2014 New Brunswick general election explained

Election Name:	2014 New Brunswick general election
Country:	New Brunswick
Type:	legislative
Ongoing:	no
Party Colour:	no
Party Name:	no
Previous Election:	2010 New Brunswick general election
Previous Year:	2010
Previous Mps:	57th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly
Elected Mps:	members
Next Election:	2018 New Brunswick general election
Next Year:	2018
Next Mps:	59th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly
Seats For Election:	49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick
Majority Seats:	25
Turnout:	64.65% ^[1]
Leader1:	Brian Gallant
Leaders Seat1:	Shediac Bay-Dieppe
Last Election1:	13 seats, 34.42%
Seats Before1:	13
Seats1:	27
Seat Change1:	14
Percentage1:	42.73%
Swing1:	8.31pp
Leader2:	David Alward
Leaders Seat2:	Carleton
Last Election2:	42 seats, 48.84%
Seats Before2:	41
Seats2:	21
Seat Change2:	20
Percentage2:	34.65%
Swing2:	14.19pp
Leaders Seat4:	Fredericton South
Seats Before4:	0
Seats4:	1
Seat Change4:	1
Percentage4:	6.61%
Swing4:	2.07pp
Leaders Seat5:	ran in Fredericton West-Hanwell (lost)
Seats Before5:	0
Seats5:	0
Percentage5:	12.98%
Swing5:	2.57pp
Map Size:	350px
Premier
Posttitle:	Premier after election
Before Election:	David Alward
After Election:	Brian Gallant

The 2014 New Brunswick general election was held on September 22, 2014, to elect 49 members to the 58th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada.

The 2013 redistribution reduced the size of the legislature from 55 seats to 49.

The New Brunswick Liberal Association, led by Brian Gallant, won a majority government, defeating Incumbent Premier David Alward's Progressive Conservatives, which became the second single-term government in New Brunswick's history.^[2] The New Democratic Party, led by Dominic Cardy won the highest support in its history, though failed to win any seats. As a result of these losses, both Alward and Cardy resigned as leaders of their respective parties.^[3] The Green Party of New Brunswick improved on its results from the previous election, with party leader David Coon winning the party's first seat, and becoming only the second Green politician (after British Columbia MLA Andrew J. Weaver) elected to a provincial legislature.

Fracking was a major issue in the election as a whole. Most commentators described the election as a referendum on it.^{[4] [5]}

Polling in the weeks leading up to the campaign gave the Liberals a wide lead over the governing Progressive Conservatives. Some commentators openly speculated about whether the Liberals were on track to repeat the 1987 provincial election, when they won every seat in the Legislative Assembly.^[6] As the campaign progressed, however, the gap in popular support between the two parties narrowed significantly. Some attributed this in part to a television interview with CBC New Brunswick anchor Harry Forestell in which Gallant gave inaccurate numbers relating to his proposal for a tax increase on the province's wealthiest residents.^[7] In the final poll of the campaign, the Liberals and the Progressive Conservatives were tied at 40 per cent support each.^[8]

Timeline

• September 27, 2010 – The Progressive Conservatives under David Alward win 42 of 55 seats. The Liberals are reduced to 13 seats and Shawn Graham announces that he will step down as leader.^[9]
• October 25, 2010 – NDP leader Roger Duguay resigns. He was replaced by interim leader Jesse Travis.^[10]
• November 9, 2010 – Liberal leader Shawn Graham resigns. He was replaced on an interim basis by Victor Boudreau and was permanently replaced by Brian Gallant in late 2012.
• March 2, 2011 – Dominic Cardy is acclaimed as the new leader of the NDP.^[11]
• September 12, 2011 – Green leader Jack Macdougall resigns. He was replaced by interim leader Greta Doucet.
• May 16, 2012 – Resignation of Margaret-Ann Blaney as MLA of Rothesay.^[12]
• June 25, 2012 – Ted Flemming is elected MLA for Rothesay, following the resignation of Margaret-Ann Blaney.
• September 20, 2012 - Jim Parrott is expelled from the PC caucus after making statements questioning linguistic duality in the healthcare system.^[13]
• September 22, 2012 - David Coon is elected new leader of the Green Party.^[14]
• October 27, 2012 - Brian Gallant is elected leader of the New Brunswick Liberal Party.
• March 11, 2013 - Shawn Graham resigns as member for Kent.
• April 15, 2013 – Brian Gallant is elected MLA for Kent, following the resignation of Shawn Graham.
• June 6, 2013 - New electoral districts are finalized and will take effect at this election.^[15]
• April 30, 2014 - Jim Parrott rejoins PC caucus.^[16]
• June 27, 2014 - PC MLA Bev Harrison announces he will seek re-election as a New Democrat,^[17] he leaves the PC caucus to sit as an independent.^[18]
• August 18, 2014 - Premier Alward meets with Lieutenant-Governor Graydon Nicholas who grants the premier's request to dissolve the legislature effective August 21, 2014 for a general election to be held September 22, 2014.
• August 21, 2014 - New Brunswick legislature dissolved by the lieutenant-governor.^[19]
• September 22, 2014 - general election.^[19]

