| Election Name: | 2015 Cantabrian regional election |
| Country: | Cantabria |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2011 Cantabrian regional election |
| Previous Year: | 2011 |
| Next Election: | 2019 Cantabrian regional election |
| Next Year: | 2019 |
| Seats For Election: | All 35 seats in the Parliament of Cantabria |
| Majority Seats: | 18 |
| Opinion Polls: |
|
| Registered: | 499,596 |
| Turnout: | 330,868 (66.2%) 1.2 pp |
| Election Date: | 24 May 2015 |
| Leader1: | Ignacio Diego |
| Party1: | People's Party of Cantabria |
| Leader Since1: | 13 November 2004 |
| Last Election1: | 20 seats, 46.1% |
| Seats1: | 13 |
| Seat Change1: | 7 |
| Popular Vote1: | 105,944 |
| Percentage1: | 32.6% |
| Swing1: | 13.5 pp |
| Leader2: | Miguel Ángel Revilla |
| Party2: | Regionalist Party of Cantabria |
| Leader Since2: | 1983 |
| Last Election2: | 12 seats, 29.1% |
| Seats2: | 12 |
| Seat Change2: | 0 |
| Popular Vote2: | 97,185 |
| Percentage2: | 29.9% |
| Swing2: | 0.8 pp |
| Leader3: | Eva Díaz Tezanos |
| Party3: | Socialist Party of Cantabria |
| Leader Since3: | 31 March 2012 |
| Last Election3: | 7 seats, 16.4% |
| Seats3: | 5 |
| Seat Change3: | 2 |
| Popular Vote3: | 45,653 |
| Percentage3: | 14.0% |
| Swing3: | 2.4 pp |
| Leader4: | José Ramón Blanco |
| Party4: | Podemos (Spanish political party) |
| Leader Since4: | 14 February 2015 |
| Last Election4: | Did not contest |
| Seats4: | 3 |
| Seat Change4: | 3 |
| Popular Vote4: | 28,895 |
| Percentage4: | 8.9% |
| Swing4: | New party |
| Leader5: | Rubén Gómez |
| Party5: | C's |
| Colour5: | EB6109 |
| Leader Since5: | 9 April 2015 |
| Last Election5: | Did not contest |
| Seats5: | 2 |
| Seat Change5: | 2 |
| Popular Vote5: | 22,552 |
| Percentage5: | 6.9% |
| Swing5: | New party |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Ignacio Diego |
| Before Party: | People's Party of Cantabria |
| After Election: | Miguel Ángel Revilla |
| After Party: | Regionalist Party of Cantabria |
The 2015 Cantabrian regional election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Parliament of the autonomous community of Cantabria. All 35 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The Parliament of Cantabria was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Cantabria, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Cantabrian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Autonomous Community.[1] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Cantabria and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Cantabrians abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish; Castilian: Voto rogado).[2]
The 35 members of the Parliament of Cantabria were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally.[1] [3]
The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in Cantabria. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[3] [4] [5]
The term of the Parliament of Cantabria expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Parliament were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 22 May 2011, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 24 May 2015.[1] [3] [4] [5]
The President of the Autonomous Community had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Cantabria and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 18 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Cantabria (20 until 1 June 2012).
