2014 United States Senate election in Maine explained

Election Name:2014 United States Senate election in Maine
Country:Maine
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States Senate election in Maine
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2020 United States Senate election in Maine
Next Year:2020
Nominee1:Susan Collins
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:413,495
Percentage1:68.46%
Nominee2:Shenna Bellows
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:190,244
Percentage2:31.50%
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Susan Collins
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Susan Collins
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2014 United States Senate election in Maine took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins, who had served in the position since 1997, won reelection to a fourth term in office with 68% of the vote.[1] [2] The primary elections were held on June 10, 2014. As of, this was the last time the Republican candidate won the counties of Cumberland and Knox.[3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Write-in candidates

Declined

Campaign

Maine Republican Party Chairman Rick Bennett was critical of Erick Bennett's campaign, stating that he did not believe Erick would get the necessary signatures to get on the ballot. After making it clear the two men are not related, Rick felt that this would be due to Erick's views as expressed on his Facebook page. These included referring to U.S. Representative Mike Michaud as a "closet homo" and criticism of Nelson Mandela, comparing him to Stalin and Karl Marx.[11] Furthermore, Erick Bennett was convicted in 2003 of assaulting his wife, which was upheld by the Maine Supreme Judicial Court, though he maintains his innocence.[12] Rick Bennett stated that Erick's views "do not represent the views of the Republican Party".

Erick Bennett announced before the primary filing deadline on March 17 that he had left the Republican Party and would run as an independent.[6] Maine law, however, requires that an independent candidate must have not been in a political party by March 1 of the election year in order to run as an independent, meaning Bennett cannot legally run as such.[13] The Kennebec Journal reported that Bennett was a write-in candidate for the Republican nomination.[8]

On April 3, 2014, Collins' campaign announced the joint endorsement of Bath Iron Works' labor unions, which the campaign claimed was the first time the unions issued a joint endorsement as well as the first time they endorsed a Republican candidate for federal office.

Polling

Poll sourceSusan
Collins

conservative
Other
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingJanuary 18–20, 2013430± 4.7%49%46%6%
align=left Public Policy PollingAugust 23–25, 2013321± 5.5%47%48%5%
align=left Public Policy Polling[16] November 8–11, 2013331± 5.4%48%44%7%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Independents

To qualify as an independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in Maine, a candidate needs to submit at least 4,000 valid signatures to the secretary of state by June 1. Any independent candidate must not have been enrolled in a political party after March 1 of the year the election occurs.[21]

Former Republican candidate Erick Bennett announced just before the March 17 primary filing deadline that he had left the Republican Party and would run as an independent, but Maine law required him to have unenrolled as a Republican by March 1 to do so. Therefore, he could not legally run as an independent.[6] [13]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

General election

Background

Heading into the 2014 cycle, only 12 U.S. Senate elections had involved two major party female nominees in U.S. history.[23]

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[24] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[26] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[27] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceSusan
Collins (R)
Shenna
Bellows (D)
OtherUndecided
align=left Public Policy PollingNovember 8–11, 2013964± 3.2%59%20%22%
align=left Rasmussen Reports[28] April 23–25, 2014830± 3%60%24%6%9%
align=left University of New Hampshire[29] June 12–18, 2014527± 4.3%72%17%10%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[30] July 5–24, 20141,356± 2.7%63%28%2%6%
align=left Public Policy Polling August 16–18, 2014679± 3.8%57%33%10%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[32] August 18 – September 2, 20141,202± 4%58%26%3%12%
align=left Rasmussen Reports[33] September 3–4, 2014750± 4%59%31%2%7%
align=left University of New Hampshire[34] September 18–25, 2014482± 4.4%59%29%11%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGov[35] September 20 – October 1, 20141,531± 3%57%33%1%9%
align=left Pan Atlantic SMS[36] September 23–29, 2014400± 4.9%68%25%7%
align=left rowspan=2 Bangor Daily News/Ipsos[37] October 6–12, 2014540 LV± 4.8%56%31%5%[38] 7%
903 RV± 3.7%53%31%7%[39] 10%
align=left University of New Hampshire[40] October 15–21, 2014667± 3.8%65%30%4%
align=left Pan Atlantic SMS[41] October 15–21, 2014400± 4.9%67%27%7%
align=left CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20141,177± 5%54%35%0%10%
align=left Bangor Daily News/Ipsos[42] October 23–29, 2014488± 5.1%64%32%2%3%
align=left Maine People's Resource Center[43] October 31 – November 2, 2014906± 3.25%57%37%5%

With Collins

Poll sourceSusan
Collins (R)
Eliot
Cutler (I)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingAugust 23–25, 2013953± 3.2%53%33%14%
align=left Maine People's Resource Center[44] September 8–10, 2013652± 3.84%58%28%14%
Poll sourceSusan
Collins (R)
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Undecided
align=left Public Policy PollingJanuary 18–20, 20131,268± 2.8%58%33%9%
align=left Public Policy PollingAugust 23–25, 2013953± 3.2%57%34%9%

With Poliquin

With Summers

Results

The election was not close, with Collins winning all 16 of Maine's counties, each by a margin of at least 24 percentage points.[45]

