2014 Georgia gubernatorial election explained

See also: 2014 Georgia elections.

Election Name:2014 Georgia gubernatorial election
Country:Georgia (U.S. state)
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Turnout:42.25%
Previous Election:2010 Georgia gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2018 Georgia gubernatorial election
Next Year:2018
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Image1:File:Nathan Deal, April 25, 2017 (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Nathan Deal
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,345,237
Percentage1:52.74%
Nominee2:Jason Carter
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:1,144,794
Percentage2:44.88%
Map Size:250px
Governor
Before Election:Nathan Deal
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Nathan Deal
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2014 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Georgia, concurrently with the election to Georgia's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Governor Nathan Deal was re-elected to serve a second term in office by a margin of 7.8%. He turned back two primary challengers and in the general election, defeated Democratic state senator Jason Carter and Libertarian nominee businessman and engineer Andrew Hunt, who were unopposed in their respective primaries. As of 2022, this is the last time that Cobb and Gwinnett counties voted for the Republican candidate for governor; and the last time that Burke, Chattahoochee, Dooly, Quitman, Twiggs, Washington, and Wilkinson counties voted for the Democratic candidate.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal
John
Barge
David
Pennington
Undecided
InsiderAdvantage[3] May 18, 2014852±3.36% align=center62.1%5.1%9.9%22.9%
SurveyUSA[4] May 8–12, 2014634± 4% align=center63%10%15%12%
SurveyUSA[5] April 24–27, 2014501± 4.3% align=center64%10%11%16%
InsiderAdvantage[6] April 13–15, 2014804±3.4% align=center61%4%7%28%
Landmark/Rosetta[7] March 23–24, 2014600± 4% align=center58%8%7%27%
SurveyUSA[8] March 16–18, 2014508± 4.2% align=center65%7%11%17%
Public Policy Polling[9] align=center rowspan=2August 2–5, 2013align=center rowspan=2260align=center rowspan=2± 6.1% align=center71%8%21%
align=center71%11%19%
20/20 Insight, LLC[10] May 7–9, 2013?± ? align=center53%18%29%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[19] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[21] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[22] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Jason
Carter (D)
Andrew
Hunt (L)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[23] align=center rowspan=2November 1–3, 2014align=center rowspan=2975align=center rowspan=2± 3.1% align=center47%43%4%6%
align=center49%45%6%
Landmark Communications[24] November 2, 20141,500± 2.5% align=center51%45%3%2%
Insider Advantage[25] November 2, 20141,463± 3% align=center47%44%5%4%
SurveyUSA[26] October 30 – November 2, 2014591± 4.1% align=center47%42%5%5%
YouGov[27] October 25–31, 20141,743± 3.2% align=center45%41%1%1%12%
NBC News/Marist[28] align=center rowspan=2October 26–30, 2014603 LV± 4% align=center48%43%3%1%5%
875 RV± 3.3% align=center46%42%4%1%7%
Landmark Communications[29] October 29, 20141,500± 2.5% align=center48%46%4%3%
Vox Populi Polling[30] October 28, 2014602± 4% align=center49%42%3%7%
Monmouth[31] October 26–28, 2014436± 4.7% align=center48%42%5%5%
Rasmussen Reports[32] October 25–27, 2014977± 3% align=center49%43%2%6%
SurveyUSA[33] October 24–27, 2014611± 4% align=center46%44%3%6%
Public Policy Polling[34] October 23–24, 2014771± ?% align=center48%45%4%3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[35] October 16–23, 20141,774± 4% align=center47%43%2%0%8%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[36] October 16–23, 20141,170± 3.6% align=center46%41%6%7%
Insider Advantage[37] October 21–22, 2014704± 3.7%44%44%5%8%
CNN/ORC International[38] October 19–22, 2014565± 4%46% align=center48%6%
Landmark Communications[39] October 20–21, 20141,000± 2.75% align=center48%45%5%2%
SurveyUSA[40] October 17–20, 2014606± 4.1% align=center45%43%4%8%
GaPundit.com[41] October 13–14, 20141,543± 2.49%44%44%6%5%
SurveyUSA[42] October 10–13, 2014563± 4.2%46%46%4%4%
Landmark Communications[43] October 7–9, 20141,000± 3.1%45%45%5%5%
SurveyUSA[44] October 2–6, 2014566± 4.2% align=center46%44%4%7%
Public Policy Polling[45] align=center rowspan=2October 2–5, 2014align=center rowspan=2895align=center rowspan=2± 3.3% align=center46%41%4%9%
align=center50%45%5%
Hickman Analytics[46] September 26 – October 5, 2014500± 4.4% align=center44%36%9%13%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 30 – October 1, 20141,000± 4% align=center49%43%2%6%
