| Election Name: | 2014 United States House of Representatives election ratings |
| Country: | United States |
| Previous Election: | 2012 United States House of Representatives election ratings |
| Previous Year: | 2012 |
| Next Election: | 2016 United States House of Representatives election ratings |
| Next Year: | 2016 |
The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections were held on November 4, 2014, with early voting taking place in some states in the weeks preceding that date. Voters chose representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. Non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and four of the five inhabited U.S. territories were also elected. These midterm elections took place nearly halfway through the second term of Democratic President Barack Obama. The winners served in the 114th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2010 United States census. On Election Day, Republicans had held a House majority since January 2011 as a result of the 2010 elections.
Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The seats listed below were considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.
Incumbents not running for re-election have parentheses around their names, while incumbents with a caret (^) sought re-election, but were defeated in the primary election. Note that safeness of a district is not necessarily a prediction as to outcome.
Most election ratings use:
| District | CPVI | Incumbent | Previous result | Cook [1] | Rothenberg [2] | Sabato [3] | RCP [4] | Daily Kos [5] | Winner | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Young (R) | data-sort-value=63.9 | 63.9% R | data-sort-value=1 | Don Young (R) | |||||||||||||
| Ann Kirkpatrick (D) | data-sort-value=-48.8 | 48.8% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Ann Kirkpatrick (D) | |||||||||||||
| Ron Barber (D) | data-sort-value=-50.4 | 50.4% D | data-sort-value=1 | Martha McSally (R) | |||||||||||||
| Kyrsten Sinema (D) | data-sort-value=-48.5 | 48.5% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Kyrsten Sinema (D) | |||||||||||||
| Timothy Griffin (R) | data-sort-value=55.2 | 55.2% R | data-sort-value=1 | French Hill (R) | |||||||||||||
| Tom Cotton (R) | data-sort-value=59.5 | 59.5% R | data-sort-value=1 | Bruce Westerman (R) | |||||||||||||
| John Garamendi (D) | data-sort-value=-53.7 | 53.7% D | data-sort-value=-1 | John Garamendi (D) | |||||||||||||
| Ami Bera (D) | data-sort-value=-51.1 | 51.1% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Ami Bera (D) | |||||||||||||
| Jerry McNerney (D) | data-sort-value=-54.1 | 54.1% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Jerry McNerney (D) | |||||||||||||
| David Valadao (R) | data-sort-value=59.9 | 59.9% R | data-sort-value=1 | David Valadao (R) | |||||||||||||
| Lois Capps (D) | data-sort-value=-54.8 | 54.8% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Lois Capps (D) | |||||||||||||
| Julia Brownley (D) | data-sort-value=-51.7 | 51.7% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Julia Brownley (D) | |||||||||||||
| Gary Miller (R) | data-sort-value=55.2 | 55.2% R | data-sort-value=-1 | Pete Aguilar (D) | |||||||||||||
| Raul Ruiz (D) | data-sort-value=-51.4 | 51.4% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Raul Ruiz (D) | |||||||||||||
| Scott Peters (D) | data-sort-value=-50.2 | 50.2% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Scott Peters (D) | |||||||||||||
| Mike Coffman (R) | data-sort-value=48.7 | 48.7% R | data-sort-value=1 | Mike Coffman (R) | |||||||||||||
