Election Name: | 2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina |
Country: | North Carolina |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2008 United States Senate election in North Carolina |
Previous Year: | 2008 |
Next Election: | 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina |
Next Year: | 2020 |
Image1: | File:Senator Thom Tillis Official Portrait.jpg |
Nominee1: | Thom Tillis |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 1,423,259 |
Percentage1: | 48.82% |
Nominee2: | Kay Hagan |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 1,377,651 |
Percentage2: | 47.26% |
U.S. Senator | |
Before Election: | Kay Hagan |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Thom Tillis |
After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
The 2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Carolina, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary took place on May 6, 2014.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Kay Hagan ran for re-election to a second term in office and lost to Republican Thom Tillis, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives by about 45,000 votes and a margin of 1.6%.[1] This made the election the second-closest race of the 2014 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in Virginia.
The eight Republican candidates on the 2014 U.S. Senate primary ballot were the most in party history in North Carolina, more than the seven on the ballot in the 2002 Republican primary won by Elizabeth Dole.[9]
Primary
Poll source | Ted Alexander | Alex Bradshaw | Greg Brannon | Heather Grant | Mark Harris | Edward Kryn | Jim Snyder | Thom Tillis | Other/ Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling[31] | February 6–9, 2014 | 305 | ± 5.6% | 10% | — | 13% | 13% | 8% | 2% | — | 20% | 34% | ||
align=left | American Insights[32] | February 11–15, 2014 | 168 | ± 7.6% | — | — | 4% | 4% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 74% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 392 | ± 5% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 36% | ||
align=left | SurveyUSA[33] | March 17–19, 2014 | 405 | ± 5% | 7% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 28% | 23% | ||
align=left | SurveyUSA[34] | March 19–23, 2014 | 405 | ± 5% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 5% | 9% | 0% | 5% | 27% | 38% | ||
align=left | SurveyUSA[35] | March 27–31, 2014 | 433 | ± 4.8% | 6% | 1% | 15% | 6% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 23% | 34% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling[36] | April 3–6, 2014 | 314 | ± 5.5% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 7% | 11% | 1% | 2% | 18% | 34% | ||
align=left | SurveyUSA[37] | April 16–22, 2014 | 392 | ± 5% | 1% | 1% | 20% | 2% | 15% | 2% | 2% | 39% | 19% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 26–28, 2014 | 694 | ± 3.7% | 2% | 1% | 20% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 46% | 12% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling[38] | May 3–4, 2014 | 925 | ± 3.2% | 2% | 0% | 28% | 4% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 40% | 11% |
Poll source | Phil Berger | Greg Brannon | Jim Cain | Renee Ellmers | Bill Flynn | Virginia Foxx | Heather Grant | Mark Harris | Thom Tillis | Lynn Wheeler | Other/ Undecided | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling[39] | June 12–14, 2013 | 374 | ± 5.1% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 9% | — | 23% | — | 4% | 9% | 3% | 27% | |||
align=left rowspan=3 | Public Policy Polling[40] | July 12–14, 2013 | 373 | ± 5.1% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 11% | — | 16% | — | 1% | 5% | 3% | 35% | |||
22% | — | — | 18% | — | — | — | — | 21% | — | 39% | ||||||||
— | — | — | 25% | — | — | — | — | 32% | — | 43% | ||||||||