Insider Advantage[47] September 29 – October 1, 2014947± 3.2% align=center44%43%4%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[48] September 20 – October 1, 20141,851± 3% align=center48%43%1%0%7%
SurveyUSA[49] September 19–22, 2014550± 4.3%44% align=center45%4%7%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 15–16, 2014750± 4% align=center45%44%3%8%
Insider Advantage[50] September 10–11, 20141,167± 2.9% align=center44%40%7%9%
Landmark Communications[51] September 9–11, 20141,109± 2.9%44% align=center47%4%5%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[52] September 8–11, 2014884± 4% align=center43%42%7%8%
SurveyUSA[53] September 5–8, 2014558± 4.2% align=center45%44%4%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[54] August 18 – September 2, 20141,900± 3% align=center47%39%4%1%9%
GaPundit.com[55] August 24–25, 20141,578± 2.47% align=center44%42%7%8%
Landmark Communications[56] August 20–21, 2014600± 4%40% align=center44%16%
SurveyUSA[57] August 14–17, 2014560± 4.2% align=center48%39%4%8%
InsiderAdvantage[58] August 12–13, 2014719± 3.7% align=center43%39%7%11%
Hicks Evaluation Group[59] August 8–10, 2014788± 3.48%45%45%9%
Landmark Communications[60] July 25, 2014750± 3.8%40% align=center47%5%9%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 23–24, 2014750± 4%44% align=center45%3%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[61] July 5–24, 20142,568± 3.4% align=center50%41%1%8%
Landmark Communications[62] July 15, 2014750± 441% align=center49%4%6%
Public Policy Polling[63] July 11–13, 2014664± ? align=center41%40%8%11%
Insider Advantage[64] June 24–25, 20141,349± 2.7% align=center47%40%3%10%
SurveyUSA[65] June 3–5, 2014999± 3.2% align=center44%38%7%11%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 21–22, 2014750± 4%41% align=center48%3%7%
Public Policy Polling[66] May 21–22, 2014803± ?%43%43%7%7%
SurveyUSAMay 8–12, 20141,380± 2.7% align=center43%37%7%14%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[67] May 5–8, 20141,012± 4% align=center48%44%8%
Saint Leo[68] May 5–6, 20141,000± 3% align=center38%35%11%16%
NBC News/Marist[69] April 30 – May 5, 20142,196± 2.1% align=center50%40%1%10%
SurveyUSAApril 24–27, 20141,567± 2.5% align=center41%37%9%13%
Public Policy Polling[70] April 1–3, 2014628± 4%42% align=center43%15%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone[71] March 30, 2014575± 4% align=center43%39%18%
Insider Advantage[72] March 13, 2014486± 4.3%38% align=center41%21%
Public Policy Polling[73] February 19–20, 2014833± 4% align=center45%42%12%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[74] January 6–9, 2014802± 4% align=center47%38%15%
Insider Advantage[75] January 6, 2014529± 4.6% align=center44%22%34%
Anzalone Liszt Grove[76] October 14–20, 2013600± 4% align=center44%36%20%
Public Policy Polling[77] October 7–8, 2013602± 4.1% align=center44%40%16%
Public Policy PollingAugust 2–5, 2013520± 4.3% align=center48%33%19%
20/20 Insight, LLCMay 7–9, 20131,483± 2.5%42% align=center45%13%
Public Policy Polling[78] February 15–18, 2013602± 4% align=center46%38%16%
Public Policy Polling[79] November 30–December 2, 2012729± 3.6% align=center46%38%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingAugust 2–5, 2013520± 4.3% align=center47%34%19%
20/20 Insight, LLCMay 7–9, 20131,483± 2.5% align=center45%39%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
John
Barrow (D)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 15–18, 2013602± 4% align=center48%38%14%
Public Policy PollingNovember 30 – December 2, 2012729± 3.6% align=center44%40%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Scott
Holcomb (D)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingAugust 2–5, 2013520± 4.3% align=center48%28%24%
20/20 Insight, LLCMay 7–9, 20131,483± 2.5%41%41%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Kasim
Reed (D)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 15–18, 2013602± 4% align=center48%38%14%
Public Policy PollingNovember 30 – December 2, 2012729± 3.6% align=center47%40%13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Jason
Carter (D)
OtherUndecided
NBC News/Maristalign=center rowspan=2October 26–30, 2014603 LV± 4% align=center50%46%<1%4%
875 RV± 3.3% align=center48%45%1%6%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Notes and References

  1. News: Ga. schools superintendent to run for governor. August 31, 2013. August 31, 2013. Associated Press. Marietta Daily Journal. Christina A.. Cassidy.
  2. Web site: Dalton's mayor to challenge Deal in GOP primary. July 9, 2013. July 9, 2013. Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Greg. Bluestein.