Results

Summary of the 2014 Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick election^[20]

align=center colspan=13
Party		Leader	Candidates	Votes						Seats
					±	%	Change (pp)			2010	2014	±	Brian Gallant	49	158,852	30,774	42.73		13		14	David Alward	49	128,799	52,598	34.65		42		21	Dominic Cardy	49	48,259	9,573	12.98		David Coon	46	24,572	7,629	6.61		–		1	Kris Austin	18	7,964	3,601	2.14			8	3,293	1,018	0.89	0.27
Total			219	371,739		100.00%
Rejected ballots				1,622	1,538
Turnout				373,361	1,541	64.65%	4.91
Registered voters				577,529	38,564

Synopsis of results

2014 New Brunswick general election - synopsis of riding results^[21]

Riding	Winning party										Turnout ^[22]	Votes
	2010		1st place		Votes	Share	Margin #	Margin %	2nd place			Lib	PC	NDP	Green	PA		Total
Albert			PC			PC	3,163	40.78%	973	12.55%			Lib	62.20%	2,190	3,163	880	929	594	–	7,756
Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore	New				Lib	4,431	61.56%	2,537	35.25%			PC	63.71%	4,431	1,894	559	314	–	–	7,198
Bathurst West-Beresford	New				Lib	4,367	62.74%	2,589	37.19%			PC	62.79%	4,367	1,778	564	252	–	–	6,961
Campbellton-Dalhousie	New				Lib	4,820	62.25%	2,941	37.98%			PC	66.43%	4,820	1,879	762	282	–	–	7,743
Caraquet			Lib			Lib	4,716	56.82%	2,902	34.96%			PC	73.99%	4,716	1,814	1,579	191	–	–	8,300
Carleton	New				PC	4,061	56.77%	2,473	34.57%			Lib	62.63%	1,588	4,061	580	750	174	–	7,153
Carleton-Victoria	New				Lib	3,131	40.83%	82	1.07%			PC	64.14%	3,131	3,049	683	464	–	341	7,668
Carleton-York	New				PC	3,662	46.53%	1,459	18.54%			Lib	64.06%	2,203	3,662	816	602	587	–	7,870
Charlotte-Campobello			PC			Lib	3,176	41.73%	194	2.55%			PC	60.96%	3,176	2,982	515	453	484	–	7,610
Dieppe			Lib			Lib	4,866	65.97%	3,506	47.53%			PC	65.37%	4,866	1,360	736	414	–	–	7,376
Edmundston-Madawaska Centre			PC			PC	3,666	48.16%	243	3.19%			Lib	67.29%	3,423	3,666	523	–	–	–	7,612
Fredericton-Grand Lake	New				PC	2,403	28.79%	26	0.31%			PA	69.52%	2,330	2,403	879	358	2,377	–	8,347
Fredericton North	New				Lib	2,589	33.60%	144	1.87%			PC	66.14%	2,589	2,445	1,560	791	320	–	7,705
Fredericton South	New				Green	2,272	30.68%	334	4.51%			PC	67.89%	1,601	1,938	1,465	2,272	–	130	7,406
Fredericton West-Hanwell	New				PC	2,971	35.21%	469	5.56%			NDP	68.67%	2,384	2,971	2,502	582	–	–	8,439
Fredericton-York	New				PC	2,887	35.43%	522	6.41%			Lib	66.71%	2,365	2,887	1,695	583	379	240	8,149
Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West			Lib			Lib	4,498	62.47%	2,670	37.08%			PC	62.15%	4,498	1,828	558	316	–	–	7,200
Gagetown-Petitcodiac	New				PC	3,352	44.47%	853	11.32%			Lib	63.32%	2,499	3,352	978	709	–	–	7,538
Hampton	New				PC	2,679	38.74%	883	12.77%			NDP	58.47%	1,618	2,679	1,796	554	269	–	6,916
Kent North	New				Lib	4,699	50.02%	2,992	31.85%			Green	75.00%	4,699	1,559	1,294	1,707	135	–	9,394
Kent South	New				Lib	4,637	48.66%	1,421	14.91%			PC	76.07%	4,637	3,216	535	953	188	–	9,529
Kings Centre	New				PC	2,431	35.66%	321	4.71%			Lib	59.61%	2,110	2,431	1,642	311	–	323	6,817
Madawaska-les-Lacs-Edmundston			PC			Lib	4,106	56.39%	1,490	20.46%			PC	62.68%	4,106	2,616	560	–	–	–	7,282
Memramcook-Tantramar			PC			Lib	3,515	45.64%	1,478	19.19%			PC	65.57%	3,515	2,037	972	1,178	–	–	7,702
Miramichi	New				Lib	3,974	50.00%	1,231	15.49%			PC	70.29%	3,974	2,743	328	307	–	596	7,948
Miramichi Bay-Neguac			PC			Lib	4,199	49.22%	892	10.46%			PC	71.25%	4,199	3,307	785	240	–	–	8,531
Moncton Centre	New				Lib	3,339	52.98%	1,750	27.77%			PC	58.13%	3,339	1,589	866	508	–	–	6,302
Moncton East	New				Lib	3,443	45.09%	922	12.07%			PC	62.23%	3,443	2,521	1,105	567	–	–	7,636
Moncton Northwest			PC			PC	3,012	42.15%	239	3.34%			Lib	59.11%	2,773	3,012	783	436	142	–	7,146
Moncton South			PC			Lib	2,903	45.10%	656	10.19%			PC	54.70%	2,903	2,247	757	530	–	–	6,437
Moncton Southwest	New				PC	2,523	38.80%	249	3.83%			Lib	54.38%	2,274	2,523	1,129	392	184	–	6,502
New Maryland-Sunbury			PC			PC	3,391	40.95%	796	9.61%			Lib	65.96%	2,595	3,391	1,787	508	–	–	8,281
Oromocto-Lincoln	New				PC	2,827	41.97%	473	7.02%			Lib	59.07%	2,354	2,827	857	379	318	–	6,735
Portland-Simonds			PC			PC	2,782	48.90%	877	15.42%			Lib	50.83%	1,905	2,782	743	259	–	–	5,689
Quispamsis			PC			PC	3,884	51.35%	1,494	19.75%			Lib	64.19%	2,390	3,884	938	238	114	–	7,564
Restigouche-Chaleur			Lib			Lib	4,069	53.92%	1,871	24.79%			NDP	66.23%	4,069	1,120	2,198	160	–	–	7,547
Restigouche West	New				Lib	4,940	58.02%	3,230	37.93%			PC	72.11%	4,940	1,710	351	–	–	1,514	8,515
Riverview			PC			PC	3,751	52.73%	1,654	23.25%			Lib	61.18%	2,097	3,751	723	542	–	–	7,113
Rothesay			PC			PC	3,034	45.20%	1,196	17.82%			Lib	60.87%	1,838	3,034	1,559	282	–	–	6,713
Saint John East	New				Lib	2,332	37.02%	9	0.14%			PC	54.92%	2,332	2,323	1,167	353	124	–	6,299
Saint John Harbour			Lib			Lib	1,686	32.19%	71	1.36%			PC	46.78%	1,686	1,615	1,120	701	115	–	5,237
Saint John Lancaster			PC			PC	2,619	39.18%	457	6.84%			Lib	62.09%	2,162	2,619	1,535	283	–	85	6,684
Shediac Bay-Dieppe	New				Lib	5,661	64.61%	3,983	45.46%			PC	68.63%	5,661	1,678	803	620	–	–	8,762
Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé			Lib			Lib	5,496	60.18%	3,778	41.37%			PC	72.21%	5,496	1,718	1,175	743	–	–	9,132
Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou			PC			Lib	4,014	46.10%	44	0.51%			PC	76.65%	4,014	3,970	497	226	–	–	8,707
Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin			PC			PC	3,837	47.62%	886	11.00%			Lib	70.23%	2,951	3,837	361	214	694	–	8,057
Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins			PC			PC	3,677	49.86%	1,967	26.67%			Lib	61.05%	1,710	3,677	652	570	766	–	7,375
Tracadie-Sheila			PC			Lib	5,916	64.61%	3,721	40.64%			PC	76.60%	5,916	2,195	861	121	–	64	9,157
Victoria-la-Vallée			PC			Lib	3,969	49.62%	913	11.41%			PC	68.72%	3,969	3,056	546	428	–	–	7,999

