2015 Bremen state election explained

Election Name:2015 Bremen state election
Country:Bremen
Type:Parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2011 Bremen state election
Previous Year:2011
Next Election:2019 Bremen state election
Next Year:2019
Seats For Election:All 83 seats in the Bürgerschaft of Bremen
Majority Seats:42
Election Date:10 May 2015
Turnout:1,168,352 (50.2%)
5.3%
Leader1:Jens Böhrnsen
Party1:Social Democratic Party of Germany
Last Election1:36 seats, 38.6%
Seats1:29
Popular Vote1:383,509
Seat Change1: 7
Percentage1:32.8%
Swing1: 5.8%
Leader2:Elisabeth Motschmann
Party2:Christian Democratic Union (Germany)
Last Election2:20 seats, 20.4%
Seats2:20
Popular Vote2:261,929
Seat Change2: 0
Percentage2:22.4%
Swing2: 2.0%
Leader3:Karoline Linnert
Party3:Alliance 90/The Greens
Last Election3:21 seats, 22.5%
Seats3:14
Popular Vote3:176,807
Seat Change3: 7
Percentage3:15.1%
Swing3: 7.4%
Leader4:Kristina Vogt
Party4:The Left (Germany)
Last Election4:5 seats, 5.6%
Seats4:8
Popular Vote4:111,485
Seat Change4: 3
Percentage4:9.5%
Swing4: 3.9%
Leader5:Lencke Wischhusen
Party5:Free Democratic Party (Germany)
Last Election5:0 seats, 2.4%
Seats5:6
Popular Vote5:76,754
Seat Change5: 6
Percentage5:6.6%
Swing5: 4.2%
Leader6:Christian Schäfer
Party6:Alternative for Germany
Last Election6:Did not exist
Seats6:4
Popular Vote6:64,368
Seat Change6: 4
Percentage6:5.5%
Swing6:New party
Leader7:Jan Timke
Party7:Citizens in Rage
Last Election7:1 seat, 3.7%
Popular Vote7:37,759
Seats7:1
Seat Change7: 0
Percentage7:3.2%
Swing7: 0.5%
Government
Before Election:Third Böhrnsen senate
Before Party:SPD–Green
Posttitle:Government after election
After Election:Sieling senate
After Party:SPD–Green

The 2015 Bremen state election was held on 10 May 2015 to elect the members of the Bürgerschaft of Bremen, as well as the city councils of Bremen and Bremerhaven.[1] The incumbent government of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and The Greens retained its majority. However, Mayor and SPD leader Jens Böhrnsen resigned due to his party's poor performance, which was significantly below expectations. He was succeeded by fellow SPD member Carsten Sieling.[2]

Analysts expressed surprise about the low turnout (just 50.1%), the lowest since 1945 in a west German state, and concern about a particularly low turnout in impoverished areas, which was seen as an indication of disillusionment with politics in these demographics.[3]

Background

Following the election in 2011, the Social Democrats and Greens continued their coalition government from the previous legislative period. The composition changed several times since the last election following the death of Renate Möbius, later Martin Korol took her place in the SPD caucus. He soon after left the party and sat as an independent before joining the Citizens in Rage. For the CDU, Oğuzhan Yazıcı replaced Elisabeth Motschmann when she was elected to the Bundestag. There were personnel changes in the caucus of Alliance '90/The Greens as well.

Electoral system

Each voter may distribute five votes among party lists or candidates within them (cumulative voting and panachage).[4] The state of Bremen consists of two cities, Bremen and Bremerhaven. Of the 83 members of the state legislature, 68 are elected in Bremen, 15 in Bremerhaven. To be allocated seats from either Bremen or Bremerhaven a party must receive 5% of the vote or more in the respective city. In Bremen (but not in Bremerhaven), the same ballot is also used to determine the composition of the city legislature, also consisting of 68 members who in most cases are the same as Bremen's representatives in the state legislature. Differences may, however, arise since EU citizens resident in Bremen who are not also German citizens may vote in city legislature elections but not in state legislature elections.[5] In the 2003 elections, the 2007 elections, and the current election, this led to one or more of Bremen's seats being allocated to different candidates in the state legislature and in the city legislature.

The state government (Senate), the head of state government (President of the Senate), and the heads of the city governments (Mayor) are later elected by the respective legislatures.

All Germans who have lived in Bremen for at least three months prior to the election are eligible to vote. As of the last election, the voting age is 16, the eligibility age 18. Non-German EU citizens resident in Bremen may vote in city legislature elections but not in state legislature elections which for German citizens in Bremen (but not in Bremerhaven) happen with the same votes on the same ballot.

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the previous Bürgerschaft of Bremen.

NameIdeologyLeader(s)2011 result
Votes (%)Seats
bgcolor= SPDSocial Democratic Party of Germany
Social democracyJens Böhrnsen38.6%
bgcolor= CDUChristian Democratic Union of Germany
Christian democracyElisabeth Motschmann20.4%
bgcolor= GrüneAlliance 90/The Greens
Green politicsKaroline Linnert22.5%
bgcolor= LinkeThe Left
Democratic socialismKristina Vogt5.6%
bgcolor= BiWCitizens in Rage
Right-wing populismJan Timke3.7%

Opinion polls

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDGrüneCDULinkeBIWFDPAfDOthersLead
2015 state electiondata-sort-value="2015-05-10"10 May 201532.815.122.49.53.26.65.54.810.4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlendata-sort-value="2015-05-07"6–7 May 20151,00036.015.023.08.53.06.55.03.013
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2015-04-29"28–29 Apr 20151,0013716228365315
Forschungsgruppe Wahlendata-sort-value="2015-04-29"27–29 Apr 20151,0133715239355314
INSAdata-sort-value="2015-04-20"16–20 Apr 20155003712259365312
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2015-04-14"10–14 Apr 20151,0013816236355415
2014 European electiondata-sort-value="2014-05-25"25 May 201434.417.622.49.63.35.86.912.0
FGW Telefonfelddata-sort-value="2014-04-09"31 Mar–9 Apr 20141,00240162883512
Emniddata-sort-value="2014-01-25"15–25 Jan 20141,401371721935816
2013 federal electiondata-sort-value="2013-09-22"22 Sep 201335.612.129.310.13.43.75.86.3
2011 state electiondata-sort-value="2011-05-22"22 May 201138.622.520.45.63.72.46.916.1

Notes and References

  1. News: Wahlen. Bremen. December 3, 2010.
  2. Web site: Bremen Mayor Jens Böhrnsen declines returning to chief minister's post. Deutsche Welle. 18 May 2015.
  3. Web site: Ärmere gehen seltener zur Wahl. The poor participate less often in elections. de. Nordwest Zeitung. 18 May 2015.
  4. Web site: BremWahlG. Bremen Electoral Law. de. 22 September 2014. Gesetzesportal. https://web.archive.org/web/20151117015033/https://bremen.beck.de/default.aspx?vpath=bibdata%2Fges%2FBrWahlG%2Fcont%2FBrWahlG.P6.htm#. November 17, 2015. dead. mdy-all.
  5. Web site: Bremer Wahl-ABC. de. 18 May 2015. Statistisches Landesamt Bremen (Statistical Office of the State of Bremen).