  3. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/InsiderAdvantage_GA_051914.pdf InsiderAdvantage
  4. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=94a38a32-4657-4960-bc56-8656b955f99b SurveyUSA
  5. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=e52a072d-c58b-461c-81b7-b3db6c5e0f45&c=26 SurveyUSA
  6. https://archive.today/20140418140332/http://www.onlineathens.com/breaking-news/2014-04-17/poll-shows-perdue-deal-still-leading InsiderAdvantage
  7. http://www.wsbtv.com/news/news/local/david-perdue-leads-exclusive-poll-republican-cadid/nfLzp/ Landmark/Rosetta
  8. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=bf5cba41-c631-4124-9362-8dd3acf181a9 SurveyUSA
  9. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_GA_080713.pdf Public Policy Polling
  10. https://s3.amazonaws.com/s3.bettergeorgia.org/images/BG_Statewide_Poll_2013_Q2_Toplines_-_Issues_-_FULL.pdf 20/20 Insight, LLC
  11. Web site: Christina A. Cassidy . Jason Carter, Jimmy Carter's Grandson, To Run For Georgia Governor . The Huffington Post . November 7, 2013 . November 7, 2013.
  12. News: Cassidy. Christina A.. Jimmy Carter's Grandson to Run for Ga. Governor. 7 November 2013. ABC News. 7 November 2013.
  13. Web site: Your Daily Jolt: John Barge kicks off gubernatorial run today. Atlanta Journal-Constitution. September 3, 2013 . September 3, 2013.
  14. Web site: Shirley Franklin Speculation-Could She Run for Office?. August 14, 2013. August 18, 2013. Peach Pundit. Ed. Hula. March 12, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140312212521/http://www.peachpundit.com/2013/08/14/shirley-franklin-speculation/. dead.
  15. Web site: Holcomb Considering Ga. Senate, Gubernatorial Bids. May 1, 2013. May 1, 2013. National Journal. Sarah. Mimms. https://web.archive.org/web/20130503032314/http://www.nationaljournal.com/blogs/hotlineoncall/2013/05/holcomb-considering-ga-senate-gubernatorial-bids-01. May 3, 2013. dead. mdy-all.
  16. Web site: I just donated – you should too.... November 7, 2013. December 16, 2013. Twitter. Scott. Holcomb.
  17. Web site: Mayor Kasim Reed announces candidacy for re-election . CBS Atlanta . August 26, 2013 . August 27, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130826180608/http://www.cbsatlanta.com/story/23254736/mayor-kasim-reed-to-announce-candidacy-for-re-election . August 26, 2013 . dead .
  18. Web site: Dr. Andrew Hunt. Libertarian Party. 17 December 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140407084252/http://www.lp.org/candidates/liberty-candidates-14/dr-andrew-hunt. 7 April 2014. dead. dmy-all.
  19. Web site: 2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  20. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 3, 2018.
  21. Web site: 2014 Gubernatorial Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  22. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races . Real Clear Politics . September 3, 2018.
  23. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/GAResults.pdf Public Policy Polling
  24. https://web.archive.org/web/20141103224615/http://landmarkcommunications.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/Landmark-Statewide-Poll-Governor-and-US-Senate-Nov.-2-2014.pdf Landmark Communications
  25. http://chronicle.augusta.com/politics/2014-11-03/runoffs-likely-poll-indicates Insider Advantage
  26. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=71c1602b-e3e0-4fe5-9d51-b2175b6139e4 SurveyUSA
  27. http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/hdmymx1jfn/toplines_likely_GA.pdf YouGov
  28. http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files/georgia_october_31_2014_annotated_questionnaire_nbc_news-marist_poll.pdf NBC News/Marist
  29. http://www.landmarkcommunications.org/poll.pdf Landmark Communications
  30. http://www.poppolling.com/index.php?polls-news&a=view&article_id=41#.VFPspb7ZL-v Vox Populi Polling
  31. https://web.archive.org/web/20141029172055/http://monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/60fa9066-651c-4733-8564-88c7790ebc3d.pdf Monmouth
  32. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/georgia/election_2014_georgia_governor Rasmussen Reports
  33. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a7100a0d-bb48-4f31-ba69-0e06189a096a SurveyUSA
  34. https://web.archive.org/web/20141028050046/http://www.lcv.org/assets/pdf/ga-senate-poll-10-27-14.pdf Public Policy Polling
  35. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  36. http://www.myajc.com/oct-2014-poll/ Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  37. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/GA_InsiderAdvantage_102314.pdf Insider Advantage
  38. http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/24/politics/cnn-poll-georgia/index.html CNN/ORC International
  39. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/GA_LandmarkWSB_102414.pdf Landmark Communications
  40. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7f113593-1781-4605-956e-3bc7d158da2c SurveyUSA
