2014 United States Senate election in Illinois explained

Election Name:2014 United States Senate election in Illinois
Country:Illinois
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States Senate election in Illinois
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2020 United States Senate election in Illinois
Next Year:2020
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Turnout:48.16%
Image1:File:Durbin2014.jpg
Nominee1:Dick Durbin
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,929,637
Percentage1:53.55%
Nominee2:Jim Oberweis
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:1,538,522
Percentage2:42.69%
Map Size:300x300px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Dick Durbin
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Dick Durbin
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2014 United States Senate election in Illinois took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Illinois, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Illinois, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator and Senate Majority Whip Dick Durbin ran for re-election to a fourth term.[1] He was unopposed in the Democratic primary. The Republicans nominated state senator and perennial candidate for higher office Jim Oberweis.

Durbin defeated Oberweis and Libertarian Sharon Hansen with 53.5% of the vote, the smallest vote total of any of his Senate elections.

Election information

The primaries and general elections coincided with those for House and those for state offices.

Background

Dick Durbin was first elected to the Senate in 1996 and was re-elected by increasingly larger margins in 2002 and 2008. He has served as Senate Majority Whip since 2007 and sought a fourth term in office.[1]

Turnout

For the primary election, turnout was 15.77%, with 1,183,429 votes cast.[2] [3] For the general election, turnout was 48.16%, with 3,603,519 votes cast.[2] [3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Removed

Declined

Polling

Results

423,097

Independents and Third Party

Candidates

Declared

Removed from the ballot

General election

Fundraising

Campaign Finance Reports through November 24, 2014
CandidateRaisedSpent
Dick Durbin$10,309,888$12,453,951
Jim Oberweis$2,388,389$2,416,774
Sharon Hansen$2,420$2,367

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[17] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[19] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[20] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDick
Durbin (D)		Jim
Oberweis (R)		OtherUndecided
We Ask America[21] September 24, 20131,434± 2.86% align=center50%39%—11%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2% align=center51%36%—12%
Rasmussen Reports[22] April 9–10, 2014750± 4% align=center51%37%3%10%
We Ask America[23] June 12, 20141,116± 2.93% align=center52%39%—9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[24] July 5–24, 20145,324± 2.1% align=center48%41%1%11%
We Ask America[25] July 30, 20141,049± 3.04% align=center53%38%—9%
Gravis Marketing[26] August 4–5, 2014567± 4% align=center48%38%—14%
Harper Polling August 25–27, 20141,340± 2.68% align=center44%38%8%10%
We Ask America[28] August 27, 20141,054± 3.02% align=center48%41%4%[29] 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[30] August 18 – September 2, 20144,363± 3% align=center50%38%1%10%
We Ask America[31] September 4, 20141,014± 3.08% align=center49%39%4%8%
Chicago Tribune[32] September 3–12, 2014800± 3.5% align=center55%32%5%7%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 24–25, 2014750± 4% align=center51%37%4%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[33] September 20 – October 1, 20143,955± 2% align=center51%39%0%9%
We Ask America[34] October 7, 20141,086± 2.98% align=center51%38%4%6%
UIS Survey Research[35] October 2–8, 2014723± 3.7% align=center50%35%1%14%
align=center rowspan=2 Southern Illinois University[36] align=center rowspan=2 September 23 – October 15, 2014691 LV± 3.7% align=center47%37%0%12%
1,006 RV± 3% align=center49%32%0%14%
APC Research[37] October 16–21, 2014800± 3.5% align=center50%36%7%[38] 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20143,519± 3% align=center52%39%1%9%
McKeon & Associates[39] October 28, 2014823± 3.9% align=center49%39%4%8%
Public Policy Polling[40] align=center rowspan=2 November 1–2, 2014align=center rowspan=2 1,064align=center rowspan=2 ± 3% align=center51%41%4%4%
align=center52%44%—4%