align=left rowspan=2 | Public Policy Polling[41] | August 8–11, 2013 | 344 | ± 5.3% | 9% | 7% | 9% | — | — | 18% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 40% | |||
22% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23% | — | 56% | ||||||||
align=left | Public Policy Polling[42] | September 6–9, 2013 | 311 | ± 5.6% | 13% | 6% | 11% | — | — | — | 8% | 5% | 12% | 2% | 43% | |||
align=left | Public Policy Polling[43] | November 8–11, 2013 | 498 | ± 4.4% | — | 11% | — | — | — | — | 8% | 14% | 20% | — | 47% | |||
align=left | Public Policy Polling[44] | December 5–8, 2013 | 529 | ± 4.3% | — | 11% | — | — | 8% | — | 11% | 12% | 13% | — | 44% | |||
align=left | Public Policy Polling[45] | January 9–12, 2014 | 575 | ± 4.1% | — | 11% | — | — | 7% | — | 11% | 8% | 19% | — | 44% |
Poll source | Phil Berger | Cherie Berry | Greg Brannon | Renee Ellmers | Terry Embler | Dan Forest | Virginia Foxx | George Holding | Patrick McHenry | Thom Tillis | Other/ Undecided | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling[46] | February 7–10, 2013 | 518 | ± 4.3% | 7% | 18% | 5% | 10% | 1% | — | 18% | 3% | 10% | 3% | 27% | |||
align=left | Public Policy Polling[47] | March 7–10, 2013 | 530 | ± 4.3% | 8% | 12% | 4% | 10% | 1% | 18% | 13% | — | 7% | 2% | 24% | |||
align=left | Public Policy Polling[48] | April 11–14, 2013 | 468 | ± 4.5% | 11% | 18% | 6% | 12% | 1% | — | 13% | — | — | 7% | 32% | |||
align=left | Public Policy Polling[49] | May 17–20, 2013 | 366 | ± 5.1% | 10% | 14% | 7% | 10% | — | — | 15% | — | — | 6% | 38% |
Poll source | Phil Berger | Renee Ellmers | Virginia Foxx | George Holding | Richard Hudson | Patrick McHenry | Mark Meadows | Sue Myrick | Robert Pittenger | Thom Tillis | Other/ Undecided | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling[50] | December 6–9, 2012 | 462 | ± 4.6% | — | 11% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 14% | — | 2% | 25% | |||
align=left | Public Policy Polling[51] | January 10–13, 2013 | 449 | ± 4.6% | 5% | 11% | 21% | 2% | 5% | 15% | — | — | 6% | 2% | 33% |
Runoff
Poll source | Greg Brannon | Thom Tillis | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 26–28, 2014 | 694 | ± 3.7% | 32% | 50% | 18% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | May 3–4, 2014 | 925 | ± 3.2% | 40% | 46% | 14% |
Poll source | Mark Harris | Thom Tillis | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 26–28, 2014 | 694 | ± 3.7% | 27% | 53% | 20% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | May 3–4, 2014 | 925 | ± 3.2% | 34% | 49% | 16% |
In July 2014, Jim Morrill of The Charlotte Observer calculated that as of the end of June, more than $26 million had been spent by outside advocacy groups on the election, with $17 million of it attacking Hagan or supporting Tillis and less than $9 million supporting Hagan or attacking Tillis. By contrast, outside groups spent $25 million during the entire 2008 election. He reported that only $11.4 million had been reported to the FEC, with the rest of the "dark money" coming from groups that did not have to disclose their donors. 27% of the money spent supporting Tillis came from groups required to disclose their donors whereas 69% of the money supporting Hagan did so.[56]
OpenSecrets placed the final cost of outside spending at $8.5 million for Hagan and $35.5 million attacking Tillis, and $13.7 million for Tillis and $20.9 million attacking Hagan, placing the totals by candidate at $44 million for Hagan, and $34.6 million for Tillis.[57]
Three televised debates between the candidates were held: the first on September 3 moderated by Norah O'Donnell of CBS, the second on October 7 moderated by George Stephanopoulos of ABC, and the third (the only one to feature Sean Haugh) on October 9 moderated by Jon Evans of WECT-TV.[58]
Video of the first debate is available here, with the second here and the third here.