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PRC | Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | 66.2 | 32.6 | 29.9 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 2.7 | ||
| GAD3/Antena 3[6] | 11–22 May 2015 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | – | – | ? | ? | ? | |
| GAD3/ABC[7] [8] | 17 May 2015 | ? | ? | 37.5 | 22.3 | 15.7 | – | – | 7.4 | 10.3 | 15.2 | |
| NC Report/La Razón[9] [10] [11] | 17 May 2015 | 400 | ? | 36.2 | 24.2 | 15.3 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 10.2 | 8.9 | 12.0 | |
| Ikerfel/El Diario Montañés[12] [13] | 5–9 May 2015 | 2,000 | ? | 34.7 | 21.8 | 15.7 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 8.8 | 11.9 | 12.9 | |
| PP[14] | 1 May 2015 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | – | – | ? | ? | ? | |
| CIS[15] [16] | 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 | 799 | ? | 33.2 | 22.4 | 16.3 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 9.5 | 10.3 | 10.8 | |
| NC Report/La Razón[17] [18] [19] | 17–26 Mar 2015 | 400 | ? | 35.9 | 20.1 | 15.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 12.7 | 10.1 | 15.8 | |
| Ikerfel/El Diario Montañés[20] [21] | 23 Feb–3 Mar 2015 | 1,800 | ? | 34.8 | 17.6 | 15.3 | 4.1 | – | 13.1 | 12.5 | 17.2 | |
| PP[22] | 2 Feb 2015 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | – | – | ? | – | ? | |
| PP[23] | 10 Nov 2014 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | – | – | ? | – | ? | |
| SyM Consulting[24] [25] [26] | 1–5 Nov 2014 | 508 | 69.9 | 36.8 | 12.6 | 21.8 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 13.4 | – | 15.0 | |
| Llorente & Cuenca[27] | 31 Oct 2014 | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | – | ? | |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | 44.1 | 34.7 | – | 24.3 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 9.2 | 3.0 | 10.4 | ||
| SyM Consulting[28] [29] | 6–9 Feb 2014 | 516 | 70.7 | 36.9 | 27.7 | 16.8 | 7.7 | 6.3 | – | – | 9.2 | |
| NC Report/La Razón[30] [31] | 15 Oct–12 Nov 2013 | ? | ? | 39.6 | 30.6 | 16.7 | ? | – | – | – | 9.0 | |
| SyM Consulting[32] [33] | 24–27 Sep 2013 | 450 | 77.2 | 36.7 | 24.3 | 17.2 | 7.7 | ? | – | – | 12.4 | |
| NC Report/La Razón[34] [35] [36] | 15 Apr–10 May 2013 | 200 | ? | 39.8 | 30.8 | 16.2 | 6.1 | – | – | – | 9.0 | |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | 71.6 | 52.2 | 12.5 | 25.2 | 3.6 | 3.6 | – | – | 27.0 | ||
| 2011 regional election | 22 May 2011 | 69.8 | 46.1 | 29.1 | 16.4 | 3.3* | 1.7 | – | – | 17.0 | ||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | |||
| People's Party (PP) | 105,944 | 32.58 | –13.51 | 13 | –7 | ||
| Regionalist Party of Cantabria (PRC) | 97,185 | 29.89 | +0.77 | 12 | ±0 | ||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 45,653 | 14.04 | –2.32 | 5 | –2 | ||
| We Can (Podemos) | 28,895 | 8.89 | New | 3 | +3 | ||
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) | 22,552 | 6.94 | New | 2 | +2 | ||
| United Left (IU)1 | 8,246 | 2.54 | –0.78 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | 2,380 | 0.73 | –0.99 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 1,965 | 0.60 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| For Cantabria Yes (Sí) | 1,852 | 0.57 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Equo (Equo) | 1,592 | 0.49 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Let's Win Cantabria (Ganemos) | 1,417 | 0.44 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Vox (Vox) | 1,119 | 0.34 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) | 562 | 0.17 | –0.16 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Engine and Sports Alternative (AMD) | 495 | 0.15 | –0.12 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) | 251 | 0.08 | –0.07 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Blank ballots | 5,025 | 1.55 | –0.61 | ||||
| Total | 325,133 | 35 | –4 | ||||
| Valid votes | 325,133 | 98.27 | –0.03 | ||||
| Invalid votes | 5,735 | 1.73 | +0.03 | ||||
| Votes cast / turnout | 330,868 | 66.23 | –3.56 | ||||
| Abstentions | 168,728 | 33.77 | +3.56 | ||||
| Registered voters | 499,596 | ||||||
| Sources[37] [38] | |||||||
| Investiture Miguel Ángel Revilla (PRC) | ||||
| Ballot → | 1 July 2015 | 3 July 2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 18 out of 35 | Simple | ||
| Absentees | ||||
| Sources | ||||