= Open seat

= Turnout is above provincial average

= Winning candidate was in previous Legislature

= Incumbent had switched allegiance

= Previously incumbent in another riding

= Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature

= Incumbency arose from byelection gain

= Other incumbents renominated

= Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada

= Multiple candidates

Tabulator problem and manual recount demand

The election marked the first time that the province used electronic vote tabulation machines from Dominion Voting in a provincial election. They had previously been used in New Brunswick municipal elections. On election night, the machines displayed vote totals which were verified by Elections New Brunswick officials and entered into a province-wide database for the media. By 11:45 PM, these unverified numbers were to have been replaced by totally machine-reported numbers from the tabulators themselves with no human interventions or errors possible to distort results. It was "a program processing the initial results that had a glitch", not the tabulators themselves, according to officials.^[23]

Elections New Brunswick grew uncomfortable with the human involvement and influence of the unevenly tabulated results. It brought the results reporting to a standstill as counts were reverified by hand before further resignations or concessions were triggered.

At 10:45 p.m. Atlantic time, Elections New Brunswick officially suspended the results reporting count, with 17 ridings still undeclared, while it investigated the delay.^[24] It called for over sixty tabulator count devices to be brought to central locations for verification without relying on the reporting program. At no time was there an allegation of fraud by any party or public official.

