2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina explained

Election Name:2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina
Country:North Carolina
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States Senate election in North Carolina
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina
Next Year:2020
Image1:File:Senator Thom Tillis Official Portrait.jpg
Nominee1:Thom Tillis
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,423,259
Percentage1:48.82%
Nominee2:Kay Hagan
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:1,377,651
Percentage2:47.26%
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Kay Hagan
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Thom Tillis
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Carolina, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary took place on May 6, 2014.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Kay Hagan ran for re-election to a second term in office and lost to Republican Thom Tillis, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives by about 45,000 votes and a margin of 1.6%.[1] This made the election the second-closest race of the 2014 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in Virginia.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

The eight Republican candidates on the 2014 U.S. Senate primary ballot were the most in party history in North Carolina, more than the seven on the ballot in the 2002 Republican primary won by Elizabeth Dole.[9]

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Primary

Poll sourceTed
Alexander
Alex
Bradshaw
Greg
Brannon
Heather
Grant
Mark
Harris
Edward
Kryn
Jim
Snyder
Thom
Tillis
Other/
Undecided
align=left Public Policy Polling[31] February 6–9, 2014305± 5.6%10%13%13%8%2%20%34%
align=left American Insights[32] February 11–15, 2014168± 7.6%4%4%7%11%74%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 6–9, 2014392± 5%7%6%14%11%7%1%4%14%36%
align=left SurveyUSA[33] March 17–19, 2014405± 5%7%4%15%11%6%3%4%28%23%
align=left SurveyUSA[34] March 19–23, 2014405± 5%1%2%13%5%9%0%5%27%38%
align=left SurveyUSA[35] March 27–31, 2014433± 4.8%6%1%15%6%11%2%3%23%34%
align=left Public Policy Polling[36] April 3–6, 2014314± 5.5%6%5%15%7%11%1%2%18%34%
align=left SurveyUSA[37] April 16–22, 2014392± 5%1%1%20%2%15%2%2%39%19%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 26–28, 2014694± 3.7%2%1%20%5%11%2%3%46%12%
align=left Public Policy Polling[38] May 3–4, 2014925± 3.2%2%0%28%4%15%1%1%40%11%
Poll sourcePhil
Berger
Greg
Brannon
Jim
Cain
Renee
Ellmers
Bill
Flynn
Virginia
Foxx
Heather
Grant
Mark
Harris
Thom
Tillis
Lynn
Wheeler
Other/
Undecided
align=left Public Policy Polling[39] June 12–14, 2013374± 5.1%11%7%8%9%23%4%9%3%27%
align=left rowspan=3 Public Policy Polling[40] July 12–14, 2013373± 5.1%11%7%11%11%16%1%5%3%35%
22%18%21%39%
25%32%43%
align=left rowspan=2 Public Policy Polling[41] August 8–11, 2013344± 5.3%9%7%9%18%4%4%8%2%40%
22%23%56%
align=left Public Policy Polling[42] September 6–9, 2013311± 5.6%13%6%11%8%5%12%2%43%
align=left Public Policy Polling[43] November 8–11, 2013498± 4.4%11%8%14%20%47%
align=left Public Policy Polling[44] December 5–8, 2013529± 4.3%11%8%11%12%13%44%
align=left Public Policy Polling[45] January 9–12, 2014575± 4.1%11%7%11%8%19%44%
Poll sourcePhil
Berger
Cherie
Berry
Greg
Brannon
Renee
Ellmers
Terry
Embler
Dan
Forest
Virginia
Foxx
George
Holding
Patrick
McHenry
Thom
Tillis
Other/
Undecided
align=left Public Policy Polling[46] February 7–10, 2013518± 4.3%7%18%5%10%1%18%3%10%3%27%
align=left Public Policy Polling[47] March 7–10, 2013530± 4.3%8%12%4%10%1%18%13%7%2%24%
align=left Public Policy Polling[48] April 11–14, 2013468± 4.5%11%18%6%12%1%13%7%32%
align=left Public Policy Polling[49] May 17–20, 2013366± 5.1%10%14%7%10%15%6%38%
Poll sourcePhil
Berger
Renee
Ellmers
Virginia
Foxx
George
Holding
Richard
Hudson
Patrick
McHenry
Mark
Meadows
Sue
Myrick
Robert
Pittenger
Thom
Tillis
Other/
Undecided
align=left Public Policy Polling[50] December 6–9, 2012462± 4.6%11%17%9%6%13%4%14%2%25%
align=left Public Policy Polling[51] January 10–13, 2013449± 4.6%5%11%21%2%5%15%6%2%33%