Source | Ranking | As of | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report[59] | November 3, 2014 | ||
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[60] | November 3, 2014 | ||
align=left | Rothenberg Political Report[61] | November 3, 2014 | ||
align=left | Real Clear Politics[62] | November 3, 2014 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | class=small | Sample size | class=small | Margin of error | Kay Hagan (D) | Thom Tillis (R) | Sean Haugh (L) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | December 6–9, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 38% | — | — | 14% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | 47% | 37% | — | — | 16% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 46% | 38% | — | — | 16% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | 50% | 36% | — | — | 14% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | 49% | 39% | — | — | 11% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | — | — | 11% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 45% | 40% | — | — | 15% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 38% | — | — | 12% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 47% | 39% | — | — | 14% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | September 6–9, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 51% | 36% | — | — | 14% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling[63] | October 4–6, 2013 | 746 | ± ?% | 47% | 40% | — | — | 13% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | November 8–11, 2013 | 701 | ± 4% | 44% | 42% | — | — | 14% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | December 5–8, 2013 | 1,281 | ± 2.7% | 44% | 42% | — | — | 14% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,384 | ± 2.6% | 42% | 43% | — | — | 15% | |
align=left | Harper Polling[64] | January 20–21, 2014 | 778 | ± 3.51% | 44% | 44% | — | — | 12% | |
align=left | Rasmussen Reports[65] | January 22–23, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 40% | 47% | — | 3% | 10% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | 708 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 42% | — | — | 17% | |
align=left | American Insights | February 11–15, 2014 | 611 | ± 4% | 38% | 35% | — | — | 26% | |
align=left | Hickman Analytics[66] | February 17–20, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 41% | — | — | 13% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling[67] | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 45% | 43% | — | — | 13% | |
align=left | SurveyUSA | March 27–31, 2014 | 1,489 | ± 2.6% | 45% | 46% | — | — | 9% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | 43% | 41% | — | — | 16% | |
align=left | New York Times/Kaiser Family[68] | April 8–15, 2014 | 900 | ± ? | 42% | 40% | — | 5% | 14% | |
align=left | Magellan Strategies[69] | April 14–15, 2014 | 804 | ± 3.46% | 43% | 43% | — | 8% | 6% | |
align=left | Rasmussen Reports[70] | May 7–8, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 44% | 45% | — | 5% | 7% | |
align=left rowspan=2 | Public Policy Polling[71] | May 9–11, 2014 | 877 | ± 3.3% | 38% | 36% | 11% | — | 15% | |
41% | 41% | — | — | 18% | ||||||
align=left rowspan=2 | Civitas Institute[72] | May 20–22, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 36% | 39% | 8% | — | 15% | |
41% | 46% | — | — | 12% | ||||||
align=left | Magellan Strategies[73] | June 5–8, 2014 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 46% | — | — | 7% | |
align=left rowspan=2 | Public Policy Polling[74] | June 12–15, 2014 | 1,076 | ± 3% | 39% | 34% | 11% | — | 16% | |
42% | 38% | — | — | 20% | ||||||
align=left rowspan=2 | Civitas Institute[75] | June 18–19 & 22, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 42% | 36% | 9% | — | 12% | |
47% | 43% | — | — | 9% | ||||||
align=left rowspan=2 | Public Policy Polling[76] | July 17–20, 2014 | 1,062 | ± 3% | 41% | 34% | 8% | — | 16% | |
42% | 39% | — | — | 19% | ||||||
align=left | CBS News/NYT/YouGov[77] | July 5–24, 2014 | 2,678 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 45% | — | 2% | 7% | |
align=left | Gravis Marketing[78] | July 22–27, 2014 | 1,380 | ± 3% | 44% | 41% | — | — | 15% | |
align=left rowspan=2 | Civitas Institute[79] | July 28–29, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 41% | 39% | 7% | — | 12% | |
43% | 45% | — | — | 10% | ||||||
align=left | Rasmussen Reports[80] | August 5–6, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 40% | 45% | — | 6% | 9% | |
align=left rowspan=2 | Public Policy Polling[81] | August 14–17, 2014 | 856 | ± 3.4% | 42% | 38% | 8% | — | 13% | |
43% | 42% | — | — | 14% | ||||||
align=left | Suffolk University[82] | August 16–19, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 45.4% | 43% | 5.2% | — | 6.4% | |
align=left | CBS News/NYT/YouGov[83] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 2,059 | ± 3% | 42% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 10% | |
align=left | Garin-Hart-Yang[84] | September 3–6, 2014 | 802 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | — | — | 7% | |