As a result of the controversy, both the Progressive Conservatives and the People's Alliance Party called for a hand count of all ballots, with the former refusing to concede the election until the following day. Michael Quinn, the province's chief electoral officer determined no total recount was necessary. Recounts were held in 7 of 49 ridings and the results were upheld with variations of no more than 1 vote per candidate per riding.^[25]

Results by place

Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party

Parties	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th
	27	18	4
	21	26	2
	1	1	4	34	6
		3	35	11
		1	2	1	14
			2	1	4

Opinion polls

Polling Firm	Last Day of Polling	Link	align="center" style="width: 70px"	PC	align="center" style="width: 70px"	Liberal	align="center" style="width: 70px"	NDP	align="center" style="width: 70px"	Green	align="center" style="width: 70px"	PA
Forum Research	September 21, 2014	PDF		40		40	12	6
Corporate Research Associates	September 18, 2014	HTML	36		45	11	6	2
Forum Research	September 11, 2014	PDF	32		42	13	6
Corporate Research Associates	August 31, 2014	HTML	28		48	17	4	2
Forum Research	August 25, 2014	HTML	31		46	15	7
Nordic Research Group	August 21, 2014		26		34	13	5
Corporate Research Associates	May 31, 2014	HTML	28		53	16	3
Corporate Research Associates	February 28, 2014	PDF	31		43	21	4
Corporate Research Associates	November 28, 2013	HTML	25		47	24	4
Corporate Research Associates	September 1, 2013	PDF	23		47	24	4	3
Corporate Research Associates	May 30, 2013	PDF	29		41	27	3	1
Corporate Research Associates	March 8, 2013	PDF	32		35	26	5
Corporate Research Associates	December 1, 2012	PDF		38		38	19	4	1
Corporate Research Associates	August 31, 2012	PDF		38	32	24	6
Corporate Research Associates	May 30, 2012	PDF		44	32	19	5
Corporate Research Associates	February 29, 2012	PDF		45	31	22	3
Corporate Research Associates	November 29, 2011	PDF		45	28	23	3	1
Corporate Research Associates	August 31, 2011	PDF		41	34	23		2
Corporate Research Associates	May 31, 2011	PDF		56	20	20	1	3
Corporate Research Associates	February 28, 2011	PDF		58	27	8	6
Corporate Research Associates	November 30, 2010	PDF		61	25	10	4
Election 2010	September 27, 2010	HTML	48.8	34.5	10.4	4.6	1.2

Retiring incumbents

The following sitting members of the legislative assembly (MLAs) had announced that they would not re-offer at this election:

Progressive Conservatives

• John Betts, MLA for Moncton Crescent (1999–2014)^[26]
• Jack Carr, MLA for New Maryland-Sunbury West (2008–2014)^[27]
• Greg Davis, MLA for Campbellton-Restigouche Centre (2010–2014)^[28]
• Dale Graham, MLA for Carleton (1995–2014) and Carleton North (1993–1995)^[29]
• Wes McLean, MLA for Victoria-Tobique (2010–2014)^[30]
• Wayne Steeves, MLA for Albert (1999–2014)^[31]
• Glen Tait, MLA for Saint John East (2010–2014)^[32]

Liberals

• Roland Haché, MLA for Nigadoo-Chaleur (1999–2014)^[33]

Candidates

New boundaries were in effect as a result of an electoral redistribution replacing the districts used in the 2006 and 2010 elections. Candidates had to file their nomination papers by September 2, 2014 to appear on the ballot.^[34]

Legend

• bold denotes cabinet minister or party leader
• italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
• † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election
• * denotes an incumbent seeking re-election in a new district

Northern

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Restigouche West||Martine Coulombe
1,710
20.08%|||Gilles LePage
4,940
58.02%||Gilles Cyr
351
4.12%||—^[35] ||Charles Thériault (Independent)
1,514
17.78%| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|-| rowspan="3" style="background:whitesmoke;"|Campbellton-Dalhousie|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Joseph Elias
1,879
24.27%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3|Donald Arseneault
4,820
62.25%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Jamie O'Rourke
762
9.84%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Heather Wood
282
3.64%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3||||Donald Arseneault|-| colspan="2" style="background:whitesmoke; text-align:center;"|merged district|-|||Greg Davis†^[28] |-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Restigouche-Chaleur||Gilberte Boudreau
1,120
14.84%|||Daniel Guitard
4,069
53.92%||Ray Godin
2,198
29.12%||Mario Comeau
160
2.12%|||||Roland Haché†^[33] |-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Bathurst West-Beresford||Anne Bard-Lavigne
1,778
25.54%|||Brian Kenny
4,367
62.74%||Etienne Arseneau
564
8.10%||Catherine Doucet
252
3.62%||| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore||Ryan Riordon
1,894
26.31%|||Denis Landry
4,431
61.56%||Benjamin Kalenda
559
7.77%||Gerry Aubie
314
4.36%||| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Caraquet||Suzanne Morais-Vienneau
1,814
21.86%|||Hédard Albert
4,716
56.82%||Mathieu Chayer
1,579
19.02%||Sophie Chiasson-Gould
191
2.30%|||||Hédard Albert|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou||Paul Robichaud
3,970
45.60%|||Wilfred Roussel
4,014
46.10%||Juliette Paulin
497
5.71%||Tony Mallet
226
2.60%|||||Paul Robichaud|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Tracadie-Sheila||Claude Landry
2,195
23.97%|||Serge Rousselle
5,916
64.61%||François Rousselle
861
9.40%||Nancy Benoit
121
1.32%||Donald Thomas (Independent)
64
0.70%|||Claude Landry|}