Runoff

Poll sourceGreg
Brannon
Thom
Tillis
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 26–28, 2014694± 3.7%32%50%18%
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 3–4, 2014925± 3.2%40%46%14%
Poll sourceMark
Harris
Thom
Tillis
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 26–28, 2014694± 3.7%27%53%20%
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 3–4, 2014925± 3.2%34%49%16%

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Other parties

Certified write-in candidates

General election

Candidates

Outside spending

In July 2014, Jim Morrill of The Charlotte Observer calculated that as of the end of June, more than $26 million had been spent by outside advocacy groups on the election, with $17 million of it attacking Hagan or supporting Tillis and less than $9 million supporting Hagan or attacking Tillis. By contrast, outside groups spent $25 million during the entire 2008 election. He reported that only $11.4 million had been reported to the FEC, with the rest of the "dark money" coming from groups that did not have to disclose their donors. 27% of the money spent supporting Tillis came from groups required to disclose their donors whereas 69% of the money supporting Hagan did so.[56]

OpenSecrets placed the final cost of outside spending at $8.5 million for Hagan and $35.5 million attacking Tillis, and $13.7 million for Tillis and $20.9 million attacking Hagan, placing the totals by candidate at $44 million for Hagan, and $34.6 million for Tillis.[57]

Debates

Three televised debates between the candidates were held: the first on September 3 moderated by Norah O'Donnell of CBS, the second on October 7 moderated by George Stephanopoulos of ABC, and the third (the only one to feature Sean Haugh) on October 9 moderated by Jon Evans of WECT-TV.[58]