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. News: Moderate GOP Sen. Collins intends to run again; USA Today . usatoday.com . March 20, 2013 . April 3, 2013 . Catalina . Camia.
  2. Web site: Sen. Susan Collins has become a key player in Congress | The Kennebec Journal, Augusta, ME . Kjonline.com . August 29, 2010 . November 24, 2012 . https://web.archive.org/web/20120312153811/http://www.kjonline.com/news/growing-influencesen_-susan-collins-has-becomea-key-player-in-congress_2010-08-28.html . March 12, 2012 . dead . mdy-all .
  3. Web site: Maine Senate Election Results 2020 Live Map Updates Voting by County . 2022-06-07 . www.politico.com . en.
  4. News: Abby Livingston . Joshua Miller . Shira Toeplitz . Kyle Trygstad . amp . Inside the 2014 Senate Races . Roll Call . November 28, 2012 . December 3, 2012 . December 2, 2012 . https://web.archive.org/web/20121202035339/http://atr.rollcall.com/inside-the-2014-senate-races/ . dead .
  5. News: Associated Press . Inside the 2014 Senate Races . Roll Call . November 28, 2012 . December 3, 2012.
  6. News: Mario Moretto . Erick Bennett will challenge Collins from the right in Republican primary. . December 2, 2013. March 6, 2014.
  7. News: David Carkhuff . Maine Senate Passes Mainecare Expansion . . March 12, 2014. March 17, 2014.
  8. Web site: King on Collins: 'We've got a model senator here' . . May 16, 2014 . May 16, 2014.
  9. Web site: Is Collins vulnerable to a conservative primary? | Agree to Disagree . Agreetodisagree.bangordailynews.com . January 28, 2013 . July 25, 2014.
  10. News: Ethan Strimling . Update: Poliquin enters race for Congress. . August 25, 2013 . August 26, 2013.
  11. News: Mario Moretto . State GOP rebukes Collins' primary challenger for Facebook comments about Michaud, Mandela. Bangor Daily News. December 16, 2013 . December 16, 2013.
  12. News: Sen. Susan Collins Challenger Says His Wife-Beating Conviction Proves 'Guts And Integrity' . Huffingtonpost.com . January 3, 2014 . July 25, 2014.
  13. News: Rebekah Metzler . Maine's Susan Collins Avoids Tea Party Challenge. Bangor Daily News. March 17, 2014 . March 17, 2014.
  14. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_ME_828.pdf Public Policy Polling
  15. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_ME_012413.pdf Public Policy Polling
  16. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_ME_111313.pdf Public Policy Polling
  17. Web site: Shenna Bellows to launch U.S. Senate campaign on Oct. 23 . . October 8, 2013 . October 8, 2013.
  18. Web site: Expanding Medicaid would be 'sinful,' LePage says . Kennebec Journal . March 13, 2014 . March 14, 2014.
  19. Web site: Sen. Emily Cain launches bid for Michaud's congressional seat . Maine Sun Journal . June 14, 2013 . June 15, 2013.
  20. News: Mike Michaud Exploring Bid for Governor in Maine #MEGOV #ME02 . June 13, 2013 . June 14, 2013 . Roll Call.
  21. News: Ballot access requirements for political candidates in Maine . March 17, 2014 . Ballotpedia.
  22. News: Independent opts out of U.S. Senate race . January 21, 2014 . January 24, 2014 . Portland Press Herald . https://web.archive.org/web/20140202113103/http://www.pressherald.com/blogs/maine_washington_politics/241403101.html . February 2, 2014 . dead .
  23. Web site: West Virginia 2014 US Senate Race to Feature Rare Matchup . Smart Politics . Eric . Ostermeier . September 17, 2013.
  24. Web site: 2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 20, 2018.
  25. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 20, 2018.
  26. Web site: 2014 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 20, 2018.
  27. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014 . Real Clear Politics . September 20, 2018.
  28. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2014_archive/maine/maine_senate_collins_r_60_bellows_d_24 Rasmussen Reports
  29. http://www.pressherald.com/2014/06/22/poll-shows-cain-slightly-ahead-of-poliquin-in-district-2/ University of New Hampshire
  30. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  31. http://stateandcapitol.bangordailynews.com/2014/08/22/bellows-gains-traction-with-dems-after-350-mile-walk-but-still-trails-collins-overall/ Public Policy Polling*
  32. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-maine/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  33. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/maine/election_2014_maine_senate Rasmussen Reports
  34. http://www.pressherald.com/2014/09/28/poll-shows-poliquin-with-a-lead-in-maines-2nd-district/ University of New Hampshire
  35. http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  36. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B3PYp5sROj_1ZmpqVVFwZmZGazRKRml1SjVtU3N5ejI2cXp3/view Pan Atlantic SMS
  37. http://bangordailynews.com/?attachment_id=1805782 Bangor Daily News/Ipsos
  38. Erick Bennett 4%, Other 1%
  39. Erick Bennett 5%, other 2%
  40. http://www.pressherald.com/2014/10/26/poll-a-majority-of-mainers-oppose-ban-on-bear-baiting/ University of New Hampshire
  41. http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/PanAtlantic102814poll.pdf Pan Atlantic SMS
  42. http://bangordailynews.com/?attachment_id=1817036&ref=relatedSidebar Bangor Daily News/Ipsos
  43. http://mprc.me/research/1014election.pdf Maine People's Resource Center
  44. http://mprc.me/research/0913omnibus.pdf Maine People's Resource Center
  45. News: 17 Dec 2014 . Maine Election Results . en-US . The New York Times . 2021-10-03 . 0362-4331.