2014 Kansas gubernatorial election explained

See also: 2014 Kansas elections.

Election Name:2014 Kansas gubernatorial election
Country:Kansas
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 Kansas gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2018 Kansas gubernatorial election
Next Year:2018
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Image1:File:Sam Brownback by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee1:Sam Brownback
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Running Mate1:Jeff Colyer
Popular Vote1:433,196
Percentage1:49.82%
Nominee2:Paul Davis
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Running Mate2:Jill Docking
Popular Vote2:401,100
Percentage2:46.13%
Map Size:270px
Governor
Before Election:Sam Brownback
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Sam Brownback
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Kansas, concurrently with the election of Kansas' Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Governor Sam Brownback ran for re-election to a second term. He was opposed in the general election by Democrat Paul Davis, the Minority Leader of the Kansas House of Representatives, and Libertarian attorney Keen Umbehr.

The election was viewed as a referendum on Brownback's aggressive tax cutting initiatives and his conservative values.[1] The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Brownback won the election by a margin of 3.69%. Davis carried seven counties, all in eastern Kansas. As of, this is the most recent time a Republican and/or a man was elected Governor of Kansas. This was also the last gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won Jefferson County, as well as the last time that a candidate was elected Governor of Kansas by winning a majority of counties.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback
Jennifer
Winn
Undecided
SurveyUSAJuly 17–22, 2014691± 3.7% align=center60%30%9%
SurveyUSAJune 19–23, 2014508± 4.4% align=center55%37%8%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[15] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[17] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[18] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Paul
Davis (D)
Keen
Umbehr (L)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Pollingalign=center rowspan=2November 1–3, 2014align=center rowspan=2963align=center rowspan=2± 3.2%45% align=center46%4%4%
47% align=center48%3%
Public Policy PollingOctober 30–31, 2014752± ?44% align=center48%5%3%
YouGovOctober 25–31, 20141,137± 4.8% align=center39%38%2%1%21%
Fox NewsOctober 28–30, 2014907± 3%42% align=center48%4%<1%5%
Survey USAOctober 22–26, 2014623± 4%43% align=center46%5%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20141,973± 4% align=center43%40%1%16%
NBC News/Maristalign=center rowspan=2October 18–22, 2014757 LV± 3.6%44% align=center45%5%1%6%
1,055 RV± 3%43%43%6%1%7%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 20–21, 2014960± 3%45% align=center52%1%2%
Gravis MarketingOctober 20–21, 20141,124± 3%44% align=center49%7%
Monmouth UniversityOctober 16–19, 2014429± 4.7%45% align=center50%2%5%
Remington ResearchOctober 9–12, 20141,091± 2.97% align=center48%45%3%4%
Public Policy Pollingalign=center rowspan=2October 9–12, 2014align=center rowspan=21,081align=center rowspan=2± 3%42%42%6%10%
44% align=center45%12%
Fox NewsOctober 4–7, 2014702± 3.5% align=center46%40%2%2%11%
CNN/ORCOctober 2–6, 2014687± 3.5%49%49%2%
SurveyUSAOctober 2–5, 2014549± 4.3%42% align=center47%4%7%
Gravis MarketingSeptember 30–October 1, 2014850± 3%40% align=center48%12%
NBC News/Maristalign=center rowspan=2September 27–October 1, 2014636 LV± 3.9%43% align=center44%4%1%7%
1,097 RV± 3%41% align=center43%5%1%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20–October 1, 20142,013± 3% align=center45%42%0%12%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 27–30, 2014500± 4.4%42% align=center46%6%7%
Fort Hays State UniversitySeptember 10–27, 2014685± 3.8%37% align=center39%9%16%
Remington ResearchSeptember 23, 2014625± 3.91%44% align=center46%5%5%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 16–17, 2014750± 4%43% align=center47%4%6%
Fox NewsSeptember 14–16, 2014604± 4%41% align=center45%4%8%
Public Policy Pollingalign=center rowspan=2September 11–14, 2014align=center rowspan=21,328align=center rowspan=2± 2.7%38% align=center42%7%14%
39% align=center45%15%
KSN/SurveyUSASeptember 4–7, 2014555± 4.2%40% align=center47%5%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18–September 2, 2014839± 5% align=center47%40%2%11%
SurveyUSAAugust 20–23, 2014560± 4.2%40% align=center48%5%6%
Public Policy PollingAugust 14–17, 2014903± 3.3%37% align=center39%9%15%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 6–7, 2014750± 4%41% align=center51%3%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20141,274± 6.1% align=center52%40%3%5%
SurveyUSAJuly 17–22, 20141,208± 2.9%40% align=center48%5%7%
SurveyUSAJune 19–23, 20141,068± 3.1%41% align=center47%5%7%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 16–17, 2014750± 4% align=center47%40%6%7%
Public Policy PollingApril 1–2, 2014886± 3.1%41% align=center45%14%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 18–20, 2014693± 3.7%40% align=center42%18%
Wilson Perkins AllenJanuary 29, 2014?± ? align=center42%31%27%
SurveyUSAOctober 23–24, 2013511± 4.4%39% align=center43%12%6%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Carl
Brewer (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8% align=center44%40%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Tom
Holland (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8% align=center45%38%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Mark
Parkinson (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8% align=center45%39%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Joe
Reardon (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8% align=center45%36%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Kathleen
Sebelius (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8% align=center48%43%9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sam
Brownback (R)
Chad
Taylor (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8% align=center44%34%22%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