Miramichi

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Miramichi Bay-Neguac||Serge Robichaud
3,307
38.76%|||Lisa Harris
4,199
49.22%||Curtis Bartibogue
785
9.20%||Filip Vanicek
240
2.81%|||||Serge Robichaud|-| rowspan="3" style="background:whitesmoke;"|Miramichi|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Robert Trevors
2,743
34.51%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3|Bill Fraser
3,974
50.00%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Roger Vautour
328
4.13%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Patty Deitch
307
3.86%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Michael "Tanker" Malley (Independent)
596
7.50%|||Bill Fraser|-| colspan="2" style="background:whitesmoke; text-align:center;"|merged district|-|||Robert Trevors|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin|||Jake Stewart
3,837
47.62%||Norma Smith
2,951
36.63%||Douglas Mullin
361
4.48%||Kevin Matthews
214
2.66%||Wes Gullison (PANB)
694
8.61%|||Jake Stewart|}

Southeastern

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Kent North||Nancy Blanchard
1,559
16.60%|||Bertrand LeBlanc
4,699
50.02%||Allan Marsh
1,294
13.77%||Rébeka Frazer-Chiasson
1,707
18.17%||Raven-Chanelle Arsenault-Augustine (PANB)
135
1.44%|||Bertrand LeBlanc|-| rowspan="3" style="background:whitesmoke;"|Kent South|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Claude Williams
3,216
33.75%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3|Benoît Bourque
4,637
48.66%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Paul Musgrave
535
5.61%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Tina Beers
953
10.00%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Joël MacIntosh (PANB)
188
1.97%|||Brian Gallant|-| colspan="2" style="background:whitesmoke; text-align:center;"|merged district|-|||Claude Williams|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Shediac Bay-Dieppe||Dolorès Poirier
1,678
19.15%|||Brian Gallant
5,661
64.61%||Agathe Lapointe
803
9.16%||Stephanie Matthews
620
7.08%||| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé||Carmel Brun
1,718
18.81%|||Victor Boudreau
5,496
60.18%||Bernice Boudreau
1,175
12.87%||Charles Thibodeau
743
8.14%|||||Victor Boudreau|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Memramcook-Tantramar||Mike Olscamp
2,037
26.45%|||Bernard LeBlanc
3,515
45.64%||Hélène Boudreau
972
12.62%||Megan Mitton
1,178
15.29%|||||Mike Olscamp|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Dieppe||Normand Léger
1,360
18.44%|||Roger Melanson
4,866
65.97%||Sandy Harquail
736
9.98%||Françoise Aubin
414
5.61%|||||Roger Melanson|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Moncton East||Jane Mitton-MacLean
2,521
33.01%|||Monique LeBlanc
3,443
45.09%||Roy MacMullin
1,105
14.47%||Matthew Clark
567
7.43%||| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Moncton Centre||Marie-Claude Blais
1,589
25.21%|||Chris Collins
3,339
52.98%||Luc Leblanc
866
13.74%||Jeffrey McCluskey
508
8.06%||| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Moncton South||Sue Stultz
2,247
34.91%|||Cathy Rogers
2,903
45.10%||Elisabeth French
757
11.76%||Rish McGlynn
530
8.23%|||||Sue Stultz|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Moncton Northwest|||Ernie Steeves
3,012
42.15%||Brian Hicks
2,773
38.80%||Jason Purdy
783
10.96%||Mike Milligan
436
6.10%||Carl Bainbridge (PANB)
142
1.99%|||John Betts†|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Moncton Southwest|||Sherry Wilson
2,523
38.80%||Tyson Milner
2,274
34.97%||Charles Doucet
1,129
17.36%||Mathieu LaPlante
392
6.03%||Lucy Goguen (PANB)
184
2.83%|| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Riverview|||Bruce Fitch
3,751
52.73%||Tammy Rampersaud
2,097
29.48%||Danie Pitre
723
10.16%||Linda Hardwick
542
7.62%|||||Bruce Fitch|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Albert|||Brian Keirstead
3,163
40.78%||Terry Keating
2,190
28.24%||Kelly-Sue O'Connor
880
11.35%||Ira Wilbur
929
11.98%||Bill Brewer (PANB)
594
7.66%|||Wayne Steeves†|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Gagetown-Petitcodiac|||Ross Wetmore
3,352
44.47%||Barak Stevens
2,499
33.15%||Anthony Crandall
978
12.97%||Fred Harrison
709
9.41%||| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|}