align=left rowspan=2 | Elon University[85] | September 5–9, 2014 | 629 LV | ± 3.91% | 44.9% | 40.8% | — | 9.1% | 5.2% | |
983 RV | ± 3.13% | 42.7% | 36.8% | — | 10.7% | 9.8% | ||||
align=left | American Insights[86] | September 5–10, 2014 | 459 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 36% | 6% | — | 13% | |
align=left | Rasmussen Reports[87] | September 8–10, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 4% | 45% | 39% | — | 6% | 9% | |
align=left rowspan=2 | Civitas Institute[88] | September 9–10, 2014 | 490 | ± 4.5% | 46% | 43% | 5% | — | 6% | |
47% | 46% | — | — | 7% | ||||||
align=left rowspan=2 | Public Policy Polling[89] | September 11–14, 2014 | 1,266 | ± 2.8% | 44% | 40% | 5% | — | 11% | |
46% | 42% | — | — | 12% | ||||||
align=left | Fox News[90] | September 14–16, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 41% | 36% | 6% | — | 13% | |
align=left | High Point University[91] | September 13–18, 2014 | 410 | ± 5% | 42% | 40% | 6% | — | 12% | |
align=left | Global Strategy Group[92] | September 16–18, 2014 | 600 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 41% | 5% | — | 9% | |
align=left | Gravis Marketing[93] | September 22–23, 2014 | 860 | ± 3% | 46% | 42% | — | — | 12% | |
align=left rowspan=2 | CNN/ORC[94] | September 22–25, 2014 | 595 LV | ± 4% | 46% | 43% | 7% | — | 4% | |
860 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 39% | 9% | — | 6% | ||||
align=left rowspan=2 | Civitas[95] | September 25, 27–28, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 46% | 41% | 4% | 1% | 8% | |
860 | ± 3.5% | 50% | 43% | — | — | 8% | ||||
align=left | CBS News/NYT/YouGov[96] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 2,002 | ± 3% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 6% | |
align=left | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[97] | September 25 – October 1, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 2.09% | 45% | 41% | — | 14% | ||
align=left rowspan=2 | NBC News/Marist[98] | September 27 – October 1, 2014 | 665 LV | ± 3.8% | 44% | 40% | 7% | <1% | 9% | |
1,132 RV | ± 2.9% | 42% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 12% | ||||
align=left | Morey Group[99] | October 1–6, 2014 | 956 | ± 3.2% | 40.1% | 37.8% | — | 2% | 20.2% | |
align=left | Suffolk University[100] | October 4–7, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46.8% | 45.4% | 4.4% | — | 3.4% | |
align=left | Rasmussen Reports[101] | October 6–7, 2014 | 970 | ± 3% | 48% | 46% | — | 2% | 4% | |
align=left | High Point University[102] | 584 | ± 4.1% | 39.5% | 40.4% | 7% | — | 13% | ||
align=left rowspan=2 | SurveyUSA[103] | October 10–12, 2014 | 554 | ± 4.2% | 44% | 41% | 7% | — | 8% | |
45% | 46% | — | — | 9% | ||||||
align=left rowspan=2 | Civitas Institute[104] | October 15–18, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 41% | 42% | 6% | — | 11% | |
44% | 44% | — | — | 12% | ||||||
align=left | Gravis Marketing[105] | October 16–18, 2014 | 1,022 | ± 3% | 43% | 48% | — | — | 9% | |
align=left rowspan=2 | Public Policy Polling[106] | October 16–18, 2014 | 780 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 43% | 5% | — | 7% | |
47% | 44% | — | — | 8% | ||||||
align=left | SurveyUSA[107] | October 16–20, 2014 | 568 | ± 4.2% | 46% | 43% | 6% | — | 5% | |
align=left | CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,910 | ± 4% | 44% | 41% | 2% | 0% | 13% | |
align=left rowspan=2 | NBC News/Marist[108] | October 19–23, 2014 | 756 LV | ± 3.6% | 43% | 43% | 7% | <1% | 6% | |
1,070 RV | ± 3% | 42% | 40% | 8% | 1% | 9% | ||||
align=left | SurveyUSA[109] | October 21–25, 2014 | 802 | ± 4% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 3% | 5% | |
align=left rowspan=2 | Elon University[110] | October 21–25, 2014 | 687 LV | ± 3.74% | 44.7% | 40.7% | — | 6.3% | 6.6% | |
996 RV | ± 3.11% | 44.8% | 37.5% | — | 7.7% | 8.5% | ||||
align=left | Monmouth University[111] | October 23–26, 2014 | 432 | ± 4.7% | 48% | 46% | 1% | — | 4% | |
align=left | Vox Populi[112] | October 26–27, 2014 | 615 | ± 3.95% | 43% | 48% | — | — | 9% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling[113] | October 28–29, 2014 | 657 | ± ? | 47% | 46% | 4% | — | 3% | |
align=left | Rasmussen Reports | October 28–29, 2014 | 982 | ± 3% | 47% | 46% | — | 3% | 3% | |
align=left rowspan=2 | CNN/ORC[114] | October 27–30, 2014 | 559 LV | ± 4% | 48% | 46% | 4% | — | 2% | |
896 RV | ± 3.5% | 47% | 41% | 8% | — | 4% | ||||
align=left | Fox News[115] | October 28–30, 2014 | 909 | ± 3% | 43% | 42% | 4% | 1% | 9% | |
align=left rowspan=2 | Harper Polling[116] | October 28–30, 2014 | 511 | ± 4.34% | 44% | 46% | 6% | — | 4% | |
45% | 48% | — | — | 7% | ||||||
align=left rowspan=2 | Civitas Institute[117] | October 29–30, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 41% | 41% | 6% | — | 10% | |
45% | 44% | — | — | 11% | ||||||
align=left | Gravis Marketing[118] | October 29–30, 2014 | 1,006 | ± 3% | 46% | 47% | — | — | 8% | |
align=left | YouGov[119] | October 25–31, 2014 | 1,727 | ± 3% | 44% | 41% | — | 3% | 12% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling[120] | October 30–31, 2014 | 738 | ± ? | 46% | 45% | 4% | — | 5% | |