Results

Durbin won the election, despite winning only 14 of Illinois' 102 counties.[42]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. News: Durbin telling top Democrats he'll seek re-election in 2014 . March 8, 2013 . Pearson . Rick . Chicago Tribune . March 8, 2013.
  2. Web site: Voter Turnout . https://web.archive.org/web/20210530142655/https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/VoterTurnout.aspx . dead . May 30, 2021 . www.elections.il.gov . Illinois State Board of Elections . 22 March 2020 .
  3. Web site: Election Results . www.elections.il.gov . Illinois State Board of Elections . 23 March 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200222093629/https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/ElectionVoteTotals.aspx . February 22, 2020 . dead .
  4. News: Oberweis to run for U.S. Senate seat held by Durbin . November 22, 2013 . Pearson . Rick . Chicago Tribune . November 24, 2013.
  5. News: Doug Truax announces challenge for Durbin's U.S. Senate seat . July 15, 2013 . Held . Kevin . KSDK.com . July 15, 2013 . December 2, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131202222355/http://www.ksdk.com/news/article/388373/3/Former-West-Point-grad-to-challenge-Durbin-in-2014 . dead .
  6. News: Unknown Republicans File for Illinois Governor, US Senate, Legislature . December 3, 2013 . Illinois Observer . December 4, 2013.
  7. News: Republican Candidate For Governor Kicked Off The Ballot . January 10, 2014 . WUIS 919 . February 10, 2014.
  8. News: An Interview With Chad Koppie, Running for U.S. Senate From Illinois . April 15, 2013 . Huston . Warner Todd . Publius Forum . July 25, 2013.
  9. News: Walsh weighing a bid for Durbin's U.S. Senate seat . August 30, 2013 . Riopell . Mike . . September 25, 2013.
  10. http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/ct-met-0212-republican-senate-poll-gfc-eps-20140211,0,2157928.graphic Market Shares Corp.
  11. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_IL_112613.pdf Public Policy Polling
  12. Web site: Fuji Shioura . September 15, 2014 . September 15, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140915205303/http://senatorelect.com/ . dead .
  13. Web site: Sharon Hansen . August 14, 2014.
  14. Web site: Who is Chad Koppie? . August 14, 2014 . August 15, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140815224011/http://www.chadkoppieforillinois.com/ . dead .
  15. Web site: Campaign 2014 . August 14, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141013031837/http://ilgp.org/campaign-2014/ . October 13, 2014 . dead .
  16. http://www.pantagraph.com/news/local/government-and-politics/illinois-green-party-on-sidelines-in-november/article_ec2435cc-783b-51a7-aba2-6c66b8badfb1.html Illinois Green Party on Sidelines in November
  17. Web site: 2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 20, 2018.
  18. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 20, 2018.
  19. Web site: 2014 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 20, 2018.
  20. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014 . Real Clear Politics . September 20, 2018.
  21. http://capitolfax.com/2013/09/24/oberweis-considering-us-senate-bid-touts-poll-results/ We Ask America
  22. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/illinois/election_2014_illinois_senate Rasmussen Reports
  23. https://web.archive.org/web/20140623140114/http://www.rebootillinois.com/2014/06/13/uncategorized/mattdietrich/reboot-illinois-poll-durbin-dominant-illinois-u-s-senate-race/10350/ We Ask America
  24. http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  25. https://web.archive.org/web/20140804171659/http://www.rebootillinois.com/2014/07/31/editors-picks/mattdietrich/reboot-illinois-poll-dick-durbin-maintains-big-lead-bid-third-u-s-senate-term/21721/ We Ask America
  26. http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/illinois-polling-data-august-5th-2014/ Gravis Marketing
  27. https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/jimoberweis/pages/246/attachments/original/1409670661/PollGeneralResults.pdf?1409670661 Harper Polling*
  28. https://archive.today/20140831204753/http://politics.suntimes.com/article/washington/exclusive-poll-oberweis-gaining-durbin-us-senate-race/sun-08312014-1234pm We Ask America
  29. Sharon Hansen (L)
  30. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-illinois/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  31. https://web.archive.org/web/20141010235834/http://www.rebootillinois.com/2014/09/05/editors-picks/mattdietrich/u-s-senate-race-poll/24566/ We Ask America
  32. http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/politics/clout/ct-senate-race-met-20140915-story.html Chicago Tribune
  33. http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  34. https://web.archive.org/web/20141106190750/http://www.rebootillinois.com/2014/10/08/editors-picks/mattdietrich/durbin-maintains-double-digit-lead-oberweis-new-reboot-illinois-poll/26855/ We Ask America
  35. http://www.uis.edu/surveyresearchoffice/wp-content/uploads/sites/162/2014/09/SURVEY-OF-ILLINOIS-VOTERS.pdf UIS Survey Research
  36. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Simon_IL_101714.pdf Southern Illinois University
  37. http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/ct-illinois-senate-race-met-1024-20141024-story.html APC Research
  38. Sharon Hansen (L) 6%, Other 1%
  39. https://web.archive.org/web/20141030075900/http://politics.suntimes.com/article/springfield/exclusive-poll-dead-heat-gov-race-%E2%80%94divisions-downstate/thu-10302014-1230am McKeon & Associates
  40. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/ILResults.pdf Public Policy Polling
  41. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IL_113012.pdf Public Policy Polling
  42. Web site: Newman . James . Quinn/Rauner a Squeaker? Durbin/Oberweis a Cakewalk? Think Again . November 5, 2014 . NIU Today. July 26, 2016.

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