Southern

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins|||Bruce Northrup
3,677
49.86%||Heike MacGregor
1,710
23.19%||Billy Carter
652
8.84%||Stephanie Coburn
570
7.73%||LeRoy Armstrong (PANB)
766
10.39%|||Bruce Northrup|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Hampton|||Gary Crossman
2,679
38.74%||John Cairns
1,618
23.40%||Bev Harrison
1,796
25.97%||John Sabine
554
8.01%||Joan K. Seeley (PANB)
269
3.89%| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Quispamsis|||Blaine Higgs
3,884
51.35%||Mary Schryer
2,390
31.60%||Angela-Jo Griffin
938
12.40%||Patrick Kemp
238
3.15%||Brandon Gardner (PANB)
114
1.51%|||Blaine Higgs|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Rothesay|||Ted Flemming
3,039
45.24%||Stephanie Tomilson
1,838
27.36%||John Wilcox
1,559
23.21%||Ann McAllister
282
4.20%|||||Ted Flemming|-| rowspan="3" style="background:whitesmoke;"|Saint John East|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Glen Savoie
2,323
36.88%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3|Gary Keating
2,332
37.02%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Phil Comeau
1,167
18.53%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Sharon Murphy
353
5.60%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Jason Inness (PANB)
124
1.97%|||Glen Savoie|-| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|merged district|-|||Glen Tait†^[32] |-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Portland-Simonds|||Trevor Holder
2,782
48.90%||Michael Butler
1,905
33.49%||Tony Sekulich
743
13.06%||Sheila Croteau
259
4.55%|||||Trevor Holder|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Saint John Harbour||Carl Killen
1,615
30.84%|||Ed Doherty
1,686
32.19%||Gary Stackhouse
1,120
21.39%||Wayne Dryer
701
13.39%||Arthur Watson (PANB)
115
2.20%|||Carl Killen|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Saint John Lancaster|||Dorothy Shephard
2,619
39.18%||Peter McGuire
2,162
32.35%||Abel LeBlanc
1,535
22.97%||Ashley Durdle
283
4.23%||Mary Ellen Carpenter (Independent)
85
1.27%|||Dorothy Shephard|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Kings Centre|||Bill Oliver
2,431
35.66%||Shannon Merrifield
2,110
30.95%||Daniel Anderson
1,642
24.09%||Mark Connell
311
4.56%||Colby Fraser (Independent)
323
4.74%| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West||Jim Parrott
1,828
25.39%|||Rick Doucet
4,498
62.47%||Terry James
558
7.75%||Krysta Oland
316
4.39%|||||Rick Doucet|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Charlotte-Campobello||Curtis Malloch
2,982
39.19%|||John Ames
3,176
41.73%||June Greenlaw
515
6.77%||Derek Simon
453
5.95%||Joyce Wright (PANB)
484
6.36%|||Curtis Malloch|}

Capital Region

|-| rowspan="3" style="background:whitesmoke;"|Oromocto-Lincoln|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3|Jody Carr
2,827
41.97%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Trisha Hoyt
2,354
34.95%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Amanda Diggins
857
12.72%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Jean Louis Deveau
379
5.63%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Jeff Langille (PANB)
318
4.72%|||Jody Carr|-| colspan="2" style="background:whitesmoke; text-align:center;"|merged district|-|||Craig Leonard|-| rowspan="3" style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fredericton-Grand Lake|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3|Pam Lynch
2,403
28.79%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Sheri Shannon
2,330
27.91%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Bronwen Mosher
879
10.53%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Dan Weston
358
4.29%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Kris Austin(PANB)
2,377
28.48%|||Pam Lynch|-| colspan="2" style="background:whitesmoke; text-align:center;"|merged district|-|||Ross Wetmore|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|New Maryland-Sunbury|||Jeff Carr
3,391
40.95%||Michael Pearson
2,595
31.34%||Aimee Foreman
1,787
21.58%||Kelsey Adams
508
6.13%|||||Jack Carr†|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fredericton South||Craig Leonard
1,938
26.17%||Roy Wiggins
1,601
21.62%||Kelly Lamrock
1,465
19.78%|||David Coon
2,272
30.68%||Courtney Mills (Independent)
130
1.76%| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fredericton North||Troy Lifford
2,445
31.73%|||Stephen Horsman
2,589
33.60%||Brian Duplessis
1,560
20.25%||Madeleine Berrevoets
791
10.27%||Patricia Wilkins (PANB)
320
4.15%| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fredericton-York|||Kirk MacDonald
2,886
35.42%||Randy McKeen
2,365
29.03%||Sharon Scott-Levesque
1,695
20.80%||Dorothy Diamond
583
7.16%||Rick Wilkins (PANB)
379
4.65%
Gerald Bourque (Independent)
240
2.95%| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|-| rowspan="3" style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fredericton West-Hanwell|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3|Brian Macdonald
2,971
35.21%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Bernadine Gibson
2,384
28.25%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Dominic Cardy
2,502
29.65%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Gayla MacIntosh
582
6.90%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3||||Brian Macdonald|-| colspan="2" style="background:whitesmoke; text-align:center;"|merged district|-|||Carl Urquhart|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Carleton-York|||Carl Urquhart
3,662
46.53%||Ashley Cummings
2,203
27.99%||Jacob Elsinga
816
10.37%||Terry Wishart
602
7.65%||David Graham (PANB)
587
7.46%| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|}