| Elizabeth Esty (D) | data-sort-value=-51.5 | 51.5% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Elizabeth Esty (D) | |||||||||||||
| Steve Southerland (R) | data-sort-value=52.7 | 52.7% R | data-sort-value=-1 | Gwen Graham (D) | |||||||||||||
| Patrick Murphy (D) | data-sort-value=-50.3 | 50.3% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Patrick Murphy (D) | |||||||||||||
| Joe Garcia (D) | data-sort-value=-53.6 | 53.6% D | data-sort-value=1 | Carlos Curbelo (R) | |||||||||||||
| John Barrow (D) | data-sort-value=-53.7 | 53.7% D | data-sort-value=1 | Rick Allen (R) | |||||||||||||
| Colleen Hanabusa (D) | data-sort-value=-54.6 | 54.6% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Mark Takai (D) | |||||||||||||
| Tammy Duckworth (D) | data-sort-value=-54.7 | 54.7% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Tammy Duckworth (D) | |||||||||||||
| Brad Schneider (D) | data-sort-value=-50.5 | 50.5% D | data-sort-value=1 | Robert Dold (R) | |||||||||||||
| Bill Foster (D) | data-sort-value=-58.1 | 58.1% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Bill Foster (D) | |||||||||||||
| Bill Enyart (D) | data-sort-value=-51.5 | 51.5% D | data-sort-value=1 | Mike Bost (R) | |||||||||||||
| Rodney Davis (R) | data-sort-value=46.6 | 46.6% R | data-sort-value=1 | Rodney Davis (R) | |||||||||||||
| Cheri Bustos (D) | data-sort-value=-53.3 | 53.3% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Cheri Bustos (D) | |||||||||||||
| Jackie Walorski (R) | data-sort-value=49.0 | 49.0% R | data-sort-value=1 | Jackie Walorski (R) | |||||||||||||
| Bruce Braley (D) | data-sort-value=-56.9 | 56.9% D | data-sort-value=1 | Rod Blum (R) | |||||||||||||
| Dave Loebsack (D) | data-sort-value=-55.6 | 55.6% D | data-sort-value=-1 | David Loebsack (D) | |||||||||||||
| Tom Latham (R) | data-sort-value=52.3 | 52.3% R | data-sort-value=1 | David Young (R) | |||||||||||||
| Steve King (R) | data-sort-value=53.2 | 53.2% R | data-sort-value=1 | Steve King (R) | |||||||||||||
| Lynn Jenkins (R) | data-sort-value=57.0 | 57.0% R | data-sort-value=1 | Lynn Jenkins (R) | |||||||||||||
| Kevin Yoder (R) | data-sort-value=68.4 | 68.4% R | data-sort-value=1 | Kevin Yoder (R) | |||||||||||||
| Mike Michaud (D) | data-sort-value=-58.1 | 58.1% D | data-sort-value=1 | Bruce Poliquin (R) | |||||||||||||
| John Delaney (D) | data-sort-value=-58.8 | 58.8% D | data-sort-value=-1 | John Delaney (D) | |||||||||||||
| John F. Tierney (D) | data-sort-value=-48.3 | 48.3% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Seth Moulton (D) | |||||||||||||
| Bill Keating (D) | data-sort-value=-58.3 | 58.3% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Bill Keating (D) | |||||||||||||
| Dan Benishek (R) | data-sort-value=48.2 | 48.2% R | data-sort-value=1 | Dan Benishek (R) | |||||||||||||
| Dave Camp (R) | data-sort-value=63.1 | 63.1% R | data-sort-value=1 | John Moolenaar (R) | |||||||||||||
| Fred Upton (R) | data-sort-value=54.6 | 54.6% R | data-sort-value=1 | Fred Upton (R) | |||||||||||||
| Tim Walberg (R) | data-sort-value=53.3 | 53.3% R | data-sort-value=1 | Tim Walberg (R) | |||||||||||||
| Mike Rogers (R) | data-sort-value=58.6 | 58.6% R | data-sort-value=1 | Mike Bishop (R) | |||||||||||||
| Kerry Bentivolio (R) [6] | data-sort-value=50.7 | 50.7% R | data-sort-value=1 | Dave Trott | |||||||||||||
| Tim Walz (D) | data-sort-value=-57.6 | 57.6% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Tim Walz (D) | |||||||||||||
| Collin Peterson (D) | data-sort-value=-60.4 | 60.4% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Collin Peterson (D) | |||||||||||||