align=left rowspan=2 | Public Policy Polling[121] | November 1–3, 2014 | 1,333 | ± 2.7% | 46% | 44% | 5% | — | 6% | |
48% | 46% | — | — | 6% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Ted Alexander (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | 708 | ± 3.7% | 38% | 45% | 17% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 45% | 12% | ||
align=left | SurveyUSA | March 27–31, 2014 | 1,489 | ± 2.6% | 44% | 46% | 10% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Phil Berger (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | 47% | 38% | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 38% | 13% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | 51% | 37% | 12% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | 48% | 39% | 13% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 42% | 12% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 40% | 17% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 39% | 12% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 47% | 39% | 14% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | September 6–9, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Cherie K. Berry (R) | Undecided | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 46% | 38% | 16% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | 50% | 38% | 12% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | 46% | 41% | 13% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Alex Bradshaw (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 43% | 14% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Greg Brannon (R) | Other | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 48% | 35% | — | 17% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | 51% | 36% | — | 13% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | 49% | 36% | — | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 40% | — | 11% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 40% | — | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 39% | — | 12% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 47% | 38% | — | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | September 6–9, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 52% | 36% | — | 12% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | October 4–6, 2013 | 746 | ± ?% | 46% | 40% | — | 14% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | November 8–11, 2013 | 701 | ± 4% | 43% | 44% | — | 14% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | December 5–8, 2013 | 1,281 | ± 2.7% | 43% | 45% | — | 11% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,384 | ± 2.6% | 41% | 43% | — | 16% | ||
align=left | Rasmussen Reports | January 22–23, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 43% | 4% | 14% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | 708 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 43% | — | 17% | ||
align=left | American Insights | February 11–15, 2014 | 611 | ± 4% | 38% | 36% | — | 26% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 43% | — | 14% | ||
align=left | SurveyUSA | March 27–31, 2014 | 1,489 | ± 2.6% | 45% | 47% | — | 9% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | 40% | 42% | — | 18% | ||
align=left | New York Times/Kaiser Family | April 8–15, 2014 | 900 | ± ? | 41% | 39% | 4% | 17% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | James P. Cain (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | 11% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 38% | 16% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 36% | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 46% | 39% | 14% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | September 6–9, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Renee Ellmers (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | December 6–9, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 45% | 39% | 19% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | 46% | 40% | 14% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 47% | 38% | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | 49% | 36% | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | 48% | 40% | 12% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 39% | 12% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 39% | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 36% | 14% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Terry Embler (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 48% | 33% | 20% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | 52% | 33% | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | 47% | 37% | 16% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Bill Flynn (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | December 5–8, 2013 | 1,281 | ± 2.7% | 43% | 45% | 12% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,384 | ± 2.6% | 42% | 44% | 15% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Virginia Foxx (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | December 6–9, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 49% | 39% | 12% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | 47% | 40% | 13% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 48% | 38% | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | 49% | 37% | 14% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 11–14, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | 48% | 39% | 13% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 42% | 10% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 39% | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 37% | 13% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 48% | 39% | 13% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Heather Grant (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 47% | 37% | 16% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | September 6–9, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 48% | 36% | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | November 8–11, 2013 | 701 | ± 4% | 43% | 40% | 17% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | December 5–8, 2013 | 1,281 | ± 2.7% | 43% | 43% | 14% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,384 | ± 2.6% | 41% | 42% | 17% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | 708 | ± 3.7% | 39% | 41% | 20% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 42% | 15% | ||
align=left | SurveyUSA | March 27–31, 2014 | 1,489 | ± 2.6% | 44% | 46% | 10% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | 39% | 43% | 19% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Mark Harris (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 40% | 13% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 37% | 17% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 35% | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 46% | 37% | 16% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | September 6–9, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 50% | 36% | 14% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | October 4–6, 2013 | 746 | ± ?% | 46% | 38% | 16% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | November 8–11, 2013 | 701 | ± 4% | 43% | 41% | 16% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | December 5–8, 2013 | 1,281 | ± 2.7% | 43% | 43% | 14% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,384 | ± 2.6% | 41% | 43% | 16% | ||
align=left | Harper Polling | January 20–21, 2014 | 778 | ± 3.51% | 44% | 40% | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | 708 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 42% | 18% | ||
align=left | American Insights | February 11–15, 2014 | 611 | ± 4% | 39% | 35% | 26% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 43% | 14% | ||
align=left | SurveyUSA | March 27–31, 2014 | 1,489 | ± 2.6% | 43% | 47% | 10% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | 40% | 44% | 17% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | George Holding (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | December 6–9, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 39% | 13% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | 45% | 37% | 18% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 46% | 36% | 19% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Edward Kryn (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 6–9, 2014 | 708 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 40% | 20% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 41% | 16% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | 40% | 41% | 19% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Patrick McHenry (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | December 6–9, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 40% | 12% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | January 10–13, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | 45% | 39% | 16% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | February 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 40% | 15% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 7–10, 2013 | 611 | ± 4% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Jim Snyder (R) | Undecided | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | March 6–9, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 42% | 43% | 15% | |
align=left | Public Policy Polling | April 3–6, 2014 | 740 | ± 3.6% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
Poll source | Kay Hagan (D) | Lynn Wheeler (R) | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | Public Policy Polling | June 12–14, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 45% | 36% | 19% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | July 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 34% | 17% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | August 8–11, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 47% | 36% | 17% | ||
align=left | Public Policy Polling | September 6–9, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 48% | 35% | 17% |