  41. http://www.wrbl.com/story/26806078/wrbl-poll-voters-moving-towards-mainstream-party-candidates GaPundit.com
  42. https://wayback.archive-it.org/all/20141015172143/http://www.11alive.com/story/news/politics/2014/10/15/exclusive-poll-nunn-leads-senate-race-by-3/17239215/ SurveyUSA
  43. http://www.wsbtv.com/news/news/local/senate-governor-races-tied-potential-runoffs-futur/nhgXw/ Landmark Communications
  44. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b9d1f6ed-3a47-4959-bfc5-b12f993c67a8 SurveyUSA
  45. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_GA_1007925.pdf Public Policy Polling
  46. https://web.archive.org/web/20141019233741/http://consumerenergyalliance.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/GA-Topline-Tables-Release.pdf Hickman Analytics
  47. http://insideradvantage.com/2014/10/03/insideradvantagefox5morris-news-super-poll-carter-and-deal-statistically-tied-perdue-drops-to-47-nunn-advances-to-43/ Insider Advantage
  48. http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  49. http://archive.11alive.com/assetpool/documents/140923120250_11AlivePoll092414.pdf SurveyUSA
  50. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/InsiderAdvantage_GA_0914.pdf Insider Advantage
  51. https://web.archive.org/web/20140915205931/http://landmarkcommunications.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Landmark-Statewide-GA-Poll-Sept-9-11.pdf Landmark Communications
  52. http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2014/09/12/ajc-poll-governors-race-in-virtual-tie-david-perdue-has-slight-lead/ Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  53. http://archive.11alive.com/assetpool/documents/140909120021_PollPrint.pdf SurveyUSA
  54. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-georgia/#GAgovernor CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  55. http://www.wrbl.com/story/26427980/wrbl-poll-georgia-governor-senate-races-remain-tight GaPundit.com
  56. http://www.wsbtv.com/news/news/local/poll-nunn-widens-lead-over-perdue/ng7Z6/ Landmark Communications
  57. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c649d925-5e23-4406-a545-30cf95234a33 SurveyUSA
  58. http://insideradvantage.com/2014/08/14/insideradvantagefox5morris-news-survey-shows-perdue-with-solid-lead-in-senate-contest-carter-and-deal-statistically-tied-could-runoffs-be-looming/ InsiderAdvantage
  59. https://web.archive.org/web/20140812203431/http://www.hegllc.org/HEG/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/TNSP_HEG-Survey_Data-Sheet-August-11-2014.pdf Hicks Evaluation Group
  60. http://www.argojournal.com/2014/07/poll-watch-landmark-communications-r_25.html Landmark Communications
  61. http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  62. http://www.wsbtv.com/news/news/local/poll-shows-carter-widening-lead-over-deal/nghbm/ Landmark Communications
  63. https://web.archive.org/web/20140719004745/https://cmgajcpolitics.files.wordpress.com/2014/07/ppp-deal-carter-july.pdf Public Policy Polling
  64. http://insideradvantage.com/2014/06/26/insideradvantagefox5morris-news-superpoll-deal-leading-carter-47-to-40-obama-approval-at-41/ Insider Advantage
  65. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=90f09d9e-46f6-45ca-a598-2215194369ee SurveyUSA
  66. https://s3.amazonaws.com/s3.bettergeorgia.org/images/PPP-BetterGeorgia-052314.pdf Public Policy Polling
  67. http://www.myajc.com/may-2014-poll Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  68. http://polls.saintleo.edu/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/GA-Governors-General-2014-Toplines.pdf Saint Leo
  69. https://web.archive.org/web/20140512154314/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/NBC%20News-Marist%20Poll_Georgia_Annotated%20Questionnaire_May%202014.pdf NBC News/Marist
  70. https://www.scribd.com/doc/216793581/Georgia-Medicaid-Polling-Results Public Policy Polling
  71. http://gapundit.com/2014/04/02/landmark-communications-press-release-poll-governors-race Landmark/Rosetta Stone
  72. http://insideradvantage.com/2014/03/13/exclusive-advance-look-insideradvantagefox-5morris-news-poll-carter-and-deal-statistically-tied-in-race-for-governor/ Insider Advantage
  73. https://www.scribd.com/doc/208941102/GA-Gov-PPP-for-Better-Georgia-Feb-2014 Public Policy Polling
  74. http://www.ajc.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/polling-favors-deal-at-this-stage/ncjn5/ Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  75. http://insideradvantage.com/2014/01/09/breaking-news-insideradvantage-fox-5-poll/ Insider Advantage
  76. http://images.politico.com/global/2013/11/13/georgia_poll.html Anzalone Liszt Grove
  77. https://docs.google.com/file/d/1xqouFpbXxiGOPdNqHwZTQxYnzHqOULYq8Md5Kb3ztbppRHBqaoKggZTF5d65/edit Public Policy Polling
  78. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_GA_220.pdf Public Policy Polling
  79. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_GA_120512.pdf Public Policy Polling