| Rick Nolan (D) | data-sort-value=-54.5 | 54.5% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Rick Nolan (D) | |||||||||||||
| Steve Daines (R) | data-sort-value=53.2 | 53.2% R | data-sort-value=1 | Ryan Zinke (R) | |||||||||||||
| Lee Terry (R) | data-sort-value=51.2 | 51.2% R | data-sort-value=-1 | Brad Ashford (D) | |||||||||||||
| Joe Heck (R) | data-sort-value=50.4 | 50.4% R | data-sort-value=1 | Joe Heck (R) | |||||||||||||
| Steven Horsford (D) | data-sort-value=-50.1 | 50.1% D | data-sort-value=1 | Cresent Hardy (R) | |||||||||||||
| Carol Shea-Porter (D) | data-sort-value=-49.7 | 49.7% D | data-sort-value=1 | Frank Guinta (R) | |||||||||||||
| Ann McLane Kuster (D) | data-sort-value=-50.2 | 50.2% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Ann McLane Kuster (D) | |||||||||||||
| Jon Runyan (R) | data-sort-value=53.8 | 53.8% R | data-sort-value=1 | Tom MacArthur (R) | |||||||||||||
| Scott Garrett (R) | data-sort-value=55.5 | 55.5% R | data-sort-value=1 | Scott Garrett (R) | |||||||||||||
| Tim Bishop (D) | data-sort-value=-52.2 | 52.2% D | data-sort-value=1 | Lee Zeldin (R) | |||||||||||||
| Carolyn McCarthy (D) | data-sort-value=-61.8 | 61.8% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Kathleen Rice (D) | |||||||||||||
| Michael Grimm (R) | data-sort-value=52.8 | 52.8% R | data-sort-value=1 | Michael Grimm (R) | |||||||||||||
| Sean Patrick Maloney (D) | data-sort-value=-51.7 | 51.7% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Sean Patrick Maloney (D) | |||||||||||||
| Chris Gibson (R) | data-sort-value=53.4 | 53.4% R | data-sort-value=1 | Chris Gibson (R) | |||||||||||||
| Bill Owens (D) | data-sort-value=-50.2 | 50.2% D | data-sort-value=1 | Elise Stefanik (R) | |||||||||||||
| Tom Reed (R) | data-sort-value=52.1 | 52.1% R | data-sort-value=1 | Tom Reed (R) | |||||||||||||
| Dan Maffei (D) | data-sort-value=-48.4 | 48.4% D | data-sort-value=1 | John Katko (R) | |||||||||||||
| Mike McIntyre (D) | data-sort-value=-50.1 | 50.1% D | data-sort-value=1 | David Rouzer (R) | |||||||||||||
| Kevin Cramer (R) | data-sort-value=54.9 | 54.9% R | data-sort-value=1 | Kevin Cramer (R) | |||||||||||||
| Bill Johnson (R) | data-sort-value=53.3 | 53.3% R | data-sort-value=1 | Bill Johnson (R) | |||||||||||||
| David Joyce (R) | data-sort-value=54.3 | 54.3% R | data-sort-value=1 | David Joyce (R) | |||||||||||||
| Jim Gerlach (R) | data-sort-value=57.1 | 57.1% R | data-sort-value=1 | Ryan Costello (R) | |||||||||||||
| Pete Gallego (D) | data-sort-value=-50.3 | 50.3% D | data-sort-value=1 | Will Hurd (R) | |||||||||||||
| Jim Matheson (D) | data-sort-value=-49.3 | 49.3% D | data-sort-value=1 | Mia Love (R) | |||||||||||||
| Frank Wolf (R) | data-sort-value=58.8 | 58.8% R | data-sort-value=1 | Barbara Comstock (R) | |||||||||||||
| Suzan DelBene (D) | data-sort-value=-53.6 | 53.6% D | data-sort-value=-1 | Suzan DelBene (D) | |||||||||||||
| Shelley Moore Capito (R) | data-sort-value=69.8 | 69.8% R | data-sort-value=1 | Alex Mooney (R) | |||||||||||||
| Nick Rahall (D) | data-sort-value=-53.9 | 53.9% D | data-sort-value=1 | Evan Jenkins (R) | |||||||||||||
| Tom Petri (R) | data-sort-value=62.1 | 62.1% R | data-sort-value=1 | Glenn Grothman (R) | |||||||||||||
| Sean Duffy (R) | data-sort-value=56.1 | 56.1% R | data-sort-value=1 | Sean Duffy (R) | |||||||||||||
| Overall< | --Coo--> | R - 228 D - 182 25 tossups | R - 235 D - 189 11 tossups | R - 243 D - 192 | R - 226 D - 179 30 tossups | R - 227 D -190 18 tossups | R - 247 D - 188 | ||||||||||