Video of the first debate is available here, with the second here and the third here.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[59] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[60] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[61] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[62] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small Margin of
error
Kay
Hagan (D)
Thom
Tillis (R)
Sean
Haugh (L)
OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy PollingDecember 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%48%38%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingJanuary 10–13, 2013608± 4%47%37%16%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 7–10, 2013600± 4%46%38%16%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 7–10, 2013611± 4%50%36%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013601± 4%49%39%11%
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%48%41%11%
align=left Public Policy PollingJune 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%45%40%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingJuly 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%38%12%
align=left Public Policy PollingAugust 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%39%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingSeptember 6–9, 2013600± 4%51%36%14%
align=left Public Policy Polling[63] October 4–6, 2013746± ?%47%40%13%
align=left Public Policy PollingNovember 8–11, 2013701± 4%44%42%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingDecember 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%44%42%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingJanuary 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%42%43%15%
align=left Harper Polling[64] January 20–21, 2014778± 3.51%44%44%12%
align=left Rasmussen Reports[65] January 22–23, 2014500± 4.5%40%47%3%10%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%40%42%17%
align=left American InsightsFebruary 11–15, 2014611± 4%38%35%26%
align=left Hickman Analytics[66] February 17–20, 2014400± 4.9%45%41%13%
align=left Public Policy Polling[67] March 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%45%43%13%
align=left SurveyUSAMarch 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%45%46%9%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%43%41%16%
align=left New York Times/Kaiser Family[68] April 8–15, 2014900± ?42%40%5%14%
align=left Magellan Strategies[69] April 14–15, 2014804± 3.46%43%43%8%6%
align=left Rasmussen Reports[70] May 7–8, 2014750± 4%44%45%5%7%
align=left rowspan=2 Public Policy Polling[71] May 9–11, 2014877± 3.3%38%36%11%15%
41%41%18%
align=left rowspan=2 Civitas Institute[72] May 20–22, 2014600± 4%36%39%8%15%
41%46%12%
align=left Magellan Strategies[73] June 5–8, 2014700± 3.7%47%46%7%
align=left rowspan=2 Public Policy Polling[74] June 12–15, 20141,076± 3%39%34%11%16%
42%38%20%
align=left rowspan=2 Civitas Institute[75] June 18–19 & 22, 2014600± 4%42%36%9%12%
47%43%9%
align=left rowspan=2 Public Policy Polling[76] July 17–20, 20141,062± 3%41%34%8%16%
42%39%19%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[77] July 5–24, 20142,678± 3.5%44%45%2%7%
align=left Gravis Marketing[78] July 22–27, 20141,380± 3%44%41%15%
align=left rowspan=2 Civitas Institute[79] July 28–29, 2014600± 4%41%39%7%12%
43%45%10%
align=left Rasmussen Reports[80] August 5–6, 2014750± 4%40%45%6%9%
align=left rowspan=2 Public Policy Polling[81] August 14–17, 2014856± 3.4%42%38%8%13%
43%42%14%
align=left Suffolk University[82] August 16–19, 2014500± 4.4%45.4%43%5.2%6.4%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[83] August 18 – September 2, 20142,059± 3%42%43%5%0%10%
align=left Garin-Hart-Yang[84] September 3–6, 2014802± 3.5%48%45%7%
align=left rowspan=2 Elon University[85] September 5–9, 2014629 LV± 3.91%44.9%40.8%9.1%5.2%
983 RV± 3.13%42.7%36.8%10.7%9.8%
align=left American Insights[86] September 5–10, 2014459± 4.6%46%36%6%13%
align=left Rasmussen Reports[87] September 8–10, 20141,000± 4%45%39%6%9%
align=left rowspan=2 Civitas Institute[88] September 9–10, 2014490± 4.5%46%43%5%6%
47%46%7%
align=left rowspan=2 Public Policy Polling[89] September 11–14, 20141,266± 2.8%44%40%5%11%
46%42%12%
align=left Fox News[90] September 14–16, 2014605± 4%41%36%6%13%
align=left High Point University[91] September 13–18, 2014410± 5%42%40%6%12%
align=left Global Strategy Group[92] September 16–18, 2014600± 4.9%45%41%5%9%
align=left Gravis Marketing[93] September 22–23, 2014860± 3%46%42%12%
align=left rowspan=2 CNN/ORC[94] September 22–25, 2014595 LV± 4%46%43%7%4%
860± 3.5%46%39%9%6%
align=left rowspan=2 Civitas[95] September 25, 27–28, 2014600± 4%46%41%4%1%8%
860± 3.5%50%43%8%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[96] September 20 – October 1, 20142,002± 3%46%45%2%1%6%
align=left Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[97] September 25 – October 1, 20141,000± 2.09%45%41%14%
align=left rowspan=2 NBC News/Marist[98] September 27 – October 1, 2014665 LV± 3.8%44%40%7%<1%9%