Upper River Valley

|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Carleton|||David Alward
4,061
56.77%||Thomas Reid
1,588
22.20%||Jeremiah Clark
580
8.11%||Andrew Clark
750
10.49%||Steven Love (PANB)
174
2.43%| colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|new district|-| rowspan="3" style="background:whitesmoke;"|Carleton-Victoria|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Colin Lockhart
3,049
39.76%|rowspan=3 ||rowspan=3|Andrew Harvey
3,131
40.83%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Joe Gee
683
8.91%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Garth Farquhar
464
6.05%|rowspan=3||rowspan=3|Carter Edgar (Independent)
216
2.82%
Terry Ritchie (Independent)
125
1.63%|||Dale Graham†^[29] |-|colspan="2" style="text-align:center; background:whitesmoke;"|merged district|-|||Wes McLean†^[30] |-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Victoria-la-Vallée||Danny Soucy
3,056
38.20%|||Chuck Chiasson
3,969
49.62%||Joe Berube
546
6.83%||Daniel Zolondek
428
5.35%|||||Danny Soucy|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Edmundston-Madawaska Centre|||Madeleine Dubé
3,666
48.16%||Michel LeBlond
3,423
44.97%||Alain Martel
523
6.87%|||||||Madeleine Dubé|-| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Madawaska-les-Lacs-Edmundston||Yvon Bonenfant
2,616
35.92%|||Francine Landry
4,106
56.39%||Widler Jules
560
7.69%|||||||Yvon Bonenfant|}

Further reading

• J.P. . Lewis . Tom . Bateman . Don . Desserud . The 2014 Provincial Election in New Brunswick . Canadian Political Science Review . 11 . 1 . 1911-4125 . 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220323040009/https://ojs.unbc.ca/index.php/cpsr/article/viewFile/676/1295 . March 23, 2022 . live .

