 58.1 (−2.8) percent two-party-preferred vote.[1] [2] [3] Liberal Sam Duluk went on to win the seat despite a five-point two-party swing, turning the historically safe seat of Davenport in to a marginal for the first time.[4]

The by-election was held on the same day as the 2015 Queensland state election.

Dates

DateEvent[5]
3 January 2015Writ of election issued by the Governor
13 January 2015Close of electoral rolls
16 January 2015Close of nominations
31 January 2015Polling day, between the hours of 8 am and 6 pm

Candidates

5 candidates in ballot paper order
 Liberal Party of AustraliaSam DulukAccountant. Liberal candidate for seat of Fisher at the previous election.
 Family First PartyNatasha EdmondsFamily First candidate for Davenport at the previous election.
 Independent Australian DemocratsJeanie WalkerInvolved in property investing and management and is an Aboriginal Family Violence Case Manager. Contested the 2014 Fisher by-election.
 Australian Labor PartyMark WardCity of Mitcham councillor for last eight years, has served as Deputy Mayor. Urrbrae Agricultural High School teacher. Centennial Park Cemetery board member.
 GreensJody MoateRetail sector worker. Volunteers with numerous community groups.

Result

Liberal Sam Duluk won the seat with a -4.1 point swing, with the Liberal party failing to win outright and relying on preferences.[4] South Australian Newspoll at the time of the Davenport by-election recorded a statewide seven percent two-party swing from Liberal to Labor. ABC election analyst Antony Green described the Davenport by-election as "another poor result for the South Australian Liberal Party"[6] following the 2014 Fisher by-election which saw Labor go from minority to majority government following a 7.3 percent two-party swing.[7] As with the Fisher by-election, much of the anti-Liberal swing was attributed to the unpopularity of then Prime Minister Tony Abbott, and a remark from then Defence Minister David Johnston several days before the Fisher by-election that he wouldn't trust South Australia's Australian Submarine Corporation to "build a canoe".[8] [9] [10] Additionally, just a couple of days before the Davenport by-election, Abbott's infamous knighting of Prince Philip occurred.[11] [12] [13]

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. News: South Australia set for two by-elections, in Fisher and Davenport state electorates. 20 October 2014. ABC News. Australian Broadcasting Corporation. 20 October 2014.
  2. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-10-21/speaker-michael-atkinson-defends-by-election-decision/5829320 Speaker Michael Atkinson defends decision to separate two SA by-elections: ABC 21 October 2014
  3. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-11-13/january-31-chosen-for-davenport-by-election-date/5889310 Davenport by-election date in South Australia set for January 31: ABC 13 November 2014
  4. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-01-31/liberals-win-davenport-by-election/6060032 Liberals withstand swing to win by-election in South Australian seat of Davenport: ABC 31 January 2015
  5. http://www.abc.net.au/elections/sa/2015/davenport/ 2015 Davenport by-election: Antony Green ABC
  6. http://www.abc.net.au/elections/sa/2015/davenport/commentary.htm 2015 Davenport by-election commentary: Antony Green ABC
  7. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-12-13/labor-win-fisher-weatherill-majority-government-sa-by-election/5965332 Fisher by-election win for Labor gives Weatherill Government majority in SA: ABC 13 December 2014
  8. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-11-25/johnston-wouldnt-trust-submarine-corporation-to-build-a-canoe/5917502 Defence Minister says he 'wouldn't trust' Australian Submarine Corporation to build a canoe: ABC 25 November 2014
  9. http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-australia/is-tony-abbott-the-hazard-for-liberals-in-fisher-by-election/story-fni6uo1m-1227140123084 Is Tony Abbott the hazard for Liberals in Fisher by-election?: The Advertiser 30 November 2014
  10. http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/abbott-government-forced-into-submission-after-shock-loss-in-south-australia-20141209-123j0l.html Abbott government forced into sub-mission after shock loss in South Australia: Sydney Morning Herald 9 December 2014
  11. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-01-29/prince-phillip-knighthood-could-affect-sa-voters/6055746 Davenport by-election: Tony Abbott's decision to knight Prince Philip could affect voters: ABC 29 January 2015
  12. http://www.9news.com.au/national/2015/02/01/20/45/swing-to-labor-at-sa-by-election-another-warning-to-pm-abbott Large swing to Labor at SA by-election another warning to PM Abbott: Nine News 2 February 2015
  13. http://www.afr.com/news/politics/national/tony-abbott-reels-from-queensland-election-debacle-20150201-133fi9 Tony Abbott reels from Queensland election debacle: Financial Review 2 February 2015