1,132 RV± 2.9%42%37%8%1%12%
align=left Morey Group[99] October 1–6, 2014956± 3.2%40.1%37.8%2%20.2%
align=left Suffolk University[100] October 4–7, 2014500± 4.4%46.8%45.4%4.4%3.4%
align=left Rasmussen Reports[101] October 6–7, 2014970± 3%48%46%2%4%
align=left High Point University[102] 584± 4.1%39.5%40.4%7%13%
align=left rowspan=2 SurveyUSA[103] October 10–12, 2014554± 4.2%44%41%7%8%
45%46%9%
align=left rowspan=2 Civitas Institute[104] October 15–18, 2014600± 4%41%42%6%11%
44%44%12%
align=left Gravis Marketing[105] October 16–18, 20141,022± 3%43%48%9%
align=left rowspan=2 Public Policy Polling[106] October 16–18, 2014780± 3.5%46%43%5%7%
47%44%8%
align=left SurveyUSA[107] October 16–20, 2014568± 4.2%46%43%6%5%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20141,910± 4%44%41%2%0%13%
align=left rowspan=2 NBC News/Marist[108] October 19–23, 2014756 LV± 3.6%43%43%7%<1%6%
1,070 RV± 3%42%40%8%1%9%
align=left SurveyUSA[109] October 21–25, 2014802± 4%44%44%5%3%5%
align=left rowspan=2 Elon University[110] October 21–25, 2014687 LV± 3.74%44.7%40.7%6.3%6.6%
996 RV± 3.11%44.8%37.5%7.7%8.5%
align=left Monmouth University[111] October 23–26, 2014432± 4.7%48%46%1%4%
align=left Vox Populi[112] October 26–27, 2014615± 3.95%43%48%9%
align=left Public Policy Polling[113] October 28–29, 2014657± ?47%46%4%3%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsOctober 28–29, 2014982± 3%47%46%3%3%
align=left rowspan=2 CNN/ORC[114] October 27–30, 2014559 LV± 4%48%46%4%2%
896 RV± 3.5%47%41%8%4%
align=left Fox News[115] October 28–30, 2014909± 3%43%42%4%1%9%
align=left rowspan=2 Harper Polling[116] October 28–30, 2014511± 4.34%44%46%6%4%
45%48%7%
align=left rowspan=2 Civitas Institute[117] October 29–30, 2014600± 4%41%41%6%10%
45%44%11%
align=left Gravis Marketing[118] October 29–30, 20141,006± 3%46%47%8%
align=left YouGov[119] October 25–31, 20141,727± 3%44%41%3%12%
align=left Public Policy Polling[120] October 30–31, 2014738± ?46%45%4%5%
align=left rowspan=2 Public Policy Polling[121] November 1–3, 20141,333± 2.7%46%44%5%6%
48%46%6%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Ted
Alexander (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%38%45%17%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%45%12%
align=left SurveyUSAMarch 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%44%46%10%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%42%43%15%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Phil
Berger (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingJanuary 10–13, 2013608± 4%47%38%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 7–10, 2013600± 4%49%38%13%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 7–10, 2013611± 4%51%37%12%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013601± 4%48%39%13%
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%46%42%12%
align=left Public Policy PollingJune 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%44%40%17%
align=left Public Policy PollingJuly 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%39%12%
align=left Public Policy PollingAugust 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%39%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingSeptember 6–9, 2013600± 4%53%36%11%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Cherie K.
Berry (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 7–10, 2013600± 4%46%38%16%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 7–10, 2013611± 4%50%38%12%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013601± 4%46%41%13%
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%45%45%9%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Alex
Bradshaw (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%43%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%41%42%17%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Greg
Brannon (R)
OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 7–10, 2013600± 4%48%35%17%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 7–10, 2013611± 4%51%36%13%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013601± 4%49%36%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%49%40%11%
align=left Public Policy PollingJune 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%44%40%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingJuly 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%39%12%
align=left Public Policy PollingAugust 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%38%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingSeptember 6–9, 2013600± 4%52%36%12%
align=left Public Policy PollingOctober 4–6, 2013746± ?%46%40%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingNovember 8–11, 2013701± 4%43%44%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingDecember 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%43%45%11%
align=left Public Policy PollingJanuary 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%41%43%16%