Notes and References

1. Web site: Provincial Election Results - Elections NB. Canada. Elections New Brunswick. February 5, 2014. electionsnb . February 20, 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180220203924/http://www.electionsnb.ca/content/enb/en/resources/publications/election-results.html. live.
2. News: Daniel. McHardie. N.B. election 2014 results: Brian Gallant's Liberals win amid vote-count fiasco. CBC News. September 23, 2014. September 23, 2014. September 25, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140925092415/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/new-brunswick-votes-2014/n-b-election-2014-results-brian-gallant-s-liberals-win-amid-vote-count-fiasco-1.2774901. live.
3. News: David Alward concedes election, resigns as Tory leader. CBC News. September 23, 2014. September 23, 2014. September 26, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140926070239/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/new-brunswick-votes-2014/david-alward-concedes-election-resigns-as-tory-leader-1.2775161. live.
4. Web site: N.B. election: Did shale gas and fracking sway the vote?. globalnews. 11 April 2018. 16 September 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180916061720/https://globalnews.ca/news/1577434/n-b-election-did-shale-gas-and-fracking-sway-the-vote/. live.
5. http://www.vancouverobserver.com/world/canada/pro-gas-fracking-government-turfed-new-brunswick-election vancouverobserver.com: "Pro-gas fracking government turfed in New Brunswick election"
6. News: Brian Gallant struggles to articulate campaign message. CBC News. September 22, 2014. August 30, 2014. September 22, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140922083109/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/new-brunswick-votes-2014/brian-gallant-struggles-to-articulate-campaign-message-1.2751362. live.
7. News: New Brunswick Tories call Brian Gallant gaffe his "Stéphane Dion" moment. Yahoo! News. September 22, 2014. September 17, 2014. December 18, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20141218133935/https://ca.news.yahoo.com/blogs/canada-politics/new-brunswick-tories-evoke-the-memory-of-stephane-dion-165941581.html. live.
8. News: New Brunswick election too close to call, final poll shows. Toronto Sun. September 22, 2014. September 22, 2014. November 11, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20141111010557/http://www.torontosun.com/2014/09/22/new-brunswick-election-too-close-to-call-final-poll-shows. live.
9. http://www.cbc.ca/canada/nbvotes2010/story/2010/09/27/nbvotes-graham.html CBC News Online. "Graham may not join Grits in opposition."
10. http://www.cbc.ca/canada/new-brunswick/story/2010/10/25/nb-ndp-roguer-duguay-resigns-927.html CBC News Online. "N.B. NDP leader resigns."
11. Web site: CBC News Online. "Cardy is N.B.'s new NDP leader." . Cbc.ca . 2011-03-02 . 2014-08-27 . 2011-03-06 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110306093735/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/story/2011/03/02/nb-cardy-new-ndp-leader.html . live .
12. La ministre néo-brunswickoise Margaret-Ann Blaney quitte la vie politique Mise à jour le mercredi 16 mai 2012 à 12 h 06 HAE
13. News: Saint John-area MLA kicked out of Tory caucus. CBC News. September 20, 2012. September 20, 2012. September 21, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20120921044456/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/story/2012/09/20/nb-mla-parrott-caucus-alward.html. live.
14. News: Conservationist Coon N.B.'s new Green Party leader. CBC News. September 24, 2012. September 22, 2012. September 24, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20120924022750/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/story/2012/09/22/nb-gree-party-leadership-convention.html. live.
15. Web site: Electoral Boundaries and Representation Commission concludes mandate . .gnb.ca . 2013-06-06 . 2014-08-27 . 2014-12-18 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141218131106/http://www2.gnb.ca/content/gnb/en/news/news_release.2013.06.0537.html . live .
16. Web site: Dr. Jim Parrott rejoins Progressive Conservative caucus - New Brunswick - CBC News . Cbc.ca . 2014-04-30 . 2014-08-27 . 2014-05-02 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140502033031/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/dr-jim-parrott-rejoins-progressive-conservative-caucus-1.2627005 . live .
17. Web site: Ex-Tory Bev Harrison will run for NDP in next election . CBC News . 17 July 2018 . 27 June 2014 . 20 January 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180120022549/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/ex-tory-bev-harrison-will-run-for-ndp-in-next-election-1.2689503 . live .
18. Web site: MLA Bios -58th Legislature . 2014-08-20 . 2014-08-27 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140915002843/http://www1.gnb.ca/legis/bios1/index-e.asp . 2014-09-15 . dead .
19. News: Jobs and the economy the top issues of New Brunswick election, premier says. August 20, 2014. Prince George Citizen. August 18, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20141218133808/http://www.princegeorgecitizen.com/news/national/jobs-and-the-economy-the-top-issues-of-new-brunswick-election-premier-says-1.1317418. December 18, 2014. dead.
20. Book: . 2019. Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Thirty-Eighth General Election September 22, 2014. Recapitulation. Elections New Brunswick. 1921. 978-1-4605-1946-2.
21. Book: . 2019. Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Thirty-Eighth General Election September 22, 2014. Summary of Votes Received by Candidate. Elections New Brunswick. 718.
22. Book: . 2019. Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Thirty-Eighth General Election September 22, 2014. Recapitulation. Elections New Brunswick. 1921.
23. News: Patrick. Odell. Vote tabulators not to blame for N.B. election results glitches: official. Global News. September 23, 2014. September 23, 2014. September 26, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140926031531/http://globalnews.ca/news/1577929/vote-tabulators-not-to-blame-for-n-b-election-results-glitches-official/. live.
24. News: Liberals win majority in N.B. election amid vote-counting problems. CTV News Atlantic. September 23, 2014. September 23, 2014. November 15, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20201115030055/https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/liberals-win-majority-in-n-b-election-amid-vote-counting-problems-1.2019318. live.
25. Web site: CBC.ca - watch, listen, and discover with Canada's Public Broadcaster. CBC. 11 April 2018. 15 November 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20201115030108/https://www.cbc.ca/. live.
26. Web site: New Brunswick Tory John Betts says he won't run in September election - National . Prince George Citizen . 2014-08-23 . 2014-08-27 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141218131055/http://www.princegeorgecitizen.com/news/national/new-brunswick-tory-john-betts-says-he-won-t-run-in-september-election-1.916320 . 2014-12-18 . dead .
27. Web site: The . Staff . New Brunswick Tory won't seek re-election | Metro . Metronews.ca . 2014-01-22 . 2014-08-27 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140324201455/http://metronews.ca/news/canada/917642/new-brunswick-tory-wont-seek-re-election/ . 2014-03-24 . dead .
28. Web site: Jacques Poitras on Twitter: Campbellton-Restigouche Centre MLA Greg Davis has announced he won't run for re-election this fall. #NB . Twitter.com . 2014-03-11 . 2014-08-27 . 2014-03-23 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140323072656/https://twitter.com/poitrasCBC/status/443483244873252865 . live .
29. Web site: Jacques Poitras on Twitter: Seeing reports that Speaker Dale Graham has made it official: he won't run in election this fall. Retiring from politics. #NB . Twitter.com . 2014-03-20 . 2014-08-27 . 2014-03-29 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140329103527/https://twitter.com/poitrasCBC/status/446751038381780994 . live .
30. Web site: Jacques Poitras on Twitter: BREAKING: 1st-term PC MLA Wes McLeanwon't run for re-election; some Perth-Andover supporters allege he was pushed. Full story soon. #NB . Twitter.com . 2014-05-05 . 2014-08-27 . 2014-05-06 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140506010814/https://twitter.com/poitrasCBC/status/463394141032816640 . live .
31. "Another longtime Tory MLA not running," Telegraph-Journal, July 3, 2014
32. Web site: Jacques Poitras on Twitter: I've started asking MLAs if they're running again next year. So far, Glen Tait (PC, SJ East) is only incumbent I know of who isn't. #NB . Twitter.com . 2013-12-05 . 2014-08-27 . 2013-12-16 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131216123859/https://twitter.com/poitrasCBC/status/408655397533122560 . live .
33. Web site: Jacques Poitras on Twitter: Nigadoo-Chaleur Liberal MLA Roland Hache says he will not re-offer in #NB election next year . Twitter.com . 2013-05-01 . 2014-08-27 . 2013-12-07 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131207152644/https://twitter.com/poitrasCBC/status/329619816128339968 . live .
34. Web site: Unofficial List of Candidates - Provincial Election (9/22/2014). gnb. 11 April 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20140903092703/http://www1.gnb.ca/elections/en/prov14sep22/provcandidatelist-e.asp?ELECTIONID=48. 3 September 2014. dead. dmy-all.
35. Web site: Parti Vert NB Green Party. green party nb. 11 April 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20160304033224/http://greenpartynb.ca/en/news-events/media-releases/703-green-leader-david-coon-thanks-all-party-supporters-candidates-their-families-and-volunteers. 4 March 2016. dead.