External links

Campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Brownback defeats Davis in Kansas Governor's race. 2014-11-14. https://web.archive.org/web/20141129151708/http://kansasfirstnews.com/2014/11/04/brownback-defeats-davis-in-kansas-governors-race/. 2014-11-29. dead.
  2. Web site: Brownback running for re-election. Lawrence Journal-World. 21 June 2013. 16 August 2013.
  3. Web site: Wichita woman enters governor's race. KAKE. January 12, 2014. March 31, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140325001342/http://www.kake.com/news/coveringkakeland/headlines/Wichita-woman-enters-governors-race-239776441.html. March 25, 2014. dead. mdy-all.
  4. Web site: Wichita candidate for governor announces new running mate. https://archive.today/20140626022032/http://www.kansas.com/2014/06/02/3488915/wichita-candidate-for-governor.html. dead. June 26, 2014. The Wichita Eagle. Benchaabane. Nassim. June 2, 2014. June 25, 2014.
  5. Web site: Wikileaks Soldier to Run for Ks Lt. Governor. The Kansas City Star. February 11, 2014. October 29, 2016.
  6. Web site: In case there's any doubt: Kris Kobach running for re-election in 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20130206183349/http://midwestdemocracy.com/articles/case-theres-any-doubt-kris-kobach-running-re-election-2014/. Midwest Democracy. 1 February 2013. 29 July 2013. February 6, 2013.
  7. Web site: Sandy Praeger finds herself an outsider among Kansas Republicans. https://web.archive.org/web/20130627054806/http://www.kansascity.com/2013/06/23/4309326/sandy-praeger-finds-herself-an.html. Steve. Kraske. The Kansas City Star. 23 June 2013. 15 August 2013. June 27, 2013.
  8. Web site: Davis launches Democratic campaign for Kansas governor. https://archive.today/20130917162156/http://cjonline.com/news/state/2013-09-17/davis-launches-democratic-campaign-kansas-governor. dead. September 17, 2013. September 17, 2013. September 17, 2013. The Topeka Capital-Journal. Tim. Carpenter.
  9. Web site: Brownback and His Opponents. Morning Sun. 16 April 2013. 14 June 2013.
  10. Web site: Paul Davis forms committee for Kansas governor's race. https://web.archive.org/web/20130811102519/http://www.kansas.com/2013/08/08/2931858/dem-leader-forms-committee-for.html. The Wichita Eagle. John Hanna. August 8, 2013. July 20, 2014. August 11, 2013.
  11. Web site: Burdett Loomis: Who will take on Brownback?. Burdett. Loomis. The Wichita Eagle. 4 August 2013. 15 August 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20130916141813/http://www.kansas.com/2013/08/04/2921833/burdett-loomis-who-will-take-on.html. 16 September 2013. dead.
  12. Web site: Ex-Kan. ag chief not thinking about gov.'s race. https://archive.today/20130806231414/http://www.kansas.com/2013/07/31/2916887/ex-kan-ag-chief-not-thinking-about.html. dead. 6 August 2013. Associated Press. The Wichita Eagle. John. Hanna. 31 July 2013. 9 August 2013.
  13. Web site: Alma lawyer seeks Libertarian nomination for governor. CJOnline. Tim. Carpenter. August 29, 2013. October 2, 2013.
  14. Web site: Kansas Man Serving as Dad's Running Mate in Governor's Race. Governing. Kelsey Ryan. May 27, 2014. May 27, 2014.
  15. Web site: 2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  16. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 3, 2018.
  17. Web site: 2014 Gubernatorial Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  18. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races . Real Clear Politics . September 3, 2018.