align=left Rasmussen ReportsJanuary 22–23, 2014500± 4.5%39%43%4%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%40%43%17%
align=left American InsightsFebruary 11–15, 2014611± 4%38%36%26%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%43%14%
align=left SurveyUSAMarch 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%45%47%9%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%40%42%18%
align=left New York Times/Kaiser FamilyApril 8–15, 2014900± ?41%39%4%17%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
James P.
Cain (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%48%41%11%
align=left Public Policy PollingJune 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%46%38%16%
align=left Public Policy PollingJuly 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%36%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingAugust 8–11, 2013600± 4%46%39%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingSeptember 6–9, 2013600± 4%50%37%13%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Renee
Ellmers (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingDecember 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%45%39%19%
align=left Public Policy PollingJanuary 10–13, 2013608± 4%46%40%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 7–10, 2013600± 4%47%38%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 7–10, 2013611± 4%49%36%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013601± 4%48%40%12%
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%48%39%12%
align=left Public Policy PollingJune 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%46%39%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingJuly 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%36%14%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Terry
Embler (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 7–10, 2013600± 4%48%33%20%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 7–10, 2013611± 4%52%33%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013601± 4%47%37%16%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Bill
Flynn (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingDecember 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%43%45%12%
align=left Public Policy PollingJanuary 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%42%44%15%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Virginia
Foxx (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingDecember 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%49%39%12%
align=left Public Policy PollingJanuary 10–13, 2013608± 4%47%40%13%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 7–10, 2013600± 4%48%38%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 7–10, 2013611± 4%49%37%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013601± 4%48%39%13%
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%49%42%10%
align=left Public Policy PollingJune 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%46%39%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingJuly 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%37%13%
align=left Public Policy PollingAugust 8–11, 2013600± 4%48%39%13%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Heather
Grant (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingAugust 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%37%16%
align=left Public Policy PollingSeptember 6–9, 2013600± 4%48%36%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingNovember 8–11, 2013701± 4%43%40%17%
align=left Public Policy PollingDecember 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%43%43%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingJanuary 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%41%42%17%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%39%41%20%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%42%15%
align=left SurveyUSAMarch 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%44%46%10%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%39%43%19%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Mark
Harris (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingMay 17–20, 2013500± 4.4%46%40%13%
align=left Public Policy PollingJune 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%46%37%17%
align=left Public Policy PollingJuly 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%35%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingAugust 8–11, 2013600± 4%46%37%16%
align=left Public Policy PollingSeptember 6–9, 2013600± 4%50%36%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingOctober 4–6, 2013746± ?%46%38%16%
align=left Public Policy PollingNovember 8–11, 2013701± 4%43%41%16%
align=left Public Policy PollingDecember 5–8, 20131,281± 2.7%43%43%14%
align=left Public Policy PollingJanuary 9–12, 20141,384± 2.6%41%43%16%
align=left Harper PollingJanuary 20–21, 2014778± 3.51%44%40%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%40%42%18%
align=left American InsightsFebruary 11–15, 2014611± 4%39%35%26%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%43%14%
align=left SurveyUSAMarch 27–31, 20141,489± 2.6%43%47%10%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%40%44%17%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
George
Holding (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingDecember 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%48%39%13%
align=left Public Policy PollingJanuary 10–13, 2013608± 4%45%37%18%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 7–10, 2013600± 4%46%36%19%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Edward
Kryn (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 6–9, 2014708± 3.7%40%40%20%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%43%41%16%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%40%41%19%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Patrick
McHenry (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingDecember 6–9, 2012578± 4.1%48%40%12%
align=left Public Policy PollingJanuary 10–13, 2013608± 4%45%39%16%
align=left Public Policy PollingFebruary 7–10, 2013600± 4%45%40%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 7–10, 2013611± 4%49%39%12%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Jim
Snyder (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingMarch 6–9, 2014884± 3.3%42%43%15%
align=left Public Policy PollingApril 3–6, 2014740± 3.6%41%41%18%
Poll sourceKay
Hagan (D)
Lynn
Wheeler (R)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingJune 12–14, 2013500± 4.4%45%36%19%
align=left Public Policy PollingJuly 12–14, 2013600± 4%49%34%17%
align=left Public Policy PollingAugust 8–11, 2013600± 4%47%36%17%
align=left Public Policy PollingSeptember 6–9, 2013600± 4%48%35%17%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Republicans seize Senate, gaining full control of Congress . November 5, 2014 . November 5, 2014.
  2. Web site: CNN: Sen. Kay Hagan to run again in 2014 . November 28, 2012 . November 30, 2012 . https://web.archive.org/web/20121130025256/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/27/sen-kay-hagan-to-run-again-in-2014/ . dead .
  3. Web site: Hagan Targeted by GOP, Ready for 2014 N.C. Race . November 13, 2012 . November 17, 2012 . . Joshua . Miller.
  4. Web site: NC State Board of Elections: Candidate filing list . March 1, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160126214637/http://www.ncsbe.gov/ncsbe/Portals/0/FilesP/CandidateFilingList.pdf . January 26, 2016 . dead . mdy-all .
  5. http://www.newsobserver.com/2014/04/13/3783000/2-long-shot-democrats-challenging.html?sp=/99/102/105/135/ News & Observer: 2 long-shot Democrats challenge Kay Hagan
  6. http://www.newsobserver.com/2014/01/22/3554936/kay-hagan-gets-a-challenger-for.html News & Observer: Kay Hagan gets a challenger
  7. Web site: Fayetteville Observer . September 27, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130927023725/http://blogs.fayobserver.com/peoplesbusiness/September-2013/Retired-educator-living-in-N-C--wants-to-challenge . September 27, 2013 . dead .
  8. http://www.senatorwestphal.com/ SenatorWestphal.com
  9. Web site: North Carolina GOP Eyes 2nd Ever US Senate Primary Runoff . Smart Politics . Eric . Ostermeier . May 6, 2014.
  10. http://www.shelbystar.com/news/local/senator-ted-former-shelby-mayor-alexander-to-run-for-congress-updated-4-30-p-m-1.261575 Shelby Star
  11. Web site: Dr. Greg Brannon steps up to challenge Hagan in 2014 . February 11, 2013 . February 6, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130206013224/http://www.beaufortobserver.net/Articles-NEWS-and-COMMENTARY-c-2013-01-28-265032.112112-Dr-Greg-Brannon-steps-up-to-challenge-Hagan-in-2014.html . dead .
  12. http://www.journalpatriot.com/news/article_4648cccc-f486-11e2-be44-001a4bcf6878.html Heather Grant to run for U.S. Senate seat - journalpatriot: News
  13. Web site: Trygstad . Kyle . Conservative Preacher Joins North Carolina Senate Primary . Roll Call . September 12, 2013 . September 15, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130915082056/http://atr.rollcall.com/conservative-preacher-to-challenge-hagan/ . dead .
  14. http://www.charlotteobserver.com/2014/01/21/4629659/retired-doctor-another-candidate.html#.UuFlEKX0B0s
  15. http://www.wbtv.com/story/24819431/snyder-gets-into-north-carolina-us-senate-race WBTV/Associated Press
  16. http://www.wral.com/apnewsbreak-tillis-says-he-ll-run-for-us-senate/12500587/ WRAL/AP: Tillis says he'll run for US Senate
  17. Web site: N.C. Labor Commissioner Considering Run Against Hagan . February 13, 2013 . February 14, 2013 . . Sarah . Mimms . https://web.archive.org/web/20130221030648/http://www.nationaljournal.com/blogs/hotlineoncall/2013/02/n-c-labor-commissioner-considering-run-against-hagan-13 . February 21, 2013 . dead .
  18. Web site: Terry Embler - As many if not most have noticed, I have... . Facebook . May 14, 2013 . July 26, 2014.
  19. http://myfox8.com/2013/11/11/local-broadcaster-bill-flynn-announces-run-for-u-s-senate/ Fox 8
  20. Web site: John Frank . Republican Bill Flynn takes early exit from US Senate race . News Observer . January 31, 2014 . January 30, 2014.
  21. http://projects.newsobserver.com/under_the_dome/phi_berger_wont_run_for_us_senate News & Observer Under the Dome: Phil Berger won't run for US Senate
  22. Web site: Cherie Berry says she won't run for U.S. Senate . May 29, 2013 . May 29, 2013 . . John . Frank.
  23. News: Brunstetter considering US Senate bid . September 18, 2013 . September 18, 2013 . Associated Press . . Gary D. . Robertson . https://web.archive.org/web/20130921062826/http://www.wral.com/nc-sen-brunstetter-considering-us-senate-bid/12899043/ . September 21, 2013 . dead .
  24. http://projects.newsobserver.com/under_the_dome/pete_brunstetter_says_he_wont_seek_us_senate_seat News & Observer Under the Dome: Pete Brunstetter says he won't seek US Senate seat
  25. Web site: Ambassador Eyeing Kay Hagan Challenge . May 17, 2013 . May 17, 2013 . . Kyle . Trygstad . November 5, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131105072347/http://atr.rollcall.com/ambassador-eyeing-kay-hagan-challenge/ . dead .
  26. Web site: House Republican Won't Run for Senate #NCSEN At the Races . July 30, 2013 . December 22, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151222093629/http://atr.rollcall.com/house-republican-wont-run-for-senate-ncsen/ . dead .
  27. Web site: If nominated, he will not run .... . March 13, 2013 . March 14, 2013 . Campaign Tracker . Jim . Morrill.
  28. News: Cahn . Emily . Virginia Foxx Says No to Senate Bid in North Carolina . August 20, 2013 . Roll Call . August 20, 2013 . August 20, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130820173831/http://atr.rollcall.com/virginia-foxx-says-no-to-senate-bid-in-north-carolina/ . dead .
  29. Web site: North Carolina: McHenry Won't Run Against Hagan . April 11, 2013 . April 11, 2013 . . Emily . Cahn . April 13, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130413170903/http://atr.rollcall.com/north-carolina-mchenry-wont-run-against-hagan/ . dead .
  30. Web site: Table Talk . April 26, 2013 . May 18, 2013 . Charlotte Business Journal . Jim . Morrill.
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  44. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_NC_1210.pdf Public Policy Polling
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  50. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_121112.pdf Public Policy Polling
  51. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_011513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  52. Web site: Charlotte Observer: Controversial former candidate making Senate bid . February 28, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140228050438/http://www.charlotteobserver.com/2014/02/27/4728639/controversial-former-candidate.html#.Uw_Tj4WkHm4 . February 28, 2014 . dead .
  53. Web site: Charlotte Observer . February 27, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140228032144/http://www.charlotteobserver.com/2014/02/26/4725832/nc-libertarians-getting-us-senate.html#.Uw_Od4WkHm4 . February 28, 2014 . dead .
  54. Web site: State Board of Elections: CERTIFIED UNAFFILIATED AND WRITE-IN CANDIDATES . July 29, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140811030650/http://www.ncsbe.gov/ncsbe/Portals/0/FilesT/unaffiliated_write_in_candidates_2014.pdf . August 11, 2014 . dead . mdy-all .
  55. Web site: Charlotte Observer: Indian Trail councilman tenders resignation – in Klingon . January 3, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140103163653/http://www.charlotteobserver.com/2014/01/02/4582880/indian-trail-councilman-resigns.html . January 3, 2014 . dead .
  56. News: Outside spending, 'dark' money fuel N.C. Senate race . . July 4, 2014 . September 3, 2014 .
  57. Web site: 2014 Outside Spending, by Race . . November 10, 2014 . November 10, 2014 . April 26, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210426073251/http://www.opensecrets.org/outsidespending/summ.php?disp=R . dead .
  58. http://www.newsobserver.com/2014/10/04/4207602_what-nc-voters-might-learn-from.html?sp=/99/100/&rh=1 News & Observer: What NC voters might learn from final Hagan-Tillis debates
  59. Web site: 2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 20, 2018.
  60. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 20, 2018.
  61. Web site: 2014 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 20, 2018.
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  66. https://www.scribd.com/doc/212123190/NC-Sen-Hickman-Analytics-for-Consumer-Energy-Alliance-Feb-2014 Hickman Analytics
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  68. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/04/23/upshot/24upshot-south-poll.html?smid=tw-share New York Times/Kaiser Family
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